Trade ideas
GOLD XAUUSD THE BREAKOUT OF 4059-4055 TRENDLINE BY LONDON /NEWYORK SELLERS WILL BE LOOKING FOR DISCOUNT IN THE PRICE OF GOLD .
CHINA-US TENSION COOLS OFF,BUT FOMC NEXT MONETARY POLICY DECISION IS CAUSING CAUTION IN LONG POSITION FOR THE YELLOW METAL.
RATE HOLD ,RATE HIKE OR CUT ,NO ONE CAN TELL TILL THE MEETING IS OVER.
DEMAND FLOOR 3991
DEMAND FLOOR 3945-3940.
GOLD LONDON /NEWYORK BUY ZONE COULD BE 3945-3940 ZONE .i see a strong double confluence where a descending trendline meets a horizontal support structure,
risk management is key,if price rally at this zone,learn to take profit and protect your capital
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 27✅ Last week, gold closed with a long upper shadow candle, indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels. Since rising from 3311 on August 20, the weekly chart has recorded nine consecutive bullish candles, with last week marking the first bearish close, suggesting that the long-term uptrend is weakening and market sentiment is turning more cautious. Structurally, the medium-term bullish momentum is fading, and if gold fails to stabilize, it may gradually enter a corrective phase.
✅ The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be announced this Wednesday. If the outcome and statement do not trigger significant changes in policy expectations, market volatility may remain limited, and gold is likely to continue oscillating within the $4000–$4200 range. It is worth noting that rate-cut expectations have already been largely priced in; if the statement is hawkish, gold may come under short-term pressure, while a dovish tone or any geopolitical risk events could trigger a temporary rebound.
✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Gold continues to move within a downward channel, with short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) aligned in a bearish formation. The price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that bears remain dominant. If the price breaks below 4000, it could open up further downside potential.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis:
Gold currently shows a “double-top + consolidation” structure, with lower lows continuously forming. After touching the lower Bollinger Band at 4015, the price rebounded slightly, suggesting a short-term technical correction, though the upside remains limited. The middle band near 4080 serves as a key level to gauge rebound strength. If the price fails to break above 4080–4100, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075–4085 /4100-4115
🟢 Support Levels: 4010–4000 / 3950-3930
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4075–4085 and faces resistance, consider light short positions, with a stop loss of 8–10 USD and targets at 4100–4050.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4010–4000 and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, with a stop loss below 3995 and targets at 4050–4075.
🔰 If gold breaks below 4000, the next downside targets are 3950–3930.
✅ After nine consecutive weeks of gains, the first bearish weekly candle indicates that bullish momentum is weakening. In the short term, the market remains in a sideways consolidation phase. Focus on the 4100 breakout zone and the 4000 support area. Before a clear breakout occurs, maintain a range-trading strategy — sell at highs and buy at lows, with strict risk management.
XAUUSD 15-Minute Small-Scale Swing Trade - Short Position XAUUSD 15-Minute Small-Scale Swing Trade - Short Position
- Enter short position directly around the current price of 4122 USD, with stop-loss set at 4160USD.
- First target: Take profit around 4060 USD; close half of the position and trail the stop-loss to lock in gains.
- Second target: Take profit around 4000 USD; close all remaining short positions and exit with full profits.
GOLD PLUNGE: Sniping the FIBO BUY Zone after $4,065 Drop!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has fallen sharply by 1.10% and is trading near $4,065 in early Asian trading. The market has presented us with a prime dip opportunity!
1. Market Snapshot 📸
Current Status: Price is correcting significantly after a strong upward movement. Gold is currently trading around $4,065.
Pressure: Renewed optimism regarding US-China trade negotiations is weakening safe-haven assets like Gold.
The Catalyst: Weaker US inflation data solidified expectations for a Fed rate cut. The market is pricing in an almost certain 25 basis point (bps) reduction at the October FOMC meeting. This long-term USD weakness favors BUY ON DIPS.
2. Sharp Technical Analysis 📉
The recent drop offers a clear setup for our BUY ON DIPS strategy, utilizing the Fibo retracement zones.
REACTION SELL ZONE: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the target for our Long trades.
REACTION BUY SCALP ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). This is the first area to look for a quick rebound.
CRITICAL FIBO BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). This is the most vital support (Fibo 0.5) to catch the continuation of the trend.
3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: BUY ON DIPS 💰
We prioritize executing the BUY trade at the established Fibo support zones to ride the expected Fed-driven rally.
Primary Entry (Scalp): Look for confirmation in the REACTION BUY SCALP ZONE 4,077.605 (Zone 407x).
High-Conviction Entry: Wait patiently for the CRITICAL FIBO BUY ZONE 4,048.493 (Zone 405x). This is the optimal entry point.
STOP-LOSS (SL): Place SL safely below the 0.618 Fibo level for the 405x zone.
TAKE-PROFIT (TP): Target the recent high at $4,164.938 (Zone 416x).
Community Interaction 🚀
The Gold drop is here! Will you buy the dip at the 407x Scalp Zone, or wait for the ultimate 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
Drop your priority zone NOW! 👇
Today's gold trading strategyTwo types of short-term signals, focusing on immediate verification
Fed's short-term "dovish signals" catalyze: In the latest remarks by Fed officials, three voting members explicitly stated that "no interest rate hike is needed in November, and we need to observe the cooling trend of employment data", and the CME Fed observation tool shows that the probability of an interest rate hike in November has dropped from 25% to 12%. Historical data shows that in the 3-5 trading days after the cooling of the interest rate expectation, gold typically rises by 1.2%-1.8%, and the US dollar index is under short-term pressure (currently the US dollar index is 94.2, and if it falls below 94, it will further open up the upward space for gold);
Geopolitical conflict "immediate safe-haven impulse": The situation in the Middle East suddenly escalated, Israel launched a ground attack on the Gaza Strip, and the Houthi forces announced "expanding the attack range on Red Sea shipping", the spot price of London gold jumped by 12 US dollars on the same day, and safe-haven funds flowed into gold ETFs (such as SPDR) for 280 million US dollars in a single day. Although the demand for safe-haven protection from such sudden geopolitical events is not long-lasting, it will form a short-term upward momentum of 3-5 trading days;
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @ buy4050-4060
TP:4080-4100-4150
SL:4030
XAUUSD IDEAMarket Context
Gold price (XAUUSD) will move sideways (consolidate) between 4160 and 4018 until November 6, 2025.
This means price is stuck in a range not trending strongly up or down and traders are waiting for a breakout (a strong move beyond one side of the range) to decide the next big direction.
📌🔽▶️ Sell Scenario (Your main plan)
If the price goes up to 4122 -4125, you plan to open a sell position.
You expect the price to drop from there toward your take-profit levels.
Entry: 4122–4125
TP1: 4050 the first support area (where price may bounce).
TP2: 4018 next key support and the lower end of the range.
Logic: You believe sellers will take control again once price fails to stay above 4125.
If price breaks below 4050 and stays under it, that confirms a bearish breakout, so you’ll hold the sell to your second target (4018).
🔼🇲🇻 Buy Scenario (Backup plan)
If the price fails to break below 4050 and instead bounces back up, it means buyers are still defending that support zone.
Then you’ll switch your plan:
Buy Entry: near 4050
Target: 4122–4160 (the upper side of the consolidation)
Logic: You expect the range to continue, with price moving back up from the bottom of the zone.
⁉️▶️👀 Risk Management
You should place a stop-loss above 4133 when selling, or below 4018 when buying, to protect your trade if price breaks out against you.
The breakout direction (either above 4160 or below 4018) will decide the next major move , so after the breakout, you’ll follow that direction.
Trading strategy for gold next weekThe low-level support has been verified through practical operations, and the rebound momentum is beginning to show.
Strong support is clearly effective: In the past three trading days, the spot price of gold in London dropped to the lowest level of 4044.07 US dollars and then rebounded rapidly. This position has formed a short-term "iron bottom". Although the current price has experienced a correction, it has always remained above the 4100 US dollar threshold, and the trading volume during the correction process did not significantly increase, indicating that the short selling pressure is limited and the buying pressure at the lower level is strong.
The rebound signal is beginning to emerge: After the release of the September CPI data, the gold price briefly rose by 30 US dollars. Although it subsequently fell back, it has broken the previous continuous decline trend. From the time chart, the 4100-4110 US dollar range has repeatedly shown a "bottoming out and rebounding" trend, with obvious short-term stabilization characteristics, and the rebound momentum is accumulating.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @ buy4060-4080
TP:4110-4130-4200
XAUUSD🟡 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook — “The Breath Before Expansion” 🐺
On the weekly timeframe, Gold recently broke out of a symmetric triangle to the upside, printing eight consecutive bullish candles — clear evidence of strength and momentum from buyers.
The last weekly candle, however, closed bearish, but without sufficient strength to push below the 4K–4.50K zone.
If that candle had closed below 4K50 / 4K, it would’ve confirmed a potential shift in structure and opened the door for deeper downside movement in the following weeks.
Instead, the close remained above 4K50, confirming a new higher low on the daily timeframe — meaning bulls are still holding the structural tempo.
At the moment, the price is consolidating on the H4 timeframe — a breathing phase after expansion.
Once price breaks this consolidation, we’ll likely see a move toward the next zone, completing a bullish double bottom retest before another potential push upward to grab liquidity above the double top — the same zone that caused the previous drop around 4K.
The failed break below 4K shows that sellers ran out of energy, and the market used that imbalance to reload for another potential bullish leg.
Will Black Friday return?
I. Current Market Overview
Gold showed a oscillatory rebound pattern intraday, but the overall amplitude narrowed, indicating increased market caution following previous sharp fluctuations. The price remains within the core consolidation range of 4180 - 4010, suggesting a temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces. The evening session saw another upward move, continuing the recent pattern of wide swings, although the short-term corrective trend is not yet complete.
II. Key Technical Levels
Core Consolidation Range: 4180 - 4010
Key Resistance Above: 4160-4185 area (Focus on the 5-day, 10-day Moving Averages, and the 4-hour Middle Bollinger Band pressure)
Key Support Below: 4010-4005 area (Focus on the psychological 4000 integer level)
III. Trend and Structure Analysis
Bullish Scenario: If the gold price can hold firmly above the 4000 level, it has the potential to initiate a new strong rally later, possibly driven by fundamental factors.
Bearish Scenario: If the 4000 level is decisively broken, it could trigger a medium-term correction on both daily and weekly charts, increasing the risk of panic selling and a sharp short-term decline.
Current Bias: The short-term structure shows a risk of the center of gravity shifting lower. Until a clear break above 4180 or below 4000 occurs, the market is expected to maintain a wide-range oscillation pattern.
IV. Specific Trading Strategy
1. Short Strategy (Primary: Sell on Rallies)
Entry Zone: Near 4155 - 4160 (enter in batches)
Stop Loss: Above 4170
Targets:
First Target: Near 4100 (reduce position and set breakeven stop)
Second Target: 4070 - 4050
Ultimate Target: 4020 - 4000
2. Long Strategy (Secondary: Buy on Dips)
Entry Zone: Near 4005 - 4010 (enter in batches)
Stop Loss: Below 4000
Targets:
First Target: 4050 - 4100
Second Target: 4150
(Note: Long entries should ideally be combined with real-time price action, waiting for clear confirmation of a reversal signal before entering for greater safety.)
V. Risk Management and Execution Points
Strict Risk Control: Every trade must have a fixed stop loss of 8-10 USD. Never move or cancel stops based on intuition.
Position Management: Use a batch entry strategy to ensure the risk exposure per trade is controlled within a reasonable percentage of total capital (e.g., 1-2%).
Disciplined Execution:
Wait for signals near key resistance/support levels; avoid impulsive trading in the middle of the range.
Once a trade is entered with stop loss and take profit set, trust the system and avoid excessive screen watching leading to emotional decisions.
Key Breakouts: Closely monitor breaks of the two critical levels: 4000 and 4180. These will determine the primary direction for the next phase.
Summary: Today's main strategy is to sell during rallies towards the resistance zone, while preparing to capture potential rebound long opportunities near the key support area. Within the range, trade by selling high and buying low. If the range breaks, follow the breakout direction. Maintain patience and strictly adhere to the trading plan.
XAUUSD: Watch for Breakout +70$ Move Timeframe: 1H
Gold is consolidating between 4055 support and 4126 resistance.
A breakout on either side could trigger a $70 move.
Bullish Bias: Break and hold above 4126 → next target 4200 area.
Bearish Bias: Break and close below 4055 → continuation toward 3950 zone.
Invalidation:
If price re-enters the range after breakout, bias becomes invalid.
📊 Overall momentum still favors bears, as lower highs and strong rejections from 4120–4130 keep pressure downward.
Gold weakens, retesting key 4080 supportMarket Overview
After failing to hold above the 4115–4120 zone, gold (XAU/USD) has turned lower toward 4085, signaling the loss of short-term recovery momentum.
Profit-taking pressure increased as U.S. bond yields rose again and traders turned cautious ahead of the upcoming U.S. PCE data.
Buyers are now defending the 4080–4078 support area, which will be crucial in determining the next market direction.
📊 Technical Analysis
• EMA50 (H1): 4107 → price now trading below EMA50, indicating a clear correction phase.
• EMA200 (H1): 4126 → remains the main resistance until a firm close above it.
• RSI (H1): dropped to 40, showing bearish momentum dominance.
• Near-term resistance: 4108 – 4115
• Upper resistance: 4130 – 4142
• Immediate support: 4080 – 4075
• Next support: 4062 – 4050
On the H1 timeframe, a bearish engulfing pattern is forming — a signal that deeper downside could follow if 4080 is broken.
💡 Outlook
The short-term trend has shifted back to neutral-to-bearish.
If price closes below 4078 (H1), gold could extend losses toward 4062 – 4050.
Conversely, a bullish reversal candle around 4080–4078 may trigger a rebound toward 4108–4115.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4053 – 4050
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4047
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4108 – 4112
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4116
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the ATH GOLD 4,381 USD peak, gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD area, where selling pressure was fully absorbed by strong buying forces from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the emergence of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high probability that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the upper FVG resistance zone, or even extend back to the ATH area if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom area, increased volume, confirming sell order absorption.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → recovery initiation zone; if price retests this area and holds firm → confirmation signal for the upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence with medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if price breaks through → confirms a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for a break of 4,234 to shift to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 area, showing a confirmation signal for an increase (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to OB + ChoCH confluence + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Condition:
Price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the flow as price confirms a break of short-term resistance.
📉 Alternate Scenario – SELL Reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Condition:
If price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment may occur.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize BUY following the main recovery trend, only SELL with clear reaction.
Avoid FOMO buying in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If price closes H1 below 4,060 → invalidates recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two key areas to watch:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first bounce support area.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): area confirming new upward structure.
If price holds OB and breaks through FVG, high chance gold will resume upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) area.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only with clear reversal signal.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 23-24✅ 4-Hour Chart: Gold is currently in a consolidation and recovery phase after a sharp decline. If the price can stabilize above 4100 and break through 4173, it will further confirm the continuation of the short-term rebound. However, if it remains pressured below 4170, the rebound may end at any time.
The price is trading above MA5 and MA10 but below MA20, showing short-term stabilization signs, while the overall structure remains in a medium-term correction phase.
The moving average system shows MA5 turning upward, MA10 flattening, and MA20 and MA50 still trending downward, indicating a short-term rebound but a weak mid-term trend.
If gold breaks above MA20 (around 4173), it may continue to recover higher; however, if it falls below 4100, there is still a risk of testing 4050 or even 4000 again.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: After rebounding from 4004, gold has been moving upward in a choppy pattern, currently trading between the Bollinger middle and upper bands, showing a mild short-term bullish momentum.
The moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 have formed a golden cross, but they are still at a low level, indicating that the short-term rebound continues but remains limited in strength.
If the price breaks above 4156 (Bollinger upper band), it may open further upside potential; however, a break below MA20 (around 4110) would signal the end of the rebound.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156 / 4173 / 4244
🟢 Support Levels: 4100 / 4080 / 4050
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰If gold rebounds to the 4160–4170 zone and faces resistance, consider taking light short positions, with a stop loss above 4178 and targets at 4130–4110.
🔰If gold pulls back to the 4100–4110 zone and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, targeting 4145–4160.
✅ Summary:
Gold remains in a medium-term downtrend, and the current rebound is mainly a technical correction.
In the short term, focus on the 4120–4170 consolidation range.
As long as key support holds, avoid blindly shorting. Traders should stay flexible and adjust their strategies according to market rhythm.
Gold:Perfectly confirms the prediction🎉Today's gold trend is in perfect alignment with the key levels we preset, and the upper resistance range has exerted a significant suppressing effect.
✔We clearly indicated in the morning that "attention should be paid to the upper resistance around 4,135–4,150". In the actual market movement, spot London gold hit a daily high of 4,154.52, which just tested the upper edge of this resistance range before fluctuating under pressure. It finally traded around 4,130 and never broke through the 4,150 resistance ceiling throughout the day.
✔Meanwhile, although it dipped to an intraday low of 4,065.47, this level fell entirely within our preset support range of 4,060–4,070. The price then rebounded quickly, which confirms the supporting effect around this zone. The overall trading rhythm is completely consistent with the core logic of our prediction.






















