Trade ideas
XAUUSD POENTIAL CORRECTIONIf gold (XAUUSD) breaks convincingly below the $4,200 level, it could signal a deeper technical correction. While gold's overall trend remains bullish, a drop below this significant support could trigger further selling toward lower price levels.
Key factors and potential outcomes if XAUUSD falls below $4,200:
Next support levels: Technical analysis suggests that the next potential support levels below $4,200 would be around $4,180, followed by $4,059, $4,023, and potentially the psychologically significant $4,000 mark.
Shift in short-term momentum: A break below $4,200 could signal a shift from the current strong bullish momentum to a period of consolidation or a more pronounced correction.
Profit-taking: The recent record-setting rally saw gold briefly dip below $4,200 due to profit-taking. A more sustained break could indicate a more widespread correction is underway, rather than just a temporary fluctuation.
Underlying bullish trend: Despite a potential break, the overall bullish trend would remain intact unless there is a complete breakdown of the "higher highs and higher lows" pattern. A dip could be seen as a healthy consolidation before another upward leg, with institutional buyers likely to re-engage around the next major base, such as $4,000.
4365 Achieved Excellent profits Booked [1350 PIPS Gained]Thanks to traders who followed and stay Active with me on bullish rally
As highlighted in yesterday’s session update:
My Position:
The ongoing bull rally has played out perfectly, with both of my targets achieved ahead of schedule. I identified strong support around $4,220 & 4190 along condition H4 Candle for bullish rally. Iinitiated aggressive swing buys from that zone. When $4,190 was retested, I held off for a healthy pullback before re-entering.
At $4205& $4,225, I scaled in aggressively (four entries) aiming for $4,345, which was reached — locking in solid overnight gains.
I’m pleased with the overall performance during this multi-month bullish phase and plan to keep accumulating on dips until the $4,490 level is reached from my main re-entry zones.
Additional Tip:
Once again, I caution traders — avoid counter-trend selling.
Many get trapped trying to short Gold in a strong uptrend. Stay aligned with the trend — it’s still firmly bullish.🚀
Gold Tests Broken TrendGold is extending toward the broken trendline and could face rejection around this level. For the stop, I’ll place it just above the previous highs. This setup is riskier than the previous one, so if the trade moves in my favor, I’ll consider moving the stop to the entry point to eliminate the chance of a loss.
#XAUUSD:$4200 Almost Hit, Our New Target Is $4500! Dear Traders,
Gold has been extremely bullish since our previous analysis. The US has imposed a 100% tariff on China which has caused fear within the global trading community. Our next move is to wait for the price to retest whether minor or major. Once we have confirmation, we can target our next move.
Team Setupsfx
XAUUSD Gold Price is currently trading around 3,933, showing a downward correction after a strong bullish rally. The market has reached a key support zone near 3,920 – 3,900, where a potential rebound could occur. A bullish breakout from the minor descending trendline could trigger an upward move toward the first target zone at 4,050 – 4,100. If momentum continues, the next major target lies around 4,200.
However, if price breaks below the current support, further downside may extend toward the next support zone near 3,850 – 3,800.
Overall, price action suggests a critical decision point, with potential for a trend reversal if support holds.
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, LONDON SESSIONGold extended its bearish continuation during Asia, breaking below 3,940, confirming dominance of sellers. London opens with price sitting near 3,935–3,940, still within the bearish structure that began at 4,106.
Momentum is strongly negative, with EMAs (50/100/200) aligned downward and RSI below 40 across all intraday frames. The market remains inside a descending channel — each recovery is being sold aggressively.
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2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Fourth consecutive bearish candle confirms strong downside momentum.
• RSI (46) still neutral but leaning bearish; MACD histogram fully red.
• Price approaching potential higher-timeframe support near 3,900–3,880.
Bias: Bearish correction still in play until 3,880 or D1 reversal candle appears.
🔸 H1
• Structure: clean lower highs (4,106 → 4,048 → 3,997) and lower lows (3,971 → 3,935).
• RSI (27) deeply oversold, signaling possible micro bounce but no reversal yet.
• 100/200 EMA above at 3,990–4,040 acting as strong resistance.
Bias: Bearish below 4,000, corrective pullback likely capped at 3,995–4,010.
🔹 M15
• Extended downtrend channel remains active.
• Every minor pullback rejected under 3,950–3,960.
• MACD shows no bullish divergence yet; sellers still in control.
Bias: Sell pullbacks near resistance levels.
🔹 M5
• Micro CHoCH confirmed lower highs.
• RSI near 30 with weak attempt to rebound.
• Short-term liquidity zone forming 3,930–3,940, potential area for retest before continuation.
Bias: Bearish to neutral; short rallies only if confirmed rejection on M5–M15.
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3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zone)
Last H1 swing: High 4,106 → Low 3,935
• 🔸 38.2% → 3,990
• 🔸 50% → 4,009
• 🔸 61.8% → 4,028
✅ Golden Zone = 3,990 – 4,028
This zone aligns with the H1 supply area and EMA confluence, making it the optimal retracement level to rejoin the bearish trend.
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4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL SCENARIO (High Probability)
• Entry: 3,990 – 4,028 (Golden Zone)
• Stop-Loss: 4,035 – 4,045
• Targets: 3,955 → 3,935 → 3,910 → 3,885
• Confluence: EMA cluster, Fib 61.8%, trendline resistance
• Bias: Strong short continuation if rejection occurs inside Golden Zone
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⚡ BREAKDOWN SELL
• Trigger: Clean H1 candle close below 3,930
• Entry: 3,928 – 3,935 on retest
• Stop-Loss: Above 3,945
• Targets: 3,912 → 3,900 → 3,885
• Bias: Follows continuation of bearish momentum below weak low.
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🟢 COUNTERTREND BUY (Low Probability)
• Trigger: Bullish BOS + strong engulfing candle above 3,960
• Entry: 3,960 – 3,965
• Stop-Loss: 3,940
• Targets: 3,985 → 3,995 → 4,009
• Bias: Only if London forms a liquidity sweep under 3,930 with strong reclaim.
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5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• No major Asia data; London expected to move with USD Index (DXY) flows.
• DXY above 106 favors continued gold weakness.
• Traders monitoring US GDP & PCE later this week, meaning liquidity could tighten today.
• Expect volatility spikes near London–NY overlap as large players position early.
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6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Price Levels
Resistance 3,960 / 3,975 / 3,990 / 4,009 / 4,028
Support 3,935 / 3,924 / 3,910 / 3,885 / 3,872
Golden Zone 3,990 – 4,028
Breakdown Trigger < 3,930
Bullish Reclaim Trigger > 3,965
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7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The bearish structure remains dominant across all timeframes. Momentum favors continuation toward 3,910–3,885, with the best entry region at 3,990–4,028 Golden Zone.
If London opens with liquidity sweeps below 3,930, wait for a quick retracement to sell at premium pricing.
Only strong reclaim above 3,965 could trigger a short-term intraday recovery to 3,990–4,009 before sellers step in again.
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8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish – Sell rallies into 3,990–4,028
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 3,965 (confirmed reclaim)
🎯 Targets: 3,955 → 3,935 → 3,910 → 3,885
✨ Golden Zone: 3,990 – 4,028
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,045
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— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
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Gold Bullish Reversal Expected from D-FVG ZoneKey Observations and SMC Components:
D-FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap):
The most important element is the large shaded gray box at the bottom, labeled D-FVG. This indicates an Inefficiency or Fair Value Gap identified on the Daily timeframe, making it a powerful area of demand where institutional buying pressure is expected.
CRT-L and CRT-H:
CRT-L (Current Range Low/Bottom) is placed near the bottom of the D-FVG zone, marking a key support level.
CRT-H (Current Range Top/High) marks the high of the recent drop.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently at $3,974.61 and has been trending down. It is approaching the key support/demand zone (D-FVG).
Projected Move:
The curved line and green arrow indicate the anticipated price action: a continuation of the drop into the D-FVG zone, followed by a strong rejection and a reversal upwards (a rally).
The rally's TARGET is marked by a dotted line, sitting below the CRT-H level (around $4,020 - $4,030).
Trading Bias and Expectation
The overall bias is short-term bullish following the retracement. The analyst expects price to:
Retrace/Consolidate: Drop into the high-probability D-FVG demand zone (around $3,920 to $3,940).
Reverse and Rally: Find strong support in this zone, then reverse and move upwards to hit the intermediate TARGET.
Gold to $4500?You’re looking at a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) with a combination of Fibonacci extensions, RSI, and MACD indicators.
1. Price action & Fibonacci levels
• Current price: around $4,008.
• The chart shows retracement and extension levels, with key Fibonacci zones marked (0.618, 1.618, 2.618, etc.).
• The price recently retraced to the 1.618 level (~$4,010) — a common Fibonacci support zone — and bounced slightly.
• There’s also a 2.618 extension at $3,865, suggesting that if $4,000 fails as support, the next downside target could be around $3,865.
2. MACD (top indicator)
• MACD Line (blue) is well below the Signal Line (orange) → strong bearish momentum.
• Histogram is negative (–7.643), confirming the bearish trend.
• However, the histogram bars are starting to shrink, which can often signal bearish exhaustion or a potential bullish reversal coming.
3. RSI (bottom indicator)
• RSI = 35.93, with the RSI-based MA at 39.91.
• This means Gold is nearing oversold territory (below 30) — it’s not extreme yet, but buyers might soon step in.
• If RSI turns up and crosses the MA, it could confirm the beginning of a short-term reversal.
4. Projected path (orange line on chart)
• The drawn orange curve shows a possible bounce scenario:
• Gold could dip slightly below $4,000 or test $3,865 (2.618 level),
• then begin a gradual recovery toward $4,380–$4,400.
• That’s in line with a Fibonacci retracement to 1.0–1.618 area — a common recovery zone after a sharp drop.
5. Summary
Indicator Current Bias Signal
Price Action Slightly Bearish Approaching support zone
Fibonacci Key support at $4,000, next at $3,865 Possible bounce
MACD Bearish but flattening Early reversal potential
RSI Near oversold Could trigger rebound soon
Quick Take:
Gold might dip slightly lower (possibly to $3,865), but technicals suggest a bullish reversal may follow in early November, targeting the $4,380–$4,400 area.
GOLD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 4,006.44 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 4,031.25.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Trading Strategy | October 27-28✅ As we anticipated, gold successfully broke below the key psychological support at $4000, confirming our previous analysis.
The short positions we advised our members to place in advance have also gained over 400 PIPS in this round of the downtrend
✅ Recently, there has been a clear rotation of funds between U.S. Treasury bonds and the spot gold market.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed back above the 4% level, reflecting subtle market adjustments to the Fed’s rate-cut expectations this week.
This shift led to a temporary outflow of safe-haven capital, causing gold to remain under pressure.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index edged down about 0.14% during the day, yet gold failed to benefit, indicating a lack of bullish confidence in the short term.
✅ On the 4-hour chart, gold continues to display a bearish structure.
After breaking below the $4000 psychological level, its downside momentum has not yet been fully exhausted.
The resistance level is seen around 4010, and if this level fails to break, gold is likely to continue weak consolidation.
The support level lies near 3945, which is a key pivot zone; if it holds, gold will likely oscillate within the 3945–4010 range in the short term.
✅ On the 1-hour chart, gold previously formed a double-top pattern, and the neckline has been clearly broken.
Price action remains below the neckline, confirming bearish dominance.
The moving averages are expanding downward, showing that bearish momentum continues.
In the short term, the 4004 level has turned from support into resistance.
As long as gold remains below this area during the U.S. session, any rebound should be viewed as a selling opportunity.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4004 / 4010
🟢 Support Levels: 3970 / 3945
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to the 4004–4010 zone and faces resistance, consider light short positions, with a stop loss above 4015, targeting 3970–3950.
🔰 If gold pulls back to around 3945 and holds steady, consider short-term long positions, targeting 3990–4000.
✅ Overall, gold’s short-term outlook remains bearish, with the technical structure still favoring sellers.
If the price fails to regain a foothold above 4010 tonight, it is likely to retest the 3945 support area.
Traders should remain cautious and continue to follow the trend, focusing on selling near resistance zones as the main strategy.
Gold prices could fall to $3,900-3,950Gold prices could fall to $3,900-3,950.
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold prices remained weak on Monday, with support levels in the $4,000-4,050 range currently at risk.
Gold prices fluctuated during the Asian session, with the rally stalling near $4,080.
Volatility has dropped to a rock bottom as gold prices fell below support at $4,050 during the European session.
The likelihood of a break below $4,000 has significantly increased.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell: 4,040-4,050
Stop Loss: 4,065
Target: 3,950-3,900
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 10/25/2025Yesterday, gold did move down but quickly recovered from 2D EMA support. The fact that gold didn't close the week under 4000 suggests that it is facing a strong support right now.
Looking at the weekly candle, although it's printed as red, it is not strong enough to turn the trend to medium term bearish momentum. From 2D TF, it is still held strong above EMA support line. Therefore, I am expecting gold to rise next week again. Current drop is still a retracement under the current bullish run.
Next week I am looking to buy from 4020 and targeting previous high at 4380.
Last trading day. Watch for resistance levels.After the CPI data was released as expected, while the results appear bullish for gold, the market reaction was muted, and the price rebound was relatively weak. This is likely because the current gains may have already overdrawn all positive expectations, and the market needs a period of cooling off.
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices rose on the data, returning to a range of fluctuations. The moving averages are showing a relatively flat trend. The 5-, 10-, and 20-minute moving averages intersect with the middle Bollinger Band in the 4100-4110 range, which also represents a significant short-term support level. The 30-minute moving average is nearing its intersection with the upper Bollinger Band in the 4170-4180 range.
Based on technical indicators, watch for resistance at 4160 in the short term, with a breakout at 4180. Focus on support at 4100-4110 below.
Quaid believes that as the last trading day of the week, the price may also fluctuate slightly around 4130. But if it suddenly starts to break upward, then we need to pay attention to the suppression situation above. When the price first hits around 4160 and fails to break upward effectively, short sell with a light position at this position and make a profit of 30-40 points.
A happy weekend is coming, Quaid hopes everyone reaches their profit targets this week.
XAUUSD (Gold): Bearish Breakdown Targets $4,028 SupportKey Observations
Prior Volatility: The period starts with a significant spike (a long red candle), indicating extreme bearish pressure followed by a recovery attempt.
Uptrend Attempt (October 22nd - 23rd): Following the sharp drop, the price began to form a series of higher highs and higher lows (indicated by the small black dots/circles), suggesting an attempted short-term recovery or uptrend. The price moved from a low near $4,020 to a high around $4,150.
Recent Reversal (October 24th): The attempted rally failed after hitting a peak around $4,150. Since that high, the price has been in a clear and aggressive downtrend, forming a series of strong bearish (red) candles.
Current Price Action & Projection: The chart shows the current price at $4,052.95 and an explicit projection (indicated by the green arrow and zig-zag line) toward the previous swing low, marked by a dotted green line at $4,028.03. This suggests that based on the current momentum, the price is expected to test this support level.
Support Level: The horizontal dotted line at $4,028.03 (or possibly the earlier low near $4,020) represents a key near-term support level.
Conclusion
The chart shows a strong bearish momentum dominating the market after a failed recovery attempt. Traders are currently anticipating a test of the support level around the $4,028 to $4,020 area.
Gold analysisAfter weeks of bullish movement, gold finally experienced a drop, forcing many traders with long positions to exit the market. This occurred with a clean double top pattern, which was perfectly formed, and its target was beautifully hit.
Currently, buying gold is very risky unless it's a long-term view, and even then, it should be based on the daily cycle. On lower timeframes, taking a long position is very risky.






















