Trade ideas
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443
TP1: $4425
TP2: $4412
TP3: $4400
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271
TP1: $4285
TP2: $4298
TP3: $4310
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD – History Never Lies! Are We Close to Major Correction ?Hello Traders 🐺
As I expected, gold is now creating new all-time highs — but the real question is: how far can this rally actually go? Let’s take a closer look, because this chart might reveal a lot more than you think!
Let’s go back in time — all the way to when gold was still in the early stages of its first major rally and reached the top around $890 in 1980.
If you zoom in a little bit, you can clearly see that once the RSI reached around 90 (showing an extreme overbought condition), gold entered a massive bear market, dropping nearly 60% — something almost nobody expected back then.
Now, of course, we can’t rely only on the RSI overbought signal to predict the current situation, but when we use the Fibonacci Trend-Based Tool and measure the rally from its beginning to the bottom of its correction — that’s when things get really interesting!
Look closely: the 0.618 Fibonacci level — also known as the golden ratio — actually predicted the next major top years before it even happened.
When price reached $1880 in 2011, the RSI again entered the overbought zone, and we saw another strong 45% correction right after that!
But what about now?
The RSI is again approaching the same zone, and price is very close to the 0.88 Fibonacci level.
So, what do you think?
Is this the end of the bull run and the right time to start taking profits?
Let’s talk about it in the comments — because in my opinion, we might be about to see another correction, at least down to the 0.618 level, which perfectly aligns with the previous all-time high for gold!
Gold’s Final Surge Before the Fall: The Herd Joins at the TopGold has rallied over 27% exactly as projected in the previous analysis
Now, the structure shows clear signs of exhaustion — price is approaching the end of wave 5, historically the stage where euphoria peaks and reversals are born.
Across the world, the crowd is piling into gold in a classic late-cycle buying frenzy. This kind of herd behavior — “everyone rushing to buy at once” — has always marked the final chapter of impulsive moves before major trend reversals.
The chart highlights potential trigger zones for the coming reversal:
Upper red dashed lines: triggers for aggressive traders
Lower red dashed lines: triggers for more conservative entries
Once those levels start breaking down, expect momentum to flip hard — and fast — signaling the beginning of a sharp corrective phase for gold.
GoldGold 🥇 | Comprehensive Technical Analysis - Setting a Significant Rejection Zone
Current Price: Around $4,353 | Timeframe: Daily - Weekly
Date: October 21, 2025
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📊 Overview On the Market:
Gold has completed an exceptional bullish cycle, reaching new all-time highs above 4,400, which I believe represents the local high for the current phase.
However, several technical factors now point to an imminent correction before any potential continuation.
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🔍 Key Technical Notes:
▪️ Price Zone:
The stock is currently trading in a bullish zone—an area where institutional investors historically tend to take profits and open short positions.
▪️ Market Sentiment:
Fear and Greed Index: 78/100 (Extreme Greed)
These extreme readings in bullish zones precede corrections in 85% of historical cases.
▪️ Structural Analysis:
- Overall Structure: Bullish (higher timeframes)
- Internal Structure: Showing signs of weakness and bearish divergence
- A potential Change in Personality (CHoCH) is forming on medium timeframes
▪️ Supply and Demand Zones:
Multiple untested resistance zones below, as well as unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets.
▪️ Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
Price is analyzed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, 1-day, 1-week, etc.) using advanced order flow techniques and proprietary market structure mapping tools—all of which point to a potential upcoming correction.
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🎯 Expected Scenario (High Probability):
Stage 1 - Initial Correction:
📍 Target 1: $3,777-$3,816
(Balance Zone)
📍 Target 2: $3,688-$3,749
(Discount Zone - Optimal Entry)
Stage 2 - Deeper Correction (Moderate Probability):
📍 Target 3: $3,465-$3,580
(Strong Institutional Demand - Buy Orders)
In addition to unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets.
Note: Additional Confirmation Required
After Reaching the Discount Zones:
The possibility of a continued uptrend exists, but is not currently highly likely. The situation will be reassessed upon reaching the demand zones.
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⚡ Why this analysis?
This analysis is based on:
✓ Advanced order flow analysis techniques
✓ Professional tools for mapping market structure
✓ Premium/Discount Zone Theory
✓ Detecting institutional order blocks
✓ Market sentiment analysis
✓ Liquidity level mapping
These are not traditional retail trading tools; they are institutional analysis techniques used by professional traders.
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📚 Previous Record:
Some may remember my previous analysis of gold in August 2023:
📌 Analysis for August 13 2023:
- Expectations: Rise from 1780
- Targets: 2500 → 2800 → Over 3800
- Result: ✅ 100% Success Rate
- Actual Movement: Reaching over 4400 (147% Profit)
- Update (April 2024): "Trade Closed at Target"
This analysis is based on the same institutional framework applied to this current situation. The methodology is effective because it tracks actual cash flow—not trader sentiment.
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⚠️ Risk Management (Mandatory):
Regardless of your confidence level, risk management is non-negotiable:
✓ Don't risk more than 1-2% of your capital on each trade.
✓ Always set a stop-loss before entering.
✓ Avoid excessive leverage.
✓ Maximize your profits. Steps
✓ Research yourself (DYOR)
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⚖️ Disclaimer:
This is educational technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
Trading carries a significant risk of capital loss.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trade at your own risk.
Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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💬 Share your opinion with us:
What do you think of gold at these levels?
📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like and follow it for more analysis.
🔔 Turn on notifications to receive updates as soon as this setting develops.
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Gold Price Outlook | Buyers Stay in Full ControlGold remains firmly positioned within its broader bullish trajectory, supported by consistent demand from both institutional and retail investors. The market has shown strong resilience, forming a well-defined higher-low structure, which reflects continued accumulation. Price action indicates that buyers are confidently stepping in after each controlled pullback, maintaining upward momentum.
The current market tone favors continuation toward the 4,180–4,250 range if momentum persists. Short-term retracements into the 4,070–4,090 area may offer new buying opportunities for position traders aligning with the prevailing trend. Macroeconomic factors such as ongoing inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and cautious monetary policy stance continue to underpin gold’s strength.
Gold is ready for #6,100.80 psychological mark extensionAfter excellent Profits realized on current Bull run, Gold (due Friday’s Profit taking from Short and Medium-term Investors) Gold delivered (# -2.00%) decline to cool down critically Overbought levels. Personally I haven’t Traded yesterday as I was Highly satisfied with my already made Profits (just few #10.00 Aggressive Scalps (Buy orders) cca #30.000€ Profits, not more). I expect Gold to find Bottom now, direct Support zone which will engage Long-term Buying extension towards #6,100.80 psychological benchmark extension. Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week.
Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense.
However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold.
The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases.
Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout
Resistance levels: 4350, 4380
Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280
Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold trading plan!!Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside.
Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400
SET UP GOLD PRICE:
SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443
TP1: $4425
TP2: $4412
TP3: $4400
BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271
TP1: $4285
TP2: $4298
TP3: $4310
Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
H4:
H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward.
H1:
H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully.
M15:
M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation.
🔹 2. Wave Structure
H4 timeframe:
The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple).
The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y.
Wave Y may develop in three possible forms:
Zigzag
5-wave impulsive
Triangle
👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A.
👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X.
H1 timeframe:
The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime.
M15 timeframe:
Used mainly for entry timing.
Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart.
🔹 3. Trading Plan
Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum)
Strategy:
Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones.
Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish).
Buy setup (if wave 4 completes):
Buy zone: 4193 – 4190
Stop loss: 4180
Take Profit: 4236
🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios
If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451.
If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
BEARS ARE IN CONTROL If you want a stress free and low risk sell wait for this current h1 candle in the sphere/ellipse to close below the rectangular block by 1pm or even 2pm UTC for the best entry because the real move is likely to start after 2pm so you will still not miss it, but is good to sell now or even if you entered earlier it's still good but it's best with low risk after 1pm especially after 2pm UTC
GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase.
The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040.
Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall to the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,168.43
1st Support: 4,108.32
1st Resistance: 4,242.14
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Trade Plan 17/10/2025( Looking for 10000 Pips Profit !!!!)Dear Traders,
Gold, influenced by geopolitical factors, has continued its bullish trend without any significant correction and is currently trading around 4300. In my opinion, from this point onward, we should follow a bearish scenario — the price is expected to enter a corrective phase by the end of October. The best zone for entering a long-term position would be between 4420–4475, with a target of at least 10,000 pips from the top. There’s also a high probability that the correction will begin before reaching this zone.
Invalidation Level : 4650 !
regards,
Alireza!
Gold Breaks New Records: Unstoppable Momentum ContinuesGold Breaks New Records: Unstoppable Momentum Continues
It was a big surprise that gold seems unstoppable and from all perspectives remains on the rise. I have not seen anything like this before in one of the most tradable assets.
All this upward momentum remains unclear. In my opinion, it is not related to the Federal Reserve or geopolitical issues, as we have heard this topic all this year and it has been evaluated millions of times. But this is the situation.
Technical Analysis:
Gold broke out to another important price level of 4200, thus showing a very strong upward momentum. Gold continues to mark a historical high.
Blue Scenario:
Gold also remains on the rise today. If it stays above the current support area of 4180, then it should continue to rise further to 4250 and 4300 for now.
Red Scenario:
If gold faces any profit, it could fall to a maximum of 4105 before moving up again.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Why I Didn’t Buy Gold in the Last Few WeeksI’ve been bullish on gold since the beginning of the year — expecting it to reach $3000, and in a very optimistic scenario, maybe even $3500. My previous posts are proof of that.
But I definitely wasn’t expecting $4000, and certainly not $4200, for one simple reason:
Some time ago, my crystal ball broke, and since then I’ve been trying to base my trades on technical analysis and what I’ve actually seen happen in the past — not on wishful thinking.
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When Price Doesn’t Correct, But You Still Profit Selling
Ever since gold hit the $3700–$3800 zone, I’ve been expecting a correction.
It never came.
Even so, I still made money selling against the trend — something I usually avoid and definitely don’t recommend anyone to do.
But this post isn’t about my trades. It’s about why I didn’t buy gold in the last two or three weeks.
And the answer is right there — on the chart.
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The Chart Tells the Truth
If you look closely, you’ll see yellow rectangles highlighting the sharp drops that happened during this period.
It’s easy to look at the chart after the fact and say:
“I should’ve bought there.”
But imagine you don’t see the right side of the chart.
You’re sitting in front of your screen, looking at the current price, trying to decide what to do.
And then — within minutes — gold drops 700-800 pips out of nowhere.
No signal. No alert on WhatsApp. No warning.
Where do you put your stop?
Do you trade without one?
Just because you know it will bounce?
And what if it doesn’t?
What if it drops another 1000 pips — the same way it just did — without even breathing?
That’s not trading. That’s hope disguised as confidence.
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This Is an Exercise in Honesty
This is an exercise in honesty with yourself — not after you’ve seen the chart.
How many of you would’ve stayed in a position that’s -500 pips, just because you “know” it will turn around?
Even now, right after I finished recording the video, it dropped another 500+ pips like it was nothing.
I’ve explained this a thousand times:
1. If a trade is not there, it’s not there. Period.
I don’t force it. I don’t FOMO.
2. A trade must have a clear entry, stop, target — and most importantly, a reason.
“Gold is rising, can’t you see?” is not a reason. It’s FOMO.
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If You Want to Be a Real Trader, Remember This
1. The market has two directions, even when it looks like it only has one.
2. In aggressive trends, even my cat becomes a great trader.
3. Every trade must have a clear reason. If it doesn’t, and you enter just because “it’s going up”, that’s FOMO — and we all saw what happened to crypto in 2021. People are still waiting for the mythical altcoin season, while some are still 70- 90% down on the bag
4. We’re all geniuses after seeing the chart: “should’ve bought there, closed there…”
5. The only real truth is in your equity — and mine is higher, even though I’ve been selling.
6. I can guarantee there are gold bulls reading this right now who lost money on long positions over the past month.
7. In the end, it all comes down to money management and timing.
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Conclusion:
Trading isn’t about being bullish or bearish.
It’s about being disciplined, timing and money management; the rest is can-can, and "I told you so"
P.S. Once again, I’m looking to sell — and if it works out like my last five trades, that’s perfectly fine with me.
At the club, they don’t ask whether I paid for my champagne with profits from buying or selling gold. 🍾
Next Move Possibilities, Can Gold move till 4300..Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is Flying at the All Time High (ATH). According to the gold structure it is strong bullish so it is possible that it can tested the below support areas. Gold can retest the support area around 4220/4208 and then it will fly further high.. In condition gold break support then it will reach the major support around 4185/4176.. Gold will fly till the first target 4260 and then will reach the second target around 4300..
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 4236
1stTarget 4260
2nd Target 4300
Support area 4220/4208
Major Support 4185/4176
Time is over. XAUUSDThey’ll tell you gold is going to $5,000 or $10,000, but the reality this week is different. The market was dominated by downward pressure on Friday, signaling that this bearish momentum could continue into next week. We may see a short retracement on Monday or Tuesday, followed by a potential drop toward $4,000.
This could be an opportunity to rotate capital from gold into cryptocurrencies, potentially creating some psychological pressure on the metals sector.
The “banana rally” has hit gold: nine consecutive weeks of gains historically precede corrections of 10–30% in the following weeks.






















