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Gold: First signs of a correction after a strong rallyHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) concept. For the past nine weeks, gold has been flying upward — and now we’re starting to see signs of a pause in growth or even the beginning of a correction. Friday’s candle showed very high volume, and this volume came from the seller side. A similar, though smaller, volume was seen on August 8. This could indicate that we may enter a correction or sideways phase. The range of the most recent buyer initiative on the daily timeframe is quite wide. Yesterday, the price came close to the 50% level of that initiative, but didn’t quite reach it. The key levels to watch for potential buys are: 50% level of the buyer initiative — 4162, upper boundary of the previous buyer initiative — 4059. By the way, on the weekly timeframe, last week’s trading volume was the highest since March 2022. All these signs point to a possible pause in growth. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Analysis and possible path of goldHi traders One-hour structure of gold: The structure of the one-hour time frame and above is still the bullish structure and the movement that can be imagined this week. The liquidity points and three resistance / support are marked on the chart. They are the market reaction points that can be triggered to enter at these levels in the lower time. The area of ​​4202 is the choch-hunt line that can act as a support pullback and even the main positive reaction can be formed from this area, but ideally the current bottom is collected once again and rises from one of the three supports below the bottom. Have a good week
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
How Smart Money Hunts Liquidity on Gold🔶 1. Understanding Liquidity in the Market Liquidity represents the orders resting above or below obvious price levels — mainly stop-losses and pending orders placed by retail traders. In simple terms, where you see equal highs, equal lows, or strong swing points, that’s where liquidity pools exist. On Gold (XAUUSD), because of its volatility, liquidity often accumulates near: Double tops or double bottoms. Previous day highs/lows. Fair value gaps (imbalances). Psychological round levels like $2300, $2350, $2400, etc. These zones attract both buyers and sellers — and that’s exactly where Smart Money (institutional traders) aims to act. 🔶 2. What Smart Money Actually Does Smart Money doesn’t follow retail moves — it creates them. When price consolidates and retail traders position themselves early, institutions push price beyond these zones to: Trigger retail stop losses. Fill their own large institutional orders at better prices. Remove weak hands from the market. This process is called a Liquidity Hunt or Stop Hunt. It’s not manipulation in a malicious sense — it’s simply how large players execute size efficiently in a decentralized market. 🔶 3. The Classic Gold Liquidity Hunt Pattern Let’s break down a typical Smart Money setup on XAUUSD: Step 1: Price builds equal highs (or equal lows) — retail traders see it as a breakout zone. Step 2: Institutions push price slightly beyond that area, creating a false breakout. Stop-losses of early traders are triggered — this is the liquidity grab. Step 3: Immediately after the sweep, structure shifts (Change of Character / CHoCH). This confirms that Smart Money has completed its collection phase and is now ready to move price in the intended direction. Step 4: Price often retraces back into the order block or fair value gap left behind by displacement. This is where the high-probability entry lies — the Smart Money entry point. 🔶 4. Why Gold (XAUUSD) Shows This So Clearly Gold is one of the most liquid and manipulated markets on the planet — ideal for studying Smart Money behavior. Because it trades heavily during London and New York sessions, liquidity is constantly generated and removed. This is why you’ll frequently see: Sudden spikes before major sessions open. Sharp sweeps before news events (CPI, NFP, FOMC). Rapid reversals after stop-hunts. Institutions use gold as a liquidity engine, often hunting both sides of the market before the real move. 🔶 5. How to Identify a Real Liquidity Hunt (Checklist) Use this professional checklist to train your eye: ✅ Look for equal highs/lows forming before the move. ✅ Wait for a stop-hunt candle — a long wick piercing liquidity zone. ✅ Confirm a market structure shift (MSS or CHoCH) in lower timeframe. ✅ Entry only after displacement and a clean retracement into an order block. Avoid reacting emotionally to every breakout — Smart Money uses time + patience to trick impulsive traders. 🔶 6. Practical Educational Example Suppose Gold forms equal highs at $2380 during the London session. Many retail traders place buy stops above $2380 expecting a breakout. Institutions see that as a liquidity pool. Price suddenly spikes to $2385, sweeps those buy stops, and then drops to $2360 — that’s your liquidity hunt. Once the structure shifts bearish after the sweep, Smart Money has filled sell orders at a premium — and the downtrend resumes. 🔶 7. Educational Takeaway Smart Money doesn’t predict — it reacts to liquidity. By understanding where traders are trapped, you align your trades with institutional flow instead of retail emotion. 📘 Key Principles: Trade after the liquidity grab, not before. Always wait for confirmation through structure shift. Focus on zones of interest, not random breakouts. Observe timing — most liquidity hunts occur during session opens or high-impact news. 💬 Final Note: Every chart tells a story — but only those who understand liquidity can read the true language of price. Study it, practice it, and you’ll see how Smart Money creates opportunity through manipulation and order flow. 📘 Follow me for more professional educational content on Smart Money, Liquidity, and Gold market behavior.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
GOLD - Signals That Gold is On The MoonGOLD Is now hitting the ultra long term 2.272 taking the pivots from the 1980 bear market. Long term does not mean high accuracy expected and it may well have a loose relationship with the eventual top. But its another signal that GOLD is very high. In addition, the month RSI is suddenly as high as its ever been since 1980. Soooo, its time for a cautious trader to take profit. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider that crypto is a dangerous market.
TVC:GOLDShort
by dRends35
1
XAUUSD - Long Term Bullish trend's Target has been achieved ?It so interesting to watch weekly candle time frames. As we could see that long term bullish trend has been started since 2015. It took 10 years until 2025. And as we can see at fibo extention, it has touch level 3 ( around 4300 level ). And we knew that last Friday price has been rejected at 4380 level. It's a hard rejection as price drop almost 2000 pips. Let see for a further movement as a bearish sign has been appeared. Have a blessing week a head !
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RogueXXX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum H4: H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward. H1: H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully. M15: M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation. 🔹 2. Wave Structure H4 timeframe: The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple). The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y. Wave Y may develop in three possible forms: Zigzag 5-wave impulsive Triangle 👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A. 👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X. H1 timeframe: The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime. M15 timeframe: Used mainly for entry timing. Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart. 🔹 3. Trading Plan Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum) Strategy: Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones. Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish). Buy setup (if wave 4 completes): Buy zone: 4193 – 4190 Stop loss: 4180 Take Profit: 4236 🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451. If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation - Breakout - Momentum TradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD recently made new all-time high inside a steep upward channel, maintaining strong bullish momentum. The structure suggests a healthy correction phase forming a short-term range above the 4,280 support zone. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline, the bullish structure remains intact with potential continuation toward 4,450 and higher. The ongoing range formation may serve as consolidation before the next impulsive breakout higher. ⚠️ Risks: A sustained break below 4,280 could trigger a deeper correction. Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed comments may weigh on gold prices. Reduced geopolitical tension could cool safe-haven demand. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
11
Maintain gold buying pressure above 4400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443 TP1: $4425 TP2: $4412 TP3: $4400 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271 TP1: $4285 TP2: $4298 TP3: $4310 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
5
GOLD – History Never Lies! Are We Close to Major Correction ?Hello Traders 🐺 As I expected, gold is now creating new all-time highs — but the real question is: how far can this rally actually go? Let’s take a closer look, because this chart might reveal a lot more than you think! Let’s go back in time — all the way to when gold was still in the early stages of its first major rally and reached the top around $890 in 1980. If you zoom in a little bit, you can clearly see that once the RSI reached around 90 (showing an extreme overbought condition), gold entered a massive bear market, dropping nearly 60% — something almost nobody expected back then. Now, of course, we can’t rely only on the RSI overbought signal to predict the current situation, but when we use the Fibonacci Trend-Based Tool and measure the rally from its beginning to the bottom of its correction — that’s when things get really interesting! Look closely: the 0.618 Fibonacci level — also known as the golden ratio — actually predicted the next major top years before it even happened. When price reached $1880 in 2011, the RSI again entered the overbought zone, and we saw another strong 45% correction right after that! But what about now? The RSI is again approaching the same zone, and price is very close to the 0.88 Fibonacci level. So, what do you think? Is this the end of the bull run and the right time to start taking profits? Let’s talk about it in the comments — because in my opinion, we might be about to see another correction, at least down to the 0.618 level, which perfectly aligns with the previous all-time high for gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kiu_Coin
Gold’s Final Surge Before the Fall: The Herd Joins at the TopGold has rallied over 27% exactly as projected in the previous analysis Now, the structure shows clear signs of exhaustion — price is approaching the end of wave 5, historically the stage where euphoria peaks and reversals are born. Across the world, the crowd is piling into gold in a classic late-cycle buying frenzy. This kind of herd behavior — “everyone rushing to buy at once” — has always marked the final chapter of impulsive moves before major trend reversals. The chart highlights potential trigger zones for the coming reversal: Upper red dashed lines: triggers for aggressive traders Lower red dashed lines: triggers for more conservative entries Once those levels start breaking down, expect momentum to flip hard — and fast — signaling the beginning of a sharp corrective phase for gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by mahdiomidi
GoldGold 🥇 | Comprehensive Technical Analysis - Setting a Significant Rejection Zone Current Price: Around $4,353 | Timeframe: Daily - Weekly Date: October 21, 2025 ══════ 📊 Overview On the Market: Gold has completed an exceptional bullish cycle, reaching new all-time highs above 4,400, which I believe represents the local high for the current phase. However, several technical factors now point to an imminent correction before any potential continuation. ══════ 🔍 Key Technical Notes: ▪️ Price Zone: The stock is currently trading in a bullish zone—an area where institutional investors historically tend to take profits and open short positions. ▪️ Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index: 78/100 (Extreme Greed) These extreme readings in bullish zones precede corrections in 85% of historical cases. ▪️ Structural Analysis: - Overall Structure: Bullish (higher timeframes) - Internal Structure: Showing signs of weakness and bearish divergence - A potential Change in Personality (CHoCH) is forming on medium timeframes ▪️ Supply and Demand Zones: Multiple untested resistance zones below, as well as unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. ▪️ Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Price is analyzed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, 1-day, 1-week, etc.) using advanced order flow techniques and proprietary market structure mapping tools—all of which point to a potential upcoming correction. ══════ 🎯 Expected Scenario (High Probability): Stage 1 - Initial Correction: 📍 Target 1: $3,777-$3,816 (Balance Zone) 📍 Target 2: $3,688-$3,749 (Discount Zone - Optimal Entry) Stage 2 - Deeper Correction (Moderate Probability): 📍 Target 3: $3,465-$3,580 (Strong Institutional Demand - Buy Orders) In addition to unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. Note: Additional Confirmation Required After Reaching the Discount Zones: The possibility of a continued uptrend exists, but is not currently highly likely. The situation will be reassessed upon reaching the demand zones. ══════ ⚡ Why this analysis? This analysis is based on: ✓ Advanced order flow analysis techniques ✓ Professional tools for mapping market structure ✓ Premium/Discount Zone Theory ✓ Detecting institutional order blocks ✓ Market sentiment analysis ✓ Liquidity level mapping These are not traditional retail trading tools; they are institutional analysis techniques used by professional traders. ═════ 📚 Previous Record: Some may remember my previous analysis of gold in August 2023: 📌 Analysis for August 13 2023: - Expectations: Rise from 1780 - Targets: 2500 → 2800 → Over 3800 - Result: ✅ 100% Success Rate - Actual Movement: Reaching over 4400 (147% Profit) - Update (April 2024): "Trade Closed at Target" This analysis is based on the same institutional framework applied to this current situation. The methodology is effective because it tracks actual cash flow—not trader sentiment. ═════ ═════ ⚠️ Risk Management (Mandatory): Regardless of your confidence level, risk management is non-negotiable: ✓ Don't risk more than 1-2% of your capital on each trade. ✓ Always set a stop-loss before entering. ✓ Avoid excessive leverage. ✓ Maximize your profits. Steps ✓ Research yourself (DYOR) ══════════════════════════════════════ ═════ ⚖️ Disclaimer: This is educational technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading carries a significant risk of capital loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ══════ 💬 Share your opinion with us: What do you think of gold at these levels? 📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like and follow it for more analysis. 🔔 Turn on notifications to receive updates as soon as this setting develops. ═════
TVC:GOLD
by jewelllc
Gold Price Outlook | Buyers Stay in Full ControlGold remains firmly positioned within its broader bullish trajectory, supported by consistent demand from both institutional and retail investors. The market has shown strong resilience, forming a well-defined higher-low structure, which reflects continued accumulation. Price action indicates that buyers are confidently stepping in after each controlled pullback, maintaining upward momentum. The current market tone favors continuation toward the 4,180–4,250 range if momentum persists. Short-term retracements into the 4,070–4,090 area may offer new buying opportunities for position traders aligning with the prevailing trend. Macroeconomic factors such as ongoing inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and cautious monetary policy stance continue to underpin gold’s strength.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
GOLD → Positive backdrop. Consolidation before growth?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a shake-down in the Asian and Pacific sessions. The price hit a new low of 4278, but bulls are aggressively buying up two liquidations (manipulation?). The metal is preparing for its ninth consecutive week in positive territory, with an 8% increase over the week. Key drivers: Fed members confirmed their readiness to cut rates in October and pointed to risks for the labor market. The situation with the trade war between China and the US is still tense. However, negotiations between the presidents of three countries on the conflict in Eastern Europe have raised hopes for de-escalation, which has temporarily reduced demand for defensive assets. The shutdown continues, which supports the price of gold. The correction in gold is a temporary pause, and any decline will be used for purchases. Technically, the focus is on the global trading range of 4280-4380, with consolidation within 4350-4330. A breakout of the accumulation zone could trigger a move in the direction of the breakout Resistance levels: 4350, 4380 Support levels: 4320, 4300, 4280 Technically, before rising, the price may test the liquidity zone located below the specified support zones. However, it is also worth watching the 4350 trigger—a breakout of resistance and a close above this level could trigger continued growth within the current bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
Gold trading plan!!Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds toward record highs after an earlier dip to the $4,280 zone, poised to close its ninth straight week in positive territory. Persistent geopolitical risks, renewed US-China trade tensions, and the prolonged US government shutdown keep investors cautious, driving safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, dovish Federal Reserve expectations—with markets pricing in two more rate cuts this year—continue to weigh on the US Dollar and bolster the yellow metal. Despite overbought conditions, steady dip-buying suggests the path of least resistance for Gold remains to the upside. Gold price has almost no significant selling pressure, huge fomo market for strong uptrend above 4400 SET UP GOLD PRICE: SELL GOLD zone: 4436 - 4438 SL 4443 TP1: $4425 TP2: $4412 TP3: $4400 BUY GOLD zone: $4278-$4276 SL $4271 TP1: $4285 TP2: $4298 TP3: $4310 Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Miracle-Victo
Time is over. XAUUSDThey’ll tell you gold is going to $5,000 or $10,000, but the reality this week is different. The market was dominated by downward pressure on Friday, signaling that this bearish momentum could continue into next week. We may see a short retracement on Monday or Tuesday, followed by a potential drop toward $4,000. This could be an opportunity to rotate capital from gold into cryptocurrencies, potentially creating some psychological pressure on the metals sector. The “banana rally” has hit gold: nine consecutive weeks of gains historically precede corrections of 10–30% in the following weeks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SGsauragestion
2
GOLD - BEARS PREPARING FOR THE NEXT MOVEGold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase. The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040. Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sherrynjoto