Gold ready for retest ath 4380Gold (XAU/USD) showing bullish reaction from the support trendline. The circled candle indicates buyer strength, suggesting a possible recovery toward 4279–4380 resistance levels.
Support Trend Line:
Shows long-term bullish structure — price respecting the ascending trendline.
Support Zone (4181 – 4253):
Key demand area where buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
4279 Level:
Immediate resistance; a breakout above could confirm short-term bullish momentum.
4313 Level:
Next resistance target after 4279; possible area for partial profit-taking.
4380 Level (ATH Retest):
Major resistance zone — potential final target if bullish move continues.
Indicates buyer reaction at the trendline, signaling possible reversal toward 4279.
Trade ideas
GOLD Short-Term Pullback 🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders)
(Last update: September 23, 2025 – data not refreshed due to the CFTC shutdown)
Gold (COMEX)
Non-commercial longs: 332,808 (+6,030)
Non-commercial shorts: 66,059 (+5,691)
→ The latest available data (outdated) showed an increase in both positions, with a stronger rise on the long side — indicating institutional accumulation in late September ahead of the October rally.
Although outdated, the COT report still reflects a mildly bullish structure, but no longer captures the current market dynamics after recent volatility.
🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning)
58% long / 42% short
📌 Retail traders remain moderately long on gold. This supports a short-term contrarian bearish bias, aligning with the ongoing corrective move in price.
🔹 Seasonality
Historically, October and November tend to be statistically bullish months for gold, with average gains between +2% and +4% over 10–20-year periods.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: the context remains bullish on a seasonal basis, with potential for recovery once the current correction stabilizes.
🔹 Price Action
After the strong bullish impulse that pushed XAU/USD into the 4,350–4,400 area, price entered a phase of consolidation/distribution.
Current structure shows:
Key resistance: 4,250–4,300
Main demand zone: 3,950–3,900
RSI remains neutral but continues to lose momentum, consistent with a possible minor bearish leg before a new bullish wave.
🎯 Main Scenario:
Expecting a continuation of the corrective phase toward 3,950–3,900, aligning with the daily demand area and a likely institutional reaccumulation zone.
From there, a potential bullish resumption could emerge within November’s seasonal strength.
⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 3,850, which would compromise the medium-term bullish structure.
Gold Likely to Rise FurtherPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD is demonstrating a well-structured movement within an ascending channel, where each price bounce is well-controlled, and every retracement follows a consistent pattern. The strength of the buyers is becoming increasingly evident, with technical dynamics becoming more organized and fluid.
After breaking through a key resistance level, the price is now retesting this level. If this level holds as solid support, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards 4,500, which serves as the natural target aligned with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
As long as the price remains above this support level, the upward trend will continue. However, if the price fails to hold and drops below this level, the trend structure will be at risk, and the likelihood of a technical correction towards the lower boundary of the channel will increase.
In this well-organized market condition, consistency and discipline in analysis are crucial. Carefully identify key points, wait for strong confirmation, and allow the trend to move in the predetermined direction.
XAUUSD – Bullish Trend Remains DominantHello everyone,
Gold has made an impressive breakout, doubling in value over the past two years, and is now approaching the 4,400 USD/ounce level. However, this also raises concerns about the potential formation of a speculative bubble, which could lead to a market collapse similar to previous gold investment frenzies.
Nevertheless, the current uptrend is still supported by strong macroeconomic factors. Expectations for continued US rate cuts and the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid political instability in the US continue to push gold prices higher.
Additionally, on October 20th, gold surged due to the instability created by the US government shutdown, prompting investors to turn to gold as a value-preserving asset while awaiting US-China trade negotiations and upcoming inflation data from the US.
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD is moving strongly within an ascending channel, currently trading around 4,345 USD, near the previous highs.
The key support is at 4,240 USD – if the price adjusts back to this level and holds, the uptrend will likely continue.
Short-term targets: 4,430 USD (TP1) and 4,500 USD (TP2).
RSI indicates strong bullish momentum with no signs of reversal.
Conclusion
With favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong technical trends, gold maintains its bullish trajectory. Minor pullbacks may provide buying opportunities with a target at the 4,500 USD region.
Gold price accumulation - sideways range⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week slightly lower but holds above Friday’s low during the Asian session. Easing US-China trade tensions lift risk appetite and weigh on the safe-haven metal, as reflected in stronger global equities. Still, dovish Fed expectations and a softer US Dollar help limit further losses.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The US and ASEAN weekend tariff policy has a negative impact on gold prices, mainly accumulating buying power waiting for interest rate cuts.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4236 - 4238 SL 4243
TP1: $4220
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4185
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3987 - 3985 SL 3980
TP1: $3998
TP2: $4010
TP3: $4030
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
🆚Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Bearish Reversal 4062
☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs
☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open
☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified
☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above
☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance
☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
🚀 Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction.
🚀 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal drawdown.
Goal: Controlled Both Sides with minimal drawdown
★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned)
XAUUSD- Is the Correction Really Over?Yesterday, after revisiting the 4,000 support zone as expected and explained in my previous analysis, Gold bounced strongly and tested the area above 4,100.
That rally delivered around 800 pips profit on my long trade, and now the market is showing a mild pullback, consolidating around 4,085.
The key question now:
Is the overall correction over, or is there still more to unfold?
From a technical perspective, as long as 4,000 remains intact, Gold retains its bullish potential toward the 4,200 resistance zone.
However, I prefer to stay patient at the moment — being flat at the time of writing — and will wait for a potential dip toward 4,050 or slightly below.
If the price shows a positive reaction in that area, I’ll consider re-entering long positions.
Upside targets:
• First: 4,150
• Second: 4,200
Keeping a positive risk-reward balance remains the main priority.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Pullback From Record HighsThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD market continues to navigate through considerable volatility as it pulls back from the recent spike that tested zone below the $4,400 resistance zone. After achieving a new all-time high, the metal is now experiencing natural selling pressure and technical correction, bringing some gravitational force into the equation. Despite this near-term weakness, the underlying trend structure remains constructively bullish, suggesting any substantial decline could present attractive entry opportunities for those seeking value.
The technical landscape reveals gold trading within a well-defined upward channel that has guided the rally since late September. The recent rejection from resistance has brought price action back toward the mid-channel area around $4,200, which aligns with the previous Monday high below and represents a crucial inflection, optimal entry point. The triangle pattern that formed during the consolidation phase earlier in the trend provided the springboard for the explosive breakout, and now the market may repeat this pattern, creating continuation formation.
The key support zone sits at $4,130-$4,135, and holding above this level would keep the bullish structure intact for another potential test of $4,400 and beyond toward the $4,500 projection zone. However, failure to hold could trigger deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary near $4,000 or even the stronger support at $3,730-$3,780, which would actually offer more compelling risk-reward for strategic accumulation. The coming week will clarify whether this represents healthy digestion or something more corrective in nature.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAU/USD (GOLD) Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern Bullish Analysis📈 #XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Update 💰✨
Bullish momentum building on the 1H timeframe with an Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout above the 4115 neckline! 🚀
🎯Breakout Level: 4115
💪Pattern: Inverse H&S — bullish continuation
Technical Targets:
TP1, 4156
TP2, 4202
TP3, 4375
As long as price holds above 4115, bias remains bullish 🟢
Keep an eye on volume confirmation and potential retest zones before the next leg up! 🔍
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading
GOLD - Stop Trading Gold For NowGOLD - Stop Trading Gold For Now
For now, stay away from gold. I just see that something strange is happening and the reason is just some manipulation and nothing more.
Below is what I am reading, but it doesn't make sense:
💬A thaw in US-China trade relations has kind of pulled the rug out from under the gold price due to a drop in safe-haven buying flows,"
I would suggest to stay away from gold for a while and see what happens first.
⚠️It could be a bull trap and it could fall lower or it could be a bear trap and it could rise aggressively again. It's all happening for no apparent reason.
For the time being gold is positioned like it can drop more but I don't believe it too much
At the moment we have no confirmation on how it could take shape but it is back around a strong area and the psychological price is 3900 - 4000.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 61.8% Fibo of 4265.Dear colleagues, in the new forecast the idea remains the same - the upward momentum (12345) is not yet complete.
At the moment I see the end of the formation of the corrective wave “4” at the level of 4000, as stated earlier, and the beginning of the upward movement in wave “5”.
I do not want to set distant targets, because their achievement may take time, so let's start small - the nearest target is the resistance area at 4265 - the area beyond the 61.8% level of wave “4”. I think that this is the nearest target that we should expect.
Fundamental context
Earlier this week, gold experienced a sharp pull-back after its recent record highs. Nothing to panic about — it’s simply a technical correction: investors are taking profits after a rapid and extended rally. Key drivers like central bank buying and lower rate expectations remain intact, so the broader bullish story is still alive. In fact, this brief dip may offer a better entry point before the next leg up.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.Gold is actively rising and I believe that before the impulse ends we should see the correction that many are expecting.
As of today, I see the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the approaching start of the correction in wave “4”. It makes no sense to put any distant plans in the correction and I think that the support area of 4040 looks quite attractive.
Fundamental context
Gold continues its rally and recently broke new highs, fueled by expectations of U.S. rate cuts, global uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Central banks are still actively increasing their gold reserves — this structural demand adds support even if price pullbacks occur.
Supply growth is modest — mining output is constrained, and recycling of gold is not enough, which limits the downward pressure on prices.
Given this backdrop, the chance of a correction rises as momentum stretches — but the underlying fundamentals remain favorable for further upside once the correction completes.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD Finally Made Reversal Pattern , Short Setup To Get 400 PipsHere is my 4H Chart On GOLD , And finally the chart made a reversal pattern The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( double top) and the price made a very good bearish price action now from good res area so we can enter a sell trade after the price back to retest the neckline to can use a small stop loss and targeting 200 to 400 pips , this is a good bearish movement after this massive movement to upside without any correction , so we will sell this pair for the next weeks .
Gold/Copper Signaling Recession & Market Super bubble!We're continuing to see extreme signals from Gold, and that should raise concerns.
Earlier, I highlighted the Gold/Oil ratio — now, I want to draw your attention to the Gold/Copper ratio:
🔗
Historically, such extreme readings in the Gold/Copper ratio have consistently preceded recessions. The only exception? A period of economic stagnation and sideways markets — not exactly a bullish outcome. See the chart from 2014 to 2016
🔗 www.tradingview.com
Quick recap:
Gold = Fear + Inflation hedge
Copper = Economic strength + Inflation signal
Oil = Similar to Copper; reflects growth and inflation expectations
These divergences aren't random — they’re warning signs of a recession & market Super Bubble that's about to POP!
These are not random fluctuations of prices. You can choose to view them as such. I get it. But from a macroeconomic perspective, this is bad JUJU!
Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell! Remember that!
Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure.
The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday)
Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105
Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110
Target 1: 4050
Target 2: 3980
Stop Loss: 4135
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
⚙️ Technical Indicators
Trendline Resistance: 4115
Support Zone: 4050 / 3980
Momentum: Bearish bias
Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance
💬 Analyst View
Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially.
If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A fantastic start to the week with price following and the indicator levels on the dip before resuming the move upside into the regions we wanted. We did say yesterday that the move on Friday was a little suspicions and we had a feeling they would correct the move this week, little did we know it would happen in one day.
We have now broken above the level after updating traders suggesting scalps only for the short from the hotspot, which worked well but we're a little stretched now. Support here is way down at the 4310-6 level and resistance stands at 4355 which is where we may get a potential RIP back into support before further advances in price.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 4230
Bearish below 4220
RED BOXES:
Break above 4255 for 4265✅, 4270✅, 4284✅ and 4304✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4237 for 4230, 4220, 4210, 4206, 4185 and 4177 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold prices begin to recover, big fluctuations⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drops below $4,100 in Wednesday’s Asian session, extending its sharpest selloff in over a decade as traders lock in profits after a nine-week record-breaking rally. Easing US-China trade tensions ahead of the November 1 tariff deadline further dampen safe-haven demand.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Currently, the gold price fluctuates greatly and moves quickly. There are signs of recovery and retreat to the resistance zone around 4235.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4235 - 4237 SL 4242
TP1: $4222
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4170
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Support Zone: Short Term Upside MoveOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the weekly support area near 3,880, suggesting a short-term bullish impulse might be formed within the downward channel. Price action now moved below the 4,050, which aligns with prior breakdown structure and acts as a potential resistance level. As long as price sustains above 3,880, buyers may push toward 4,050 before meeting stronger resistance. Potential rejection near the lower channel boundary may hint at a corrective recovery phase gaining traction.
⚠️ Risks:
Federal Funds Rate decision on could reignite bearish momentum.
Rising Treasury yields may suppress gold’s short-term recovery potential.
Failure to hold above 3,880 would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has seen a sharp and powerful rally over the past few weeks and continues to trade in a bullish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are still no major signs of weakness, as macro factors continue to support gold’s long-term uptrend.
However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term correction appears increasingly likely.
On the 4-hour chart, gold has recently broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
If price pulls back to retest the broken trendline and then breaks below the 4180 support level, we could see a deeper move toward the next support zone.
Volatility in gold has been extremely high in recent days, with sharp intraday swings.
It’s advisable to avoid aggressive entries at the moment and wait for clearer confirmation signals before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD | Correction of the Corrective ImpulseThe Market Flow | Oct 26, 2025
Technical Overview
Monthly/Weekly:
• Both remain in structural expansion phases following a strong higher-timeframe impulse.
• Bias continues long above prior pivots, maintaining bullish structure despite current mid-term correction.
Daily:
• Broke the previous valley (daily pivot) and reached the daily breakout zone at 4040.20 .
• This defines the ongoing corrective impulse against the dominant bullish trend.
• Price is attempting to correct that impulse, forming a counter-correction structure beneath resistance.
H4/H1:
• Local wave structure is consolidating after a multi-leg retracement.
• The corrective move remains contained between the H4 pivot 4060.68 and EXP 4129.14 .
• The green EXP level at 4129.14 represents a clean, untested M15 breakdown —the active long trigger .
• Targets align with H1 Fibonacci 138.2–161.8% and the correction 61.8% retracement zone near 4204–4246 .
• Momentum fading below the EXP would imply continuation within the corrective leg.
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 4060.68
• Trigger = Break and sustained hold above 4129.14 (M15 EXP)
• Primary Invalidation = 4060.68 (H4 pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 4054.68 (H1 pivot)
• Path → 4129 → 4204 → 4239 → 4246
• Phase: Counter-corrective advance within a higher-timeframe expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Low probability structure as it represents a correction of the corrective impulse.
• Watch intraday reactions at the M15 expansion level—failure to confirm beyond it keeps bias neutral.
• Volatility expected around USD macro data.
Conclusion
XAUUSD is attempting a minor counter-correction within a broader corrective phase. The M15 expansion level at 4129.14 is the structural trigger for continuation toward 4204–4246, but the move remains fragile as long as price trades below the daily breakout pivot.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Interesting open on the markets with gaps all over the place. Gold managed to break below on the open then continuing to complete not only the red box targets but our Algo target as well. We would have liked higher to get in on this move, ideally we wanted 4055 during the NY Session but it wasn't to be. The move commenced and those that got in managed to bag themselves a decent trade short.
For now, due to another stretch on buyers, we would like to see where we close today. We have circled the potential play with a swing high looking like it will attempt the 4030 level while the red box below will need to break in order to continue to our long awaited target below.
As always, trade safe.
KOG






















