XAUUSD IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE THE CORRECTION DOWNXAUUSD is in a Multiyear high expect the momentum until the end of the year in the Long term but it is Due for a Correction on the Weekly before the Final Target 4200 or even 4380 before this Uptrend is over. Currently we expect the market to start it's Correction Down before 3650/3735/3780 levels and the Correction Down should happen some where near Sep18 after the FOMC Interest Rate Decision is out. The Correction Down should happen towards 3500/3450 after which we will see the Final push towards 4200.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
GOLD analysis in time frame 4h
🔹 If price trades above 3595:
• The trend will likely continue upward toward the resistance level at 3630.
• A breakout above 3630 and holding above it (on the 4-hour or 1-hour candle) would confirm a continuation upward toward 3680.
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🔹 If price fails and breaks below 3595:
• The trend will likely move downward toward the support level at 3560.
• This support is strong, but if it is broken, the trend may fully shift into a deeper decline.
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📌 In short:
• Above 3595 → bullish trend (targets 3630 → 3680).
• Below 3595 → bearish trend (targets 3560 → further downside).
Gold- trading idea Gold is still in a strong bullish trend, but I expect a short-term pullback before the next leg higher.
I’ll be watching two support levels for possible buy entries:
• First buy zone: 3578.375
• Deeper buy zone: 3557.780
From these areas, I’m looking for a bounce toward 3600 – 3640.
If price breaks below 3530, I’ll reconsider the setup.
Nonfarm Disappoints, Gold Surges Strongly!Hello traders. Yesterday, gold staged an impressive breakout, climbing more than 400 pips . This was a clear market reaction to weak U.S. economic data, putting pressure on the dollar and driving strong safe-haven flows into gold.
The Nonfarm Employment Change report showed only 22K new jobs, compared to a forecast of 75K and a previous reading of 79K . This figure, far below expectations, immediately weighed on the U.S. dollar.
In addition, the unemployment rate rose from 4.2% to 4.3% , further strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates sooner. With a weaker USD and growing prospects of monetary easing, gold – as a safe-haven asset – quickly benefited , becoming the preferred choice for investors.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart continues to hold within a clear ascending channel. Price has already moved above the immediate support at 3,536 and is now heading toward the psychological resistance at 3,700 . Both EMA34 and EMA89 are pointing upward, confirming that the primary trend remains bullish. Recent pullbacks appear to be mere pauses rather than any structural break in the uptrend.
All in all, with disappointing U.S. labor data and monetary policy leaning toward easing , gold has likely entered a new bullish wave.
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.
News Summary:
The market awaits the revised annual non-farm payroll data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to be released on September 9th.
Several institutions predict that this revision will significantly reduce employment growth.
A significant downward revision to employment growth will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease policy.
Summary: This revised data may further reinforce market expectations of rate cuts, providing additional support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices are currently forming an ascending triangle pattern that is converging and accelerating upward.
Currently, key trend support levels are: 3580-3600.
Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are expected to continue their upward trend this week, with a high probability of breaking through the 3700 mark.
Buying at low prices remains the most stable way to profit in day trading.
Next, we will review several key points to note.
1: As long as the gold price is above $3600, it should be considered a strong bullish trend.
2: As long as the gold price is above $3,500, the trend will not reverse to a bearish one and can only be considered bullish within a wide range.
3: The current intraday trading strategy is to buy on dips.
4: Current resistance levels: 3,660-3,680, breakout target: 3,700+.
5: Current support levels: 3,640, 3,620, 3,615, 3,600, 3,580 (use these support levels to enter long positions and set stop-loss orders).
6: As gold prices accelerate, vigilance is crucial. The risk of a potential waterfall-like market correction is increasing.
The possibility of a significant range-bound correction is inevitable, so risk management must be carefully considered when trading intraday.
Summary: The gold market has shown strong bullish characteristics during this period, with both technical and news factors supporting further price increases.
Short-term traders: We recommend a buy-on-retracement strategy, focusing on the $3,625-3,600 support area. As long as gold prices retreat to support levels of 3600 or 3585 and stabilize, it's time to follow the upward trend.
On the upside, focus on the resistance levels of 3650-3660 in the short term.
Medium-term investors can build positions in batches, gradually increasing their positions as gold prices retreat to key support levels.
Looking ahead, we expect gold prices to rise towards $3700/oz, $3750/oz, and even $3800/oz.
Medium-term investors can keep an eye on these target levels.
GOLD TRADE SETUP CHECK NOW📉 GOLD TRADE IDEA (XAUUSD)
🔎 Based on technical analysis, I’m watching this buy zone:
Potential Entry Zone: 3,634 – 3,628
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss): 3,627
Target Zones (TPs):
✔️ TP1 – 3,643
✔️ TP2 – 3,654
✔️ TP3 – 3,667
💡 This is just my personal view based on chart structure & price action. Always manage risk properly.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradeIdea
Gold 1H Outlook | Key Levels to Watch – 3595 | 3625 | 3470OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is trading near 3594 after a strong bullish move. On the 1-hour chart, price has been following a rising trendline which shows that buyers are still active.
Here’s what matters for traders today:
🔹 Key Support Levels:
3560 → intraday support where buyers are stepping in.
3525 → major structural support + trendline confluence.
🔹 Resistance Zones:
3595 → first resistance, market is already reacting here.
3625 → next upside objective if buyers stay in control.
📌 Bias:
As long as price holds above 3525, gold remains bullish. Upside path: 3595 → 3625.
A confirmed break below 3525 would mean a shift in structure. In that case, sellers may push price towards 3470.
XAUUSD BREAKDOWN.The price broke our 1h timeframe bullish Channel showing bearish signs.
A break below Support and retest might push the price to 3600 level but A break above the resistance and retest might push the price to 3700 level since we have a bullish pattern inside our channel.
The market might push the price upwards and break above the resistance since the market is expecting Fed rate cuts on 17th September. ( Wait and see approach )
GOLD secondsGOLD seconds - 09/06/2025
Storing and publishing a **GOLD/USD seconds replay** involves capturing raw tick or second-by-second price data for the XAU/USD market and preserving it in a reliable, timestamped format. Each data point typically includes the precise UTC time, bid/ask prices, and possibly trade volume, ensuring that every movement in gold’s valuation against the U.S. dollar is traceable and reproducible. To maintain integrity, the replay should be archived in a secure, append-only system (such as a time-series database or immutable log) and accompanied by cryptographic hashes or digital signatures. This ensures that no alterations can be made to historical data without detection, allowing the replay to serve as a trusted audit trail.
Publishing this replay allows external parties to verify timing and price behavior independently. By making the dataset accessible through standardized formats (e.g., CSV, JSON, or API feeds) and aligning it with trusted time sources such as NTP or GPS-synchronized clocks, researchers, traders, and auditors can validate market events with precision. Public availability not only promotes transparency but also enables reproducible analysis of strategies, compliance checks, and forensic market investigations, ensuring that all participants are working from a consistent, verifiable timeline of gold price movements.
XAUUSD GOLD OUTLOOK CHART ANALYSIS Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook
Gold has been trading within an ascending channel, but recent price action suggests weakening bullish momentum near the resistance level around $3,680 – $3,700.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Price rejected resistance and is showing signs of bearish momentum.
• A breakdown below the channel could open the way to the first support near $3,600.
• If selling pressure continues, the next downside target is $3,500.
📊 Trading Plan:
• Bearish Bias below $3,680.
• Watch for confirmation on the break of $3,600.
• Short-term traders may look for selling opportunities toward $3,500.
• A sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
⚠️ Risk management is key – always use stop losses and adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance
PLAN XAUUSD 09 Sep, 2025✅Related Information:!!!
🎗️ USD continues its downtrend after a brief rebound in Asian trading on Monday, currently at its lowest level in seven weeks against six major currencies.
🎗️There is speculation that the Fed may deliver more than two rate cuts this year. However, attention now shifts to the revision of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, scheduled to be released later in the day, which will cover the period from April 2024 to March 2025.
✅Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3642 zone
Gold Price Action: Liquidity Sweep & Bullish ContinuationThis is a 30-minute chart for Gold (XAU/USD) with a smart money concept (SMC) analysis. Here's a short breakdown:
🔍 Key Analysis:
Sweep Liquidity (Highlighted Area):
Price previously swept liquidity above recent highs, indicating a stop-hunt or liquidity grab before reversing.
Current Market Structure:
Strong bullish impulse move upwards.
Followed by a retracement (small bearish candle) indicating potential pullback in play.
OB M30 (Order Block - 30 Min):
Marked as a demand zone.
Price is expected to retrace into this OB area (around 3,550–3,560) before a continuation upward.
Projected Path:
Blue arrows suggest price may dip to the OB, gather demand, then rally back up toward the ATH (All-Time High) zone at 3,597.451.
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
Sweep + OB Combo is a typical SMC setup for a long position.
If price respects the OB zone, there's a high probability of continuation to new highs.
✅ Bias: Bullish
Entry idea: Look for long setups near OB M30 zone (3,550–3,560), targeting ATH and beyond.
Let me know if you want risk-reward details or stop loss/entry suggestions
DeGRAM | GOLD is correcting📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD failed to sustain above 3,558 after a brief breakout, with rejection confirming resistance and signaling renewed bearish pressure.
● The ascending wedge structure broke to the downside, and a retest of 3,550 could lead to a drop toward supports at 3,540 and 3,527.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Renewed strength in the US dollar, supported by firm Treasury yields and cautious Fed rhetoric, is weighing on gold, limiting upside momentum.
✨ Summary
Bearish below 3,558; targets 3,540 → 3,527. Invalidation on a close above 3,560.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
$GOLD: Projections of Compression & Release 🏛️ Research Notes
Price is at fib boundary derived from its structure that covers growth patterns. Several attempts were taken place to push higher and ended up as lower highs.
Contraction of fractal cycles and amplitude.
Topologically, the compression to a point of proportional release in fibonacci proportions and scaling law 1:1 to original triangle would look like a cube. And let's limit for now with that horizon.
Probabilistic Filter - Another layer of fibonacci channels to inherit roughness of observed temporal pattern which then rhymes with extended series.
The longer the price fluctuates in these geometric boundaries, the more accurate the colors tend to reflect the outcome.
For measuring percentages of swings I used this modification of Zig Zag.
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone,
The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge.
My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone.
In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region.
What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
Gold: Shallow pullback, target remains 3.65xAfter the BLS labour revision, gold on the H1 chart went through a sharp two-way move. Normally this release isn’t a big market driver, but this year it acted as a strong catalyst, causing heavy swings.
The uptrend structure is still intact: price is holding along the Ichimoku edge, each higher low confirms buyers are active, and there’s an FVG layer supporting near 3.62x. If a stronger sell-off comes, 3.60x around the cloud body remains a familiar magnet for balance.
From the macro side, today’s US PPI and tomorrow’s CPI, alongside jobless claims and the ECB press conference, will be key. Softer data could weigh on yields and the dollar, giving gold the tailwind to retest 3.64x–3.65x, with possible extension to 3.66x–3.67x. On the contrary, hot data risks dragging the metal back to 3.62x or even 3.60x before resuming higher.
My bias still favours a shallow retracement as long as 3.60x holds. The 3.64x–3.65x band is the near-term lid: a firm candle close above strengthens the breakout case. Before the data, though, I’d rather wait for candle confirmation than chase intra-bar spikes.
What about you? Do you think gold will break above 3.65x in this move, or will it need another balance around 3.60x first? Share your view below.
Gold XAU$, 1M TF, 18/03/2023 and the Odyssey to $3600OANDA:XAUUSD The Gold Odyssey: From $1,983 to $3,600 and Beyond
Once upon a time on TradingView back on March 18, 2023 (1M TF), gold (XAUUSD) was trading at $1,983.68. That’s when the chart of destiny was drawn — A bull flag breakout projection 75.14% with a bold target of $3,600.
⏳ 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days later, the projection hit on 08/09/2025— the beautiful patience and the satisfaction of this hodl is overwhelming.
Back in Q1–Q2 of 2023, many traders like @day0 echoed the same view. This cart was posted on the TradingView Gold community room walls multiple time getting MODED🤑 which went on for months😉 "GOLD CARTEL"
The journey was both technical and emotional — the "disciples of the (HODL) discipline" brought satisfaction as the chart aligned with macro reality. While I did take 10% profit at \$3,600 for validation of this projection, well the narrative isn’t over — now the charts point toward $4,000.
📈 The Timeline of Gold’s Rally
🔹March 18, 2023 – The Trigger
Gold surged post the Silicon Valley Bank collapse and accelerated central bank buying, breaking decisively above $2,000/oz.
🔹 2024 – The Sustained Rally
Through persistent inflation, geopolitical flashpoints, and a weakening dollar, gold extended gains. By year-end, it reached around $2,690/oz (+31%).
🔹 April 2025 – Breaching History
Gold shattered the $3,500/oz barrier, fueled by " record central bank accumulation " 🪙 and " dollar fragility ", cementing its safe-haven role.
🔹 April 9, 2025 – The Spike
The biggest daily jump since 2023, a 3% surge driven by bond sell-offs and safe-haven demand.
🔹 September 8, 2025 – The Mark of $3,600
Gold reached fresh record highs at $3,526/oz, supported by a weakening dollar, dovish Fed expectations, and global instability. The climax: $3,600 achieved — bulls eye 🎯.
The Chart Came First (March 18, 2023)
Gold was trading at $1,983.
A bull flag breakout projection pointed to $3,600, based purely on technical structure — no headlines, no hindsight.
“Gold’s journey from $1,983 to $3,600 wasn’t foretold by headlines — it was written in the charts first.
Exactly — this is a textbook example of that famous trader’s maxim:
"Show me the charts, and I’ll tell you the news.”
(TA + Philosophy):
When I first charted gold at $1,983 in March 2023, the bull flag projected a trajectory toward $3,600. At that time, there was no Silicon Valley Bank collapse, no April 2025 breakout, no Fed policy pivot — just a chart whispering its truth. Fast-forward 2 years, 5 months, and 22 days, every piece of “news” that followed — inflation spikes, central bank hoarding, bond sell-offs, dollar weakness — merely played its role as fuel for a path the chart had already mapped. This is the essence of market psychology: technical encode the collective positioning and pressure before fundamentals are written into the headlines. The gold move isn’t just about price — it’s about patience, conviction, and the timeless charting.
"nerves of steel with a Rush of Gold✨"
💡 Reflection:
The gold chart wasn’t predicting the exact news events (SVB collapse, Fed stance, dollar weakness). Instead, it revealed the underlying accumulation and pressure that would need some catalyst to unlock — and when those catalysts arrived, price delivered.
So yes — this is a perfect case study of “show me the charts and I’ll tell you the news.”
Thanks for reading,
Thank you Trading View
🌟Note:
This was never just a chart — it was a story of patience, macro forces, and market psychology converging. From $1,983 to $3,600, the bull flag wasn’t just a pattern, it was a prophecy. Now, as gold eyes $4,000, the question isn’t "if", but "when"
Always DYOR,
Trade Safely
-See you on the other side-
-Jova A
I am pessimistic about gold.Gold describing a possible bearish setup in gold. Let me reframe your analysis more clearly Gold is trading inside an ascending channel A downside reaction has already started while most expected an upside breakout.
if gold breaks down from the ascending channel, it could extend the fall. You see 3620 → 3580 as the likely downside zones. This means you’re expecting the channel breakdown to confirm weakness, and those levels to act as the next supports.
i will request to all investor support me with like and comments.
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
Trading GOLD At All-Time Highs - 2 Methods for Profit TakingGold has broken out to all-time highs, leaving traders asking: “Where should I take profits when there’s no structure to target?”
In this video, I’ll walk you through two proven methods for setting profit targets when trading in uncharted territory:
🔹 Price Action & Technical Tools – measured moves, AB=CD patterns, Fibonacci extensions (127 & 1618), and wedge breakout projections.
🔹 Indicator-Based Exits – using RSI, stochastics, and volatility bands (Keltner Channels / Bollinger Bands) to identify exhaustion and exit signals.
You’ll learn:
✅ How to set profit targets without previous structure
✅ Why thinking like the “other trader” gives you an edge
✅ Why catching part of the move beats chasing the very top
If you have any questions or comments, please leave them below.
Akil