TSLA trade ideas
Tesla Short: Stop above $368, TP at $298In this video, I re-initiated the short idea for Tesla. Reason being that I observed that around $367-ish is an important price point (although I have no idea why). Also, the move up has been more corrective in nature (since I drew ABCDE). The move also resembles a rising wedge.
In any case, the most important point in this idea is the stop loss which should be set above $368. The ultimate Take Profit Target for me is $298 with a short-term target of $344.
Good Luck!
Tesla’s Breakout Test: Impulse or Fakeout?Tesla’s recent price action is stirring interest again, not just for retail traders but also for chart technicians who track Elliott Wave structures across global equities.
After a deep corrective phase that carried price down from 488.54 to 217.02 , Tesla has been carving out a multi-layered corrective structure. Here’s the breakdown:
Wave W completed into 217.02 , marking a sharp low.
This was followed by a complex X wave , which included an expanded flat where the B-wave unfolded as a triangle — a rare but valid corrective formation.
Wave Y then ended with a contracting triangle, neatly completing the W–X–Y correction near 297.82 .
From that point, Tesla appears to have begun an impulsive sequence:
Wave 1 and 2 are already visible, with the 297.82 low as the key invalidation level.
A decisive break and close above 367.71 would confirm the onset of Wave 3, targeting 397.38 (1.618× Wave 1).
Momentum is supporting the structure: RSI has reclaimed the 50 level, hinting at renewed strength.
What Next?
If the count holds, Tesla could be in the early stages of a larger impulsive rally, with Wave 1/A projecting toward the 400–420 zone . However, traders should remember that breaking below 297.82 invalidates the impulsive outlook and revives the broader corrective scenario.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
TSLA support $324.48 has to hold for longTSLA bounced off $35 range support this morning on 4 hour was oversold. Needs to hold $324.48 bottom of uptrend support to see wave 5 target of $426 otherwise the trade is no longer valid and will need to wait for another support and oversold condition to go long
Tesla - Forecast (Before and After)🕰 Weekly View
Price is holding above major support at 325–340 and pushing into weekly resistance around 420–440. The broader monthly trend points higher, with upside liquidity aligned toward the 500–520 zone.
📉 Daily Structure
Resistance: 420–440 supply zone.
Support: 325–340 demand zone, with a secondary base near 280.
Price has broken from a wedge formation and is now testing overhead supply, with potential to retest support before continuation.
⏱ 8H Breakdown
Tesla has been trending steadily upward off major support. Clean structure shows momentum building. A breakout and retest scenario could drive price toward 500+ targets, while failure at 420–440 could cause a pullback into 360–380 support.
🔎 Outlook
Scenario 1 → Retest support (360–380) before continuation higher.
Scenario 2 → Clean breakout above 440 accelerates into 500–520 zone.
Bias : Bullish continuation → mid-term target 500+.
TESLA's Make it or Break it WeekHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are taking another look at Tesla. Everyone knows what a beast this has been in the past, I am going to prep you on what to do when awakens.
As of today, we sit under the last strong seller before the 400's, breaking this and holding (a close above on a Friday) would make a strong case to test highs (minimum).
Overall, I still think there is a strong case for the downside, but this seller determines everything. This is due to the time we have been in the top of the range. So here are your two scenarios
Green Scenario
If Tesla can push through the strong seller zone (roughly 350–365) and actually close above it, then bulls would gain full control. That opens the door for a continuation move toward 400+.
If this happens, I will publish some trade ideas with a new chart.
Red Scenario
If This Seller continues to flush out these buyers, this could spark a large reaction to the downside. In that situation we would be looking for a move back into the big buyer zone around 290. A failure there could drag us all the way to the conservative trend line near 270.
Personally I lean short biased in the next 2-4 weeks, Very bullish over the next few years.
Hope you enjoyed, please DM or comment with questions or another stock you would like analyzed.
Happy Trading
@thecafetrader
My levels to chase $TSLA bull momentumInvestors are optimistic about potential Fed rate cuts and Tesla’s push into robotics and autonomous driving.
Tesla received a permit to begin testing autonomous vehicles on public roads in Nevada. This follows its limited robotaxi rollout in Austin and signals broader ambitions for nationwide autonomous ride-hailing services.
Elon Musk claims that “80% of Tesla’s value will be Optimus,” referring to its humanoid robot initiative. With EV growth slowing, Musk is pivoting Tesla’s narrative toward AI and robotics.
There are equal numbers of Tesla haters and lovers!
Long way to go - BEARISHNASDAQ:TSLA still has a long runway before robotaxis deliver meaningful revenue or global car sales improve (if at all). Lower rates are a prerequisite and execution from Musk remains critical. Despite the chatter, this is not a bullish breakout. It’s a large symmetrical triangle forming as we enter seasonally weak months, with global EV sales slowing, robotaxi rollout lagging, and ongoing political overhang.
TSLA has got the momentum ^.^Brother Elon is back on business. 1 trillion bonus Yummy!
Technicals are favor Tesla Stock,
Large Greenbar has broken out of resistance.
More investors are joining the rally, This may break previous highs.
Come and make some money.
Risk ? Don't worry about it because its 1 Trillion.
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry.
At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout.
I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward.
Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
TSLA $375 Call –Momentum + Options Flow Edge!
⚡ **TSLA 1‑Day Earnings/Weekly Scalp!**
📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-12
🎯 **Strike:** \$375 CALL
💵 **Entry:** \$1.38 (Ask)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.69 → strict 50%
📈 **Profit Target:** \$2.07 (\~+50%)
📊 **Confidence:** 70% (Moderate Bullish)
⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open
💎 **Why This Trade:**
* Multi-timeframe momentum bullish (daily RSI 70.4, weekly RSI 67.8)
* Institutional call flow C/P = 1.57 → strong directional skew
* Low VIX (14.9) supports call buying
* Balanced strike with high liquidity (OI 16,237)
* Quick scalp: exit by Thursday close — avoid Friday gamma crush
⚠️ **Key Risks:**
* 1 DTE → extreme gamma & theta decay
* Underlying volume moderate → pullbacks possible
* News can reverse the move rapidly
* Use **small position sizing** (1–3% max risk)
💡 **Execution Tips:**
* Use limit at ask (\$1.38) or slightly better for control
* Hard stop at \$0.69
* Scale out at \$2.07 or partial at \$1.80
* Monitor intraday VWAP & price action; abort if momentum stalls
🎯 **Quick Take:** Cheap, high-conviction 1-day scalp with defined risk & asymmetric upside. Fast in, fast out, gamma-aware trade.
TSLA Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025TSLA’s September map uses the same monthly bands. Expect faster moves and occasional overshoots; size accordingly.
30-minute for 2–3-day swings
Longs
Rejection at lower band: Buy back toward half-step; add on clean midline reclaim.
Acceptance + retest: Hold above a line and retest from the top → ride to next line.
Shorts (when price trades above lines)
Volatility fade: TSLA often overshoots the upper band. If a 30-min prints a wicky close back inside, short the fade.
- Targets: Nearest half-step, then midline.
- Stop: Above the overshoot high (give TSLA a bit of air).
UTAD-style failure: If TSLA holds above a band briefly but fails the retest (can’t sustain closes above, sellers reclaim), short on the first failed retest.
- Targets: Half-step → next line down.
- Invalidation: Clean 30-min close back above the failed line.
Management
Scale at each line; go flat if a 30-min close invalidates your level. Trail quickly after TP1—TSLA snaps.
1–3 hour for weekly swings
Bias
Acceptance above midline → continuation to the next band.
Rejection at upper band → path back to midline more likely.
Shorts
1–3h exhaustion above band: Bodies compress, momentum fades, then a close back inside → short toward the half-step/midline.
Break-and-fail sequence: Close above a band → lose it → retest from below fails → short continuation lower.
Risk: Stop just above the lost line; tighten on first target tag.
TSLA $352.50 Call—Capture Momentum Before Thursday!Here’s a **TradingView-friendly, viral-ready summary** for your TSLA weekly trade with punchy readability and attractive titles:
---
⚡ **TSLA Weekly Options Alert — Tactical Short-Duration Play**
**Directional View:** **Moderate Bullish** 💹
**Confidence:** 65%
**Trade Setup:**
* **Instrument:** TSLA
* **Strategy:** BUY CALL (single-leg)
* **Strike:** \$352.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (4 DTE)
* **Entry Price:** \$5.00
* **Entry Timing:** Market Open
* **Size:** 1 contract
**Targets & Risk:**
* **Profit Target:** \$8.00 (\~60%+ gain)
* **Stop Loss:** \$2.50 (\~50% loss)
* **Max Hold:** No later than Thursday close (avoid Friday gamma/theta)
**Why This Trade?**
✅ Options Flow: Call/Put skew 1.35 → institutional call concentration \$350–\$355
✅ Daily Momentum: RSI 58.5 rising → near-term bullish signal
✅ Volatility: Low VIX (\~15–16) → cheaper premium, supportive environment
✅ Strike & Liquidity: \$352.50 slightly OTM with strong OI (5,781)
**Key Risks:**
⚠️ Weak weekly volume (0.9x) → institutional confirmation limited
⚠️ Short DTE → high theta/gamma; strict stop mandatory
⚠️ Negative news/catalyst risk → potential gap or intraday pullback
⚠️ Bid/ask spreads → manage fills carefully
**Quick Takeaway:**
* Tactical, short-duration directional trade leveraging **options flow + daily momentum**
* Strict risk management: **50% stop + exit by Thursday**
* Not high-conviction (>75%) — suitable for **speculative, nimble traders**
**Alternate Strikes / Ideas:**
* None provided — \$352.50 balances premium and upside potential for this 4-DTE window
---
📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON for precision)**
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 352.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 8.00,
"stop_loss": 2.50,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 5.00,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-08 11:49:21 UTC-04:00"
}
```
TSLA Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) LONG When TSLA breaks above 350 and closes, the price will launch to $390 very quickly.
A VCP is a technical pattern, showing lessening declines in a range bound formation. A bull flag showing higher-lows is the best, as seen with TSLA.
Volatility is going to breakout sharply to the upside. If you TSLA above 350 just buy and hold, you’re too late trying to get a better deal.
🚀🚀🚀🌖
TSLA: AI + Technicals Meets Macro TailwindsAI Forecast (VolanX Protocol)
Current Price: $340.01
30-Day Target: $387.70 → +14.0% upside
Institutional Trade Plan:
Entry: $340.01
Stop Loss: $314.45
Targets: $346.81 / $387.70
Risk/Reward: 1.87:1
Model Agreement: 8/9 bullish
Technical Structure (4H Chart):
Broke above a triangular consolidation, now testing equilibrium from below.
Key support levels: $313.60 / $301.30 (discount zone).
Resistance / extension zones lined up at:
First: $368–$369
Extended: $400–$402 (1.618–2.618 fib levels).
Macro Catalysts & Market Context:
Fed Rate Sentiment Improving: Powell hinted at possible September rate cuts; markets rallied with Tesla leading, rising 6%.
Value Sense Blog
+6
Barron's
+6
Investors
+6
Investopedia
+1
EV Tax Credit Flexibility: New IRS guidance allows buyers to secure the $7,500 credit via contracts before Sept 30, potentially boosting demand.
Investors
+1
Mixed Q2 Fundamentals: Q2 saw declining deliveries & regulatory credits; Musk warned of “rough quarters” ahead, but emphasized AI & robotaxi growth.
Investors
+6
Investors
+6
New York Post
+6
Geopolitical Risks & Tariffs: Tariff pressure, fading EV credits, and sales underperformance in key regions keep long-term risks present. Analyst targets range widely.
Investopedia
MarketWatch
Value Sense Blog
Investors
Probabilistic Outcome Mix:
Base Case (50%) → $346–$368 (near-term resistance test aligned with AI target)
Bull Extension (25%) → $387–$402 if macro tailwinds persist and structure sustains breakout
Bear Risk (25%) → Breakdown below $340 could retest $313–$301
Trade Setup Breakdown:
Long Entry: $340
Stop: $315
Take Profit #1: $368
Take Profit #2: $388
Option: scale into $400s if breakout momentum holds
Why It Matters:
This setup represents AI-driven momentum meeting technical trend alignment and favorable macro catalysts. If Fed signals, EV policy flexibility, and optimism around Tesla’s AI/autonomy can power continued upside, $387–$400 becomes very plausible. However, macro risks and execution hurdles need monitoring.
Tesla Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025- Tesla broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 414.50
Tesla recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 360.00 (which has been reversing the price from February), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from July and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from June.
Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 414.50 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
Check if it can rise above 347.21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The key is to determine which direction the price breaks out of the two support and resistance areas of 268.07-311.48 and 347.21-382.40.
For a step-up trend to occur, the price must remain above 334.09-347.21.
However, a step-up trend is highly likely only if the price rises above the support and resistance levels of 382.40 and 421.06 on the 1W and 1M charts.
Even so, a larger increase is likely if the price rises above the 334.09-347.21 range on the 1D chart.
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The 268.07-311.48 range also falls within the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it's important to remember that the current position is not a buy position, but rather a sell position.
However, for new buys, it's best to initiate them when support is found near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, if possible.
Therefore, when the 268.07-311.48 range acts as a support zone, it can be considered a buying opportunity.
However, since it's within the HA-High indicator zone, trades should be executed with short and quick responses.
The key volatility period is around October 7th, but before that, we should check the movements around September 5th and September 12th.
At this time, the trend is likely to be determined by which direction the price moves: the 268.07-311.48 range or the 347.21-382.40 range.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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