Our opinion on the current state of NPNNaspers (NPN), Africa's largest company, is a massive international social media, gaming, and IT company whose main asset is 73% of Prosus (PRX) which in turn owns 26% of Tencent - a Hong Kong-listed company that provides social media services and gaming in China. Tencent has 10 of China's 20 top mobile applications reaching over 1,1bn users. Naspers itself has an archaic capital structure where it is dominated by its 907128 unlisted "A" ordinary shareholders. Each "A" ordinary share has 1000 times the voting power of the 438,3m "N" shares which are listed - so they effectively control the company with 67,4% of the vote. Naspers has many other interests, mainly in e-commerce and operates in 120 countries worldwide. It has recently bought a further $500m worth of shares in Letgo - an American classifieds platform that has more than 100 million users. It also owns Takealot and Mr. D Food in South Africa among other interests - but all those other investments are dominated by Tencent. The share's discount to its inherent value is mainly because of its "N" share structure which is frowned upon in the investment community. Naspers has retained its online shopping operations, Takealot, Mr. D. Food, PayU and Autotrader. On 11th September 2019, Naspers separately listed Prosus on the Euronext in Amsterdam which houses all its international assets including its stake in Tencent, Mail.Ru and other internet brands. Naspers held 73% of Prosus and there was a 25% free float. The company has a secondary listing on the JSE. One of the benefits of the Euronext listing is that it removes the risk inherent in the rand. Prosus is now Europe's largest consumer internet company. Tencent continued to grow through the pandemic as more people turned to online gaming. On 26th July 2021 Tencent fell about 8% due to Chinese clamp-down on its music streaming business. This obviously impacted Prosus and Naspers with their shares falling in tandem. According to Business Day of 10th September 2021, there was a report in the South China Morning Post that to the effect that the approval of new games was prohibited. This caused both Prosus' and its parent, Naspers' shares to fall sharply. On 24th October 2022, the re-election of Chinese leader Xi Jinping for a third term caused Naspers shares to fall heavily. Jinping is part of a faction in Chinese politics which aims to keep the "disorderly expansion of capital" under control. The company realised a profit of $12,3bn on the sale of 2% of Tencent in April 2021. On 17th August 2022 Naspers said that it intended to sell Prosus shares and to use the proceeds to buy back more of its own shares. On 27th January 2023 Bloomberg announced that Naspers intended to retrench about 30% of its workforce. In its results for the year to 31st March 2023 the company reported revenue slightly up at $6,78bn and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 119c compared with 547c in the previous year. The company announced on 27th June 2023 that Naspers was going to unwind the cross shareholding between in at Prosus. The news was well-received by the market because it simplified the overall structure of both businesses making them easier to analyse. Technically, the Prosus share price came off because of rand strength, the complexity of the share swap and then on 26th July 2021 the share fell 7% due to new Chinese regulations which impact on Tencent's music streaming business. The sudden drop in the share price was due to the re-election of Xi Jinping as Chinese premier. Since October 2022 the share has staged a recovery, but has been moving sideways since March 2023. We still regard this share as under-priced at current levels. On 18th September 2023 the company announced that Bob van Dijk would resign as CEO wiht immediate effect.
Trade ideas
$JSENPN #Naspers Double Top(s)$JSENPN #Naspers seems to be busy with a double top on the Daily chart with tops on 27 Jan '23 at R3539-54 and the second one on 1 Aug '23 at R3547-94. I suppose this is about as good as one can hope for, seeing that the two tops cover a stretch of 7 months. We see the middle point down at R2976-87 on 1 May '23, with the price currently almost closer to that than to the last top.
However, this possible double top pales into significance when one looks at a possible double top on the Monthly chart, with the two tops of March '21 and July '23 on R3531-71 and R3514-13 respectively. How is that for "very close to each other" over a period of 28 months? I am going to leave it to the reader to look up the middle point down lower of this one if you are really interested.
For now, the trouble will start getting confirmed in my book once the price falls below the middle point of R2976-87 on the Daily chart. With the targets TheDawieSetup has in mind, I am keeping a close watch in this one.
Naspers Bullish outlook ContinuesNaspers Bullish outlook Continues
1. Price Formation: The price has broken out from a symmetrical triangle price formation on a daily chart.
2. Moving Averages: The 7-day moving average (MA) is above the 21-day MA, which is a positive sign indicating short-term bullish momentum.
3. 200-day Moving Average is below the Price.
4. Thus, Mas 7>21>200
5. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is greater than 50, indicating bullish momentum and potential further upward movement.
6. Price Target: R4100
Naspers – the company
Naspers is a multinational consumer internet company headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa. Its principal operations include online classified advertising, fintech, payments, and food delivery.
The company was founded in 1915 and has since grown into one of the largest technology investors globally, particularly known for its 31.2% stake in Tencent, a Chinese multinational technology conglomerate. This investment has been incredibly lucrative for Naspers and has significantly contributed to its market value.
Naspers has two primary listed entities: Naspers itself, listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), and Prosus, which was listed on Euronext Amsterdam in September 2019. Prosus includes Naspers's international internet assets, with stakes in companies like Tencent, food delivery service Delivery Hero, and Russia's internet platform Mail.ru.
The performance of Naspers and Prosus shares are closely tied to the performance of Tencent due to the size of Naspers' stake in the company.
$JSENPN - Naspers: Rectangle Pattern ConsolidationNaspers has been trading sideways since the 27 Jan 2023 peak at 358266.
The overall trend from March 2022 is still bullish so my bias is this is a consolidation pattern for upside continuation.
A good buying level however is at the bottom of the pattern around 292306.
Until price shows its true direction, ideally with a strong breakout on high volume, i will sit on my hands.
NASPERS - Hourly Trade IdeaPrice is pulling back to close an open gap at R3325
RSi into oversold territory.
If buyers support the stock here i will look to trade a long position of this level.
Stop loss and Take profit on the chart.
Gaps are spaces on a chart that emerge when the price of the financial instrument significantly changes, with little or no trading in between. Gaps can occur unexpectedly as the perceived value of the investment changes, due to underlying fundamental or technical factors, such as an earnings disappointment. Gaps are classified as breakaway, exhaustion, common, or continuation.
Naspers - Breakout or Fakeout ??🤨Naspers closed the month near its highs and above the previous month high.
Next major levels are the swing high at R3582 and R3605 .
Bulls hold the upper hand above R3315.
A fakeout is a false breakout that occurs when the price moves outside of a chart pattern but then moves right back inside it. It is also known as a “false breakout” or a “failed break”. In trading, a fakeout is when a trader puts on a position expecting it to move in a direction and it fails to do so. Many traders will plan their exit by offsetting orders to make sure their potential losses are limited.
NPN Update: +4.9%My comment at the open:
Update: Naspers NPN
(1) Traders can bank/take profit on this trade.
At the open, the share is higher by 4.9% from yesterday's suggested entry.
The full target was a 5% (ungeared) gain.
Short Term/Active Traders can also consider the following:
(2) Raise their stop-loss to protect capital
(3) Scale out of the position as it approaches the target.
The chart is 'current'.
NPNSpeculative Trade Idea : The share may trade lower before continuing it's short term advance, hence a buy at current levels or preferably better. Key Drivers: (1) The share has, in the form of falling channel, retraced to the mean (mid-point) of it's rising 2 standard deviation 21-day linear regression trend channel. This retracement also coincides with the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone. (2) On Friday (07-July) and Monday (10 July) 'doji' and 'hammer' candle formations were developed, respectively, suggesting a slowdown of ultra short term downward momentum (3) The share trades just below the monthly and quarterly pivot, of which a break and close above may fuel further accumulation by momentum traders. The stop-loss is a daily close below 313000c. The target is 5% above the entry however, to protect capital traders should ensure that a trailing stop loss is utilized (move you stop-loss higher as the price increases) and/or bank/take profit in increments as the share approaches the target. Event risk today is the US CPI print which may give rise to further volatility while corporate action (not currently present) should also be born in mind. Time Stop: Wednesday, 12 September 2023
TRADING LEVELS:
Entry: 322036
Target: 338137
Stop-loss: 313000
For more research insights, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
Naspers UPDATE on its way to the target at R4,000Falling Wedge Formation is evident on the daily chart.
The price is still consolidating around the apex.
We need the price to break up and out of it to confirm upside to come.
7=21
Price >200
RSI>50
Target R4,000
ABOUT THE COMPANY 2023
Naspers was founded in 1915 as a newspaper publisher in South Africa.
The company is headquartered in Cape Town, South Africa.
Naspers is one of the largest media and technology companies in the world.
The company's most valuable asset is its stake in Tencent Holdings, a Chinese multinational conglomerate that operates several popular social media and gaming platforms.
Naspers is the largest shareholder in Tencent, owning approximately 31% of the company.
In addition to its stake in Tencent, Naspers also has significant investments in other internet and technology companies, including Mail.ru, Delivery Hero, and Prosus.
Naspers' core businesses include online classifieds, payments and fintech, food delivery, and education technology.
The company operates in over 120 countries.
Naspers was one of the early investors in the Chinese e-commerce giant, Alibaba, and made a substantial profit when the company went public in 2014.
The company also owns the South African online retailer, Takealot.
Naspers has a market capitalization of over $100 billion as of April 2023.
In 2019, Naspers spun off its international internet assets into a separate company called Prosus, which is listed on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange.
UPDATE: Naspers in the money - Short Target R2,766We had a confirmation break with Naspers Inv Cup and Handle.
The price broke to the downside and now it shows strong falling to come.
7=21 price>200 - Reversal
RSI <50 - Bearish
Target R2,766.00
This coincides with the fall in JSE and other markets since the SVB collapse. I expect more Blue Chip stocks to tank until the world enters some type of equilibrium and solace.
UPDATE: Naspers short confirmed to target R2,766Break in Uptrend structure confirmed and we are no longer in an uptrend.
We've been in a sideways range and now entering a bear market as of today.
We now have a largeish Inv Cup and Handle with a few bearish signals.
21>7 - bearish
price>200 - Bullish
RSI <50 - Bearish lower highs
Target R2,766.00
WARNING
Even though we expect the price to drop, it's only correcting back to the 200MA zone.
Once the price gets there, we'll see a test between the bulls and bears before a chosen direction is established.
Naspers break in uptrend structure - BearishAfter a fantastic long trade with Naspers, it's eventually broken below the Uptrend structure.
This means, the price is now in free fall and is more likely to touch the previous support (brim level of the last Cup and Handle).
7=21 price>200 - Reversal
RSI <50 - Bearish
Target R2,766.00
As always it is correlating with Tencent and Prosus... We saw a sluggish market in Asia session with the banking holiday effect in America.
Hong Kong stocks slump as Chinese tech giants step up rivalries, HSBC in focus as market await corporate earnings boost. The Hang Seng Index declined 1.7 per cent to 20,529.49 at the close of Tuesday trading, the biggest drop in over a week. The Tech Index tumbled 3.6 per cent while the Shanghai Composite Index added 0.5 per cent. The benchmark index has lost nearly 5 per cent in the past two weeks as hedge funds withdrew from the market. With Tencent dropping 4.5% this is why we saw a large breakaway gap with Naspers.
Caution is needed with such volatility.