Palantir - BullishPalantir has completed a healthy retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the recent major bullish rally, a key area that often acts as strong support during trending markets. This level not only holds technical significance from a Fib perspective, but it's also been respected structurally as a prior demand zone. What's particularly notable is the formation of a clear hammer candle at this level — a classic bullish reversal signal — indicating strong buying interest stepping in after a temporary pullback. This confluence of Fib support and bullish candlestick pattern suggests the bulls may be ready to resume control, potentially setting the stage for the next impulsive leg up.
Entry: CMP
TP 1: 190
TP 2: 260 (ABCD projection)
SL: 128
A2QA4J trade ideas
Palantir (PLTR) Fractal AnalysisOver 180 days, PLTR climbed aggressively, fueled by high conviction buying. With candlesticks showing strong green bodies and upside momentum, peaking near the $190 52-week high.
This analysis focuses on the fractal comparison in the chart, forecasting an extended bearish phase that could drag the stock significantly lower before any stabilization.
I predict PLTR enters an extended correction phase. This fractal symmetry suggests the downside could match or exceed the prior upside's duration and magnitude, projecting a measured move toward $65 or lower
PLTR short update PLTR has been on a decline finally after a historic run. The stock had a clear reversal candle. I am working the OBV indicator back into my strategy and the channel looks tested to the downside, this is another momentum indicator but I find patterns are easier to spot on it. You can also note divergences. I think we go to 120 here in the coming weeks or the green demand box near 80$.
For Those Trading PalantirPLTR has greatly accelerated it's growth trend lines. Right now PLTR is almost 3 years ahead of it's main long term trend line. What this means is upside potential is diminishing.
I see a lot of long charts for PLTR and wanted to share that support is actually at $134. So if you're a PLTR trader, looking to buy, that's the best area to do it.
If however you're looking to sell, then $230 is your spot.
I feel like people buying PLTR are playing a bit with fire as the fast gains are likely gone and eventually a return to the long term trend line is likely. I don't see that happening at least until IXCO runs into resistance, so until then $134 is the buy area.
Good luck!
NASDAQ: PLTR – Strong Trendline & SMA Confluence SupportNASDAQ: PLTR Palantir remains in a clear uptrend with the moving averages aligned (SMA 50 > SMA 100 > SMA 150 > SMA 200). Since April, price has consistently traded above the 50-day SMA, finding support on each pullback to the trendline (green line). This trendline has been tested four times over the past six months, the latest on August 20.
On August 20, PLTR formed a hammer candlestick while testing multiple key supports simultaneously:
1) Horizontal support (red dotted line)
2) Cut Lower Bollinger Band
3) Tested 50-day SMA
4) Trendline support (green line)
5) Stochastic in oversold zone
6) Takeout stops pattern: wick flushed below prior lows, likely taking out stops before reversing
This strong confluence of signals suggests buyers are defending the level, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
Palantir May Have Stopped BouncingPalantir Technologies has enjoyed a dramatic run, but some traders may see risks in the high-flying software company.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since early May. PLTR bounced at that trendline in June and early July. However, it spent most of late August sitting at the line. Is the uptrend fading?
Prices have similarly hugged the 50-day simple moving average without significant buying. That may suggest its intermediate-term momentum is slowing.
Third, PLTR failed to hold a breakout on August 5 after quarterly results beat estimates. The result is a potential exhaustion gap.
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed below the 21-day EMA for the first time since mid-April. MACD is also falling. Some chart watchers may view those as bearish short-term signals.
Next, there could be valuation concerns: TradeStation data shows PLTR has the highest price/earnings and price/sales ratios in the S&P 500.
Finally, PLTR is an active underlier in the options market (ranking third in the S&P 500). That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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Palantir UpdatePLTR made a new local low today but swiftly recovered after. I could be one degree off, and price could have intentions of making another move below the (b) wave $149.37. At this time, I still believe the minor A wave is in fact complete, however, we still don't have confirmation. If price can move above $164.18, I will call that the confirmation needed to verify we are in fact within wave B.
We still have positive divergence in the micro charts. This suggests pressure should push us higher to the target box. That is of course assuming this will maintain a standard target. It is a B wave though if my count is correct. This should give you a heads up that the pattern will quite possibly become very complex.
Unless price moves below $142.35, my primary analysis points to the target box above.
Palantir Money Heist – Breakout vs Pullback, Which Side Wins?💎🔫 PLTR Money Heist Plan – Thief Trader Edition 🚀
🎯 Asset: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
🏦 Plan Type: Swing / Day Trade
⚡ Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Strategy)
🗺️ Thief Trader Heist Plan
Entry Zone (Breakout): 🔓 $162.00 ⚡
Pullback Entry: 🎯 $132.00 & above any price
🔔 Set TradingView alarms to catch the breakout easily — no excuses thieves!
Stop Loss (Breakout Entry): 🛑 $148.00
Stop Loss (Pullback Entry): 🛑 $120.00
📝 Stops are my thief levels — adjust based on your own strategy & risk.
Target: 💰 Escape vault before $184.00 – $188.00 resistance (Overbought + Trap Zone)
❓ Why This Plan? (Thief Logic)
Bullish Bias: Strong momentum around AI contracts & government adoption = upside fuel.
Breakout @162: Key resistance level tested multiple times → if broken, doors open for rapid move higher.
Pullback @132: Golden reload zone where buyers previously defended → sniper entry for risk/reward thieves.
Fear & Greed (75/100): Market greed creates volatility → perfect environment for quick thefts.
Macro Boost: AI sector tailwinds + gov contracts = solid catalysts.
Thief Rule: We don’t chase blindly — we wait for breakout confirmation or reload on pullback to maximize stolen pips.
📊 Palantir Stock Data Report (As of Sept 7, 2025)
Prev Close: $156.14
Day Change: -$3.03 (-1.94%)
After-Hours: $152.30 (-0.53%)
52-Week Range: $32.47 – $190.00 🎯
Market Cap: $363.23B 🏦
😱 Fear & Greed Sentiment
Retail Traders: 🟢 Bullish (70% optimism, AI hype + contracts)
Institutions: 🟡 Neutral (Valuation caution + competition risks)
Fear & Greed Score: 🔥 75/100 (Greed = volatility fuel)
💰 Fundamental Breakdown
Revenue (TTM): $3.44B
Net Income (TTM): $763.29M
Profit Margin: 22.18% ✅
P/E Ratio: 493.90 ⚠️ (Ultra high)
P/S Ratio: 112.41 (Overvalued vs peers)
Growth Drivers:
U.S. Commercial Rev ↑93% YoY 🚀
Gov Rev ↑49% YoY 🏛️
🌍 Macro & Market Drivers
🧠 AI Tailwinds: Massive global demand
🏛️ Gov Contracts: Potential expansion
⚔️ Competition: OpenAI + enterprise challengers
📊 Overall Market Score: 60/100 → Mildly Bullish 🐂
🔮 Key Takeaways (Thief Edition)
Short-Term: Expect heavy volatility (perfect for a thief’s quick grab).
Long-Term: Growth path strong but valuation = danger zone.
Watchlist: Q3 earnings (Nov 2025) + Gov contract headlines.
🔎 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:META (AI sector peer)
NASDAQ:MSFT (Gov + AI contracts)
NASDAQ:NVDA (AI chip leader)
NASDAQ:TSLA (Speculative momentum)
AMEX:SPY (Macro market sentiment)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#PLTR #Palantir #AIStocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefTrader #MoneyHeistPlan #StockMarket #TradingViewAnalysis
PLTR $162.5C — Smart Money Loading, Can Price Catch Up?"
# 🔥 PLTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 📉 Neutral-to-Slight Bearish (price action)
**But...** 📊 Options Flow = Strongly Bullish (C/P 1.66)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐ (50% speculative)
---
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ❌ **Momentum:** Daily RSI 36.3 falling → bearish pressure
* ❌ **Volume:** 0.8× avg → no institutional confirmation
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P 1.66) → divergence vs price
* ✅ **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15.2) → cheap calls, low gamma risk
* ⚖️ **Consensus:** Most models = *no trade*, but speculative call flow play is possible
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Flow Play)
* **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:PLTR
* **Direction:** CALL (naked)
* **Strike:** \$162.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$0.96 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.60
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.48
* **Size:** 1 contract (small, strictly sized)
* **Entry Timing:** Open
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* Options traders buying aggressively → possible **short-squeeze / bounce**.
* Weak volume + bearish RSI = technical headwind.
* This is a **tactical, high-risk punt**, not a conviction swing.
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* 📉 Downtrend may dominate → option decays fast.
* ⏳ 5 DTE = heavy theta decay midweek.
* 💸 Spread/slippage risk at open.
* 📰 Macro/news can flip flow instantly.
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 162.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.50,
"profit_target": 1.60,
"stop_loss": 0.48,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.96,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 06:53:26 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 **Summary:**
This is a **flow vs. trend battle.**
Price says bearish 📉, options traders say bullish 📈.
Take the \$162.5C as a **small-size speculative punt** → defined risk, fast exit.
PLTR Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* PLTR is trading around 153.6, down nearly -2% after a sharp pullback from the 160 rejection zone.
* Price is consolidating sideways after defending the 152 support area.
* Trendline from earlier lows still holding, but momentum remains weak in the short term.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 154.3–156.1 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 160.0 → Major Gamma resistance + Call Wall.
* 162.5–167.5 → Upper resistance cluster with stacked Call Walls.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 152.3 → Key intraday support.
* 150.0 → HVL + strong Put Support.
* 145.0 → 140.0 → Secondary Put Walls (deeper cushion).
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Leaning mildly bullish, but with strong resistance near 160 Gamma Wall.
* IVR: 14.2, slightly elevated, meaning options are pricing moderate volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 160 = Heavy Call resistance cap.
* 150 = Strong Put support anchor.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover active, momentum fading.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and attempting to turn upward → possible bounce setup if 152 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 152 holds):
* Bounce from 152–153 support, push through 154.3–156.1.
* Next upside targets: 160 test, then extension to 162.5–167.5 if squeeze develops.
Bearish Case (if 152 breaks):
* Breakdown below 152 brings price to 150 support.
* If 150 fails, extension to 145.0–140.0 Put Walls.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor entries near 152–153 support, targeting 156 → 160.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 156–160, stops above 161.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 150.0.
* Shorts → above 161.0.
Summary
PLTR is in a neutral-to-bearish short-term setup, holding just above 152 key support. If bulls can defend this zone, upside retest toward 156–160 Gamma Wall is possible. A failure under 152 shifts bias bearish, exposing 150–145 downside. Options flow shows capped upside at 160, but solid downside protection at 150.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
Cumulative Delta | Condensed PxCumulative delta is often used to try and get a picture of the real condensed price action as it is all buys minus all sales.
But I never see anyone doing TA on CVD candles even though it makes perfect sense.
So I’ve done it here with Fib Retracement as an experiment and it looks significant to me, I need to also use Non cumulative delta volume bars and perform the same analysis but my concept is:
let’s be reductive as there’s always so much noise
why not draw classic patterns on cvd as it would be similar to drawing them on tick or volume based charts
PLTR Bulls Eye $168 Target→Don’t Miss Out
🚀 **PLTR Swing Trade Setup | Weekly Bullish Trend vs. Daily Correction** 💎
📊 **TRADE DETAILS**
🎯 **Instrument**: \ NASDAQ:PLTR
📈 **Direction**: LONG
💰 **Entry Price**: 156.50 (limit, fill up to 157.00)
🛑 **Stop Loss**: 151.90
🎯 **Take Profit**: 168,00
📊 **Size**: 15% of portfolio
💪 **Confidence**: 60%
⏰ **Entry Timing**: Market Open (8/31)
⚖️ **R\:R ≈ 2.9** | Risk ≈ -4.6 / Reward ≈ +13.5
📌 **Rationale**
✅ Weekly trend still strongly bullish (EMA stack + MACD positive).
✅ Clear stop cluster at 152.55 (50 EMA).
✅ Tactical swing long if structure holds.
⚠️ Daily MACD still corrective + weak volume → size capped.
---
🔥 **Hashtags **
\#PLTR #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #EarningsPlay #BullishSetup #StockMarket #TradingSignals #RiskReward #MomentumTrading #TradeIdeas
PALANTIR GOES READY TO 'WHAKA WHAKA' BEARS CORNER╭∩╮( •̀_•́ )╭∩╮Palantir Technologies’ recent stock decline in August 2025 stems from a combination of technical and fundamental factors. After an explosive rally in the first half of the year - driven by strong enthusiasm for AI, record financial results, and a wave of commercial and government contracts - the stock entered a pronounced six-day losing streak, dropping over 17%, with more than $73 billion of market capitalization wiped out from its recent peak.
Fundamental Reasons
Valuation Concerns. Palantir’s valuation soared to extreme levels, with forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between 193 and 252, dwarfing those of other tech giants like Microsoft and Apple (whose ratios hover around 30). This staggering valuation reflects enormous investor expectations for future growth, creating vulnerability to profit-taking and re-rating if growth moderates or disappoints.
Short Seller Critiques. Citron Research’s Andrew Left released a report arguing Palantir is “detached from fundamentals,” suggesting its shares should be valued at $40, compared to recent levels around $158–$190, using price-to-revenue metrics aligned with OpenAI’s $500 billion valuation. His public criticism catalyzed bearish sentiment and led to a surge in short-selling profits.
Competitive Landscape. Palantir’s government segment, historically its core business, is facing intensified competition. New Department of Defense contracts awarded to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI signal that the company’s dominance over federal AI budgets may be waning. Growth outside the US has also slowed due to regulatory and competitive hurdles.
Earnings Growth but Slowing Trajectory. Palantir delivered its first $1 billion revenue quarter and continues to post robust year-over-year growth. However, concerns remain about the sustainability of this pace. Consensus forecasts now project more moderated annual growth rates, and Wall Street’s consensus outlook shifted from “Buy” to “Hold,” with a bearish 12-month price target of $107—significantly below recent prices.
Technical Reasons
Overbought Conditions. After rallying 100%+ year-to-date, technical indicators such as the 14-day Relative Strength Index approached “overbought” territory (RSI ~62), suggesting the risk of a near-term pullback. Furthermore, shrinking volumes on continued price increases indicated waning bullish momentum, with buyers becoming more cautious and profit-taking accelerating.
Correction from Record Highs. The rapid run-up led Palantir into a vulnerable technical posture; corrections often follow periods of exuberant price action, particularly when coupled with weak underlying volume and stretched technical metrics. Recent technical analysis flagged downside risk if momentum falters and results disappoint relative to lofty expectations.
Outlook and Further Price Action.
Mid-term, Palantir’s trajectory hinges on whether it can continue to justify and deliver against the premium embedded in its valuation. Sustained AI adoption and successful expansion in commercial sectors could underpin further long-term growth. However, any slowdown in earnings growth, intensifying competition in government contracts, or a sharp marketwide rotation out of high-multiple tech stocks could drive further downside.
Short-term, the combination of elevated valuation, technical overextension, and negative headlines from prominent short sellers has increased the volatility.
In comparative terms, despite of recent nearly 20 percent decline from all the history peak, in nowadays Palantir' stock demonstates the best of the best year-to-date +104.96% performance in 2025 over the all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components. Palantir' stock returns over the past 5 years prevail +1000 per cent.
Among all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components, only three another great stocks were able to do the same over the past 5 years - MicroStrategy (+2204%), Supermicro (+1489%) and Nvidia Corporation (+1258%).
The main technical graph inndicates on major support in Palantir stocks near $160 per share, with further possible price action in the second half of the year 2025.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
PLTR relaunch? Watch $162-164 key Resistance to mark new BOTTOM PLTR has been accumulating above a decent support zone.
About to try a break out of resistance zone $162.22-164.59
Look for a grind through the red zone then launch on break.
.
See "Related Publications" for previous plots,
such as this $40 BOTTOM call with PERFECT levels:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
========================================================
.
PLTR at a Crossroad: $162 Breakout or $144 Retest?
NASDAQ:PLTR The stock is consolidating around $158 after pulling back from the $188 high. Key zones and possible scenarios are highlighted:
Support levels:
$156–152 → nearest support
$144 → strong support
$126 → deeper support zone
Resistance levels:
$162–163 → breakout level to watch
$180–188 → upside target if momentum continues
Indicators:
Bollinger Bands are tightening → signaling a potential breakout.
MACD is curling upward after a bearish phase → early sign of a possible reversal.
Scenarios:
• 🟢 Bullish: breakout above $162 could open the way to $180–188.
• 🔴 Bearish: drop below $156 could push price towards $144.
Short-term moves may be strongly influenced by upcoming U.S. macro data (CPI & Fed expectations).
PLTR's W-Pattern: Is 165 the Gateway to 185?
Bullish Reversal Pattern: PLTR has recently formed a clear 'W' shaped bottoming pattern, with its two lows consolidating around the Good Support 145 level (which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement). This pattern is generally considered a strong bullish reversal signal after a prior downtrend from the peak near 190.
Key Breakout Level: The critical level to confirm the 'W' pattern breakout and initiate a long position is a decisive break and sustained close above the Resistance 165 zone. This level acts as the neckline of the 'W' pattern, and overcoming it would suggest strong bullish conviction.
Support Confirmation: The repeated bounces off the Good Support 145 level during the 'W' formation indicate its significance as a strong demand zone. This provides a good foundation for the potential upward move, with Strong Support 125 serving as a deeper, more robust safety net if market conditions deteriorate.
Upside Target: Upon a successful breakout above Resistance 165, the chart clearly identifies Target 185 as the next significant upside objective. This level aligns with a previous area of price congestion and could be the initial profit-taking zone for a confirmed move higher.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.