1APLD trade ideas
Can a Crypto Miner Become an AI Infrastructure Giant?Applied Digital Corporation has undergone a dramatic transformation, pivoting from cryptocurrency mining infrastructure to become a key player in the rapidly expanding AI data center market. This strategic shift, completed in November 2022, has resulted in extraordinary stock performance with shares surging over 280% in the past year. The company has successfully repositioned itself from serving volatile crypto clients to securing long-term, stable contracts in the high-performance computing (HPC) sector, fundamentally de-risking its business model while capitalizing on the explosive demand for AI infrastructure.
The company's competitive advantage stems from its purpose-built approach to AI data centers, strategically located in North Dakota to leverage natural cooling advantages and access to abundant "stranded power" from renewable sources. Applied Digital's Polaris Forge campus can achieve over 220 days of free cooling annually, significantly outperforming traditional data center locations. This operational efficiency, combined with the ability to utilize otherwise curtailed renewable energy, creates a sustainable cost structure that traditional operators cannot easily replicate through simple retrofitting of existing facilities.
The transformative CoreWeave partnership represents the cornerstone of Applied Digital's growth strategy, with approximately $11 billion in contracted revenue over 15 years for a total capacity of 400 MW. This massive contract provides unprecedented revenue visibility and validates the company's approach to serving AI hyperscalers. The phased buildout schedule, commencing with a 100 MW facility in Q4 2025, provides predictable revenue growth while the company pursues additional hyperscale clients to diversify its customer base.
Despite current financial challenges including negative free cash flow and steep valuation multiples, institutional investors holding 65.67% of the stock demonstrate confidence in the long-term growth narrative. The company's success will ultimately depend on the execution of its buildout plans and ability to capitalize on the projected $165.73 billion AI data center market by 2034. Applied Digital has positioned itself at the intersection of favorable macroeconomic trends, geostrategic advantages, and technological innovation, transforming from a volatile crypto play into a strategic infrastructure provider for the AI revolution.
APLD - Near-term upside, entry coming upAPLD is near the end of a very solid and strong third wave impulse to the upside.
With this end nearing and the price territory of the end of wave 1 being so near, it makes me give this Wave-count confidence rating: Weak
I will be waiting to see what structure and price action comes in the next few weeks, there may be a decent trade to be made out of this though
$APLD 2027 LEAPS: The Next NVDA? Long-Term AI/HPC Power Play
# ๐ APLD LEAP Options Setup | AI Mega-Trend Play ๐ก๐
### ๐ฅ Trade Thesis
APLD riding the **AI/HPC CoreWeave \$11B partnership** + secular AI infra boom.
Weekly chart = **bullish momentum**, monthly cooling but intact trend.
Low VIX โ perfect setup for **LEAP calls**.
---
### ๐ TRADE SETUP
* ๐ฏ **Instrument**: APLD
* ๐ **Direction**: CALL (LONG LEAP)
* ๐ต **Strike**: \$17.50
* ๐
**Expiry**: Jan 15, 2027 (502 days)
* ๐ฐ **Entry Price**: \$5.85
* ๐ **Stop Loss**: \$3.80 (-35%)
* ๐ฏ **Profit Target**: \$11.70 (+100%)
* ๐ **Size**: 1 contract
* โฐ **Entry Timing**: Market Open
---
### ๐ Confidence Level
โ
75% (Moderate conviction, majority model consensus)
---
### โ ๏ธ Key Risks
* Near resistance (\$16.78โ\$17.60) โ possible pullback.
* Monthly RSI cooling โ could mean consolidation.
* Market/macro risk + option liquidity.
---
### ๐จ Final Call
๐ **BUY 1 APLD Jan 2027 \$17 .50CALL @ \$5.85**
๐ Take partial profit at +100%, let runners ride for AI mega-trend upside.
Possible Neutral Triangle Breakout โ Key Level at 11.07The chart appears to show a completed neutral triangle (aโbโcโdโe), with a breakout emerging above the upper boundary at 11.07.
Wave a looks like a complex structure (possibly elongated flat or flat + zigzag).
The rest of the legs are mostly zigzag forms, consistent with triangle rules.
False breakdown below wave e followed by a strong reversal.
MACD is confirming momentum during the breakout attempt.
As long as price stays above 11.07, this breakout may be sustained. If confirmed, the next target zone could align with the height of the triangle projected upward.
APLD Gamma Squeeze Watch: Calls Loading Into Expiry! ๐ APLD Weekly Options Trade Analysis (2025-08-18)
### ๐ Comprehensive Summary
APLD weekly options data shows **strong bullish sentiment**, supported by:
* **Call/Put Ratio:** 2.40 (heavy call bias)
* **RSI:** >70, confirming strong momentum
* **Institutional Flow:** Aligns with bullish catalysts (price target upgrades)
โ ๏ธ **Weakness:** Weekly volume didnโt surpass the prior week, raising some caution.
---
### ๐ Agreement & Disagreement
โ
**Agreement Across Models:**
* Strong bullish trend confirmed by RSI & call/put ratio
* Volatility environment favorable (low VIX)
* Best trade setup: **Calls**
โ **Disagreement:**
* Some models emphasize weak volume as a potential risk
* Others dismiss this due to strength in bullish momentum
---
### ๐ Trade Plan
* **Overall Market Direction:** โ
Bullish
* **Strategy:** Buy single-leg, naked calls with strong liquidity
**Trade Setup**
* ๐ฏ **Strike:** \$17.00 Call
* ๐
**Expiry:** Aug 22, 2025 (4 DTE)
* ๐ต **Entry Price:** \$0.45
* ๐ **Stop Loss:** \$0.23 (\~50% premium)
* ๐ฏ **Profit Target:** \$0.90 โ \$1.12 (100-150% gain)
* โฐ **Entry Timing:** Market open
* ๐ **Confidence Level:** 80%
---
### โ ๏ธ Key Risks
* **Gamma Risk:** High with only 4 DTE โ position requires tight monitoring
* **Volume Weakness:** May hinder sustained breakout if institutional support falters
---
## ๐ Trade Snapshot
* **Instrument:** APLD
* **Direction:** CALL (LONG)
* **Strike:** \$17.00
* **Entry Price:** \$0.45
* **Target:** \$1.00+
* **Stop:** \$0.23
* **Expiry:** 08/22/2025
* **Size:** 1 contract
* **Confidence:** 80%
* **Signal Time:** 2025-08-18 12:05:33 EDT
APLD 0DTE TRADE IDEA (AUG 1, 2025)
## ๐ฅ APLD 0DTE TRADE IDEA (AUG 1, 2025)
**๐ก Multi-AI Model Consensus | High Risk-Reward | Gamma Alert**
### ๐ง AI Model Summary
โ๏ธ **Bullish Momentum** confirmed across all models
๐ **Volume Weakness** = key caution signal
โ ๏ธ **Gamma Risk HIGH** โ Most recommend entry *next session* (Monday)
---
### ๐ TRADE SETUP (Based on Consensus Call)
| Field | Value |
| -------------- | ------------------------------ |
| ๐ Direction | **CALL (Bullish)** |
| ๐ฏ Strike | **\$13.50** |
| โฐ Expiry | **Aug 1 (0DTE)** |
| ๐ฐ Entry Price | **\$0.23** (ask) |
| ๐ฏ Target | **\$0.35** |
| ๐ Stop Loss | **\$0.12** |
| ๐ Size | 1 Contract |
| ๐ Confidence | **75%** |
| ๐ Entry Time | **Next session OPEN (Monday)** |
---
### ๐ Key Model Insights
* ๐ **Call/Put Ratio Bullish** across all platforms
* ๐ **Weak Volume** warns of unsustainable moves
* ๐งจ **High Gamma Sensitivity** โ rapid profit/loss shifts
* ๐ง **Claude / Grok / DeepSeek** all flag for rapid exit if entered today
---
### ๐ TradingView Viral Caption
> โ ๏ธ \ NASDAQ:APLD 0DTE ๐ฅ
> Models agree: ๐ bullish trend, ๐ dangerous gamma
> โ
\$13.50 CALL @ \$0.23 โ Target: \$0.35
> โฑ๏ธ Most say: **WAIT โtil Monday open**
> ๐ Risk tight. Exit fast. Volume light.
> \#APLD #OptionsTrading #0DTE #FlowTrading #AIModels #GammaSqueeze #FridayTrades #TradingViewIdeas
APLD (Applied Digital):EARNINGS TRADE SETUP (2025-07-30)
๐จ **EARNINGS TRADE SETUP: APLD (Applied Digital)**
๐๏ธ Earnings: **July 31 (AMC)**
๐ฅ Confidence: **65% Moderate Bullish**
๐ฅ Recent Run: **+94% past 3 months**
๐ง AI Infrastructure Hype + High IV = Opportunity
---
### ๐ FUNDAMENTALS SNAPSHOT
๐ข **Revenue Growth**: +22.1% YoY
๐ด **Profit Margin**: -110.4%
๐ด **Operating Margin**: -34.7%
โ ๏ธ Historical EPS Beat Rate: **12% only**
๐ Analyst Target: **\$14.61** (+42.8% upside)
๐ **Verdict**: High growth, deep losses โ speculative with upside
---
### ๐ง OPTIONS FLOW
๐ฃ **High IV Crush Risk**
๐ฅ **Put Wall**: \$10.00 (6,700 contracts)
๐ฉ **Speculative Calls**: \$10.50 & \$11.00 loaded
โ๏ธ Mixed Sentiment โ Tilted Bullish
---
### ๐ TECHNICAL CHECK
๐น Price: **\$10.12**
๐ Below 20D MA (\$10.31)
๐ Support: **\$10.00**
๐ Resistance: **\$10.50**
โ ๏ธ RSI Cooling โ Watch for breakout or rejection
---
### ๐ฅ TRADE IDEA
**๐ฏ Call Option โ Strike \$10.50 โ Exp 08/01**
๐ต Entry: \$0.57
๐ Profit Target: \$2.28 (200โ400% ROI zone)
๐ Stop Loss: \$0.285
๐ Size: 1 contract (2% of portfolio)
๐ Exit: 1โ2 hours post earnings to avoid IV crush
---
### ๐ง TRADE LOGIC
Risky setup โ but technicals + AI narrative + speculative flow = **earnings lotto ticket with strategy.**
๐ฌ *"Speculation with structure beats blind YOLO."*
---
๐ Tag a trader who likes calculated risk ๐
๐ Donโt forget to scale OUT, not just IN.
\#APLD #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #TradingView #AIStocks #YOLOWithStops #IVCrushProof #CallOptions #SwingTrade #BullishSetup
APLD heads up at $13.10: Golden Genesis fib may stop the SurgeAPLD on a massive surge over various company news.
Currently about to hit a Golden Genesis fib at $8.10
Looking for usual Dip-to-Fib or Break-and-Retest to buy.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we get a significant dip from here.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we break and run if bulls are hyper.
.
See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT plots --------------------->>>>>>>
.
APLD Trade Setup
๐น Target: $22.67
๐น Stop Loss: $9.13
๐น Entry Zone: Around $15.50 or better on a dip
๐น Risk/Reward: ~1:1 at CMP, ~2:1 if entry near $13.50
๐น Bullish momentum intact if it holds above $11.65
๐ Watching for continuation toward 2.0 extension level. Trade safe!
#APLD #TradingView #Stocks #Fibonacci #SwingTrade
APLD Long: Trendline Bounce + CoreWeave AI Lease๐ฏ Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Market at Open
StopโLoss: Below the trendline at ~$9.00
Primary Target: $14.60โ$15.50 (analyst zone + historical highs)
Reward/Risk: ~50โ60% upside vs ~7โ10% downside = solid R:R ~5:1
๐ Technical Rationale
The stock recently bounced off a longโterm ascending trendline, confirming it as key support. A breakout above ~$10.40 would challenge the analyst consensus target zone ($14โ15), projecting a favorable conviction trade.
The setup aligns with classic trendโcontinuation patternsโlower risk entry at support with clear upside objective.
๐ค Fundamental/Bull Catalysts
Landmark CoreWeave Lease: APLD signed two 15-year leases (250โฏMW, + optional 150โฏMW) with Nvidia-backed CoreWeave, expected to generate ~$7โฏbillion in revenue over the term.
Strong Sector Tailwinds: AI infrastructure is surging. CoreWeave is investing billions in new data centers (e.g., 100โฏMWโ300โฏMW in Pennsylvania). APLD rides this wave as a data-center REIT pivot.
Analyst & Options Sentiment: Analysts target $12.70โ13.40; unusual options flow shows heavy interest in calls up to $15 strikes.
๐ Volume & Momentum Metrics
The recent bounce was accompanied by increased volumeโa signal of institutional demand and trend continuation.
Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum building.
๐ Trade Plan
Initiate long position around $10.00.
Place stop-loss just under trendline (~$9.00) to limit downside.
Scale out partial at $14.60 (analyst target) and consider holding a tranche toward $15.40 (historic high).
๐ Risk Considerations
Trend support could failโif trend breaks below $9.00, cut losses quickly.
Broader tech pullback or AI sector rotation could pressure priceโalways trail stops accordingly.
Applied Digital Preparing For Lift OffAPLD is looking great, it fell right into my pull back zone and looks like it will run again. I bought $4.50, but sold after bagging 200%. I have been patiently waiting for the next opportunity and I think this is it. I think we have a nice bull flag here that will lead us back up. Not financial advice. DYOR
A 10x on APLD ? Applied Digital has confirmed a multi-year symmetrical triangle breakout on the weekly chart, marked by immense volume and a clean breakout above long-term downtrend resistance. The base of the triangle spans several years, with consistent higher lows forming a solid support line.
๐บ Breakout Volume: Massive volume surge confirms strong institutional or speculative buying interest.
๐ Heavy Resistance: $28.60 identified as the next major challenge before a full trend expansion.
๐ง Measured Move Target: Triangle projection suggests potential upside toward $140.00 , a 3,000%+ move from the breakout zone.
๐จ Support Zones: $11.00 (area of demand) and $4.50 (triangle confirmation level) now act as strong support.
APLD is showing early-stage parabolic potential after confirming a multi-year consolidation breakout. With strong volume, bullish structure, and long-term accumulation patterns, it now targets a multi-bagger move.
A pullback to $11.00 would offer a high-conviction re-entry zone.
APLD - SWING TRADE BUYING ZONESAPLD. The stock was in a perfect parallel channel accumulating zone for many days. Finally we saw a breakout 8.47$
The stock rallied almost a 100 percent after the breakout and is still in a good uptrend.
Major rejection was at 10.20 to 11.65 which is the weekly bearish order block. We have seen 4 to 5 sweeps inside this bearish order block previously and now there is no liquidity left inside the order block.
The stock has made a bullish retest on the previous bearish order block at 11.65 and now its acting as a bullish buying zone.
However, there are a lot of bullish Order blocks waiting to be filled in the uptrend.
In my opinion, best way to ride this stock is to wait and buy at the order blocks.
keep adding if it goes down to fill the other order blocks that are present at the breakout.
Good buying zones for a Swing trade are 10.40 , 10.00 and 8.50 which is the strongest and most reliable.
SO WAIT AND ENJOY!
APLD $13.86 buyApplied digital has been on a tear for the past few weeks fuelled by the news that Nvidia has bought a stake in the company and the deal with wall streets latest darling Coreveave.
Digging a little deeper, looking at the options chain there are a huge number of calls all the way up to $20. The short interest is quoted at 36.2% on market beat, as the price rises short sellers will be forced to close their positions by buying back shares fuelling further gains.
In addition to these factors institutional investors have recently been buying large chunks of shares.
This could very well go parabolic
6/4/25 - $apld - Math 101...6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:APLD
Math 101...
- if you haven't seen by now, NASDAQ:CRWV is the last meme to come out of the money slush go wheee
- i'm not going to short NASDAQ:CRWV , but it's worth significantly less
- i'm also not going to short NASDAQ:APLD b/c it's basically a beta on NASDAQ:CRWV
- but what i'll say is... burning a billy a year and having just deep throated the last earnings release such that the stock was well on it's way to zero (it would actually be worth less than zero if equity didn't get min'd at zero)... well that's one of these situations where you "stay away"
- many times in mkts, you can buy, sell or hold
- but what you don't hear a lot of people saying is "stay away/ ignore". they want to touch the stove. it's a parlay-style degen "investment".
- take it from someone who used to play this game, you ought to know what you're doing
- if you're just guessing... remember... you'll ultimately lose it all.
- IV on this puppy is so sky high that anything can happen next
- but i'll make a friendly bet:
- this stock goes back into the single digits by year-end
- and i'll parlay it all for the degens:
- it's a donut.
enjoy the ride. but beware the animal spirits. because animal spirits can sometimes be pretty low IQ feelings. and feelings don't work out in mkts.
V
APLD โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐
๐น Ticker: APLD (NASDAQ)
๐น Setup Type: Ascending Triangle + Resistance Break
๐ธ Breakout Price: ~$5.80
๐ Trade Plan (Long Position)
โ
Entry Zone: $5.75โ$5.85 (break above yellow resistance zone & trendline)
โ
Stop Loss (SL): Below $5.37 (structure low / white support line)
โ
Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $6.25 (red line โ resistance)
๐ TP2: $6.99 (green line โ prior supply zone)
๐ Risk-Reward Analysis
๐ Risk:
$5.80 - $5.37 = $0.43
๐ Reward to TP1:
$6.25 - $5.80 = $0.45 โ 1.04:1 R/R
๐ Reward to TP2:
$6.99 - $5.80 = $1.19 โ 2.76:1 R/R
๐ Technical Highlights
๐ Ascending Triangle: Strong higher lows pushing into horizontal resistance
๐ Volume Confirmation: Needed for clean breakout
๐ Yellow Zone: Break and retest area for confirmation
๐ Trendline Support: Pink rising trendline continues to hold up price
โ๏ธ Trade Management
๐ After TP1:
โ Move SL to breakeven
โ Book partial profits (~50%)
๐ Let the rest target TP2, trailing SL as new supports form
โ ๏ธ Invalidation Signal
โ Breakdown below $5.37
โ Rejection from yellow zone without volume follow-through
Stock Analysis: APLD (Applied Digital Corporation) !๐ โ 30-Min Chart
๐ Setup Type: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish Reversal)
๐ป Trade Plan (Short Position)
โ
Entry Zone: Below $7.27 (Breakdown Confirmation)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): Above $7.49 (Key Resistance Level)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets (TPs)
๐ TP1: $7.00 (Support Level)
๐ TP2: $6.69 (Key Demand Zone)
๐ TP3: $6.60 (Major Support & Psychological Level)
๐ Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation
๐ Risk (SL Distance):
$7.49 - $7.27 = $0.22 risk per trade
๐ Reward to TP1:
$7.27 - $7.00 = $0.27 (1:1.2 R/R)
๐ Reward to TP2:
$7.27 - $6.69 = $0.58 (1:2.6 R/R)
๐ Reward to TP3:
$7.27 - $6.60 = $0.67 (1:3.0 R/R)
โ
Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio with strong downside potential!
๐ Technical Analysis & Strategy
๐ Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price is breaking below a bearish wedge pattern, signaling weakness.
๐ Key Resistance Holding: $7.49 acts as a strong rejection zone, reinforcing downside potential.
๐ Volume Confirmation: Increasing sell volume confirms bearish sentiment.
๐ Momentum Shift: Loss of upward trend momentum suggests possible trend reversal.
๐ Trade Execution & Risk Management
โ Wait for Confirmation: A 30-min candle close below $7.27 strengthens the breakdown.
โ Adjust Stop-Loss: Move SL to break-even ($7.27) after hitting TP1 ($7.00).
โ Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
โ Take 50% profits at TP1 ($7.00) and let the rest run toward TP2 & TP3.
โ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($7.27) after TP1 is reached.
โ ๏ธ Risks & Considerations โ Fake Breakdown Risk: If price reclaims $7.27, the short setup could be invalidated.
โ Market Conditions: Low-volume breakdowns may lead to a bounce.
๐ Final Thoughts โ Bearish Setup โ Strong downside potential.
โ Rising Wedge Breakdown โ High confluence setup.
โ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio โ 1:3.0 toward TP3.
๐ก Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ๐๐
๐ #APLD #ShortTrade #BearishBreakdown #TradingView #ProfittoPath ๐ฐ๐
APLD/USD โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup !๐ ๐
๐น Asset: APLD (Applied Digital Corporation)
๐น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐น Setup Type: Bullish Breakout Trade
๐ Trade Plan (Long Position)
โ
Entry Zone: Above $7.02 (Breakout Confirmation)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): Below $6.74 (Invalidation Level)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $7.33 (First Resistance Level)
๐ TP2: $7.76 (Extended Bullish Move)
๐ Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation
๐ Risk (SL Distance):
$7.02 - $6.74 = $0.28 risk per share
๐ Reward to TP1:
$7.33 - $7.02 = $0.31 (1:1.1 R/R)
๐ Reward to TP2:
$7.76 - $7.02 = $0.74 (1:2.64 R/R)
๐ Technical Analysis & Strategy
๐ Downtrend Breakout: Price has broken a descending trendline (pink line), signaling a bullish breakout.
๐ Retest Confirmation: The price is hovering around $7.02, testing previous resistance as support.
๐ Support Level: $6.74 is acting as strong support, rejecting lower lows.
๐ High Volume Needed: Watch for bullish volume confirmation above $7.02 to validate the breakout.
๐ Key Support & Resistance Levels
๐ข $6.74 โ Stop-Loss / Key Support
๐ก $7.02 โ Breakout Level / Long Entry
๐ด $7.33 โ First Resistance / TP1
๐ข $7.76 โ Final Target / TP2
๐ Trade Execution & Risk Management
๐ Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above $7.02 before entering.
๐ Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($7.02) after TP1 ($7.33) is hit.
๐ฐ Partial Profit Booking Strategy
โ Take 50% profits at $7.33, let the rest run toward $7.76.
โ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($7.02) after TP1 is reached.
โ ๏ธ Fake Breakout Risk
โ If the price fails to hold above $7.02 and drops back below, exit early to avoid losses.
โ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $7.02 before entering aggressively.
๐ Final Thoughts
โ Bullish Setup โ Breaking out of the trendline indicates a potential reversal.
โ Momentum Shift Possible โ Watch for volume confirmation.
โ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio โ 1:1.1 to TP1, 1:2.64 to TP2.
๐ก Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ๐๐
๐ Hashtags for Social Media Posting
#StockMarket ๐ #TradingNews ๐ฐ #StockAnalysis ๐ #MarketUpdate ๐ฅ #Investing ๐ฐ #Trading ๐ #Finance ๐ต #ProfittoPath ๐ #SwingTrading ๐ #DayTrading โก #StockTrader ๐ธ #TechnicalAnalysis ๐ #MarketTrends ๐ #StockAlerts ๐ #TradeSmart ๐ค #Bullish ๐ #RiskManagement โ ๏ธ #TradingCommunity ๐ค
I am $APLD, destroyer of worlds, blaah blah etc, and so forthThere's some guy pushing => Trump----->stargate-------->data centers
I can see his logic; its fresh, sure.
Not many people know about this little gem, NASDAQ:APLD , Kinda snuck under the radar.
An OG Miner/Data Center play. Sweet.
Now would be the time to get in, Pre-palantir energy, is here, for sure.
its a no brainer, with Trump, Elon, Ai & Data-centers.
I would say, this week, ramping up, should get some reasonable price action ,.
Who knows......
$120.......Maybe, sooner than we think.