Kenvue Tylenol Turmoil: Does the 33% Drop Scream Undervalued?While many stocks (especially tech) are near all-time highs and have high PE ratios, I'm still hunting for bargains, and Kenvue seems to be relatively cheap. More recently, it came under fire because of Trump's remarks on Tylenol, and the stock lost over 10% in a few days.
Since May 2025, the stock has lost 33%, putting it, in my opinion, in an undervalued zone.
Kenvue is the manufacturer of a bunch of health-related products, including Tylenol, Neutrogena, Band-Aid, Listerine, Benadryl, Zyrtec, Motrin, Aveeno, Johnson's, Rogaine, and many more.
I like this kind of health-related beaten-down stocks because they exhibit good uncorrelation with the rest of the stock market, and in bear markets, they tend to hold up well because people always need to buy healthcare products.
WHY BUY KENVUE STOCK?
The stock has a strong moat, with excellent market penetration, top-of-mind brand recognition, and consumer loyalty, as well as economies of scale, worldwide.
They have great management, with Kirk Perry and Andy Dasgupta leading the company. This guy has a great track record in the consumer product sector.
Despite the decent performance, the stock price is now at an all-time low.
KEY NUMBERS AND FUNDAMENTALS
Where should I start... Since they spun off from Johnson & Johnson, the stock is now the cheapest when compared to their revenue, income, and other metrics.
Diluted EPS is now at $0.22. The same level as in 2023, when the stock was at $24. The difference is that the stock is now at $16 (33% cheaper).
The dividend ratio is now at 5%, the best level ever. The last time it was this close to the current level was in mid-2024, when the dividend yield reached 4.6%. After that, the stock rose by 38% in less than 6 months. If you like dividends, you should definitly take a look at Kenvue.
The PE ratio is 22, which is low compared to the sector and the company's historical data.
Similar story for the PB ratio, which is now at an all-time low.
This data is telling us that the stock is comparatively cheap. Of course, one needs to ask: Is it cheap because of poor prospects for the company, or because the market is overly fearful? I'd lean for the second.
It's also worth adding that their gross margin is 58%, the EBITDA margin is 24% (quite good), and the forward PE is at around 15.
Finally, the analyst's price targets average $22, giving it an upside of around 34%.
MY GAMEPLAN
I'm going to allocate close to 1% of my net worth to this stock. In case the price drops, I will average down my purchasing price, considering that this company is likely to continue having a very strong moat for the coming years.
I plan to hold it for the medium/long term, potentially selling part or the entirety of my holdings once I get over 30% return. I will re-evaluate it later this year.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
1KVUE trade ideas
KVUE What It Means for Investors
Heightened Volatility – The stock is undergoing a volatile phase, impacted by both earnings misses and negative headlines.
Downside Pressure – The Tylenol-related health report triggered a sharp sell-off, signaling investor sensitivity to reputational and regulatory risks.
Potential for Rebound? Topics such as strategic reviews or further confirmations from health authorities could provide relief—or add to pressure—depending on outcomes. Additional context from management or regulators may shift sentiment quickly.
KVUE – Bullish Setup on 30-min Chart!📊
📌 Trade Summary
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout on rising support
Entry: ~$24.00 (highlighted at the yellow breakout circle)
Stop-Loss (SL): ~$23.83 (below rising support – white line)
Target 1 (TP1): $24.29 (first resistance – red line)
Target 2 (TP2): $24.60 (major resistance – green line)
🔍 Technical Breakdown
Price broke out of a falling wedge, a bullish continuation pattern.
Pink trendline shows steady higher lows – bullish structure.
Yellow zone is a key decision level, now turned support.
Volume ~210K suggests moderate breakout confirmation.
Risk/Reward is favorable, with potential upside ~2x vs risk.
✅ Bias
Bullish above $23.83
Neutral between $23.83–$24.00
Bearish only on breakdown below rising support
📢 Optional Caption for Social Media
🚨 KVUE Breakout Alert
📈 Falling wedge breakout + strong trendline
📍 Entry: $24.00
🛑 SL: $23.83
🎯 TP1: $24.29
🎯 TP2: $24.60
⚡ Riding momentum from rising support
🏷️ Hashtags
#KVUE #StockBreakout #TechnicalSetup #ProfittoPath #TradingView
KENVUE Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 012224Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 20.4/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
KVUE Split-off: A Response to JNJ's Cancer-Related Products?It is plausible to consider that Johnson & Johnson's decision to spin off Kenvue might be linked to an effort to mitigate potential legal liabilities stemming from its talc-based products, which have been implicated in cases of cancer in the US and Canada. This strategic maneuver could potentially offer a layer of legal protection. Shareholders are expected to transition from holding Johnson & Johnson shares to Kenvue shares in the upcoming week. A similar approach was attempted by MMM, although it did not yield successful results, causing a downward trajectory in its stock performance over the past two years.
From my perspective, the true rationale behind the division appears to be related to the numerous instances of individuals developing cancer due to Johnson & Johnson's talc-based products. A recent legal ruling mandated Johnson & Johnson to pay $18.8 million to a California resident who claimed to have contracted cancer from using its baby powder. This decision represents a setback for the company as it seeks resolution for thousands of comparable cases related to its talc-based products within a US bankruptcy court.
Johnson & Johnson recently disclosed detailed information regarding the much-anticipated division of its consumer healthcare venture, Kenvue. This move involves a separation of at least 80.1% of Kenvue shares, facilitated through an exchange offer presented to investors. Within this arrangement, shareholders have the flexibility to trade all, a portion, or none of their Johnson & Johnson shares for Kenvue stock.
The company is extending the choice to its investors, allowing them to opt for an exchange of shares for Kenvue stock. To incentivize this exchange, a 7% discount is being offered on the shares. However, there is an upper threshold of 8.0549 Kenvue shares for each Johnson & Johnson share. If this ceiling is not applicable, shareholders will receive approximately $107.53 worth of Kenvue shares for every $100 worth of Johnson & Johnson stock they intend to exchange. The execution of this exchange offer is anticipated to conclude by mid-August. Notably, this exchange program is voluntary and carries tax-free advantages.
Kenvue has outlined plans to distribute a portion of its available funds to shareholders through dividend payments. The company has recently initiated a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share (equivalent to $0.80 annually), with the first payout scheduled for early September. This dividend framework translates to a dividend yield of 3.3% based on the prevailing stock price of approximately $24 per share. This yield marginally exceeds Johnson & Johnson's existing dividend yield of 2.8%.
It is likely that a significant portion of individuals holding Johnson & Johnson stock will opt to exchange their shares for Kenvue.
Based on this assessment, I anticipate that Kenvue's stock could potentially reach $30 in the near future.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!