Toast - ShortPrice Rejected From Major Resistance
The stock is sitting right below a heavy resistance zone around $38–40, which has rejected price multiple times in the past.
Every time TOST comes near this zone, sellers step in → clear bearish supply area.
2. Below the 50-Day Moving Average
Price is trading under the 50 SMA (blue line).
In downtrending or weak stocks, the 50 SMA acts as dynamic resistance, pushing price lower.
3. Lower Highs Formation
The recent bounce failed to create a higher high.
Instead, TOST is forming lower highs, which is a classic bearish continuation signal.
4. Failed Breakout Attempt
TOST tried to break above the resistance but got instantly sold off.
This is a sign of weak buying demand and strong sellers.
Trade ideas
TOST: absolutely gorgeousWeekly chart here so it will take some patience. Earnings out of the way, and they were good. All lower indicators turning higher with loads of room to run and MACD about to cross to the upside. Beautiful candle forming as we hold trend from Aug '24 and confirm the break in down trend from Aug '25. I think this eventually gets over 60. ATH is roughly 65.
TOST Oversold HPS multiple Indicators setting upToast Inc. is a cloud-based platform providing restaurant management software, including POS systems, payments, and operations tools. It's a growth stock in fintech/SaaS, benefiting from restaurant digitization but volatile with economic sensitivity to hospitality spending.
Recent Performance & Fundamentals:
Current Price: $34.98 (as of Oct 10, 2025 close, down 5.10% on the day with 6.88% intraday fluctuation).
Market Cap: $18.8B.
52-Week Range: ~$20–$60 (trading mid-range after YTD volatility).
Key Metrics: Trailing P/E 92.64, EPS (TTM) $0.39 (up 223% YoY on strong growth). Forward P/E 29.85; Q3 earnings due Nov 6.
News/Outlook: Recent survey highlights industry adoption, but shares dipped on broader market rotation; EPS growth and revenue ramps support 2025 optimism.
Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Strong Buy. Analyst consensus is Overweight/Buy (29 ratings), with average price target $50.30 (~44% upside from here), high $60, low $36. Ideal entry on dip for growth portfolios, but watch consumer spending.
Technical Areas to Watch:
Short-term bearish/oversold (overall Sell signal), potential rebound setup. Key levels:
Support: $34.00 (recent low; break eyes $30 psychological).
Resistance: $36.00 (prior close; clear for $40 50-day MA).
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 30.41 (oversold—watch bounce >40).
MACD: -0.29 (bearish, but divergence possible).
MAs: Below 200-day ~$39.91 (Sell); volume up on dip.
TOST – Flat base breakout. Volume confirmation. Hammer off 21DMATOST – Toast Inc.
Setup Grade: A-
• Entry: $45.68 (7/15)
• Status: Active
• Trailing Stop: $43.96 (2x ATR)
• Setup: Flat base breakout. Volume confirmation. Hammer off 21DMA. RS: 92.
• Plan: Manage breakout hold. Raise stop if price holds above $46.
• Earnings: August 5
TOST Flat Base Breakout AttemptToast Inc. (TOST)
🚀 Entry: $45.68
📊 Setup: Flat Base Breakout Attempt
🛑 Stop: $42.19
🎯 Target: $56.98
🔑 Why I Entered:
Ideal flat base formation, tight consolidation under $45.56 pivot with volume drying up neatly between key moving averages.
Clear bullish moving average stack (rising 10/21/50/200 DMA).
Strong relative strength rating (92) with accelerating EPS growth signaling fundamental leadership.
🎯 What's Next:
Confirming breakout with strong volume above $46.00 pivot; will tighten stops accordingly once confirmed.
Earnings expected in four weeks—will closely manage the position as the event approaches.
Toast: raise a toast!!!NYSE:TOST this has given so many chances to enter while still maintaining this flag, currently a double inside month and creating a tight flag here
can still enter here for a good risk reward, since the price has not gone anywhere, the IV on the options will be relatively lower and any increase in IV would mean your options gain value,
has earnings coming up in the next few weeks which will cause the IV to increase
plus being in payment processing space and Americans spending non stop should be a net positive for the business
Hard to find a "butter" trade than TOST - long at 42.49This is my first actual trade of TOST. No particular bias against it, just haven't traded it before. But looking at its paper results, I wish I had been.
Since the first of the year, it has outperformed QQQ more than 2:1 on a B/H basis, which I always like to see, but don't always get in a trade. But its 16.71% return pales compared to what I'd have gotten had I been trading it. It generated 16 signals since Jan 1.
The summed (non-compounded) return on those trades, collectively, would have been +49.2% and that includes an open signal that is down almost 5% right now. The average trade lasted 9 days (increased by one trade that lasted 56 days). The average gain in those 9 days was 3.08% (.33%/day or almost 8x the avg market return and 5x that of the QQQ so far this year). The median results were even better: +2.64% in 4.5 days (+0.59% per day held).
As a bonus here, the stock is well above its 200d MA and is at the upper edge of the GC overlay bullish ribbon (also a good sign of strength). Like Monday's idea, none of this guarantees success, but it ups the odds.
While I don't do price targets, the 1 open buy signal was triggered 4.77% above where the stock is now, so I expect that to be eventually taken out. But, it's been 6+ weeks since that signal already, so how soon is anyone's guess. I will likely take my profits when my profit taking signal clicks, be that in one day or in weeks. Maybe I'll get lucky and it will take out that 4.77% level in a hurry. 5 of the 16 trades so far this year have eclipsed that level, so it's not out of the question. We shall see.
The win is all I seek. What the market gods deign to give me in terms of magnitude and time required is up to them. I will accept it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
ToastyI'm really liking this chart and believe in the fundamentals. I believe we are seeing a pullback and have outlines 3 areas of support below. At least the first should be tested before another uptrend. I'd love it to get lower for selfish reasons and if it got to the 3rd green horizontal i'd buy some longer dated call options. FCF / EPS / Net margin all trending in the right direction.
Safe Entry Zone TOSTNote: Switch to 1H TF for better View and more details
Stock Current Movement Ranging.
4h Green is buy Zone stop loss Below.
4h Red Is Resistance Zone.
P.High Lines (Previous High) Consider as Strong Resitances!
Also My Beloved CAthie Wood BEST INVESTOR All Time (based on statics better than Warren Buffet Entire Histroy) Is BUYING!
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
TOST getting toastyTOST Technical Analysis (Breakout Setup):
Current Pattern: Bull flag forming after a strong breakout from the $40.50 zone with increasing volume.
Resistance: $44.33 – key level to break for momentum continuation.
Support levels:
$42.00 (top of previous consolidation zone)
$40.55 (bull flag base and breakout pivot)
Ideal Breakout Play:
Watch for breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, ideally clearing $44.33 with volume.
A daily close above $44.33 confirms continuation — target $47–48 short-term, with potential run to $50 psychological.
Invalidation:
Break below $40.55 on volume negates the setup, suggesting failed breakout.
Favorable Path:
Consolidate slightly → Break flag above $44.33 → Ride momentum to $47–48. Risk/reward favors long bias above $44.33.
💡 This is a textbook bull flag following a high-volume breakout — high probability if volume confirms the breakout.
Toast, Inc. (TOST) – Powering the Future of RestaurantsCompany Snapshot:
Toast NYSE:TOST is cementing its position as the go-to restaurant operating system, offering integrated solutions for payments, POS, inventory, and guest engagement—all tailored for food service businesses.
Key Catalysts:
Recurring Revenue Powerhouse 💸
ARR hit $1.7B in Q1 2025 — up 31% YoY
SaaS-driven model provides high visibility and stickiness
Expanding Client Base & Network Effects 📈
Serving ~140,000 locations, up 25% YoY
More locations = richer data + stronger product improvement + increased client lock-in
Enterprise-Grade Momentum 🏢🍔
Wins with Applebee’s (~1,500 locations) and Topgolf demonstrate Toast's scalability
Validates ability to support complex, high-volume operators
Operating Leverage in Motion ⚙️
As ARR scales, margins improve—positioning Toast for profitable growth over time
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $37.00–$38.00
🚀 Target: $60.00–$62.00
📈 Growth Drivers: Enterprise adoption, recurring revenue, SaaS scale, network effects
💡 Toast is becoming the digital backbone of modern restaurants—serving up growth with every seat. #TOST #SaaS #RestaurantTech
TOST in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band
Target is upper channel around $42
TOST bullish setupTOST had a nice fakeout and then dump as the market pumped and dumped tech stocks. This stock fell right back into the wedge and is still setting up bullish imo. This dump allowed for a nice reset of BBWP and momentum, just what the doctor ordered. I would say we are back in the buy zone here. I have added supply and demand zones here.
My plan:
We are in the buy zone, if one of my swing trades pump I will add 100 shares.
My plays last week were 50% moves within a day so I closed them since thats one of my rules for selling options.
I have a 41$ covered call sold, and will look to sell more if we pump






















