Long trade in TOSTTOST went public in late 2021 - just in time to get slaughtered in last year's bear market. But the stock is now turning around.
I like the late-2021 and 2022 IPO bucket since a lot of these names have not had a chance to shine in a healthy market. Many are trading for a fraction of their IPO price and beginning to shine. TOST is one of them.
After nearly doubling off its lows in the middle of last year, TOST began forming a large consolidation base.
Notice how the stock respects its 200-day moving average. What was initially resistance has become support after reclaiming the 200-day, and TOST is now breaking out to new 52-week highs.
Last week's pullback to the 21-day moving average (blue line) was immediately bought. We are seeing tennis ball action as TOST jumps right back to its highs which is a good sign of support buying.
We are seeing the first base breakout in the stock's history which, historically, has led to substantial upside moves in new companies with game-changing products like Toast.
NOTE: The company reports earnings on Thursday, 2/16 so I will be keeping exposure light until we see the numbers and how the stock reacts.
Trade ideas
TOST - Emerging from BaseTOST hit bottom 8.5 months ago on 12 May 2022 and began a 2 stage basing, lasting 3 and 5+ months respectively (pink and blue box shown on chart).
During its basing, there were high volume accumulations on numerous occasions.
Stage 2 basing occurred over 5.5 months with the stock whip-sawing around its 200 day moving average until the MA is no longer downward sloping but completely flat now (and ready to turn up...).
Yesterday the stock finally pierced above the a critical neckline @ 22.50 and has remained above so far. The odds of this being a successful breakup is much greater now owing to the shift in overall market sentiment.
An aggressive trader would enter on the breakof the neckline (Entry 1) with initial stop loss placed just below the most recent pivot low @20. The more conservative trader could wait until the uptrend is slightly more established and enter at #2.
Watch out for earnings expected on 14 Feb.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
$TOST for the bulls!(1) We’ve got a golden cross (2) there was a more than 50% surprise in earnings and a decent surprise in revenue (we know earnings is more important though) (3) the stochastic indicates that price is undervalued as well as that downwards momentum is low, (4) and looks like a double bottom of support! We’ll see what happens.
TOST - potential golden cross & inverse H&SDespite the volatility, TOST is still showing superior relative strength to the market, now trading 66% above it's June's low of $12.
A golden cross (50day MA crossing above it's 200day MA) might be happening soon, plus it is also trading close to the neckline of now a more apparent inverse Head & Shoulders Base.
Perhaps these are signs that earnings (expected on 3 Nov) could surprise to the upside. Let's see!
p/s still a very volatile market. trade at own risk.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
TOST - uptrend underway TOST broke out of an Adam & Eve bottom formation on 10 Aug and has since been rather choppy, retesting the neckline support twice.
However, this stock is showing strength relative to the overall market, having already almost doubled from it's May's low @ 12.00.
It is in early days yet, expect some choppiness due to the overall market uncertainties but as long as each pullback is minor (not more than 50% fib retracement of each mini swing up, worst case 61.8% retracement), then it's ok to sit tight (but raise your stops up to just below each pivot).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
US Stock In Play: $TOST$TOST - Tech | Software Infra (another tech as the sector is leading in 1&3 mths RS)
traded out of a 6mths bullish falling wedge to rising 10/20 MAs and RS. pre-Fri's ER posted strongest ever quarterly sales. Fri traded as much as +19% intraday
ATH VWAP is a key pivot level now
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How Low Can Recent IPO Toast (NYSE: $TOST) Go❓Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States and Ireland. It offers Toast Point of Sale (POS), a hardware product; Toast Order & Pay, which allows guests to order and pay from their mobile devices; Toast Flex that is used for on-counter order and pay, as well as used as a server station, guest kiosk, kitchen display system, or order fulfillment station; Toast Go, a handheld POS device that enhances the table turn times through tableside ordering and payment acceptance; and Toast Tap, a card reader that supports NFC, EMV, and MSR payments. The company also provides kitchen display system software that connects the front of the house with the kitchen staff; multi-location management software, which allows customers to manage and standardize their operations and configure menus; xtraCHEF by Toast, a restaurant-specific invoice management software; and Toast Flex for Kitchen, a larger format mountable piece of hardware that can be used as a kitchen screen. In addition, it offers Toast Online Ordering & Toast TakeOut app, a software that connects online channels, point of sale, menu management, and kitchen operations in real-time; First-Party Delivery services for restaurants to manage a fleet of drivers, and customize delivery hours, zones, fees, and minimum ticket sizes; Toast Delivery Services, which enables restaurants to utilize a partner network of delivery drivers; and Toast Delivery Partners services. Further, the company provides loyalty programs and branded gifts; payroll and team management products; business owner policy insurance and restaurant-specific add-ons; payment processing solutions; loans advanced to restaurants; purchase financing; reporting and analytics solutions; Toast Partner Connect that allows customers to discover, select, and connect their restaurant to its partners; and bi-directional APIs. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
$TOST Interesting IPO SetupInteresting IPO in the Restaurant technology space. Been watching it for a bit
3 attempts last week to rally intraday & finding sellers closing in shooting star candles
3 wicks to play against
Orange bars is what I'd like to see happen next week. if so, I'll be very interested













