OUST (Ouster Inc) – Positioning for Next Growth Wave🚀 OUST (Ouster Inc) – Positioning for Next Growth Wave
Ticker: NASDAQ:OUST | Exchange: NASDAQ | Timeframe: 1W
📊 Fundamentals
Revenue trending +30% YoY growth, Q2’25 ~$35M.
Strong gross margins ~41%, with upside from software.
Cash ~$171M, no debt, reducing risk.
Still unprofitable, but losses narrowing.
⚡ Catalysts
“Physical AI” Strategy → Transition from pure lidar hardware to AI + software integration (recurring, high-margin revenue).
Diversified End-Markets → Industrial (Komatsu), smart infrastructure (traffic systems), defense (DoD unmanned systems).
Expanding Demand for Lidar → Robotics, smart cities, autonomous machines, mapping.
Strong Execution → Record 5,500 sensors shipped in Q2; consecutive revenue beats.
Balance Sheet Strength → Flexibility to invest without debt pressure.
⚠️ Risks
Still negative earnings & cash burn → dilution risk.
Hardware margin pressure (supply chain, tariffs).
Competition in lidar + AI space.
Valuation high vs. current sales.
📈 Price Projection
Base case (1 yr): $35-45 | (3 yr): $60-80
Bull case (1 yr): $50-60 | (3 yr): $90-120+
Bear case (1 yr): $20-30 | (3 yr): $30-50
📝 Takeaway
OUST is evolving into a Physical AI + lidar leader, with strong catalysts in defense, industrials, and smart cities. If execution holds, this could be an inflection point.
🔎 Watch levels: $28.95 support → $35 breakout → $50 resistance.
📅 Mid-term accumulation play.
Personal Note: One Govt. Defense Contract can soar its value anytime. Keep this in a watch list.
