Trade ideas
PLTR Bubble Has PoppedHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re revisiting PLTR. A few weeks ago, I called this a bubble — now I believe the bubble has popped.
Price ran into profit-taking levels and is now slipping back through light demand. The ugly price action was finally squeezed, and now you have an exhaustion from buyer coming down to test the light demand.
It's important to note that although this light demand is holding, we are getting a cold reaction from this area, suggesting buyers might not be as committed as before.
Red Scenario
If buyers can’t hold this light demand zone, expect PLTR to flush deeper. The next area of interest is strong retail support around 120–125, but I don’t think that holds for long. Below that, the top of demand around 90 becomes the next stop. Ultimately, the real institutional buyers are sitting down closer to 60 — and that’s where this could be headed if momentum really unwinds.
The only way this stays bullish is if light demand holds and we get a strong bounce. That would open the door for another test of the 169 profit target zone. Without that, everything still points lower.
Longer term, I see PLTR repricing down into institutional levels. Until we see aggressive buyers step in, I’d consider this bubble popped.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
Palantir: Approaches Key Resistance Palantir has recently posted strong gains, moving closer to our magenta Target Zone between $171.80 and $184.62, which we’ve identified as the (corrective) top of magenta wave (B). In this range, we expect the stock to reverse course and head lower, continuing the broader correction—making this a favorable area for short positions. Magenta wave (C) is then projected to reach the green Target Zone between $117.42 and $95, completing the green wave . At that point, we anticipate a more substantial corrective rebound in wave . The green zone is therefore well-suited for taking profits on short trades or initiating short- to medium-term long-positions to capture the (temporary) advance of wave . For these long trades, a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone can help manage risk.
PLTR Weekly Call Alert: Strike $170 Ready to Soar!
🚀 **PLTR Weekly Call Alert | 2025-09-10** 🚀
**📈 Directional Bias:** Strong Bullish (70% Confidence) ✅
**Why This Trade?**
* 🔹 Daily RSI 60.1 & Weekly RSI 60.8 rising → momentum confirmed
* 🔹 Call/Put flow 2.03 → institutional call positioning
* 🔹 Breakout above prior weekly high (\$162.40)
* ⚠️ Weekly volume only 1.0x → weaker confirmation; requires active management
**💡 Recommended Trade:**
* **Instrument:** PLTR weekly CALL
* **Strike:** \$170 💰
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12
* **Entry Price (Ask):** \$0.23
* **Direction:** LONG ✅
* **Position Size:** 1 contract (scale to account risk, high-gamma weekly scalp)
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
**🎯 Targets & Stops:**
* **Profit Target:** \$0.46 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.12 (\~48%)
* **Exit Rule:** Thursday EOD if neither stop nor target hit
**⚡ Key Risks:**
* High gamma & accelerating theta → short-duration trade
* Resistance cluster near \$169 → potential collapse if fails
* Thin options, bid-ask spreads → use limit orders, expect slippage
* Tail risk: negative headlines or market sell-offs
**💎 Trade Strategy:**
* Single-leg naked call
* Lower premium (\$0.23) for higher R/R
* Optional alternative: \$167.50 call @ \$0.41 for slightly higher delta and cost
**📊 JSON Snapshot:**
```json
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 170.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 0.46,
"stop_loss": 0.12,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.23,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-11 02:07:06 UTC-04:00"
}
```
💥 **TL;DR:** PLTR bullish weekly call. Buy \$170 at open, stop \$0.12, target \$0.46, exit Thursday EOD. Small size, high-gamma scalp — limited risk, strong momentum potential!
PLTR: Is a New Uptrend Beginning Above 165?PLTR: Is a New Uptrend Beginning Above 165?
PLTR is currently trading above the 165 Resistance level.
We need to observe if it closes above this resistance for a confirmed breakout.
A sustained close above 165 could signal the start of a new uptrend with a target of 185.
The immediate support to watch for any pullback is at 158.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Palantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATHPalantir: Cooling Off After a Strong Bull Run & ATH.
Palantir has recently taken a breather following an impressive upward rally. The stock surged from the $66 level on April 7th this year to reach a new all-time high of $190.
As expected, no asset moves parabolically upward forever without a retracement.
Over the past week, Palantir has been experiencing a pullback, with today’s session showing a decline of over 6%. The stock is currently trading around $161.
From a technical perspective, I am eyeing two potential entry zones — $160 and $150. Both levels align closely with the Fibonacci 50% and 61.8% retracement areas, making them significant points of interest for a possible rebound.
As always, I take a medium- to long-term approach to my trades, as patience is often the key to capturing real value in strong stocks.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, share, and connect with me. Let’s continue building a strong TradingView community together.
PLTR 1D Time frameCurrent Price & Market Metrics
Current Price: $162.36 USD
Previous Close: $156.10 USD
Day Range: Not available
52-Week Range: Not available
Market Cap: Not available
P/E Ratio: Not available
EPS: Not available
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 41.18 — Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-day: $155.47 — Buy
10-day: $156.69 — Sell
20-day: $164.09 — Sell
50-day: $156.92 — Sell
100-day: $140.04 — Buy
200-day: $111.35 — Buy
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -1.74 — Sell
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -47.49 — Neutral
Price Rate of Change (ROC): -10.30 — Sell
Trend Strength Indicator (ADX): 24.55 — Neutral
📈 Support & Resistance Levels
Support: $152.80 – $154.27
Resistance: $164.77
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $164.77 could signal a move toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $152.80 may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from momentum indicators and moving averages.
PLTR 1D Time frame📊 Palantir (PLTR) Daily Snapshot
Current Price: $162.36
Change: +4.01% from the previous close
Intraday Range: $156.37 – $162.75
Volume: 59,300,483 shares traded
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $162.75 (recent high)
R2: $165.00 (psychological level)
R3: $170.00 (next resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $156.37 (recent low)
S2: $150.00 (psychological support)
S3: $145.00 (next support zone)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 67.41 — Neutral to slightly bullish
MACD: 1.51 — Positive momentum
Moving Averages:
5-day SMA: $157.25 — Buy signal
50-day SMA: $145.00 — Buy signal
200-day SMA: $130.00 — Buy signal
Stochastic Oscillator: 77.32 — Overbought
ADX (14): 44.32 — Strong trend strength
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Positive momentum following recent gains and analyst upgrades.
Sector Performance: AI and data analytics sectors showing strength, with Palantir leading gains among peers.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $162.75 could lead to a push toward $170.00.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $156.37 may test support around $150.00.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
PLTR Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* PLTR is trading around 153.6, down nearly -2% after a sharp pullback from the 160 rejection zone.
* Price is consolidating sideways after defending the 152 support area.
* Trendline from earlier lows still holding, but momentum remains weak in the short term.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 154.3–156.1 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 160.0 → Major Gamma resistance + Call Wall.
* 162.5–167.5 → Upper resistance cluster with stacked Call Walls.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 152.3 → Key intraday support.
* 150.0 → HVL + strong Put Support.
* 145.0 → 140.0 → Secondary Put Walls (deeper cushion).
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Leaning mildly bullish, but with strong resistance near 160 Gamma Wall.
* IVR: 14.2, slightly elevated, meaning options are pricing moderate volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 160 = Heavy Call resistance cap.
* 150 = Strong Put support anchor.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover active, momentum fading.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and attempting to turn upward → possible bounce setup if 152 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 152 holds):
* Bounce from 152–153 support, push through 154.3–156.1.
* Next upside targets: 160 test, then extension to 162.5–167.5 if squeeze develops.
Bearish Case (if 152 breaks):
* Breakdown below 152 brings price to 150 support.
* If 150 fails, extension to 145.0–140.0 Put Walls.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor entries near 152–153 support, targeting 156 → 160.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 156–160, stops above 161.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 150.0.
* Shorts → above 161.0.
Summary
PLTR is in a neutral-to-bearish short-term setup, holding just above 152 key support. If bulls can defend this zone, upside retest toward 156–160 Gamma Wall is possible. A failure under 152 shifts bias bearish, exposing 150–145 downside. Options flow shows capped upside at 160, but solid downside protection at 150.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
PLTR $162.5C — Smart Money Loading, Can Price Catch Up?"
# 🔥 PLTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** 📉 Neutral-to-Slight Bearish (price action)
**But...** 📊 Options Flow = Strongly Bullish (C/P 1.66)
**Conviction:** ⭐⭐ (50% speculative)
---
### 📊 Key Takeaways
* ❌ **Momentum:** Daily RSI 36.3 falling → bearish pressure
* ❌ **Volume:** 0.8× avg → no institutional confirmation
* ✅ **Options Flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P 1.66) → divergence vs price
* ✅ **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15.2) → cheap calls, low gamma risk
* ⚖️ **Consensus:** Most models = *no trade*, but speculative call flow play is possible
---
### 🎯 Trade Plan (Speculative Flow Play)
* **Instrument:** \ NASDAQ:PLTR
* **Direction:** CALL (naked)
* **Strike:** \$162.50
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$0.96 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.60
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.48
* **Size:** 1 contract (small, strictly sized)
* **Entry Timing:** Open
---
### 🧠 Rationale
* Options traders buying aggressively → possible **short-squeeze / bounce**.
* Weak volume + bearish RSI = technical headwind.
* This is a **tactical, high-risk punt**, not a conviction swing.
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* 📉 Downtrend may dominate → option decays fast.
* ⏳ 5 DTE = heavy theta decay midweek.
* 💸 Spread/slippage risk at open.
* 📰 Macro/news can flip flow instantly.
---
## 📌 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
```json
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 162.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.50,
"profit_target": 1.60,
"stop_loss": 0.48,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.96,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 06:53:26 EDT"
}
```
---
🔥 **Summary:**
This is a **flow vs. trend battle.**
Price says bearish 📉, options traders say bullish 📈.
Take the \$162.5C as a **small-size speculative punt** → defined risk, fast exit.
PLTR short update PLTR has been on a decline finally after a historic run. The stock had a clear reversal candle. I am working the OBV indicator back into my strategy and the channel looks tested to the downside, this is another momentum indicator but I find patterns are easier to spot on it. You can also note divergences. I think we go to 120 here in the coming weeks or the green demand box near 80$.
For Those Trading PalantirPLTR has greatly accelerated it's growth trend lines. Right now PLTR is almost 3 years ahead of it's main long term trend line. What this means is upside potential is diminishing.
I see a lot of long charts for PLTR and wanted to share that support is actually at $134. So if you're a PLTR trader, looking to buy, that's the best area to do it.
If however you're looking to sell, then $230 is your spot.
I feel like people buying PLTR are playing a bit with fire as the fast gains are likely gone and eventually a return to the long term trend line is likely. I don't see that happening at least until IXCO runs into resistance, so until then $134 is the buy area.
Good luck!
Palantir (PLTR) Fractal AnalysisOver 180 days, PLTR climbed aggressively, fueled by high conviction buying. With candlesticks showing strong green bodies and upside momentum, peaking near the $190 52-week high.
This analysis focuses on the fractal comparison in the chart, forecasting an extended bearish phase that could drag the stock significantly lower before any stabilization.
I predict PLTR enters an extended correction phase. This fractal symmetry suggests the downside could match or exceed the prior upside's duration and magnitude, projecting a measured move toward $65 or lower
Cumulative Delta | Condensed PxCumulative delta is often used to try and get a picture of the real condensed price action as it is all buys minus all sales.
But I never see anyone doing TA on CVD candles even though it makes perfect sense.
So I’ve done it here with Fib Retracement as an experiment and it looks significant to me, I need to also use Non cumulative delta volume bars and perform the same analysis but my concept is:
let’s be reductive as there’s always so much noise
why not draw classic patterns on cvd as it would be similar to drawing them on tick or volume based charts
Palantir - BullishPalantir has completed a healthy retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the recent major bullish rally, a key area that often acts as strong support during trending markets. This level not only holds technical significance from a Fib perspective, but it's also been respected structurally as a prior demand zone. What's particularly notable is the formation of a clear hammer candle at this level — a classic bullish reversal signal — indicating strong buying interest stepping in after a temporary pullback. This confluence of Fib support and bullish candlestick pattern suggests the bulls may be ready to resume control, potentially setting the stage for the next impulsive leg up.
Entry: CMP
TP 1: 190
TP 2: 260 (ABCD projection)
SL: 128
Palantir UpdatePLTR made a new local low today but swiftly recovered after. I could be one degree off, and price could have intentions of making another move below the (b) wave $149.37. At this time, I still believe the minor A wave is in fact complete, however, we still don't have confirmation. If price can move above $164.18, I will call that the confirmation needed to verify we are in fact within wave B.
We still have positive divergence in the micro charts. This suggests pressure should push us higher to the target box. That is of course assuming this will maintain a standard target. It is a B wave though if my count is correct. This should give you a heads up that the pattern will quite possibly become very complex.
Unless price moves below $142.35, my primary analysis points to the target box above.
PALANTIR GOES READY TO 'WHAKA WHAKA' BEARS CORNER╭∩╮( •̀_•́ )╭∩╮Palantir Technologies’ recent stock decline in August 2025 stems from a combination of technical and fundamental factors. After an explosive rally in the first half of the year - driven by strong enthusiasm for AI, record financial results, and a wave of commercial and government contracts - the stock entered a pronounced six-day losing streak, dropping over 17%, with more than $73 billion of market capitalization wiped out from its recent peak.
Fundamental Reasons
Valuation Concerns. Palantir’s valuation soared to extreme levels, with forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between 193 and 252, dwarfing those of other tech giants like Microsoft and Apple (whose ratios hover around 30). This staggering valuation reflects enormous investor expectations for future growth, creating vulnerability to profit-taking and re-rating if growth moderates or disappoints.
Short Seller Critiques. Citron Research’s Andrew Left released a report arguing Palantir is “detached from fundamentals,” suggesting its shares should be valued at $40, compared to recent levels around $158–$190, using price-to-revenue metrics aligned with OpenAI’s $500 billion valuation. His public criticism catalyzed bearish sentiment and led to a surge in short-selling profits.
Competitive Landscape. Palantir’s government segment, historically its core business, is facing intensified competition. New Department of Defense contracts awarded to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI signal that the company’s dominance over federal AI budgets may be waning. Growth outside the US has also slowed due to regulatory and competitive hurdles.
Earnings Growth but Slowing Trajectory. Palantir delivered its first $1 billion revenue quarter and continues to post robust year-over-year growth. However, concerns remain about the sustainability of this pace. Consensus forecasts now project more moderated annual growth rates, and Wall Street’s consensus outlook shifted from “Buy” to “Hold,” with a bearish 12-month price target of $107—significantly below recent prices.
Technical Reasons
Overbought Conditions. After rallying 100%+ year-to-date, technical indicators such as the 14-day Relative Strength Index approached “overbought” territory (RSI ~62), suggesting the risk of a near-term pullback. Furthermore, shrinking volumes on continued price increases indicated waning bullish momentum, with buyers becoming more cautious and profit-taking accelerating.
Correction from Record Highs. The rapid run-up led Palantir into a vulnerable technical posture; corrections often follow periods of exuberant price action, particularly when coupled with weak underlying volume and stretched technical metrics. Recent technical analysis flagged downside risk if momentum falters and results disappoint relative to lofty expectations.
Outlook and Further Price Action.
Mid-term, Palantir’s trajectory hinges on whether it can continue to justify and deliver against the premium embedded in its valuation. Sustained AI adoption and successful expansion in commercial sectors could underpin further long-term growth. However, any slowdown in earnings growth, intensifying competition in government contracts, or a sharp marketwide rotation out of high-multiple tech stocks could drive further downside.
Short-term, the combination of elevated valuation, technical overextension, and negative headlines from prominent short sellers has increased the volatility.
In comparative terms, despite of recent nearly 20 percent decline from all the history peak, in nowadays Palantir' stock demonstates the best of the best year-to-date +104.96% performance in 2025 over the all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components. Palantir' stock returns over the past 5 years prevail +1000 per cent.
Among all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components, only three another great stocks were able to do the same over the past 5 years - MicroStrategy (+2204%), Supermicro (+1489%) and Nvidia Corporation (+1258%).
The main technical graph inndicates on major support in Palantir stocks near $160 per share, with further possible price action in the second half of the year 2025.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ: PLTR – Strong Trendline & SMA Confluence SupportNASDAQ: PLTR Palantir remains in a clear uptrend with the moving averages aligned (SMA 50 > SMA 100 > SMA 150 > SMA 200). Since April, price has consistently traded above the 50-day SMA, finding support on each pullback to the trendline (green line). This trendline has been tested four times over the past six months, the latest on August 20.
On August 20, PLTR formed a hammer candlestick while testing multiple key supports simultaneously:
1) Horizontal support (red dotted line)
2) Cut Lower Bollinger Band
3) Tested 50-day SMA
4) Trendline support (green line)
5) Stochastic in oversold zone
6) Takeout stops pattern: wick flushed below prior lows, likely taking out stops before reversing
This strong confluence of signals suggests buyers are defending the level, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.