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VTMNX trade ideas

Rising Geopolitical Tension (Iran Conflict) Signals Market RiskMoving Partially to Cash (VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, TECL, SOXL) The global market is entering a high-risk environment. Geopolitical escalation, particularly the growing threat of direct US involvement in a military conflict with Iran, is pushing global uncertainty to new highs. Tensions in the Middle East, rising oil and gold volatility, and increased friction between major world powers all point toward a potential market breakdown. On the chart, VEA ETF is showing signs of topping out within a rising wedge pattern. Meanwhile, institutional funds are starting to reduce exposure to high-risk assets. I'm taking partial profits and shifting to cash across VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, SOXL, and TECL to preserve gains. Buy-back zones are set around 53.00, 48.00, and 44.00. In an environment of global escalation and rapid risk-off sentiment, active portfolio defense is more important than passive hope.
AMEX:VEAShort
by InvestWorld_777
Price Played Out Exactly As Predicted — Jan 14 Setup RevisitedOn January 14, I shared this precise setup here on TradingView. At the time, it didn’t get much attention—but I trusted the analysis. Today, price played out exactly as projected. Every level respected. Every zone reacted to. This isn’t hindsight—this is foresight, documented and time-stamped. Key Notes: • Clean market structure • Precise liquidity sweep and shift • Institutional confluence at premium/discount zones • Patience + precision = result I’m sharing this not to say “I was right”—but to highlight what’s possible with disciplined analysis. If you’re serious about trading or just want to see how I break down charts in real-time, feel free to drop a follow. Let the chart speak
AMEX:VEA
by MOFX-01
The next Big Short (predicting the next recession)Hi guys, I will be presenting a trade idea that is of a much larger scale. This trade idea involves predicting the next recession - something that is at the back of almost every investor's minds. I will be proposing an open trade at 45.06, which is represented close to the fibonacci 0.786 level, a stop loss at the 51.94 level (which is close to the previous high), as well as a conservative take profit level at 40.22 as represented by the fibonacci 0.618 level as well as a second, more risky take profit at 20.51, which is represented by the previous low. The reasons for the next recession can be summed up by the following statement: a bubble in the fixed income market. 1. Ultra low interest rates by government bonds push yield-hungry investors to corporate bonds, which offer a much higher yield. 2. This leads to the cost of borrowing to fall for these corporates, which in turn provides more capital for the companies to conduct share buybacks, thus artificially pushing the prices of stocks up (which is why we see the S&P 500 testing new highs despite cash flows out of the stock market and into cash and bonds being the highest since 2008) 3. Lesser transparency and covenants by these companies as there is inelasticity and a fall in bargaining power by lenders for corporate bonds. 4. The fallen angel risk as well as the credit downgrade risk has been rising and is at an abnormally high rate at the time of writing, reflecting that companies' debt to equity ratio is increasing. It is only a matter of time that companies will start being unable to repay or refinance their debt, and this will be exacerbated by a mass sell-off of CLOs in the event of a fall in consumer sentiments in the bond market, therefore increasing companies' cost of borrowing and rendering them unable to refinance and repay their debts. I am open to any criticism and I humbly accept that my opinion has many caveats. Do let me know if you guys have any opinions on this trade idea. Cheers!
AMEX:VEAShort
by josephtwe123