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NATURALGASCFD trade ideas

NATGAS - Targets acquired! Bullish Breakout! 📊 NATGAS – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Price has respected the monthly demand zone (2.1 – 2.3) with a strong reaction. Structure still inside a wide swing range, but higher timeframe bias is shifting bullish. Long-term upside targets sit around 4.9+, aligning with the top of the range and prior supply. 🕰 Weekly (1W) Clear weekly engulfing candle confirming demand reaction. Target Level 1: 3.3 – 3.4 zone (short-term imbalance/supply). Target Level 2: 4.9+, lining up with range highs. As long as price holds above 2.1 invalidation level, bullish continuation remains intact. ⏱ Daily (1D) Current push showing strong momentum off support with liquidity trend building. Immediate upside focus on 3.3+, where first supply/imbalance sits. Expect retracements into demand zones to be respected as buying opportunities until major resistance levels are tested. ⏳ 8H Price broke out of a descending channel, retesting the buy zone reaction area (2.8 – 2.9). Upside liquidity targets at 3.3 in the near-term. Smaller resistance noted, but structure favors continuation higher toward daily imbalance + supply zones. 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish reversal from higher timeframe demand Entry Zone: 2.8 – 2.9 (buy zone reaction) Targets: 3.3 (short-term), 4.9 (long-term swing) Invalidation: Break below 2.1 demand base
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by jamesibartram
1
NATAG! - MOVE INCOMING!🚨 NATGAS – The Calm Before the Pop? 🚨 Alright traders, let’s break this beast down 👇 🕰 Weekly View Price just rejected hard from the 3.4 – 3.8 supply zone and has been sliding since. Now we’re parked on the 2.6 – 2.7 liquidity trendline. This is the decision point — bounce or flush into the 2.0s. 📉 Daily Structure The Elliott Wave count lines up: Wave (1) topped near 5.0 Wave (2) retraced cleanly Wave (3) rallied to 4.2 Wave (4) dragged us back to support Now the big question → do we get a Wave (5) relief rally back into 3.2 – 3.4 supply? 👀 ⏱ 4H Breakdown On the lower timeframe, price is coiling tight. Liquidity is building, stops are stacked, and it looks like a bear trap setup. A bullish push here could rip into overhead supply before the bigger trend resumes. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry Zone: 2.6 – 2.7 support TP1: 3.2 TP2: 3.4 – 3.5 SL: Below 2.45 (don’t hang around if it breaks) This isn’t a macro reversal — just a counter-trend bounce play. Quick in, quick out. ⚡ What do you think?
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by jamesibartram
1
Natural Gas: Ambiguous Wave 4, Key Scenarios for Next WeekNatural Gas could have already completed its 4th wave, or it might extend further. The rally from the low of wave 3 is particularly challenging to count. I spent an hour on it but still couldn't find a clear and reliable wave interpretation. However, given the low probability of correctly counting any single wave and the highly subjective and variable nature of this method, it's not the most critical thing. What is important is to focus on the confluence of patterns and wave counts across different timeframes, avoid going against the momentum indicators, and always factor in key reversal points. It's based on these reversal points that I've built out my approximate scenarios for the start of next week.
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by Energeia_Charta
Natural gas starts week higher on demand outlookNatural gas starts week higher on demand outlook U.S. natural gas climbed to $3.2, supported by forecasts for above-normal temperatures later this month and steady LNG feedgas flows. Demand is expected to stay light for the next six days but rise in mid-September as heat returns. Prices also gained on supply concerns amid Kinder Morgan pipeline repairs and the anticipated full restart of Freeport LNG. Forecasts for warmer weather across the eastern and southern U.S. added further support. Despite strong production near record highs, storage remains 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
LNG in Week 36: Wind Generation Exacerbates Gas Storage SurplusCurrent prices vs. price spread 10 days before expiration by month since 2010 The NGV25 near contract is trading around the median figure but showing high volatility. The next contract, NGX25, as well as the winter 2026 contracts, show moderate contango, but their prices remain within the interquantile range.  Current forward curve vs. 2020-2025 The forward curve shape remains stable and is approaching the configuration of the curves for the same calendar day in 2023 and 2024. This is particularly evident for contracts with delivery dates three years or more in the future. The differences in the short dated contracts are still significant.  Current inventory and forecast for next week compared to 2019-2024 For week 35 (Aug. 25-31), storage inventories are forecast to increase by +68 BCF. Fill rates are consistently above the median for the past five years. Injection rates remain positive due to high production and low consumption, mitigating shortage risks ahead of the withdrawal season.  Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks comparing 1994-2024 In the continent as a whole, in the 36th week of this year, the weather in terms of HDD+CDD is significantly below the average for the last 30 years of observations. In the next week, week 37, HDD+CDD is also forecast to be well below average, leading to lower demand for AC power and increasing downward pressure on prices. Explanation of the chart: candles represent quantiles for 30 years from 1994 to 2024. Red dots 2024, green 2025, blue prediction 2025   Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994-2024 by region The projections for the major regions are consistent with the general trend: HDD+CDD rates are below the average of the last 30 years of observations.  Weekly cumulative supply/demand differentials compared to 2014-2024 The supply-demand balance has narrowed below the decade average. Production has been generally declining and is projected to keep declining. Imports from Canada, exports to Mexico, and LNG supply remain stable, however. Electricity demand has declined due to seasonal factors and warmer weather, while industrial sector demand remains at average levels. Meanwhile, wind generation increased for this period between 2024 and 2025 by a factor of 4, according to MISO grid operator, from 58,487 Mwh in 2024 to 239,952 Mwh in 2025. According to PJM grid operator the metric rose by a factor of 2 from 3,312 Mwh in 2024 to 70,070 Mwh in 2025, respectively. This compensated some of the gas consumed, thereby exacerbating the gas storage surplus. So we are now heading for a 150 unit surplus relative to the 5 year median. Importantly, without lowering the production, new risks are emerging pointing to entering the zone of new considerable gas storage excess capacities, thus putting additional downward price pressure. Seasonally, September is considered one of the quietest months, when air conditioning is not so active and heating is not yet on. Thus, before the start of the pumping season storages accumulate enough surplus volumes. With the data we have now, there is every reason to expect the start of the season to be 200+ surplus, relative to the average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev
Natural Gas Market Outlook ‖ Bullish Breakout with Risk Control💎 XNG/USD Natural Gas – Thief Trader’s Money Loot Plan (Swing/Scalping) 💎 🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Strategy: Bullish triangular moving average breakout, aligned with Fibonacci 0.382 level. Entry (Layered Style): Using multiple limit orders (Thief layering strategy). Example entries: $2.900 $2.950 $3.000 (You may add more layers depending on your risk appetite.) Stop Loss: $2.800 (Thief SL). ⚠️ Note: Adjust SL based on your own risk tolerance and strategy. Target Zone: Major seller pressure expected near $3.400 — our escape target set at $3.200. 📌 Reminder: Take profit at your own discretion — you control your loot, not me. ❓ Why This Setup? ✅ Technical Basis: Bullish triangle breakout + Fibonacci 0.382 retracement signals continuation upside. ✅ Layered Entry Advantage: Reduces risk by scaling in across levels, catching volatility without FOMO. ✅ Market Structure: Current consolidation near $2.93 provides a solid base for accumulation. ✅ Sentiment Balance: Both retail & institutional lean bullish, supporting potential breakout momentum. ✅ Macro Tailwinds: Strong LNG export growth and expected winter heating demand underpin the long thesis. This plan aligns both short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals, creating a high-probability swing/scalping opportunity. 🌟 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) Market Report - September 3, 2025 🌟 📊 Current Price Snapshot Spot Price: $2.93 per MMBtu (Henry Hub benchmark) 📉 (Holding steady after recent dips, reflecting balanced supply/demand.) 😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook Retail Traders: 55% Bullish 🟢 | 35% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Optimism from LNG demand + weather, but some concern on inventories.) Institutional Traders: 60% Bullish 🟢 | 30% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Focused on exports & production stability, while cautious on oversupply.) 📌 Overall Mood: Mildly positive — upside potential if weather demand rises. 😨 Fear & Greed Index Current Level: Neutral (Score ~50/100) ⚖️ Fear factors: Storage 5% above 5-year avg, mild summer demand. Greed drivers: LNG exports + winter demand expectations. Market vibe = balanced — neither panic selling nor euphoric buying. 📈 Fundamental & Macro Score Fundamental Score: 7/10 🟢 Strong LNG shipments (31% growth expected). Inventories manageable, production +3% YoY. Key watch: Permian & Haynesville supply shifts. Macro Score: 8/10 🟢 Rising global energy needs (AI, data centers). Autumn cooling trend boosts heating demand. Asia’s growth keeps exports flowing. 🚀 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🟢📈 — ~60% confidence. Natural gas could push toward $3.60/MMBtu by late 2025 if balances tighten and exports expand. Winter could spark extra upside rallies ❄️🔥. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FXOPEN:XNGUSD NYMEX:NG1! ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Crude) FOREXCOM:USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold for risk hedge) TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index – inverse correlation play) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SwingTrading #Scalping #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarkets #Fibonacci #BreakoutStrategy #LayeringStrategy #TradingViewAnalysis #ThiefTrader
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work. Technicals (Weekly) • Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0). • Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying. • Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart. Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias • Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season. • LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere. • Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates. • Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price. • Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas. Trade Plan: • Entry: From weekly support (see chart). • Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens. What Breaks the Thesis • A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by AR33_
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ForexMasters2000
U.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global ShiftsU.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global Shifts U.S. natural gas futures climbed above $3 per MMBtu in early September, rebounding from a nine-month low of $2.73 on August 20 as expectations of lower domestic supply gained traction. Fresh data revealed that Russian LNG exports fell over 6% year-over-year through August, boosting the U.S. share in global LNG trade as Europe and Asia sought alternative sources. This shift has intensified bidding competition for limited U.S. gas supplies, adding upward price pressure. Storage levels remain tight, with EIA data showing a 3.4% annual decline. On the demand side, ExxonMobil projects global natural gas consumption to increase over 20% in the next 25 years, driven by the transition away from coal. However, after the Labor Day weekend, U.S. futures slipped 3.5% to $2.893/MMBtu, retreating from Friday’s $3 test. Analysts note that the market is entering the low-demand shoulder season, but a sustained dip in supply could revive bullish momentum, potentially pushing prices above $3.00 later this month.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas: The Bearish Raid is On! Are You In?🌟 ATTENTION ALL BLACK MARKET TRADERS & NINJA THIEVES! 🌟 (XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist Plan - Bearish Swing/Scalping) Yo! 🐱‍👤🤑 The vault doors are creaking open on Natural Gas, and it's time for a BEARISH HEIST! Our intel suggests the big dump is coming. Police ain't around, so let's move! 🚓💨 🦹‍♂️ THE MASTER HEIST PLAN (BEARISH EDITION) Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas) | Trade Type: Swing / Scalping Heist Overall Bias: BEARISH 📉👊 (We're stealing on the way DOWN!) 🎯 ENTRY PROTOCOL: THE "LAYER" HEIST For the OG Thieves who understand patience and precision. We're not chasing; we're setting traps! 🎪 ENTRY: Any price level is a gift! But for the pros, we're setting MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT ORDERS to layer our entry like a true market ninja. 🧨 LAYER 1: 2.740 🧨 LAYER 2: 2.770 🧨 LAYER 3: 2.800 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital. More layers, more loot! 💰💰💰 🚨 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car Engine) This is where we bail if the cops show up. Don't be a hero. 🛑 THIEF S.L.: @2.950 📢 OG ANNOUNCEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the shadow markets, adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy! Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🏁 TARGET (The Escape Route) The police barricade is set up down below. Our goal is to escape with the stolen money before we hit it! 🎯 T/P 1 (CASH OUT): @2.550 🚗💨 🚧 POLICE BARRICADE: @2.450 (Danger! Avoid this area!) 🔪 SCALPERS, LISTEN UP! 👂 If you're in and out quick, only scalp on the SHORT side. Ride those little downtrends for quick cash. Use a tight trailing stop to protect your mini-loot! 🏃‍♂️💵 ⚠️ HEIST ALERT: NEWS LOCKDOWN 🚫📰 Big news = cops everywhere! It creates chaos and volatility. To avoid getting caught: AVOID new trades during high-impact news. USE Trailing Stops to lock in profits on running heists. STAY STEALTHY. 🐱‍👤 💣 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💣 It fuels our underground network and helps us find the next perfect heist! Let's drain this market dry together! 🤑🤝❤️🎉 I'll see you in the shadows with the next score. Stay sharp! 🙈🙉🙊
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDShort
by The-Thief
NATURAL GAS: Stunning breakout!Natural Gas has had a wonderful move off the lows. Breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on inventories. Inventory report supports higher price. 27B exp build vs 18B actual. If you have been following our analysis you would have ought to have know to start accumulating into the key weekly gap fill zone. We have been pounding the table on resource stocks showing relative strength compared to the underlying commodity. Our members have received several alerts via: AMEX:BOIL , NYSE:EQT NYSE:AR NYSE:RRC and others. We have netted some wonderful profits and it looks like Nat Gas should climb higher after some near term consolidation. I would like to see Nat gas retest the major volume shelf (POC). That level should be monitored closely.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas ( 30 Min EMA Cross over)I have taken this trade on a 30-minute chart frame. And used stop loss on the 4-hour chart. Because I don't want my trade to close because stop loss was too close. The key factors that made me to take this trade. 1. The natural gas is bearish on longer daily and weekly trend. 2. i think the small crossover on 30 minute on the down side will help the cause. 3. Only worry here is that how long it pull backs into bullish direction, before it resumes its bearish bias. For that purpose, I have set up the stop loss on 2 hour time frame and above recent highs. Should know the outcome of this trade next week.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by blissfulDirect1561
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week highU.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week high as storage builds match forecasts U.S. natural gas stayed near a four-week high Thursday after EIA data showed inventories rose by 55 Bcf to 3,272 Bcf for the week ending Aug. 29, in line with expectations. Stocks remain 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply despite record LNG exports and strong demand. Higher production, with dry gas output at 107.1 Bcf/day, continues to pressure prices, while weather forecasts calling for warmer temperatures in mid-September may support short-term demand. LNG flows hit 15 Bcf/day, near record highs, as U.S. exports remain strong amid European and Asian demand.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
LNG Week 35:Fill Rate Holds Steady Above Median for Previous 5Y This LNG analysis was prepared by Dr. Igor Isaev in cooperation with Anastasia Volkova, LSE analyst. Current prices vs. price spread 10 days before expiration by month since 2010 (The top left graph) Over the past week, the gas price has been downtrending. The NGU25 contract expired 7% lower and the next contract NGV25 is trading 5-7% below the average price 10 days before expiration for all expired contracts over the previous 15 years. NGX25 is trading near the median. The 2026 and 2027 contract prices are virtually unchanged from last week and are trading at or below the upper quantile boundary for almost all months.   Current forward curve vs. 2020-2024 (The top graph in the middle) The shape of the forward curve is flattening out and resembling closer and closer the curve on the same calendar day of 2023, 2024 annual curves. This is especially noticeable on contracts with delivery 3 years from now and beyond. The divergence on near-term contracts is still large.  Current inventory and forecast for next week compared to 2019-2024 (The top right graph) For week 34 (Aug 18-24), a +34BCF gain in storage was recorded. Fill rate is holding steady above the median for the previous 5 years. Injection rates remain positive, which removes the risk of shortages due to the imminent start of the pumping season and contributes to downward price pressure. Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks comparing 1994-2024 (The lower left graph) In the overall continental cross-section, the past week 35 weather was well below average values observed over the past 30 years. Next week (36) HDD+CDD values are also expected to be well below average, contributing to lower electricity demand for air conditioning to downward price pressure. Explanation of the chart: candles represent quantiles for 30 years from 1994 to 2024. Red dots 2024, green 2025, blue prediction 2025  Weekly HDD+CDD total from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994-2024 by region (The lower graph in the middle) The projections by major regions are consistent with the overall picture: HDD+CDD values are below the average level based on observations over the past 30 years. Weekly cumulative supply/demand differentials compared to 2014-2024 (The lower right graph) For the third week in a row, the supply/demand differential held above the upper 10-year range. Production is holding strong, imports from Canada are down, exports to Mexico and LNG exports have recovered, while electricity demand is seasonally down slightly. The latter is additionally impacted by weather and industrial demand patterns and is holding at average levels.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev