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MP Materials Corp.

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MP trade ideas

MP Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation⛏️ MP Technical Outlook – Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation Ticker: MP (MP Materials Corp.) Timeframe: 30-minute candles 🔍 Current Setup MP has been consolidating after a steep sell-off earlier in the summer. Price action is now compressing into a symmetrical triangle — a neutral pattern that can break in either direction. Triangle Resistance: ~37.40 Triangle Support: ~31.30 Current price: ~35.70, sitting near the apex of the triangle. 📊 Breakout Levels 🚀 Upside (Bullish Scenario) Trigger: Break and close above 37.40. Intermediate Targets: 39.00–40.00 → Supply zone. 42.00–43.00 → Next resistance cluster. Measured Move Target: ~44.50 (triangle height projection). 🔻 Downside (Bearish Scenario) Trigger: Break and close below 34.00, with confirmation under 31.30. Intermediate Supports: 33.00 → Rising trendline zone. 31.30 → Major demand level. Measured Move Target: ~29.00 (triangle height projection downward). 📈 Volume Analysis Volume has declined during consolidation, which is normal for a triangle. Expect a volume spike on breakout to confirm direction. ⚖️ Probability Bias The preceding trend into the triangle was bullish (from ~$30 → ~$37), which slightly favors an upside continuation. Still, failure to defend 34.00 / 31.30 would flip the outlook bearish, re-testing prior lows. ✅ Takeaway MP is at a key inflection point inside a triangle pattern: Bullish Break > 37.40: Targets 39 → 42 → 44.50 Bearish Break < 34.00 / 31.30: Targets 33 → 31.30 → 29 Traders should wait for volume-backed breakout confirmation before positioning.
NYSE:MPLong
by QuantAi-Trend
2
MP Materials Inc Breaks Long-Term StructureMP has officially exited its multi-year descending channel, confirming a structural shift after forming a strong impulsive wave count. Price has now completed a 1–2 wave structure and is extending the 3rd wave with increased momentum. RSI currently prints at 79.87, indicating strength, yet a corrective wave (wave 4) may be due before the final thrust to wave 5 completes at $103.26. A critical immediate support zone exists around the $44–$51 range, which aligns with potential wave 4 retracement. This zone will act as the decision point for continuation. The final bullish projection targets $154.39, a potential macro resistance zone where profit-taking should be considered. Price action within this projected zone will determine the long-term trend continuation or reversal. Plan: Accumulate on corrective dips into the defined support zones. Hold through wave 5 completion and monitor market reaction around the projected zone for directional confirmation.
NYSE:MP
by weslad
8
Can Strategic Minerals Transform National Security?MP Materials has experienced a significant market revaluation, with its stock surging over 50% following a pivotal public-private partnership with the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). This multi-billion-dollar agreement, which includes a $400 million equity investment, substantial additional funding, and a $150 million loan, aims to rapidly establish a robust, end-to-end U.S. rare earth magnet supply chain. This strategic collaboration is designed to curtail the nation's reliance on foreign sources for these critical materials, which are indispensable for advanced technology systems across both defense and commercial applications, from F-35 fighter jets to electric vehicles. The partnership underscores a profound geopolitical imperative: countering China's near-monopoly over the global rare earth supply chain. China dominates rare earth mining, refining, and magnet production, a leverage it has demonstrably used through export restrictions amidst escalating trade tensions with the U.S. These actions highlighted acute U.S. vulnerabilities and the imperative for domestic independence, propelling the DoD's "mine to magnet" strategy aimed at achieving self-sufficiency by 2027. The DoD's substantial investment and its new position as MP Materials' largest shareholder signal a decisive shift in U.S. industrial policy, directly challenging China's influence and asserting economic sovereignty in a vital sector. Central to the deal's financial attractiveness and long-term stability is a 10-year price floor of $110 per kilogram for key rare earths, significantly higher than historical averages. This guarantee not only ensures MP Materials' profitability, even against potential market manipulation, but also de-risks its ambitious expansion plans, including new magnet manufacturing facilities expected to produce 10,000 metric tons annually. This comprehensive financial and demand certainty transforms MP Materials from a commodity producer vulnerable to market whims into a strategic national asset, attracting further private investment and setting a powerful precedent for securing other critical mineral supply chains in the Western Hemisphere.
NYSE:MPLong
by UDIS_View
MP Materials BreakoutMP Materials is benefitting from being the only integrated rare earth mining and processing site in North America. Trade wars heating up with China are a booster for this company which was already benefitting from having a new administration that wants to bring manufacturing back to the US and start sourcing rare earth elements locally. MP has broken out of a downtrend channel, back-tested the channel and held above, and is now moving higher. Not much keeping this one from ultimately going and testing that all-time high around $60. Lower indicators are bullish: PPO shows the green PPO line rising above the purple signal line, and both are above the 0 level which indicates short and intermediate bullish trends. TDI shows the green RSI line rising above the horizontal 60 level, in the upper half of it's Bbands, and above the purple signal line. Overall bullish trend in short and intermediate term. *This is one of 50 US companies that I buy and hold in my Roth.
NYSE:MPLong
by PrepForProfit
3
"Buy the dip" one of the largest rare earth producers - MPSeveral indicators suggest MP has finished its 3 year downward sprial and the stock is ready to reverse. The stock price has bounced off a multiple bottom, and crossed above 2020 high. While the stock is in the downward trend, it's trading closer to the lower end of the channel, providing further upside. Fundametally, need for rare earths is imminent. The company has $1.08 billion cash, almost twice its debt, securing its leverage position. Certainly heading upwards
NYSE:MPLong
by barneysimps_on
3
MP Materials: Falling Wedge With Bullish Divergence at a 0.886The Federal Reserve during the FOMC and in its SEP has hinted greatly towards deep rate cuts in 2024 because they see the CPI going down and no longer feel the need to tighten further, and are under the assumption that great progress has been made. I for one do not agree with this perspective and think rates need to go much higher before inflation can truly be subsided. Since the Fed is under what I view as a false assumption, I think we will now see Inflation and the CPI come back up even higher and faster than the first inflationary run up and that we will see this greatly reflected in Food, Energy, and Shipping prices. Along with this, I think it will affect the pricing of Rare Earth Elements which should end up being a positive for the Assets on the balance sheet of producers such as MP Materials, VALE, and US Steel: X, along with the REMX ETF; as demand for ships and other means of shipment/transport increases. The increase in demand for these types of shipments should also drive demand for the materials the shipping vehicles are made of, which should drive the prices higher for both. I do not think Gold and Silver will join this inflationary rally due to the collapse of the Japanese Carry Trade, and I do not believe the Dollar will lose much value during this rally in inflationary materials except against the Yen. This dynamic should also limit the rally potential in the big stock indexes, I only really expect certain names to benefit from the kind of inflation we are dealing with. So in short, I think the Bulk Dry Index continues to rise, Shipping Cost Rise, Ships themselves Rise, Oil Rises, and Rare Earth Materials Rise and when that happens, I suspect the Fed will pivot hard back in the other direction and start raising rates again.
NYSE:MPLong
by RizeSenpai
2
MP - What will you do for me?MP closed the week with a hammer candle, if this is confirmed with next week's candle close, this would set a short term bottom for MP. Red lines above mark the potential target for this wave (1) off the lows. So far it is shaping up as a leading diag off the lows for wave i, suggesting this next wave iii higher will be robust (as long as the low at 20.21 holds). Area of interest before moving higher is 23.1 - 22.33, stop at 22.11 should offer enough of a cushion to allow any upside to play out while limiting your downside risks - 1 Would look for this to be a decent swing (even long-term hold) play 28/31/38 are the first set of targets. If those are achieved this would be the potential wave i of 1 of (1) out of the lows with wave (3) targets of 71/85/101/150. R:R is lovely. Daily closed with a morning star formation that suggest a low could be in. GLTA!
NYSE:MPLong
by kstrizzle001