FCEL Panic Would be Premature: Still a MASSIVE LONGFCEL has struggled since its strong open on Wednesday. After flirting with 3.5/s, it has come back to earth and hovers sub-3.
That said, the graphical harmonics still illustrate the potential, notwithstanding FCEL could not break the FIB point at 3.04, except temporarily -- It recoiled to that FIB point and now sits just below it. The trusted EXIT point is still 3.32, and those figuring this could go atomic w/ a 4.49 FIB max out, can look and hope for that gain still. Whatever the case, the last 2 trading days do nothing to derail the previous ideas Re: the long play here on FCEL.
Worth noting: The best way to handle FCEL (at least one way) is to pad this with a covered call. That will be evaluated early next trading week. While the 4.49 top out isn't absurd the covered call will absolutely cut down on an ATOMIC GAIN, to be really honest about it.
FCELB trade ideas
Finding a Sell-point in $FCEL major run: Sanity Must PrevailWhile initially, before analysis, was hoping to target SELL Point on $FCEL in the 4.5 per share region, FIB Tracements, recent behavior, and a max peak today of 3.48 are indicating that the top out targetted now will be just over 3.6 per share. That said, there may be more room to run, but if it returns to what it already did when it nearly touched 3.5, this 3.6 exit-point will make enough sense.
Duly Note: Having entered at 2.91 per share, the ROI is significant enough to cash out on Fuel Cell's parabolic shift that happened today, Tuesday (AUG 19). If it turns out that I'm staying in the position past 3.6, with hopes of 4+, wait for that note then. Otherwise, a tentative exit point is definitely located and slightly inflated beyond top Fib point.
Thanks!! Happy trading, count stacks! , etc.
FCEL Re-entry Point, NOW - looking LONG post 4th C-Wave!FCEL became a dump when it traced sub 2.1/s during a deep trough to a short (in duration) fourth consolidation wave. The sideways and downward motion appears to have come to its halt. While some pre-emptive panic caused a slight loss during that re-trace, the entry point at 2.9 looks SPLENDID with a target zone between 3.2 and 3.3 per share, which it could spike to in rapid fashion. It's is tough to say it's an auto-dump at 3.2-3.3, though; the full upside will be worked out LATER.
Notwithstanding the spook of the fourth consolidation zone, the overall trend is still ascending in a ziggurat fashion: As to whether it fully breaks that trend, we will watch and see. Either way, this is again in the formation of a nice LONG -- so I'm re-entering!
GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
-BDR
FCEL 4th-wave FAILS; Rejected: Retracing, Bottom Out -> DUMP it.FCEL had the makings of a nice long - it even flashed the potential of going +3.1 / share.
It has lost all momentum in this latest correction wave with a virtual complete retrace of the third correction wave. The warning was that if this hit 2.1/s it would be in dump territory and it's pretty much there now. As to whether to hope for and wait on a slight bounce-back to the 2.4 range? I'd like to hope that's smart. That said, if it pushes close to the true trough of 2.10 - A loss will be taken that point and the position exited. This isn't necessarily hard-line advice, but it is certainly the red flag feared that signals a loss of faith in any sort of play on $FCEL holdings.
--Conclusion: Win some, lose some: This is NOW A LOSS.
--The average cost, for whatever it matters was 2.71. Thus, we're watching our chips leave at about a 60 cent per share drop. C'est la vie.
Best of luck to everybody! Happy trading?!
"Mama said there'd be days like this, there'd be days like this, mama said..."
-BDR
Post Note: See also the *failed* IDEA that this would NOT retrace the third - b/c reveling in misery is healthy. Sure.
$FCEL 4th-Wave Progression Checks out: Doubtfully retraces 3rd!Fuel Cell appears to have now reached its "Fourth Trough," and it checks out as higher than the previous three.
The mark to watch w/ caution was 2.1 per share, and with it bouncing fine off 2.4, the continued step-up in correction wave continues: That is NOT to say things are now BULLISH on this holding -- but exhale, the bleeding appears to be coming to its stop with strong long-term indicators in abundance still.
The ultimate upside is, still, highly speculative, but the reflection of a 2.4 low in this trough can only be taken as ::::::POSITIVE SIGN::::
As always, Happy Trading!!
-BDR
**Post Note: See related idea for why this was considered a LONG, and still, could be a long and decent future swing**
FCEL "4th" consolidation wave drives to Trough of 3rd: BEARISH!Fuel Cell has crashed harder than expected and there are a lot of bearish indications on this play now. The average cost is blown (2.79) and now it is pushing towards a trough near 2.4/share. It's tough to guess if this bottom goes even further. Caution is advised; this is never true advice -- but I will NOT be doubling down on FCEL. The hope is to eventually re-realize something closer to average cost before divesting to another position. Perhaps others may not. But that is why I always close, May the odds be forever in your favor.
Overall, this isn't a miss yet - but it's looking far more bearish with further data than we had at the last time of FCEL updates. We'll chime in more when more data makes itself available. Counsel is mostly undecided here :)
Happy trading!
$FCEL looking bullish mid to longer term$FCEL is forming my favorite bullish pattern: ascending triangle on the daily chart. No play yet but it is coming if it can break past the upper horizontal white line. Price targets are in red with a lot of upside here. Any news on battery production for larger company’s and this can run way past the price targets. This may trade in the trend to fill the triangle for a couple more days or could break out tomorrow.