ORI Setup: Watching for Pullback into Accumulation ZonesOn the weekly timeframe, ORI has printed a 10-week rally straight into a key supply zone—aligning cleanly with Gann’s 7–10 bar exhaustion principle within a single swing. This move suggests we’re nearing a potential inflection point. There’s still room for a final extension toward the second major supply structure around $25, but any push into that zone would likely be met with selling pressure and a corrective phase.
On the monthly, price has been advancing aggressively—but notably on declining volume, hinting at underlying weakness and possible buyer fatigue. If price stalls or rejects around current levels, it sets the stage for a layered accumulation opportunity at the zones highlighted on the chart.
Should price consolidate and absorb supply in these areas, the setup opens the door for a breakout to all-time highs, offering a compelling Risk-to-Reward profile for strategic positioning.
Setup Invalidation: A decisive break and close below $14.89 would invalidate the thesis, confirming a macro higher low breakdown. However, wicks into this zone are acceptable as part of a liquidity sweep or shakeout.
OCLDY trade ideas
Technical 'buying ' on 5 waves correction completed, with 62 DBThis looks too good to be true - or is it? Technical perfect with :
1. 5 waves correction
2. 62 % retraced from low to high this year
3. a double bottom with May low
So I got aggressive and sold a bull put spread for premium two weeks expires.
Sold 45 ( 4500 shares) contracts of American PUT strike 15.50 ......for 0.24
bought 14.50...........-0.07 for profit premium paid 0.17 ($765)
Neutral to bullish - bull put spread ( net credit)
Options trade - Bull Put Spread
technical - seems like a two legged correction in a weak bullish trend of equal amounts has indicated a pause in price ;
The at the money put at 16.50 is sold for credit for Aug 20th expirey;
The out of money put at 15.50 is bought for debit
net credit $1000
scenarios -
1. If > 16.50 at expires keep money
2. if between 15.50 & 16.50 try to get out around breakeven...
3. If really goes down hard < 15.50 strike or breakeven point, may have to roll down for small loss...
Turtle soup new 20 day low- and ABC correction
There is a technical termination of C wave in textbook correction,
so to be neutral to bullish seems a better than 50% chance.
Using time-decay last 14 days of Bull Put spread;
short 16.00 Jul 15 strike / long 15.50 Jul - for net credit payment of +$639 for 2 weeks wait....
Just needs to expire > 16.00 to be 'out of the money' for a win here.