$NVDA | The Next Big Leg?NVIDIA has been a textbook case of Smart Money structure this cycle.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed
✅ Trendline + MA confluence support at ~$177
✅ Strong premium zone rejection near $195
✅ Fibonacci extension eyeing $231.80
🔑 Levels to Watch:
$177 = Key support (trendline + MA)
$195 = Resistance zone (premium supply)
$231 = Next target if bullish momentum continues
💡 Game Plan:
Above $177 = Long bias toward $195 → $231
Break below $177 = Retrace toward $153 equilibrium
⚡️ Tech + AI flows remain strong; NVDA could be gearing up for another explosive move.
📢 Question to the community:
👉 Do you think NASDAQ:NVDA pushes through $195 straight to $231, or do we retest $153 first?
#NVDA #TradingView #Stocks #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #AI #Bullish
NVDA trade ideas
Nvidia Is Up 100%+ Since April. What Does Its Chart Say?Perhaps the most important single earnings release of this earnings season is on deck. AI-friendly chipmaker Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA will report earnings this week at a time when many of the artificial-intelligence trade's darlings have come off of their highest valuations. What does NVDA's technical and fundamental analysis say ahead of the report?
Let's take a look:
Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis
What timing! NVDA will unveil fiscal Q2 earnings on Wednesday after the bell in what could be the market's next big thing following AI stocks' recent pullback and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's key Jackson Hole speech.
Nvidia also recently got the go ahead from the US government to resume exports of certain products to China, and its stock has risen more than 100% since hitting an $86.62 52-week intraday low on April 7.
As I write this, analysts expect NVDA to report $1.01 of adjusted earnings per share on about $45.3 billion of revenue.
That would be good for about 53% year-over-year growth from fiscal Q2 2025's $30 billion in revenue, as well as a 48.5% increase from the firm's $0.68 in adjusted EPS in the same period last year.
Now, many investors would view 53% year-over-year sales growth as enormous for most companies, but that would actually represent a deceleration of y/y growth for Nvidia.
That said, the "law of large numbers" argues that the pace at which Nvidia has been increasing year-over-year sales since the surge in AI-based capital-expenditure spending began in earnest is unsustainable.
Still, some on Wall Street expect NVDA to stabilize sales growth in the low 50%-ish range for at least a few quarters.
A number of very highly rated sell-side analysts have also increased their price targets for Nvidia heading into this week's earnings report.
Cantor Fitzgerald's CJ Muse, Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen's Joshua Buchalter and John Vinh of KeyBanc have all upped their NVDA target prices in just the past few days. TipRanks rates every one of those four at either four or five stars out of a possible five.
The group increased their price targets from an average of $191.25 to an average of $224 vs. the $179.81 that Nvidia closed at on Monday.
Nvidia's Technical Analysis
Now let's look at NVDA's year-to-date chart as of Aug. 20:
We have a very complex chart to take in here.
Readers will first note that a "cup-with-handle" pattern (the purple curving line at the chart's center) kicked off Nvidia's April-into-August rally.
However, the stock's trend -- illustrated here by a Raff Regression model marked with orange shading -- has been broken to the downside as Nvidia approaches earnings.
NVDA also appears to have tested the swing crowd at the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line) and lost that fight.
Next up would be the stock's 50-day Simple Moving Average, or "SMA," denoted by the blue line above. It will be very interesting to see if institutional money defends the stock at that level.
Keep in mind that key Fibonacci retracement levels also exist at roughly $162 (23.6% retracement) and $147 (38.2% retracement), as denoted by the gray shaded area above.
The stock's 50-day SMA is the downside pivot that could pave the way to the stock's even more important 200-day SMA (the red line above at $137.40).
Meanwhile, Nvidia's upside pivot would be the stock's recent high near $184. A retake of that level in response to a well-received earnings report could make the above analysts' new target prices suddenly seem very realistic.
As for the other technical indicators in the above chart, they're not looking very pretty.
Nvidia's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is sinking like a rock and is trying to hold at a neutral reading.
And check out the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom).
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) is suddenly deeply negative. That's usually a short-term bearish signal.
The 12-day EMA (the black line) has also crossed below the 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's also typically a negative signal -- but with both lines still in positive territory, it's not quite as foreboding.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long NVDA at the time of writing this column.)
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NVDA DOWN?MVP SYSTEM
Update to prior post.
Today = earnings
The RTY and YM recently faked out to the downside. The NQ also broke down from the upward rsi trend. Is it also a fake out?
The NVDA chart looks like an obvious short - which gives me pause; is it another fake out?
I don’t have a position in NVDA, but I do use it as a proxy for NQ and the market overall.
I can see it pushing above the high and then dropping, regardless of the earnings report.
NVDA Daily Chart NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA continues to respect its long-term ascending channel (green zone), with price currently trading at $179.81 (+1.02%). After the recent pullback toward the mid-channel, buyers stepped back in, defending key moving averages and reclaiming short-term momentum.
- Support Levels
$177.25 (recent breakout zone, now first line of support)
$170.96 (gap-fill + mid-channel support)
$167.33 (critical higher-low level)
Below this, $164.65 and $154.14 are major swing supports.
- Resistance Levels:
$180.51 (near-term resistance; previous high rejection area)
Break and hold above $181.91 could open the path toward $188–$190.
- Momentum (RSI 58.44):
RSI has cooled off from overbought conditions in July.
Currently trending higher but not yet extended, leaving room for continuation.
*Bullish Scenario: A daily close above $181.91 would confirm breakout continuation, targeting $188–$190 near channel resistance.
*Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $177.25 risks a pullback toward $171–167, where trend support and buyers are likely to step in.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The information shared here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
Nvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings Report
Tomorrow after hours, Nvidia will release its quarterly report, attracting heightened attention given its position as:
→ the world’s largest company (market capitalisation of around $4.39 trillion);
→ a leader in the development of AI-related industries;
→ strong stock price performance — approximately +33% year-to-date, +108% from the yearly low.
Bullish Expectations
Analysts anticipate Nvidia will report revenue of around $46 billion, more than 50% higher than the same period last year.
Investors are counting on confirmation of robust demand for Nvidia’s chips from tech giants such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta, all of which continue to expand capital expenditure on data centres to power AI workloads.
Further support for NVDA’s share price could come from positive news about demand for the new Blackwell chips and the resumption of sales in China following a recent agreement with the US government.
Bearish Concerns
Even strong results may fall short of “sky-high” optimistic expectations, potentially triggering profit-taking and a decline in Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock price. The stock trades at a high P/E multiple (price-to-earnings ratio), making it vulnerable to any negative news or even a minor miss against forecasts.
The primary concern is that Nvidia’s forward guidance might point to a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending growth by its key clients. Any hint of this could negatively affect not only Nvidia’s shares but also the broader technology sector.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Chart
NVDA’s share price remains within an upward channel (shown in blue), with the following configuration:
→ until mid-August, the price remained within the upper half of the channel;
→ in August, the price declined towards the lower boundary (point A).
The $170 level appears to be a key support:
→ it is a round psychological level;
→ the low at point A looks like an aggressive test of this level, after which the price reversed upward.
From a bullish perspective:
→ support is provided by the lower boundary of the channel;
→ a long bullish candlestick (2) signals persistent demand.
From a bearish perspective, the $183 level looks like key resistance: NVDA’s share price slowed its advance here in early August, with repeated unsuccessful attempts to break higher.
Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may attempt to push through the $183 resistance on the back of the earnings release, but to do so, Nvidia’s results and guidance must at least meet the market’s extremely optimistic expectations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA Wave Analysis – 25 August 2025- NVDA reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 183.45
NVDA recently reversed with the daily Hammer from the support area between the pivotal support level 170.00, lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily Up Channel from May.
This support area was strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp upward impulse from the start of July.
Given the strong daily uptrend, NVDA can be expected rise to the next resistance level 183.45 (which stopped the earlier impulse wave i).
Nvidia - the bigger pictureNVIDIA is in a short-term correction within a healthy long-term uptrend
In the short term, NVDA is undergoing a healthy correction, pulling back toward the $150 area—a level close to July’s low. Such a retracement is well within normal bounds and may offer an attractive entry point for those bullish on the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Looking at the medium and long term, the technical and fundamental picture remains firmly bullish. The stock is still riding a strong uptrend supported by its leadership in AI, solid earnings, and innovation-driven growth.
Critically, if NVDA closes a weekly candle decisively below $150 (i.e., below the July low), it would no longer fall into the "healthy correction" category and could signal a deeper technical shift—one that warrants increased vigilance.
Why this makes sense:
Healthy pullback zone: The $150–July low area represents a typical retracement level, likely serving as support before a continued climb higher.
Long-term strength remains intact: Broad trend dynamics and fundamentals are still supportive of further upside
Weekly close below $150 is key: Only a breakdown on the weekly timeframe would prompt a reassessment of the trend’s integrity.
What I’m Watching Next:
Break Above $173
A daily candle closing above $173 resistance would serve as a trend continuation signal, suggesting renewed bullish momentum and likely reopening the move higher toward previous highs.
Breakdown Below $165
Conversely, a close under $165 would most likely extend the correction toward $150, marking a deeper retracement into the support area.
The Trader's Mind: Stoic Balance and The 5 TruthsHello, fellow seekers.
Today, let's set aside the charts for a moment and talk about the single most important tool in our arsenal: our mind. A winning strategy is useless if the mind operating it is in a state of chaos. The key to consistency is not a secret indicator, but a balanced internal state.
Two of the most powerful frameworks for achieving this balance are the modern wisdom of trader Mark Douglas and the ancient philosophy of Stoicism. They are two different paths leading to the same truth.
Mark Douglas's 5 Fundamental Truths of Trading
Anything can happen.
You don't need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
Every moment in the market is unique.
The Echo of Stoicism
These truths echo the teachings of Stoic philosophers like Marcus Aurelius. They teach us to accept what is outside our control (market movements) and focus only on what is within our control (our process, our risk, our mindset). This is the path to emotional flow, not suppression. It is watching the river of fear and greed flow by without being swept away by the current.
From Theory to Practice
This isn't just theory; it's the practical foundation for how we navigate the markets. In my next posts on NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:OPEN , you'll see exactly how these principles are applied in real-time to manage both a losing trade and a winning one.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Institutions & Participants in Financial Markets1. Introduction
Financial markets are the backbone of global economies. They provide a platform where individuals, corporations, and governments can raise capital, invest savings, and manage risks. Behind every transaction in the stock market, currency exchange, bond market, or commodity trading, there are participants who make the system function. Some are individuals trading with their own savings, while others are large institutions managing billions of dollars. Together, they form a complex network of buyers, sellers, intermediaries, and regulators who ensure liquidity, stability, and transparency in markets.
Understanding Institutions and Participants is essential because they influence how prices are discovered, how risks are shared, and how capital flows across economies. Without them, financial markets would not function efficiently.
2. Definition of Institutions & Participants
Institutions in financial markets refer to organized bodies that create, regulate, or facilitate market activities. Examples include central banks (RBI, FED), regulators (SEBI, SEC), stock exchanges (NSE, NYSE), clearing houses, and depositories. Their primary role is to ensure smooth functioning, enforce rules, and reduce risks of defaults or fraud.
Participants are entities or individuals that actively take part in financial transactions. This includes retail traders, institutional investors, corporations, governments, and intermediaries like brokers and dealers. They provide liquidity, demand, and supply for financial assets.
Together, institutions and participants form the ecosystem of financial markets, where institutions provide the structure and participants provide the activity.
3. Types of Market Participants
(a) Retail Investors
Retail investors are individual participants who invest their personal savings in stocks, mutual funds, bonds, or derivatives. They usually trade in smaller quantities compared to institutions. Retail participation has grown tremendously with the rise of mobile trading apps, discount brokers, and financial literacy campaigns.
Strengths: Flexibility, diversity of strategies, emotional conviction.
Weaknesses: Limited capital, lack of information compared to institutions, prone to herd behavior.
Example: In India, after 2020, retail investors surged on platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, and Groww, contributing significantly to stock market liquidity.
(b) Institutional Investors
These are large organizations that pool funds from clients or members and invest systematically. They include:
Mutual Funds – Manage pooled capital for retail investors.
Pension Funds – Invest long-term for retirement benefits.
Insurance Companies – Invest premiums in safe and growth-oriented assets.
Hedge Funds & Private Equity – Use complex strategies to maximize returns.
Institutions play a dominant role because of their large capital base and access to advanced research. Their actions often influence market trends and sentiments.
(c) Brokers & Sub-Brokers
Brokers act as intermediaries between investors and the stock exchange. They provide platforms, research, and execution services. Sub-brokers or franchisees work under main brokers to service clients in smaller regions.
In India, SEBI regulates brokers, requiring them to register and follow compliance rules. Discount brokers like Zerodha revolutionized the industry by reducing costs and increasing retail participation.
(d) Market Makers & Dealers
Market makers are institutions or individuals who continuously provide buy and sell quotes for securities, ensuring liquidity in the market. Dealers trade on their own account, taking positions in securities to profit from price movements.
Example: In the Forex market, banks act as market makers by offering two-way quotes (bid and ask prices).
(e) Corporates
Companies participate in markets to raise funds by issuing shares, bonds, or commercial papers. They also engage in hedging using derivatives to manage currency or interest rate risks.
For example, Reliance Industries regularly taps debt markets, while Infosys issues shares under ESOPs.
(f) Governments & Central Banks
Governments raise capital through bonds (sovereign debt) to finance infrastructure, welfare, and development. Central banks regulate money supply, set interest rates, and intervene in foreign exchange markets.
The Federal Reserve (US) sets monetary policy that affects global markets.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) manages inflation, rupee stability, and liquidity.
(g) Regulators & Exchanges
Regulators (e.g., SEBI in India, SEC in the USA) create and enforce laws to protect investors and maintain fair markets.
Exchanges (e.g., NSE, NYSE) provide the physical or electronic infrastructure where buyers and sellers meet. They ensure price transparency, equal access, and fair competition.
(h) Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) & Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs)
Global investors participate in emerging markets like India to seek growth opportunities. They bring in large capital inflows, which can boost stock indices but also increase volatility if they withdraw funds quickly.
Example: In 2020–2021, FPIs invested heavily in Indian equities, leading to record highs in Nifty and Sensex.
4. Institutions in Global & Indian Context
Stock Exchanges
Global: NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange.
India: NSE and BSE dominate trading volumes.
Clearing Corporations & Depositories
They reduce settlement risks by ensuring that buyers get their securities and sellers receive payments.
India: NSDL, CDSL.
Global: DTCC (USA), Euroclear (Europe).
Regulators
India: SEBI, RBI, IRDAI.
Global: SEC (USA), FCA (UK), ESMA (Europe).
International Institutions
IMF & World Bank – provide financial stability and funding to nations.
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – sets banking regulations.
5. How Participants Interact in Markets
Financial markets are divided into:
Primary Market: Where new securities are issued (IPOs, bonds). Corporates and governments raise funds here.
Secondary Market: Where existing securities are traded. Retail and institutional investors interact here.
Price Discovery happens when buyers and sellers agree on prices based on demand and supply. Institutions often lead price discovery, while retail investors follow.
Technology’s Role: Algorithmic trading, high-frequency trading, and fintech platforms have transformed participation. Machines now execute trades in microseconds, increasing liquidity but also creating flash-crash risks.
6. Case Studies & Examples
2008 Financial Crisis: Triggered by reckless lending by banks, misuse of mortgage-backed securities, and regulatory gaps. It showed the danger of unregulated institutions.
Indian Markets Post-2020: Surge in retail investors and rise of discount brokers democratized investing. FIIs also played a strong role in pushing indices to record highs.
7. Challenges & Risks
Conflicts of Interest – Brokers may mis-sell products, institutions may prioritize profits over clients.
Market Manipulation – Pump-and-dump schemes, insider trading, and algorithmic manipulation distort fairness.
Globalization Risks – Capital flight during crises (e.g., FIIs pulling funds).
Regulatory Gaps – Some instruments (like crypto) still lack clear regulations.
8. Future of Institutions & Participants
AI & Algorithmic Trading will dominate markets, with human traders playing a smaller role.
Fintech & Digital Platforms will bring more retail investors into the system.
Global Institutional Flows will decide the fate of emerging markets like India.
Sustainable Finance – ESG-focused investing and green bonds will rise.
9. Conclusion
Institutions and participants together form the lifeline of financial markets. Institutions provide the rules, infrastructure, and trust needed for smooth functioning, while participants provide liquidity, capital, and demand. Their interaction shapes prices, drives innovation, and supports economic growth.
From a small retail trader buying a single stock to a central bank moving billions in currency reserves, each participant plays a vital role in maintaining balance. The future will bring more technology-driven participation, deeper global integration, and stronger institutional oversight.
In essence, the strength of a financial market depends on the quality of its institutions and the diversity of its participants.
NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail NVDA Under Pressure: Sellers Dominate as Volume Spikes Fail to Sustain Price Gains
Context – This 60‑minute NVDA chart uses the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) on a 55‑bar window. The indicator plots an A→B→C structure: the blue C→B segment tracks the preceding advance and the red B→A segment the subsequent pull‑back. Up‑volume and down‑volume are calculated on a lower time frame and then aggregated into host‑time‑frame bars to expose buying and selling pressure.
Volume ranking – Within this window the indicator labels the three largest buying and selling bars (B1–B3 and S1–S3) and reports their statistics in a HUD. The most prominent bar, B1, spans H 184.46 to L 176.41 and shows 5.68 M up‑volume versus 6.69 M down‑volume, producing a –1.01 M delta. B2 (H 178.15–L 173.76) is even more bearish, with 4.03 M up‑volume and 6.52 M down‑volume (delta –2.49 M). B3 (H 177.86–L 171.20) is the only buying bar with a positive delta: 3.50 M up‑volume, 2.79 M down‑volume and a +0.71 M surplus. On the sell side, S1 and S2 coincide with B1 and B2 and mirror their negative deltas. S3 (H 182.08–L 179.10) registers 2.38 M up‑volume against 3.34 M down‑volume for a –0.96 M delta. Collectively, the pattern shows that peaks in buying volume have not yielded higher closes; sellers control all but one of the ranked bars.
Segment behaviour – The C→B rally accumulated roughly 29.89 M up‑volume versus 27.81 M down‑volume, a modest +2.07 M delta. In contrast, the B→A decline logged 40.16 M up‑volume against 43.27 M down‑volume, giving a –3.11 M deficit. The slopes of the trend lines accentuate the story: the advance has gentle positive slopes (~+11° top, +12.4° bottom), whereas the pull‑back slopes downward (–8.5° and –6.9°). Sellers have pushed prices lower more decisively than buyers previously drove them higher.
Price structure and implications – Price currently trades around 174.28 USD. Resistance sits near 178.15 (B2/S2) and 184.46 (B1/S1). As long as price remains beneath these pivot highs and subsequent B‑ranked bars fail to show a positive delta, the selling bias persists. The red dashed guide, connecting recent lows, continues to slope downward, confirming the bearish tilt. Only a flattening or reversal of this guide—coupled with a new B‑ranked bar sporting a positive delta—would hint at a shift in momentum.
Risk management – This analysis is intended for educational purposes. It illustrates how separating up‑ and down‑volume on lower time frames can reveal hidden pressures in intraday charts. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell NVDA stock. Always consult your own trading plan and risk tolerance before acting.
NVDA – Decision Week Ahead $200 or $140?NVIDIA (NVDA) has been on an incredible bull run, climbing from $140 to nearly $180+ in just 2–3 months. Now, with earnings coming this week, the market is at a decision point: Will the AI leader extend its rally toward $200 🚀, or will profit-taking and cautious guidance send it back toward $150 📉?
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Entry points: 170→165→160
Targets: $185 → $190 → $200+
Lose $170? I’ll wait patiently for $150–140 before sizing back in.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – Pullback to $150–140
If earnings disappoint or guidance weakens (China restrictions, slowing demand), NVDA could unwind toward prior support.
Entry Points (for long re-entry after correction):
$160
$150
$140
Targets on recovery: $160 → $175 → $190
📌 Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal trading plan, not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
NVIDIA Trend ForecastFollowing Nvidia’s upward move within the blue channel, there appeared to be a period of liquidity accumulation, marked by a pullback into the purple box. Within this range, two instances — highlighted in the yellow circles — suggest possible order gathering or liquidity collection.
The price has now broken out of the purple box, and if positive news emerges, it will likely continue its upward move toward the $200 level. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — it is solely my personal opinion. If the news develops as I anticipate, the trend will probably continue in the direction indicated by the red arrow.
NVIDIA new possible down trend An analysis of Nvidia's price action shows it trading within a four-month-long ascending channel. The price has recently broken below the channel's support line and has since retraced to a key Fibonacci level. This price action, combined with bearish indicators from the MACD and RSI on the daily and weekly charts, presents a technical case for a potential trend reversal.
Nvda... where we standEarnings this week...
Upside move 195-200 if they pump this but any opening near 200 should be faded .. I'm looking towards a 140 test in Sept - Oct.
Weekly is really overbought , I wouldn't chase this up here.. I'm looking for a move similar to what TSM did after blow out earnings which is gap up to weekly trendline and fade
Biggest red flag here is NASDAQ:SMH (Chipsector)
Zoomed out you can see price is rolling over at resistance here
Zoomed in and you can see , Wyckoff distribution
You'll be lucky if SMH gives you one more pop but this sector and the underlying top stocks are headed for a 20-30% correction (Maybe more).. I'd stay away from the longs until Seasonality flips again around late Oct early November
See the link from the NASDAQ:AVGO and NYSE:TSM .. they are already finished. NVDA IS THE FAT LADY SINGING.
Eventually NVDA will retest the bottom of this channel , this move will like come with a break below 90 but first we would have to break back below 140..
So my analysis is, Nvda has room for 190-200 if it beats on earnings, if it goes red and drops below 167 it's a short back to 140's..
Either way, we will see 140
The 4 Steps That Triggered NVDA BUY - "I spotted a red bar "NVIDIA (NVDA) BUY Setup Using the Short Squeeze Mindset 💻📈
NVIDIA continues to dominate the AI revolution, but trading it isn’t always easy. Pullbacks shake out weak hands, while volatility tricks retail traders into shorting.
That’s why you need the Short Squeeze Mindset.
NVDA is Setting Up for a BUY 🚀
👉 On the Daily Chart, NVDA printed a green bar 🟩, confirming bullish trend strength.
👉 On the 4H Chart, I spotted a red bar 🟥, which tempts shorts to enter — but they’re stepping into a trap.
👉 And here’s the extra confirmation: Balance of Power (BOP) = 0.7+ on the Daily.
This tells us institutions are firmly in control — demand outweighs supply, and bears are just adding fuel to the fire.
The 4 Steps That Triggered NASDAQ:NVDA BUY 🎯
1️⃣ Rocket Booster Strategy
Find big trending stocks → NVDA is leading the AI/tech sector.
Daily green 🟩 confirms trend strength.
2️⃣ Momentum Trading Style
NVDA is outperforming NASDAQ.
Strong relative strength means it’s a prime BUY candidate.
3️⃣ Short Squeeze Mindset
Daily = green 🟩
4H = red 🟥
Shorts think the pullback is safe → but daily momentum will squeeze them out.
4️⃣ Stochastic Overbought Zone
Overbought ≠ sell. In a squeeze, it confirms powerful breakout continuation.
Extra Note on BOP 🟩📊
The Balance of Power reading above 0.7 on the daily chart is rare.
It means:
Buyers are overwhelming sellers
Institutions are quietly accumulating
Breakout continuation has a high probability
This strengthens the BUY thesis for NVDA.
How To Trade NVDA BUY 🔑
📊 Step 1 – Confirm Daily Trend
Daily = green bar 🟩 + BOP > 0.7 = buyers in control.
📊 Step 2 – Watch 4H Pullback
Shorts enter on red bar 🟥 → wait for them to get trapped.
📊 Step 3 – Trigger Entry
Look for bullish engulfing or hammer on 4H.
Enter when confirmation candle breaks.
📊 Step 4 – Targets & Risk
TP1: recent daily swing high
TP2: psychological levels (e.g., $1,000)
SL: below 4H swing low
What Makes This Matters 🌍
NVDA isn’t just another stock. It’s the heartbeat of AI momentum.
When you combine the Short Squeeze Mindset with BOP > 0.7, you’re aligning with both price action and institutional order flow.
That’s the edge.
🚀 Keep this NVDA setup in focus — the squeeze is coming.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management and demo test your strategy.
NVDA Ready to Break Out? Targeting $200NVIDIA (NVDA) has been consolidating inside an upward wedge, and the price action is looking primed for a breakout to the upside. Based on this technical setup, I believe NVDA has the potential to push toward the $200 level. 📈
I’ll walk through the chart, key levels to watch, and why this wedge could be the launchpad for NVDA’s next big move.
👉 What do you think—will NVDA break out or fake out? Drop your thoughts below!
#StockMarket #Trading #DayTrading #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #OptionsTrading #StockTrader #StockTips
Past Resistance = Future Support: SPX500 and Others UpdateIt is August 21, 2025. I have entitled this video, Past Resistance = Future Support. As I purchased many stocks from the yearly lows of 2025, I anticipate, from a probabilistic perspective, that this new retracement will not last, but alas! It shall be a 3% to 5% pullback.
I investigate, from a technical perspective, the chart built on the principles and experience I have gained over the years of watching the markets: from the smallest (general) timeframes to the biggest.
Stocks have been pent up for months, coiling, building up weekly pressure. It is time to grow. Time to invest. Time to be patient over the course of one or two quarters.
Expectation:
A Halloween or Thanksgiving rally. Targets will be hit by December 2025 to January 2026.
Nvidia Shares Maintain Bearish Bias Near $170Over the past three trading sessions, Nvidia’s shares have posted a sharp decline, accumulating losses of more than 3% in the short term. For now, the emerging selling bias around the stock remains in place, as the market fears a potential overheating of the artificial intelligence industry. Added to this is the anticipation of the company’s results on August 27, which may show difficulties in revenue, mainly due to concerns that sales in China have weakened in recent months amid the intensifying trade war. Earnings per share are expected to come in around $0.94, but uncertainty remains as to whether this figure can hold given possible performance challenges. As long as this uncertainty persists, selling pressure on the stock could remain in the short term.
Uptrend Channel at Risk
Recent sessions have shown a clear shift in the bullish outlook that Nvidia had been sustaining in prior weeks. A significant bearish correction has emerged, halting the advance of the short-term uptrend channel and leading to a breakdown of its lower boundary. As long as selling pressure continues, this previous channel may lose relevance and give way to a broader bearish scenario, provided the bearish bias remains dominant.
Technical Indicators
RSI: the RSI line has begun to show a downward slope, now approaching the neutral 50 level. If it breaks below this threshold, selling momentum could become dominant in the short term, paving the way for stronger bearish pressure on the chart in the upcoming sessions.
MACD: the MACD histogram is currently moving below the 0 line, reflecting that short-term moving averages have entered a sustained bearish territory. If the histogram continues to decline, selling pressure is likely to strengthen further in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$184 – Main Resistance: corresponds to the area of recent highs. A sustained recovery above this level could reactivate a bullish bias and bring back strength to the uptrend channel.
$173 – Near-Term Support: current congestion zone of recent weeks and the most immediate barrier. A sustained move below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias in the short term.
$162 – Crucial Support: aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A decisive break below this level would confirm a bearish structural shift, opening the door to a new selling trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$NVDA and the Elliott Wave Theory(Updates)This is an update of a previous publication(link below). With price above the 423% Fib. level, this means that there is overbuying. Using Elliott Wave Theory we can see that Wave 3(Green) is complete with 5 waves(shown in Blue) inside it. What should follow from this is a Flat correction for Wave 4(Green) because Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag. The Red arrow shows price direction only and points to a Wave A(Black) as our first wave for the Zigzag. This arrow does not show precise price ending rather shows direction. For more on the same, go to: