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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold continues its strong uptrend, printing new highs, but price action now shows signs of overbought conditions. It appears that the bullish rally may pause for a short-term correction before resuming its upward momentum. In this zone, we expect gold to form a new short-term high near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, followed by a pullback toward the highlighted support areas. The overall long-term trend remains bullish — it’s better to avoid selling and instead look for buying opportunities during corrective moves. What do you think — will gold continue its rally after this correction? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by HAMED_AZ
48
Gold Lacks a Healthy CorrectionGold has been trending steadily within an ascending channel, with buyers keeping control and driving price higher and higher. And recently price broke above the channel, but it lacked conviction and price is falling back inside the channel. This might signal buyer exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. If sellers take over decisively, price could retrace back toward the middle or lower boundary of the channel for a healthy correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
65
Gold can Start a Correction Towards 3855 SupportHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action for XAU has been creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel, an area where sellers may re-emerge. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line, be rejected, and then begin a corrective decline. I think after such a strong run, a pullback is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3855 current support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
41
GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100 From our previous analysis, GOLD respected the bullish scenario. This came with a confirmation during the night trading session as I explained in the previous post. With this move above 3895, the price confirmed a bullish triangle pattern that shows signs of a strong bullish momentum. From our chart we can observe that it is the same similar move as it was before. The bullish flags show a healthy uptrend and we all know that gold is in a crazy bullish move supported by the geopolitical situation or other factors. Everyone talks about its strength, but I am not sure if we know the Truth. Truth is not a Luxury for ordinary people 😂 The price has broken above the $3,895 - $3,900 resistance area as I explained for the bullish scenario in the previous analysis and may retest it before continuing higher. Targets: $3,950 $4,000 $4,050 $4,100 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
34
Lingrid | GOLD Psychological Barrier Cleared Upside IntactThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues its climb inside the upward channel, holding above the key 4,000 support after a clean rebound. Price action shows consistent higher lows supported by the upward trendline, signaling sustained bullish momentum. As long as the 4,000 level remains intact, a move toward 4,100 and potentially higher remains in play. The structure points to buyers consolidating for another extension within the ongoing trend. ⚠️ Risks: A break below 4,000 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 3,950 support. Rising U.S. yields or FOMC meeting may dampen gold’s momentum. Profit-taking near psychological resistance could slow short-term upside continuation. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
34
GOLD → Rally to the psychological target of $4,000FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high of $3,950 (+1.7% for the day at the time of writing), continuing its move toward the psychological $4,000 mark. The growth continues despite the strengthening of the dollar and the rally in the stock markets. Key drivers: The ongoing US shutdown (now in its seventh day): The lack of progress in negotiations and the risk of mass layoffs of civil servants are increasing demand for safe havens. The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December, 94%. Weak labor market: Trump's statements blaming Democrats for job losses are fueling pessimism. Fundamentally, gold remains on an upward trend thanks to the perfect combination of US fiscal risks and soft monetary policy. A breakout to $4,000 seems only a matter of time if the shutdown is not resolved. Resistance levels: 3,950, 3975, 4000 Support levels: 3920, 3900, 3880 Technically, before reaching the 4000 mark, MM may form a liquidation, especially against the backdrop of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday and the Fed on Thursday. Key areas of interest before growth: 3920 and 3900, behind these areas lies a pool of liquidity that will not prevent the accumulation of energy before the next bull run. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → The correction will trigger growth to $4,000.FX:XAUUSD hit a new record high of nearly $3,977 and entered a correction phase to build up potential before further growth. Despite the local strengthening of the dollar, the upward trend continues thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Key supporting factors: Ongoing US government shutdown: The Democrats' fifth unsuccessful attempt to resolve the issue increases uncertainty. Markets expect two interest rate cuts before the end of the year. China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month, and global central banks bought +15 tons in August. No bearish triggers: Any correction is seen as a buying opportunity. Gold maintains its upward momentum. Breaking through $4,000 seems a matter of time if current drivers remain in place. Key risks are an unexpected resolution to the shutdown or hawkish signals from the Fed. Resistance levels: 3977, 4000 Support levels: 3945, 3927, 3920 Technically, a false breakdown of support could lead to continued growth. A retest of 3945 is possible; a weak reaction could trigger a deeper correction, for example to 3927, before further growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
Gold Grid Trading Overview: Effective Strategy for 20% gains🪙 Gold Breakout-Stop Grid Strategy: Overview & Rationale Grid trading is often built using limit orders above and below a base price, expecting the market to oscillate and capture many small profits. But in a strongly trending or volatile asset like gold, there is often breakout momentum that drives price through grid zones rather than bouncing. By instead using buy stops above and sell stops below (i.e. breakout triggers), you capture directional thrusts, while still retaining a grid structure (i.e. multiple layers). Think of it as a hybrid between a breakout strategy and a grid. Key advantages in gold: • ✨ Gold often exhibits strong trending phases, with momentum after breakouts of supply/demand zones. • 📊 Volatility is higher than many forex pairs, so you can space your grid more widely, reducing overcrowding. • 🎯 With breakout stops, you reduce “false bounce” whipsaws inside the range; only when momentum validates do you trigger entries. Risks / caveats: • ⚠️ If price doesn’t break strongly and whipsaws, you could trigger and then reverse, creating drawdown. • 📉 In a sideways gold market, fewer breakouts may be triggered, lowering trade frequency. • 🛡 You must carefully size exposure and use drawdown controls, especially with leverage. I’ll now walk through how to set this up, with gold-tailored specifics and sample trades (with increased aggressiveness), using realistic current spot prices (≈ $3,862) Investing.com. ________________________________________ 🧮 Setup: Account, Leverage, Risk & Grid Sizing 📋 Account & Leverage • Account size: $10,000 • Leverage: 1:100 • This means your maximum notional exposure is huge but margin and maintenance rules will limit you. • We’ll now risk ~20–25%+ of equity in an aggressive version of this system (in order to aim for 20-30% weekly), i.e. $2,000–$2,500 at most drawdown limit for a grid run. Note: This is very aggressive and only for demonstration. Many traders would never risk this much per grid. 💰 Risk per Grid Step (Aggressive Version) • Let’s target $50 risk per triggered order (instead of $10) so that each step is meaningful. • That means if a triggered order goes adverse by its maximum “stop zone,” your loss is $50. • If you trigger, say, 5 steps, that’s $250 worst case on that direction (if all hit adverse). • You must still cap total drawdown (e.g. 25% or $2,500) and limit exposures. 📈 Gold Contract & Price Movements • Spot gold (XAU/USD) currently trades about $3,862.74 Investing.com. • Let’s assume a contract specification such that 1 standard lot gives $100 per $1 move (so $1.00 move = $100) — a common ballpark in retail gold CFDs. • Then:   • A move of $0.01 = $1 (for 1 lot).   • Therefore, if you trade 0.50 lots, a $1 move = $50. So with this, to get ~$50 risk per $1 adverse move, 0.50 lots is a candidate (because $1 adverse × 0.50 lots × $100/lot = $50). You can scale lot sizes accordingly. 📏 Grid Spacing & Levels (Realistic & Aggressive) Given gold’s volatility, use wider spacing. Let’s choose: • Grid spacing = $3.50 between successive triggers (a robust distance). • We’ll place buy stops and sell stops relative to a base zone around current spot. Let’s pick base ~ $3,860 as our pivot. So: • Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50, $3,874.00, $3,877.50 • Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50, $3,846.00, $3,842.50 (Max 5 levels each side, but you may cap to 3–5.) Take Profit / Exit Logic: • Target profit per trade = $3.50 (same as spacing). • Thus one successful step = $3.50 × lot_size × $100. • If lot_size = 0.50 lots, $3.50 × 0.50 × $100 = $175 profit per triggered trade. • If you get 3 successful triggers in a run: 3 × $175 = $525 gross. • That’s 5.25% on $10,000 in one clean directional run (before commissions/slippage). You see the scaling is now aggressive — you risk more per step, but also gain more per successful trade. Limit how many triggers you allow (e.g. max 3–4 per side) to cap exposure. Define a hard equity stop: e.g. if floating drawdown > 25% ($2,500), close all and reset. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Example: How It Plays Out in Gold (Realistic Prices & Aggression) We’ll do two detailed scenarios. This time we target higher returns, with real price zones. ________________________________________ 🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout Base price: ~$3,860 (spot) Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50 Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50 Lot sizing: 0.50 lots per order (so $3.50 adverse = $175 risk). TP per trade: +$3.50 Sequence: 1. Gold climbs and breaks $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1 at 3,863.50 o TP at 3,867.00 → profit if reached = ($3.50 × 0.50 × $100) = $175 2. Momentum continues, price breaks 3,867.00 → triggers Buy #2 there o TP at 3,870.50 → another $175 3. Price surges, breaks 3,870.50 → triggers Buy #3 → TP = 3,874.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: Gross = $525 (5.25% gain) in one directional move. If you allow up to 4 or 5 levels, total can scale to ~$700–900 (7–9%) in a strong move — if all hits. If reversal? If price reverses after buy #2, or before buy #3, you can: • Close open longs immediately when opposite side’s sell stop triggers. • Or cancel further buy stops once a reversal signal appears. • Or net positions (if your broker supports hedging) — but that adds complexity. Better to disable opposite side (sell stops) after the first buy triggers, to avoid collision exposures. ________________________________________ 🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Same base zone. Now price breaks downward. • Sell stops at: 3,856.50, 3,853.00, 3,849.50 • TP each = –$3.50 from entry. Sequence: 1. Gold breaks 3,856.50 → Sell #1 → target 3,853.00 → profit $175 2. Continues down, breaks 3,853.00 → Sell #2 → target 3,849.50 → +$175 3. Breaks 3,849.50 → Sell #3 → target 3,846.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: $525 profit. If you allowed 4 levels: e.g. break 3,846.00 next → target 3,842.50 → +$175 more → total $700. Again, reversal risk must be managed. ________________________________________ 📊 Mixed / Whipsaw Scenario Suppose price crosses above $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1, moves a bit, then reverses and crosses down through 3,856.50, triggering Sell #1. You now hold: • Long from $3,863.50 (losing) • Short from $3,856.50 (potential profit) This is a collision. To avoid chaotic risk: • Cancel all opposite-side stops when first side triggers. • Or immediately close all on first collision signal. • Or lock in partial profit/loss and pause grid until trend clarity returns. That’s why many breakout-grid strategies disable the opposite direction after first breakout. ________________________________________ 📈 Profit Potential & Drawdown Estimates (Aggressive Model) Let’s simulate one clean grid run (bullish) where 3 steps succeed fully: • Gross profit = $525 • If you risked 3 steps * $175 = $525, worst-case these same 3 steps lose you $525 (if all adverse) • Net = +5.25% in one run • If you manage 2–3 such runs per week (if market allows), theoretically 10–15%+ weekly is possible — but that is optimistic. However, in real life, not all runs will hit all targets — sometimes partial, sometimes losses. A drawdown of 25% ($2,500) is your cap boundary. With that, if you undergo 5 bad runs in a row, you’d hit your equity stop. If average win per run is $400 and average loss per bad run is $500, you need a favorable win-loss ratio to hit ~20–30% weekly. This is extremely aggressive. ________________________________________ 🔁 Adaptive Mechanics & Enhancements (for robustness) To improve consistency and manage risk, add: • 📐 ATR-based spacing: Use a 14-period ATR on H4 or D1 to set grid spacing. If ATR = $4, spacing = $4 or $5. • 📈 Trend filter: Only open buy-side grids when price > 200-period MA (H4 or D1), or only open sell-side when price < MA. Prevent fighting trend. • 🚫 Volatility filter / news blocks: Do not place or trigger near major gold-related news (Fed, CPI, central bank announcements). • 🔄 Grid rebase / reset: After a winning cycle, re-center grid around new price and restart stop orders. • 📈 Scaling rules:   – Aggressive scaling: after n consecutive wins, increase lot size (within risk caps).   – Defensive scaling: after a loss, reduce lot size or skip grid. • 🛑 Equity-stop / margin cap: If floating drawdown > 25% or margin usage > 80%, close all and reset. • 🧊 Cooldown periods: After a loss or big run, pause grid orders for some hours/days to let market settle. ________________________________________ 🧮 Worked Example: Multi-Cycle Over a Week (Aggressive) Say you run 3 grid cycles in a week under trending conditions: Cycle Direction Steps hit Gross profit Net (after one partial loss) 1 Up 3 out of 4 levels hit fully +$525 +$490 (small drawdown on partial) 2 Down 2 of 3 hit, 1 reversed +$350 +$320 3 Up 4 levels hit fully +$700 +$700 Total gross = $525 + $350 + $700 = $1,575 Net after adjustments/slippage ~ $1,450–$1,500 That’s ~ 14.5% gain in one week. If the market is more favorable, you may hit ~20–30%, but the risk is commensurate. Over multiple weeks the compounding is powerful — but a few big losses can wipe gains. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary & Implementation Tips • Use breakout stops (buy stops above, sell stops below) instead of limits to catch directional thrusts in gold. • Wider grid spacing (e.g. $3–$5) is essential to survive volatility. • Lot sizing must match your desired risk per step (here $50). • Limit max triggers per direction and enforce a hard equity stop (e.g. 25%) to avoid blow-ups. • Employ trend / volatility filters to filter low-probability entries. • After a net winning run, rebase grid to current price. • Use scaling and cooldown mechanics to moderate aggression. • On collision signals, cancel opp side stops or close everything to avoid contradictory exposures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
44
XAUUSD Continues on Its Path to Conquer Record-High Levels👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Today, I'll provide a long-term perspective. XAUUSD has recently surged, driven by global instability, particularly the Fed's rate cuts. The risk of a U.S. government shutdown has also led investors to turn to gold as a safe haven, contributing to the significant price increase. From a technical standpoint, gold is showing a strong bullish structure over the long term, with a clear breakout above key resistance levels. After consolidating around the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement support zone, the price has rebounded and is now heading towards the Fibonacci extension zone. This area is considered the first major take-profit target, also coinciding with the psychological level at $4,000 ( a common target for 2025 ). With both market structure and fundamental analysis supporting the bullish outlook, I remain optimistic about both the short and long-term prospects for XAUUSD. What do you think about the XAUUSD trend? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
45
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Momentum Builds for $4000 TestThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues to demonstrate remarkable strength, with each pullback presenting fresh buying opportunities for astute investors. The market has established itself as a premier risk-off asset, attracting capital flows that sustain its bullish momentum across multiple timeframes. The technical architecture shows gold trading at $3,886, firmly within its ascending channel that projects toward the psychologically significant $4,000 milestone. The chart illustrates a classic A-B-C movement followed by renewed impulse legs, suggesting the market is building energy for its next major thrust after breaking EQHs. The current positioning near $3,855 sits comfortably above the upward trendline, indicating structural integrity remains intact. Historical patterns suggest caution at current elevations. September's explosive 12.65% gain created the foundation for this rally, but similar momentum surges have previously preceded meaningful retracements. The daily chart's correction zone around $4,000 - $4,100 combined with the monthly perspective showing gold approaching $4,000 after completing its ABC pattern indicates possible exhaustion. A 9-10% pullback toward the $3,600-$3,650 support zone would mirror previous consolidation behavior and align with the upward trendline support at $3,720. The equal highs formation and flag pattern suggest institutional profit-taking may be imminent. Smart money would view any decline toward channel support as a strategic reload opportunity before gold's anticipated assault on $4,000 and beyond. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
19
XAU/USD Bullish Setup ( Nfp )This chart analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar, 1H timeframe) highlights a bullish setup supported by an upward trend line. Price is currently trading around 3858, just below the resistance zone near 3873 – 3897. Support: The rising trend line is acting as a key support, keeping the bullish structure intact. Resistance Levels: First resistance is at 3873, followed by 3897 (ATH level). Target: If price breaks above these resistance zones, the next upside target is projected at 3937. Scenarios: The analysis suggests multiple bullish continuation paths, with price expected to retest resistance before pushing higher toward the target. Overall, as long as gold respects the support trend line, the bias remains bullish with potential growth toward 3937.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
29
Gold Continues to Challenge Record Resistance Levels👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ? As of this writing, gold continues its upward momentum, having reached new highs as investors increase their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the near future. The concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and global economic instability have further strengthened gold’s position as a safe haven asset. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar is under pressure due to expectations of monetary easing, which is paving the way for further gains in gold. Technically, gold is currently consolidating in a range, repeating patterns seen in the past. The current support level is around $3,815, while the immediate resistance is near the $3,900 mark. If the price breaks this resistance, the next target could be higher record levels. Overall, the short to medium-term outlook still favors the bulls. Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
44
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets... Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold. Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100 Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986 Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Targeting 4000 ATHThis analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 1H chart highlights a bullish outlook. Price is currently trading around 3937 after a strong upward move. Support Zone: Around 3895 – 3922, providing a key base for buyers. Retest Level: Expected pullback near 3960, which could act as a confirmation area before continuation. Target: A push towards the 4000 ATH (All-Time High) level if momentum sustains. Overall, the chart suggests that gold may first retest lower levels for confirmation, then extend bullish momentum towards 4000, making the zone a major psychological and technical resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
23
XAUUSD - Target $4,000 in Sight ⭐️Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? XAUUSD has continued its strong upward momentum since the start of the week, breaking past the $3,950 level and approaching the psychological barrier of $4,000. Demand for gold has surged amid concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates in the coming months. Technically, gold is holding steady above key support levels of $3,900 and $3,950. If it continues to break through the resistance at $3,977, the next target will be the $4,000 level. However, the RSI is currently in the overbought zone, suggesting that a slight pullback may occur before the uptrend continues. Personally, the economic and political situation continues to support the bullish trend for gold, and if these factors remain favorable, gold could easily break the $4,000 mark in the near future, potentially going even higher. 👋What do you think about gold? Will it keep rising or will there be a correction? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
40
Gold: Looks Like a Train Without BrakesGold: Looks Like a Train Without Brakes During the Tokyo and Sydney trading sessions, Gold hit a record high of 3977.5. After that, the price corrected by almost 1% to 3941. The strong bullish momentum is keeping gold under strong pressure and the accumulation seems small, showing signs of a strong trend. If Gold rises above the current high of 3977.50, the chances of surpassing 4000 should increase further. Gold hit a record high on Tuesday as there was no sign of an easing of a deadlock between the two houses of the US Congress that has led to a government shutdown, while almost certain bets for a US interest rate cut this month also provided support. Targets: $3,950 $4,000 $4,050 $4,100 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
24
Gold: The Higher It Flies, the Louder the Correction WhispersAs explained in my Sunday video, the new all-time high for Gold is not a question of if, but how high it can rise once it firmly breaks above 3900. Indeed, Gold has continued its unstoppable march, printing ATH after ATH, with the latest one formed during today's Asian session at 3977 — another almost 1,000 pips gained since Friday’s close. At this point, there are two undeniable facts every trader recognizes: 1. The trend is extremely bullish. 2. A correction is long overdue. ________________________________________ Technical Outlook The recent rally remains contained within an aggressive rising channel, but the overlapping highs in the last few hours reveal signs of exhaustion. A confirmation for even a minor correction — and in this case, with Gold moving vertically, a 500-pip retracement would count as minor — would come with a break below the 3955–3850 zone. Such a move would likely open the door for a retest of the 3900 area, which now serves as a key support. ________________________________________ Trading Plan At the time of writing, I’m holding a short position, fluctuating near entry, with small alternating gains and losses. While I do expect a pullback, I also keep in mind Keynes’s timeless reminder: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” That’s why my stop loss is tight, and my focus is on discipline over prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
28
XAU/USD | Gold Nears $4000 as Goldman Sachs Target $4900 by 2026By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its strong bullish momentum today and reached $3985.66, marking a new all-time high (ATH)! Gold is now just a step away from the $4000 milestone. Interestingly, Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast to $4900 by December 2026, which seems realistic given the current bullish trend and the possibility of further interest rate cuts. The key demand zones are $3943–$3956 and $3898–$3910. So far, there’s no sign of structural weakness in the chart, meaning a major correction isn’t confirmed yet. This analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
36
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending. It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines: the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance). 🧠 Market Psychology Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high. Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive — until one side finally breaks the rhythm. ⚙️ How to Trade It • Inside the channel: Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail. • Breakout play: Go long on a confirmed close above resistance, or short on a clean break below support. • Stops: Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts. • Targets: Use the channel height projected from the breakout point. ⚠️ What to Watch Out For • False breakouts happen often. • Too-steep channels usually fail faster. • Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength. • Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts. ________________________________________ Key takeaway: An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends. Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯 Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone. However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
16
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets... Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high. Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed. As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech. Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons. Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100 Support levels: 4001, 3986 Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support lower and then attempt the move higher monitoring the red box above which was active. It’s at that box we wanted to see a reaction, either a break or a RIP and as you can see, price did break upside hitting our daily and weekly targets as well as the red box targets. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For the early part of the week we have the immediate support level at the 3870-65 region which lines up with the red box and is the level that needs to be broken to go lower. If we target this level in the early session and support, price may want to attempt a new all time high again, this time into the 3901 level and above that 3910-12. It’s that level of 3910-12 that needs to be monitored as a possibility of a RIP there can cause us to get a minor correction but as above, we need to break below 3865-70 to see a change in dynamic. If we do break below that 3970 level and get a decent close, with a clear reversal, we can then look to target the lower levels 3855 and below that 3838 initially. I would like to see lower, but due to NFP this week instead of last week, we may continue to stretch upside or range up here before then getting a retracement into mean. We’re going to leave it there and as usual we will update traders best we can during the week with the box targets and the analysis. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3840 Bearish on break of 3830 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3890 for 3902, 3904, 3910, 3917, 3930 and 3933 in extension of the move Break below 3868 for 3865, 3855, 3850, 3843, 3837 and 3830 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
27
Stop Losses: The Good, The Bad and The UglyLet’s be honest — few things trigger more emotion in trading than a stop loss being hit. But not all stop losses are created equal. Even though the title says “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly”, let’s start with the Bad — because that’s where most traders get stuck. ________________________________________ 🚫 The Bad Stop Loss The bad stop loss is the arbitrary one. You know the type: “I trade with a 50-pip stop loss.” “My stop is always 1% below entry.” No matter what the chart looks like. No matter what the volatility of the asset is. No matter if you’re trading Gold, EurUsd, or Nasdaq. This kind of stop loss doesn’t respect market structure or context — it’s just a random number. You might get lucky a few times, but over the long run, it’s a losing game. If your stop loss doesn’t make sense on the chart, then it doesn’t make sense in the market either. There’s no nuance here — it’s bad, period. ________________________________________ ✅ The Good Stop Loss The good stop loss is strategic. It’s placed based on structure, volatility, and logic — not habit or emotion. You define it after you’ve studied: • Where invalidation occurs on your idea • The volatility range of the asset • The natural “breathing room” of the market When this kind of stop loss is hit, it’s not a tragedy. It’s information. It means your prediction was wrong. You expected the market to go up, but it went down — simple as that. No panic. No revenge trading. You step away, clear your mind, and wait until the next day. Then, you redo your analysis without bias. If the new structure confirms that the market has truly flipped direction — then, and only then, you can trade the opposite way. That’s professionalism. That’s how you stay consistent. ________________________________________ 😬 The Ugly Stop Loss Now, this one hurts. The ugly stop loss is the good stop loss that gets hit… and then the market reverses immediately. You were right — but your stop was just a little too tight. That’s the emotional pain every trader knows. But here’s the key: This situation only counts as ugly if your original stop loss was good — meaning, logical and based on structure. If it was arbitrary, then it’s not ugly — it’s just bad. So, what do we do when a good stop loss turns ugly? We do exactly the same thing: • Wait until the next day. • Reanalyze the chart with fresh eyes. • If the setup is still valid, re-enter in the original direction. It’s rare for both the first and second stop to be “hunted.” Patience gives you clarity — and clarity gives you edge. ________________________________________ 💭 Final Thoughts Stop losses aren’t just a risk tool — they’re a psychological mirror. They reveal whether you trade with emotion or with structure. The bad stop loss shows a lack of respect for the market. The good stop loss shows discipline and logic. The ugly one shows that even good decisions can lead to short-term pain. But pain is not failure — it’s feedback. So the next time your stop gets hit, don’t see it as punishment. See it as a test of your ability to stay rational when the market challenges you. Because in the long run, consistency doesn’t come from winning every trade. It comes from handling the losing ones correctly. ⚖️
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
25
Lingrid | GOLD Persistent Bullish Trajectory ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is holding firm above 3900 after setting a new ATH near 3980 within the upward channel. Price action confirms bullish structure, with higher lows and trend continuation signals. A rejection support zone near 3920 could open the path for a retest of the 4000 psychological resistance. Momentum structure suggests bulls remain in control while targeting the upper boundary of the channel near 4000. ⚠️ Risks: A breakdown below 3920 could trigger correction toward 3819. Stronger USD remarks may limit upside potential. Weakening global demand data could dampen gold’s bullish momentum. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
13