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The upward wave has ended.Since the past and the $2000 gold price, we have provided and updated our gold analysis, stating that wave-(E) of gold has started. In our latest analysis, we mentioned that gold could rise to a maximum of $4330–$4401, and prices above this range would not be sustainable. Currently, in my opinion, the post-pattern move has been confirmed, and we can say that wave-(F) has begun. This corrective wave could take approximately 2 years, after which gold's upward trend may resume. Gold prices could fluctuate between $3100–$4300, and the most likely pattern for wave-(F) could be a triangle or a diametric. Good luck NEoWave Chart
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NEoWave-Chart
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 4022.7 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 4010.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 4030.0 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold compression before expansionGold remains in a controlled accumulation phase after a strong move, holding rising lows and respecting the fair value zone near 3990. As long as buyers defend the 3985–4000 range, the setup favors a false dip and re-entry scenario with continuation higher. A clean break and hold above 4040 unlocks the first target at 4110, and extension toward 4200 remains valid on structural expansion and Fibo alignment. The market is balanced on a hinge: levels are defined, buyers present, but confirmation lies only in price reclaiming the breakout zone. Fundamentally gold still tracks macro uncertainty. Rates, inflation expectations, dollar hesitation and US debt dynamics keep capital rotating defensively. This is one of those periods where expectations and reality diverge, and the longer the compression holds, the stronger the eventual move. Still, discipline first — price must confirm above 4040. Bias remains bullish while above 3985. Break below opens a corrective path toward 3920–3890 before another attempt higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by InvestWorld_777
Gold: Tests key $4K levelThe most important news during the previous week was related to the Fed cut of reference interest rates by 25 basis points. Although the market was previously expecting another rate cut in December, Fed Chair Powell commented that such a course of action is currently questionable for Fed members. At the same time, other risks which previously pushed the price of gold to ATH have eased, so the price of gold remained in a quest to find a new equilibrium level. Analysts from Morgan Stanley stated on Friday that they are still estimating potential gains for gold, driven by interest rate cuts, ETF inflows, central bank buying, and persistent economic uncertainty. The bank projects gold will average $4,300 during the first half of 2026. As expected, gold dropped during the previous week to the lowest weekly level at $3.888. The price reversed a bit for the rest of the week, closing it at $4.002. The level of $4K currently represents a significant level for gold. The RSI is still moving above the level of 50, however, it is on a course to reach the oversold market side in the coming period. On the other hand, moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move without a change from the previous period, as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Charts are suggesting that the level of $4K will be the level to watch for another week in a row. The week ahead will start by testing this level. In case that it is not breached, there is a probability that the gold will revert back, where $4,1K could be a short term target. In case that selling orders prevail in the week ahead, then $3,9K will be a target of gold for one more time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Gold is Targeting #5,100.80 benchmark / Medium-termGold's Short-term: Gold reached my personal maximum (regarding Short-term of course) of almost invalidating #4,400.80 benchmark / both Short and Medium-term Buyers / investors started taking Profits and as Naturally, asset cannot only Trade in one direction, Gold dipped creating aggressive Descending Channel and is now testing the Lower Low’s pressure point. However, #4,000.80 is very strong Support zone for the fractal which won't be invalidated without serious cause and even with Short-term development (due current decline) Investors drawing capital from Gold to more riskier assets - I doubt Gold has more potential to go Lower below my Support zones on the chart regarding Short-term. The current Selling accumulation pattern on Hourly 4 chart is now on total Neutrality but attempting to break towards last week’s Lower Low's. Current Fed loan climate is Gold friendly as Gold often demonstrates resilience during early phases of Fed tightening cycles before investment flows adjust to Higher Rates. If Rates go down more aggressively, Gold will soar more (another reason why I am Bullish on Gold). #MA50 and #MA200 observation: Keep both lines on your Weekly (#1W) chart, as they are pointers for Long-term. As Long as Gold is Trading above them, Bullish Long-term stance remains and Gold will Target upper levels. Fundamental commentary: Gold was Trading on #1,800.80 on mid-October #2023 Year, and currently tested #4,400.80 benchmark which records one of the most aggressive rises of Gold in history. It was up almost (# +65.00%) lately / when confidence in financial system is on a decline (which is the case in current and last few Years), Gold is soaring as hedge. U.S. Dollar just had one of its weakest first halves in #50 Years, down more than (# -10.00%) against other major currencies. Massive debt (# 315 trillion globally), rising government spending and tariff regulation and impact on the markets have shaken confidence in the system world-wide. When U.S. Dollar weakens, Investors are in search of asset that feels more stable to store their money / it is always one and almost only option - Gold. In addition, Central banks have been Buying Gold in bulk / over #1,000 tons annually for the past #3-Year fractal, most since #1,967 Year which is not surprise or weird / something is going on. Part of that started with Middle East conflict escalation #2,023 Year, U.S. freezing #300 million Russian reserves in #2,022 Year, showcasing other countries that their Dollars can be shut off as political leverage. Recapitulation: Segment which makes the almost (# +65.00%) increase on Gold unusual is that both Gold and Stock markets are both hitting record Highs at the same time. Institutions are still sitting on trillions in cash. Many are still not deciding to go "all in" on Stocks at these levels. Also on the contrary, they also don't want to lose to Inflation sitting on the sidelines / so they're parking most of the money in Gold as a temporary middle ground and that demand is helping push Gold Higher from big institutions, and also independent Investors world-wide. Even with all the questions and uncertainty right now, keep this in mind: Gold is used to protect wealth, not grow it. Gold usually spikes when confidence in the financial system drops, but it can dip just as fast once confidence returns. In #1,980 Year, Gold hit a record of #850.80 per ounce then dropped (# -50.00%) by #1,982 Year. After peaking at #1,920.80 in #2,011 Year, it took nearly a decade to recover and if full confidence returns, Gold may fall fast as mention above, however confidence for financial system is far from delivered or happening. My personal thoughts: All Traders are well aware that I am well known Seller of the market however what made me triple my account, is switching to being a Bull in recent times as Trading against the trend is disastrous for a Trader. I do believe that even if Gold dips, near Lower Low's is maximum as illustrated on my chart and #5,100.80 benchmark is my next point of interest and my next Medium to Long-term Target. #6,100.80 - #6,200.80 represents Ultimate Top's for now and stabilization zone where another aggressive dip is possible, fuel only for Gold to soar further. I do believe Financial system is about to collapse even more and with ever-growing Inflation world-wide, Gold will skyrocket and I am here to Buy it / Trade it even more than ever, expecting my Targets to be met. Remember, trend is your friend and hope all of Sellers which got liquidated accounts, sending me many messages will turn their Technicals and finally start Buying Gold. Yours, goldenBear88
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD $4,381 — Cyclical Top or Local Top?Has the price of gold reached its final bullish cycle high at $4,381 during the trading session of Monday, October 20? That session marked the end of an upward inertia phase in precious metals prices, triggering the first retracement since mid-August. However, a retracement does not necessarily mean a final cycle top or the start of a long-term bearish trend. To confirm that gold has made its annual top this October in the commodities market, several technical and fundamental conditions must be met — and at this stage, they are not. 1) To confirm a major cycle top, a strong resistance level and a clear bearish reversal pattern must be observed Looking back at gold’s price history, we can refer to the long distribution phase of 2011–2012, which concluded a bullish trend that had begun at the start of the century. This was followed by a four-year bear market, before a new long-term uptrend began in January 2016. What about the current long-term technical setup? Monthly chart data provide insight into the broader cycle. Gold has been building its fifth bullish wave since the breakout above its former all-time high in March 2024, already exceeding several theoretical price targets based on Fibonacci extensions. The $4,300 region aligns with two major extensions, including the 1.618 “golden ratio” extension of wave 3. However, that alone is not enough to confirm that the cycle top occurred at $4,381. At this stage, there is no distribution pattern or major support break. A drop below $3,400 would be a strong signal of a completed bullish cycle. 2) Gold’s cyclical top will occur when the US dollar confirms a medium-term bullish reversal Gold’s cyclical top will coincide with the moment the US Dollar (USD) establishes a sustained bullish reversal. Gold and the dollar usually move in opposite directions: a stronger dollar reduces the appeal of gold for international investors. Once the dollar confirms an upward trend reversal, capital will progressively rotate away from gold — signaling the end of the metal’s bullish phase. The chart below shows the weekly candlesticks of the US Dollar Index (DXY) against a basket of major currencies, highlighting the bullish reversals seen in 2018 and 2021. 3) Gold’s cyclical top will be reached when outflows dominate in GOLD ETFs The gold cycle will top out when capital outflows from gold-backed ETFs become dominant. Inflows into these funds usually reflect investor appetite for the metal. When these inflows slow and reverse, it shows a gradual disengagement from gold’s financial demand — which has played a major role in its 2025 price rally. This shift marks the maturity of the bullish phase. Therefore, the dominance of ETF outflows is an early indicator of an impending gold cycle reversal. For now, according to World Gold Council data, that situation has not yet materialized. 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FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Swissquote
Balances and Imbalances in Gold🔴 Why Point of Control (POC) Acts as Strong Support or Resistance to Create a Balance In a Volume Profile, the Point of Control (POC) represents the price level where the highest traded volume occurred during a specific period. This level attracts attention because it reflects the fairest price accepted by both buyers and sellers. ➥ In an Uptrend: When the market is trending higher, previous POCs often act as strong support zones. Traders who missed earlier entries tend to buy when price revisits these high-volume levels, believing them to be fair-value areas within the broader uptrend. Moreover, institutional participants often reload positions near the POC since liquidity is abundant there. In short, when price revisits a past POC during an uptrend, demand tends to emerge again, creating a bounce from that level. ➥ In a Downtrend: Conversely, in a downtrend, previous POCs act as strong resistance zones. What was once a fair price for buyers now becomes a fair price for sellers. Market participants who were trapped at higher levels use these zones to exit or add fresh short positions. Thus, when price rallies toward a prior POC, supply often re-enters, leading to rejection or a pullback. In this backdrop, let's discuss Gold chart. 🔴 Gold Chart Analysis in This Context In the above 1H chart of Gold, the relationship between price and POC is clearly visible. ➥During the earlier part of the chart, Gold is in an uptrend. Each time the price retraced, it found support around the previous session’s POC. These levels acted as liquidity zones, where strong buying interest reappeared, helping the price continue its upward leg. This repetitive structure created a classic “staircase” pattern - each rally was followed by a controlled pullback to the prior POC, confirming the zone as a demand base. ➥However, as momentum shifted, Gold entered a downtrend. In this phase, the same POC logic flipped - price began reacting bearishly around previous POCs. Each time the market attempted to rally, it stalled or reversed near those old value areas, signaling that sellers were defending the former fair-value levels. This behavior turned prior supports into resistance shelves, reinforcing the bearish control. ➥Currently, price seems to be retesting one such POC zone near the $4000 zone. If sellers maintain control, the next leg lower could unfold toward the next lower-volume pocket or untested POC zone. But before that we need some sign of weakness near 4000- shortening of the thrust/lack of buying interest/impulsive selling etc. before pulling the trigger or else 4125 to 4150 might be on the cards. What do think at this point? Will it pass through the resistance zone or react sharply back to 3900. Do comment and 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Bravetotrade
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid fading U.S.–China trade tensions. Currently, price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating under the psychological $4,000 zone. 💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15) Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel, forming a corrective recovery inside a broader downtrend. Immediate Support Zones: • 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone • 3,918 → Structural invalidation area Resistance & Key Reaction Levels: • 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term key resistance • 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence) 📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085 – 4,102, where strong selling pressure may reappear. 📍If the price rejects at 4,094 – 4,102, expect a corrective move back toward 3,961 – 3,937, aligning with the channel base and trendline retest. 🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by another 25bps, following September’s “risk management” cut. However, if Powell’s tone turns hawkish, Gold could face renewed downside pressure as rate-cut expectations fade, particularly for December. Conversely, a cautious or dovish tone emphasizing inflation risks and slower growth could boost Gold above $4,100 in the short term. Meanwhile, easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the ongoing equity rally may continue to limit safe-haven demand. 🧭 Summary Gold is holding a short-term recovery bias, yet the medium-term trend remains fragile ahead of the FOMC. Expect volatility around the 4,000–4,100 zone, with the Fed statement likely to set the next major direction. 🛡️ Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity, and key reactions around $4,094–4,102 will reveal the next macro impulse.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone, Check out our updated Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement. We’ve refined our proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action recently broke out above the channel, with a body close above 4325, leaving a long-term gap open near 4444. Currently, we’re observing rejection at 4325, and our channel top is now acting as support. The market is range-bound between 4325 (resistance) and 4183 (channel top as support). A decisive break above or below either of these levels will help define the next directional move, keeping in mind the open gap overhead at 4444. On the downside, 3961 remains the pivotal swing zone, aligning with the channel midline, should we see a confirmed break below 4183. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
DeGRAM | GOLD is testing a resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD has confirmed a breakout from the descending resistance line and continues to form higher lows along the rising support line, indicating growing bullish momentum. ● The pair targets the next resistance at 4,094–4,138, with immediate support seen at 3,973, maintaining a short-term upward structure inside a rising channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold gains traction as investors price in a pause in Fed tightening and geopolitical risk supports safe-haven demand. ✨ Summary ● Long bias above 3,973; targets 4,094–4,138. Breakout structure and macro sentiment favor bullish continuation. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
2
Gold's downward trend shows no signs of stopping sell on ralliesGold prices priced in the Fed's rate cut expectations yesterday, and quickly retreated after the data release. The bullish momentum was short-lived. After gold prices broke through $4000, almost everyone in the market believed a rebound was imminent. However, I maintain my view: yesterday's rebound was merely a corrective bounce after a sharp decline, just a sign of market recovery. The market is only rebounding, not reversing. Our short positions bought at 4020 have yielded substantial profits; you can refer to my post yesterday to verify its accuracy. The overall trend for gold remains bearish and volatile. Today, during the Asian session, we recommend selling on any rebounds. The 1-hour moving averages for gold continue their downward crossover and bearish alignment, and the price has now fallen back below the moving averages, indicating that the bears are still slightly stronger. After the Fed data release, the price quickly retreated after reaching 4007, and the resistance at the 4000 level suggests that selling on rallies is the best strategy. The bulls failed to hold above 4000, and the bears have the upper hand. Market conditions are constantly changing. Now that the bullish expectations have been priced in, gold has returned to a weak trend, and there is still room for further decline. The gold correction will continue. Today's trading strategy: Short gold at 3985-3995, with a target of 3930-3920.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Gold Holds Firm Ahead of FOMC DecisionGold has shown a clear break of structure (BOS) on the 1H timeframe, confirming a shift from a previous downtrend into a bullish continuation phase. After rebounding from the support area, the price is holding above both moving averages, signaling strong buying interest. A short-term consolidation phase could lead to another upside move toward the next resistance zone as long as support holds. Key Levels: Buy Entry: 4000 Take Profit: 4070 Stop Loss: 3960 Reasoning: Technically, price action confirms a trend reversal with multiple bullish structure breaks (BOS 1H & 2H) and consistent higher lows. Buyers continue to defend the support area, keeping momentum aligned with the broader bullish bias. Fundamentally, softening U.S. dollar sentiment and stable Treasury yields support gold’s recovery, as traders look for safety ahead of key U.S. economic data and the upcoming FOMC communication. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
#XAUUSD: +6000 Pips Swing Move In Making, Patience Pays! Gold prices have fallen sharply as the DXY has regained strength. Following the recent significant sell-off, we can anticipate the potential direction of the price. Three key targets can be considered if the price moves in our favour. The first is a nearby target at $4000 which would represent a gain of 1100 pips. Subsequent targets should be determined according to your trading plan. There are two potential entry points; if the first is invalidated the second should be considered. We wish you the best of luck and trade safely. Team Setupsfx 🚀❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
10
XAUUSD UPDATEhi everyone For this upward movement, the first resistance is at the 3494 level. A breakout at this level would also coincide with a breakout of the trendline. If both the trendline and resistance are broken, the price is likely to move toward the next resistance at 4984. The target price could reach the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. I’m also interested in entering a long position around the 3862 area. However, if the support at 3884 breaks, I will reconsider the setup good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mytw0cents
XAUUSD: A Potential Reversal on the HorizonOANDA:XAUUSD The price has been on a steady decline, but there's a shift happening. Sellers have tried to push the price even lower twice, but both attempts were met with strong rejection at nearly the same price level. This is forming a Double Bottom, a classic signal that the downward momentum is losing power. Now, all focus is on the neckline. A decisive breakout and a close above this level will not only confirm the pattern but could also spark a significant rally toward the 4,135 target. If this happens, we could be looking at the beginning of a powerful trend reversal. The market is gearing up for a move, and this is where it gets exciting.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erikk_Kraft
2
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD XAUUSD ,GOLD ,AS earlier predicted on retest to 4030 zone, price is reacting but 4hr close shows a technical break of structure and if we take correction i will be watching 4000-4006 demand floor which is a descent 270pips drop from the close of the newyork high. the next demand floor should 4000-4006 fails will be 3956-3954 zone ,a strong 1hr cross and a break and retest descending trendline . if 4000-4006 holds and we break freely away from 4030 ,then we will target 4100 zone you can stop at 4068 another 300pips break of 4030 resistance zone and watch for correction . am confident that 4100 is possible tomorrow. technical failure of both zone will retest 3885-3889 current low which i think wont happen based on the current FEDERAL FUND RATE 3.75%-4.0%. #GOLD #XAUUSD
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
BUY SETUP – Smart Money Style (GOLD / USD – 30m)Analysis: Price has formed a clean bullish structure after rejecting the demand zone (gray area). Multiple rejections confirm strong buyer presence around $3975–$3988, indicating liquidity absorption below the previous low. Trade Plan: Entry: Within the reaccumulation zone near $4026 Stop Loss: Below the demand base at $3975 Take Profit: Toward the upper liquidity and supply zone at $4097 Risk/Reward: ~1:3 Concept: This setup aligns with Smart Money and FU (Failed Breakout) principles — price swept liquidity below the prior structure, tapped into unmitigated demand, and is now targeting the next high. A clean break and hold above $4053 would confirm momentum continuation to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DreamsForx