Gold market renews bullish sentiment at3990’sGold market initiated movement at 4043, followed by a correctional move to mitigate the 3990’s demand zone. A new hedge is now being established around 4073, signaling renewed bullish momentum within the broader uptrend structure. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Trade ideas
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD ,the Sydney/asian market opens ,on 4hr the supply roof is broken and i hope that buying will approach 4062.19 and extend purchase into 4100 zone .
if price pulls back for liquidity on 4hr i will always watch the 3962 demand floor for buy.
KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT for the week..
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown.
The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all.
This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech.
Key points from his speech:
The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices.
Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting.
Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated.
The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation.
The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1.
Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course.
Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed.
He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions.
Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.
NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY.
RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY
ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL.
#GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD ,AS earlier predicted on retest to 4030 zone, price is reacting but 4hr close shows a technical break of structure and if we take correction i will be watching 4000-4006 demand floor which is a descent 270pips drop from the close of the newyork high.
the next demand floor should 4000-4006 fails will be 3956-3954 zone ,a strong 1hr cross and a break and retest descending trendline .
if 4000-4006 holds and we break freely away from 4030 ,then we will target 4100 zone you can stop at 4068 another 300pips break of 4030 resistance zone and watch for correction .
am confident that 4100 is possible tomorrow.
technical failure of both zone will retest 3885-3889 current low which i think wont happen based on the current FEDERAL FUND RATE 3.75%-4.0%.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
Going Long On Gold (XAUUSD)Gold Analysis 🟡 | Potential Reversal Setup
For some days now, gold has been quite bearish. But at the moment, we can clearly see a new higher high forming on the 1H timeframe, and multiple higher highs showing up on the 15M chart as well.
Price has already swept all the liquidity that was built up from last night into today, and it is now sitting around the area where it almost created a new low compared to yesterday.
However, I believe this move was mainly to grab liquidity, meaning price could be preparing for a bullish reversal. I am looking to take a long position from here. Let us see how it plays out. ✨📈
GOLD XAUUSD THE YELLOW METAL SELLOFF CONTINUES ON FOMC FEDERAL FUND RATE OUTLOOK.
All eyes are now on the Fed’s monetary policy verdict , as the US government shows no signs of reopening.
Market are almost fully pricing in two interest rate cuts this year, with a 25 basis points (bps) cut .
the key technicality surrounding gold trading is as follows
the 4hr EMA10,EMA20,EMA50,EMA100 are all above price supporting bearish take profit only the 4HR EMA200 IS below price acting as dynamic support on 4hr at 3945-3940 + ema 200 support for buy.
THIS WILL BE LAYER BY LAYER.
THE DOLLAR INDEX BROKEN OF 98.757 SUPPORT FLOOR INDICATING A POSSIBL EFFECT ON RATE CUT ,HOW EVER THIS PRICE ACTION PUT GOLD LONG POSITION ON CAUTIOUS MODE.
THE UNITED STATE 10 YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD CLOSE IN MASSIVE SELLOFF TO CLOSE BELOW 4.0% MARK AT EXACTLY 3.987%
GOLD CORECTION IS PLAYING ON CAUTION AND the next demand floor will around 3767.90-3764-3760
finally the last layer by layer will be 3700-3706 my pay day zone ....at this level expect to see the hand of GOD.
NOTE;gold trading is very volatile but comes with liquidity ,pls manage your risk and i wish you good luck.
#GOLD #XAUUSD #DXY #US10Y
GOLD Bull Market Over?Gold has fallen yet again today. Busting through some major technical support.
Gold is falling for 3 main reasons;
1. Trump / XI (USA vs China) meeting is expecting positive negotiations.
2. Mega Cap Tech Earnings: markets love to chase tech higher.
3. FOMC rate cut expectations.
We believe gold had a strong chance at retesting the daily 200 MA.
Picked up some GLD calls today.
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart ( Buy Scalp In Progress )Hello traders. As per my last chart, I took the trade at the green line marked on the chart. I caught around 80 pips or so and closed 75% of the trade. The remaining 25% of the trade is my runner. My stop loss as well above my entry point, so zero loss. One trade, boom. Done for the day. Big G gets my thanks. Hope some of you caught the move up.
EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK/WEEKS AHEAD Gold is in-between two major zones, buy zone at 3998-3980 and a sell zone at 4020-4037 and price can respect any of the two major zones and start moving in either direction but based on last week price action i will still go for sells, although Gold is fundamentally expected to buy again because of reduced rate and higher inflation it would probably sell again this week ahead to create the monthly low and also to test a higher time frame buy zone below before it starts with another massive buys to end the year,
so let target a sell at 4014-4020 when market opens, with sl around 4035/37 and tp not less than 500pips or far below , because this sell is expected to reach somewhere 3870-50, before the long term buy start , i will update you along the way and if it decides to buy midway i will signal or update you but if it reaches 3870-50 and it decides to move below it to sell more too i will update and that will signal a very long term sells so let be on alert mood as i always be .
A lot discovered so always be around, forex is not scary to us anymore it's rather interesting because everything is based on time and price, that's why you see prices plotted against time, very interesting indeed.
When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the TruthGold Analysis – Special Weekly & Monthly Closing Edition
This report combines daily, weekly, and monthly charts to look beyond short-term noise — connecting technical, economic, and geopolitical factors for a broader perspective.
Economic & Geopolitical Highlights
1. Fed Rate Cut (-25 bps) — Neutral
The move was fully priced in; gold showed no bullish response.
2. Jerome Powell’s Press Conference — Bearish
He noted that a December rate cut is “no longer guaranteed,” cutting odds from 90% to 60%, weighing on gold.
3. Trump–Xi Meeting — Bearish
Talks were commercially positive, signaling tariff relief — reducing safe-haven demand.
4. Trump’s Comments on Nuclear Tests — Mildly Bullish
Even verbal tension keeps geopolitical uncertainty alive in the background.
Hot Topics Still on the Table:
Trump–Putin meeting in Hungary
Sanctions on Russian oil firms
New U.S. tariffs
U.S. government shutdown updates
In short — fundamentals remain highly unstable and reactive.
As I posted earlier on X:
“When Fundamentals Mislead — Only the Chart Tells the Truth.”
So, let’s see what the truthful chart has to say
Technical Analysis – Daily Chart
Current price: $4012
Gold trades below the 10-EMA ($4042) and 20-EMA ($4023) — both acting as near-term resistance.
The metal has stayed under the 10-EMA since Tuesday, Oct 21, repeatedly failing to reclaim it despite several intraday attempts.
Even the brief contact with the 20-EMA on Monday was rejected quickly, sending price lower again.
For now, gold is trying to retest the 20-EMA (4023).
The key question:
Will it manage to reclaim it, or is it preparing to visit the 50-EMA near $3852 instead?
Using Fibonacci retracements, potential correction zones appear between 3831–3701,
while Fibonacci expansions suggest 3785–3728 — roughly the same area.
These aren’t distant targets for gold, which has recently dropped nearly $400 in a single day — reminding us that “what flies too high often falls faster.”
Weekly Chart
10-EMA Support: $3870
20-EMA Support: $3670
The broader trend shows a retest of major support after a long bullish stretch.
Monthly Chart
High: $4381
Low: $3819
Range: $562
Midpoint (Key Pivot): $4100
October’s close will define the year-end bias:
Above 4100 → bullish continuation possible
Below 4100 → opens room for a deeper correction toward 3830–3700
As of now, gold is trying to hold above $4000, after hitting a weekly low at $3886 on Tuesday.
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance:
4023 – 4030 – 4042 – 4100 – 4121 – 4144 – 4161 – 4381
Support:
3990 – 3961 – 3914 – 3886 – 3843 – 3831 – 3785 – 3728 – 3701 – 3670 – 3645
Trader’s Note – Before the Weekly & Monthly Close
Avoid emotional trades before the weekend or a major monthly close.
Long positions: watch 4040–4100 as a heavy resistance cluster.
Short positions: trail profits near 3870–3830.
Print these levels and keep them beside your screen — risk management matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly with new data or headlines.
Beyond the Chart - GOLD Market Technicals & FundamentalsOANDA:XAUUSD Long Bias & Smart Money Flow
Price tapped right into my mid-FVG zone and bounced clean textbook demand reaction.
Buyers stepped in heavy, volatility’s still alive but controlled just how we like it before the next leg.
Lower FVGs acted as accumulation, and now price is pushing toward the 4,045–4,060 zone where liquidity’s sitting pretty.
As long as we stay above the 4,015 support base, gold’s got room to keep running.
🎯 Targets: 4,045 → 4,080
❌ Invalidation: Break below 3,985 and close under the reclaimed FVG
No luck, just precision⚡
Gold holds gains but faces strong resistance at $3975📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices remain steady around $3960–$3965, sustaining upside momentum after breaking above the key $3950 resistance. The market is supported by expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, while a weaker USD continues to bolster gold. However, profit-taking pressure around $3970–$3975 is slowing the rally ahead of the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3975 – $3985 – $4000
• Nearest Support: $3955 – $3948 – $3935
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 & EMA 20 (H1) → short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick & Momentum: H1 candles are holding above the $3950 breakout zone, confirming ongoing buying strength, though RSI nearing overbought may trigger a minor correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold remains in a short-term uptrend above $3955. A clear break above $3975 could open the door to $3985–$4000, while a drop below $3955 may trigger a pullback toward $3948–$3935 before any rebound.
💡 Trading Strategy Suggestion:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3935 – $3932
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3929
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3978
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3981
Gold Consolidates Weakly Around $3925 – Sellers Still in Control📊 1. Market Overview
Gold prices rebounded slightly from the $3900 level, reaching $3931 before losing momentum. The market is now moving sideways around $3925 in a weak consolidation phase. The U.S. dollar remains firm as Treasury yields stay elevated, while traders await the upcoming PCE inflation data, limiting gold’s recovery potential.
🔍 2. Technical Analysis
• Main Trend: Bearish, with weak corrective rebounds.
• Immediate Resistance: $3930 – $3935
• Higher Resistance: $3948 – $3960
• Near-term Support: $3900 – $3890
• EMA50 & EMA200 (H1): EMA50 remains below EMA200, confirming the ongoing bearish bias.
• Candlestick Pattern: Small lower-tail candles around 3925 indicate mild buying but no clear reversal signal.
• RSI (H1): 45 – neutral, suggesting potential range-bound movement before breaking above 3930 or below 3900.
💡 3. Outlook
Gold is currently in a short-term accumulation phase after a steep drop, but the broader trend remains bearish. A rejection from the $3930–$3935 resistance zone could trigger another decline toward $3900 or even $3880. Conversely, a decisive breakout above $3935 with strong volume may extend the rebound toward $3960.
🎯 4. Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3928 – $3932
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3938
Gold Elliott Wave Analysis – Potential Wave (4) Completion ZoneGold (XAU/USD) on the daily chart appears to be completing a classic Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse structure. After a strong rally into the wave (3) high, price is currently retracing toward the projected wave (4) correction zone.
The highlighted support area aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.5 retracement: around $3,845
0.618 retracement: around $3,718
This region also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, adding confluence for potential bullish reversal.
If wave (4) finds support within this zone and maintains structure, a new impulsive rally toward wave (5) could begin — targeting the upper trendline resistance near $4,500–$4,600.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Trump-Induced Dip to BUY Zone
Trump's comments have sparked a corrective move in Gold, pushing it into a key demand zone. This presents a high-risk, high-reward buying opportunity for a rebound towards . The fundamental shock is seen as temporary against the broader bullish structure. #Gold #Trading #XAUUSD #BuyTheDip
Gold retest of the pivotal 4010 levelThe Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4010 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4010 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4215 – initial resistance
4270 – psychological and structural level
4315 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4010 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3985 – minor support
3955– stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
A bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4010. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels.
Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend.
Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low.
Key Levels and Concepts:
D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart.
The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area.
The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target.
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support.
Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
November 3, 2025 - XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
From the chart, bearish momentum hasn’t completely disappeared, and bullish strength hasn’t yet emerged, suggesting that the market may enter a range-bound phase.
I expect the price to consolidate between 3991 and 4010 — within this range, sell near the top and buy near the bottom.
Watch for a clear breakout:
If price breaks above 4010, consider buying pullbacks into support.
If price breaks below 3991, look to sell rallies into resistance.
A quick reminder: the zone between 4010–4045 lacks clear higher-timeframe levels, but there are many minor levels within it.
Conservative traders may prefer to wait until price exits this zone.
Aggressive traders can try light positions near short-term levels — with strict stop losses and small size.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4065 – Resistance
• 4050–4058 – Resistance zone
• 4045 – Resistance
• 4020–4030 – Resistance zone
• 4010 – Upper boundary of range / resistance
• 4000 – Psychological level
• 3991 – Lower boundary of range / support
• 3971–3980 – Support zone
• 3960 – Key support
• 3947 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3991 → target 3987, with further downside toward 3984, 3980, 3975
BUY: If price holds above 4010 → target 4015, with further upside toward 4020, 4025, 4030
Parallel Channel Observation H1XAUUSD GOLD Update H1 Timeframe 🙌
- This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect Parallel Channel 🔋
- Parallel Channel indications for a good bullish opportunities point from 📈
Targets would be at 4026 - 4047 - 4082.00 ✅️
Note : if Channel breaks this idea will be in Invalid ❗️
All you need to stick with one Mentor with Discipline Consistency and Focus Mindset 💯
#XAUUSD
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 11/1/2025Gold closed the month with a green bar which signals the bullish run is not over yet. From monthly TF, I am expecting the price to test 78.6% Fibo level and rise up to previous ATH at 4380 at least for the month of Nov.
Weekly candle is not showing bullish continuation yet, as it's still printing a red candle. From daily, the hanging red candle is also suggesting a drop is coming. Therefore, I am expecting a initial drop to 3940 and rise from there at the later stage of next week.
let's see what the market will provide.






















