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Gold price is consolidating around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,150 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by a firmer US Dollar and cautious sentiment after recent sharp losses. The end of India’s Diwali festival may also curb physical demand. However, lingering US government shutdown risks, global trade tensions, and expectations of US rate cuts could lend support to the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold's downward correction is still continuing, accumulating below 4200. Buying power is weakening and there is not much momentum to increase prices this week. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4217 - 4219 SL 4224 TP1: $4202 TP2: $4190 TP3: $4170 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3954 - 3956 SL 3949 TP1: $3970 TP2: $3990 TP3: $4015 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Latest Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy : I. Fundamental and News Analysis This week is a "super week" for the gold market, with multiple risk events overlapping, expected to trigger significant market volatility: Political and Economic Events: The 2025 APEC Leaders' Informal Meeting is being held, and U.S. President Trump has begun his Asia tour, drawing attention to geopolitical dynamics. The fifth round of Sino-U.S. trade consultations has made progress, with the U.S. explicitly stating it will "no longer consider" imposing 100% tariffs on China. The easing of trade tensions has weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Central Bank and Data Focus: The Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, and other central banks will announce interest rate decisions, with the market closely monitoring signals on monetary policy. The U.S. will release the September Core PCE Price Index (a key inflation indicator for the Fed) and the Q3 GDP data, which will directly impact interest rate expectations. II. In-Depth Technical Analysis Overall Trend Positioning: Gold is currently in a wide-range consolidation phase and has not yet formed a unilateral trend. Last Friday's CPI data, which was bullish, failed to push gold prices higher, indicating weak bullish momentum. The adjustment period may extend until the Fed's interest rate decision (early Thursday morning). Key Levels and Patterns: Resistance Zone: 4020–4050 (short-term) If the rebound breaks above 4050 and fills the 4100 gap, the short-term trend will need to be reassessed. Support Zone: 3950–3920 (key defensive area for declines) If the 4000 level is effectively broken, a decline toward the 3800 target may begin (based on the previous upward triangle pattern calculation). Pattern Signals: The 1-hour chart shows a triangle convergence consolidation, with a slightly bearish structure. A double top formed at 4380 last week, indicating short-term bearish dominance. III. Core Trading Strategy Primary Approach: Focus on selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary strategy. Strict risk control is essential. Key Resistance: 4020–4050 Key Support: 3950–3920 Specific Action Plan: Short Strategy (Primary): Entry: Sell in batches in the 4020–4050 zone (position ≤ 30%) Stop Loss: 4060 Target: 3980–3950, with a break below targeting 3920 Long Strategy (Secondary): Entry: Lightly test buying in the 3950–3920 zone (position ≤ 20%) Stop Loss: 3900 Target: 3980–4000 IV. Risks and Contingency Tips Data Risks: Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision on Thursday, the market may remain volatile. Be cautious of sudden news triggering breakouts. If Core PCE and GDP data exceed expectations, the current technical pattern may be broken. Trading Discipline: Total position size should be controlled within 50%, with a single stop loss not exceeding 3% of capital. If the price breaks above 4050 and holds, pause short positions and observe the performance at the 4100 resistance level. If the 3920 support is broken, abandon long positions and look toward the 3880–3850 zone. Note: The current market is event-driven and volatile. Technical signals need to be flexibly adjusted based on real-time news. It is recommended to closely monitor the effects of U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index during the European and U.S. trading sessions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Aureus_Analytics
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON OPEN TO THE MOON AGAIN SCALPING TO THE BANK THE YELLOW METAL SELLOFF CONTINUES ON FOMC FEDERAL FUND RATE OUTLOOK. All eyes are now on the Fed’s monetary policy verdict , as the US government shows no signs of reopening. Market are almost fully pricing in two interest rate cuts this year, with a 25 basis points (bps) cut . the key technicality surrounding gold trading is as follows the 4hr EMA10,EMA20,EMA50,EMA100 are all above price supporting bearish take profit only the 4HR EMA200 IS below price acting as dynamic support on 4hr at 3945-3940 + ema 200 support for buy. THIS WILL BE LAYER BY LAYER. THE DOLLAR INDEX BROKEN OFF 98.757 SUPPORT FLOOR INDICATING A POSSIBLE EFFECT ON RATE CUT COMING ,HOWEVER THIS PRICE ACTION PUT GOLD LONG POSITION ON CAUTIOUS MODE. THE UNITED STATE 10 YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD CLOSE IN MASSIVE SELLOFF TO CLOSE BELOW 4.0% MARK AT EXACTLY 3.987% GOLD CORRECTION IS PLAYING ON CAUTION AND the next demand floor will around 3767.90-3764-3760 finally the last layer by layer will be 3700-3706 my pay day zone ....at this level expect to see the hand of GOD. NOTE;gold trading is very volatile but comes with liquidity ,pls manage your risk and i wish you good luck. #GOLD #XAUUSD #DXY #US10Y
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Price Analysis October 31🟡 XAUUSD Update After a correction period, gold has formed a double bottom pattern, showing a clear reversal signal. The price has just broken out of the important resistance zone of 4026, reaffirming the main uptrend. Currently, the bullish momentum is still being consolidated, with the next target around the 4141 area. Technically, if the buying force is strong enough to push the price above 4141 – 4126, the uptrend will continue to expand, heading towards higher peaks in the coming time. The fundamental data is also supporting this bullish momentum. 📈 Trading Strategy: Prioritize BUYing with the trend BUY Trigger: When the price breaks the resistance zone of 4141–4126 BUY Now 🎯 Target: 4141 and above
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
Gold LongsAs mentioned in my previous DXY analysis (check DXY analysis on my page), I expect dollar to fall. What does this mean for gold? If dollar falls, gold will most likely be bullish. Additionally, in a fundamental viewpoint, gold is expected to rise if not short term, long term. From a technical standpoint, price was quite bearish at the start of the last week, and the trend began to shift from the middle of the week to the end. Price is now printing higher highs and higher lows. I expect price to respect this new trend. Price can move to the upside from current levels or we may see minimal correction to a demand zone before the move up. Personally, a little correction to the downside with a strong reaction to the demand zone will be more convincing for me to enter buys. If price drops sharply, at the start of the week, I will post an update. Kindly manage risk. Best Of Luck! -TD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheDream20
XAUUSD is on hunt [710 pips TP hit in last setup]Today's Buyers were dominant on both Tokyo & EU session hold the Range of 3935-4000. As we were buy from 3935-3940 zone and our Tps Hit at 4005 What are my conditions For This setup? Currently 2 buy zones we have I expecting the market has to rise from 3975-3972 area H1-H4 candle closing should be above 3975-3980. Targets: 4005- 4028 ✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3970 our buying will be compromised & and market will again retest 3930 for bottom liquidity
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAU/USD 30 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025. As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.456. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON MARKET PERSPECTIVE GOLD ON 2HR CONSOLIDATING BETWEEN 3951.21 AS DEMAND FLOOR AND 3974-3978 AS SUPPLY ROOF.A BREAK IN ANY DIRECTION WILL CALL FOR A NEW CHART. CASE1 A BREAK OUT FROM 3974-3978 WILL LEAD TO RETEST OF 4030 AND EXTENTED. CASE 2 A BREAK BELOW 3951 WILL CHALLENGE 3885-3889 AND MIGHT AIM THE DESCENDING TRENDLINE AROUND 3804 AS SUPPORT. KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT TODAY FROM UNITED STATES . The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown. The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all. This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.​ Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech. Key points from his speech: The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices. Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting. Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated. The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation. The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1. Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course. Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed. He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions. Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.​​ NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY. RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL. #GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Aiming for 4045 — Calm Before the Break!Market looks like it’s gathering strength after a tight consolidation. I’m currently watching the $4045 zone (highlighted in green) — that’s a clean resistance from previous highs. If price breaks above it with a strong candle and good momentum, we might see a short-term bullish continuation toward the upper zone. However, until the breakout actually happens, I’ll stay patient — no rush entries. Right now, gold is simply testing its mid-structure, and this kind of calm buildup usually ends with a solid directional move. The candle structure also shows steady higher lows — another positive sign, but confirmation only comes after a clean 1H close above 4045. If rejection happens again, I’ll expect another pullback to around 4010–4000 before any fresh upside attempt.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ClearTradingMind
GOLD XAUUSD Gold's reclassification as a Basel III Tier 1 asset marks a significant upgrade in how regulators and banks view gold within global financial systems. Why Gold is Reclassified as Basel III Tier 1 Tier 1 Status Definition: Under Basel III, Tier 1 assets are the highest quality capital assets that banks can use to meet their core capital requirements. These assets carry a 0% risk weight, reflecting their safety, liquidity, and reliability as capital. Gold’s Historical Status: Gold has already been recognized as a Tier 1 asset for capital adequacy since the Basel I Accords in 1988, due to its status as a safe store of value with very low default risk. New Recognition (2025): Starting July 1, 2025, physical gold held by banks can be counted at 100% of its market value in regulatory capital calculations, instead of being subject to significant haircuts or lower classifications (e.g., previously it was treated as a Tier 3 asset with a 50% deduction). High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) Label: This reclassification means gold is now officially recognized as a High-Quality Liquid Asset under Basel III, allowing it to qualify as part of banks’ liquidity coverage ratios (LCR), an important step for liquidity and capital management. Regulatory Shift: This reflects changing perceptions that gold is not just a commodity but a true monetary asset. It is increasingly accepted as a reliable reserve asset by central banks and financial institutions worldwide. Central Bank Adoption: This move aligns with continued aggressive gold buying by central banks, recognizing gold’s importance for capital reserves, systemic stability, and as an inflation hedge. Significance Banks can fully count gold toward core capital reserves. Reduces capital burden, improving bank balance sheets and financial resilience. Endorses gold as a strategic, monetary asset, not just a commodity investment. Encourages institutional demand for physical gold and gold-related financial products. Summary Gold was reclassified as a Basel III Tier 1 asset starting July 1, 2025, reflecting its highest quality capital standing with 0% risk weighting and full market value recognition. This elevates gold’s status to a High-Quality Liquid Asset (HQLA) for regulatory purposes, facilitating banks’ liquidity coverage and capital adequacy. The change signals a major regulatory and market shift, acknowledging gold as a core reserve and strategic financial asset in modern banking systems. #GOLD #XAUUSD
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
SELL SETUP – Gold (XAU/USD) – Smart Money + FundamentalsTechnical Analysis: Price has created a lower-high structure after rejecting the major supply zone (4110–4135). The market recently tapped into a mitigation zone (4080–4090) — a previous support turned resistance (RBS) — and showed rejection signs. Liquidity above that area has been cleared, indicating distribution before the next impulsive bearish move. Targeting liquidity resting below 3976, where a demand imbalance sits waiting to be filled. Structure remains bearish unless price breaks above 4110. Trade Plan: Entry: 4085–4090 Stop Loss: 4110 Take Profit: 3976 Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:3 Fundamental Analysis: Gold continues to face bearish pressure as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens amid hawkish Fed expectations and recent positive U.S. economic data. Interest rates: Market anticipates rates to stay elevated longer, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical tone: With current global tensions stable and no major escalation, safe-haven demand remains limited. Bond yields: Rising U.S. Treasury yields further support USD strength, adding weight to short-term downside in gold. Concept: This setup aligns Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with macroeconomic sentiment, anticipating institutional selling continuation toward lower liquidity pools.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by DreamsForx
XAU/USD 31 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025. As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD XAUUSD KEY FUNDAMENTAL REPORT TODAY FROM UNITED STATES . The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark federal funds rate on October 29, 2025, lowering the target range to 3.75% - 4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate reduction this year. The decision was made amid moderate economic expansion, a slowing job market, slightly elevated inflation, and uncertainty caused by limited economic data due to a government shutdown. The Fed also stated it will end the reduction of its balance sheet assets (quantitative tightening) on December 1, 2025. The committee emphasized attentiveness to the evolving economic outlook, risks to employment and inflation, and readiness to adjust policy accordingly. The vote was 10-2, with some dissent for either deeper cuts or no cuts at all. This rate cut supports easing financial conditions to aid maximum employment and returning inflation to the 2% long-run goal.​ Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered speech. Key points from his speech: The Fed remains focused on achieving maximum employment and stable prices. Despite some disruption from a partial government shutdown delaying some economic data, available information indicates little change in employment and inflation outlooks since the September meeting. Labor market conditions appear to be gradually cooling, with inflation still somewhat elevated. The rate cut was aimed at supporting these goals given the balance of risks to employment and inflation. The Fed will end the reduction of its asset holdings (quantitative tightening) on December 1. Powell emphasized a balanced approach between supporting growth and controlling inflation, noting the policy is not on a preset course. Future rate moves remain data-dependent; a December rate cut is not guaranteed. He acknowledged the challenges and trade-offs in monetary policy decision-making, especially under uncertainty from recent disruptions. Overall, Powell’s speech conveyed cautious optimism combined with a pragmatic acknowledgement of incoming risks and uncertainty, signaling readiness to adjust policy to evolving economic conditions.​​ technical strategy for gold . supply roof around 3978-3975 zone watch for break and close and change bias is possible look into 4030 retest and further upswing. breakout of 3925-3922 and a close of the break out look for sell opportunity to target 3885-3890 yesterday low and watch dollar index and the united state 10year treasury bond yield .if dollar continues to show buy impetus we may pause and recalibrate for clear directional bias. NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY. RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL. #GOLD #US10Y #DOLLAR
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
GOLD XAUUSD LONDON PERSPECTIVE FOR FREETHE LONDON GOLD MARKET OPEN IN THE DIRECTION OF BUY AFTER WE MADE A STRONG DOUBLE BOTTOM ON THE 3885-3890 FLOOR YESTERDAY. THE RETEST OF THE NECKLINE BY ASIAN/Sydney SESSION AT 3925-3923 BROUGHT MORE LONG POSITION ON POSSIBLE FOMC CAUTIOUS OULOOK. THE key supply will be around 4011-4022....100PIPS RISKY loss in equity awaits you if price demand exceeds supply at 4011 zone the key sell could be 4022-4020...THIS IS based on the structure of the market. key supply 4049-4055 zone based on the structure of the market. layer by layer. NOTE ;ANY KEY LAYER CAN FAIL FOR MANY REASONS(DEMAND EXCEEDS SUPPLY,BUY CONTINUATION) (2)SUPPLY EXCEEDS DEMAND, SELL CONTINUATION ) NOTHING LIKE MANIPULATION,JUST TAKE RESPONSIBILTY OF YOUR OVERSIGHT. GOODLUCK. #GOLD #XAUUSD
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub