GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Trade ideas
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Key Reaction Zone Ahead – 0.5–0.618 FIB Gold is trading near a critical retracement zone (0.5–0.618 FIB) with price consolidating below the previous day’s high ($4046).
Smart money may look to induce liquidity above $4031, then reverse to target the previous day low ($3972) if rejection confirms.
Trade Idea:
Watch Zone: $4006–$4031 (reaction / rejection area)
Bearish Scenario: Liquidity grab above $4031 → Break of structure → Sell continuation
Bullish Scenario: Strong close above $4046 → Next liquidity target $4065+
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish unless $4046 is broken with volume
Key Levels:
Resistance: $4046 (PDH zone)
Support: $3972 (PDL)
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 3, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone.
At the current pace, it is expected that within 2–3 more D1 candles, momentum will reach the overbought area — increasing the risk of a potential reversal.
However, in the short term, the bullish trend still dominates.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is reversing upward, and if a strong bullish candle breaks above the 4028 resistance level, it will confirm a bullish reversal, potentially leading to a 5-candle H4 uptrend within today’s session.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting a short-term pullback may occur before the next upside continuation aligned with the broader H4 trend.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Current data still supports the scenario that the market is forming Wave (4) in yellow.
However, more time is needed for a clear confirmation.
If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone without price creating a new high, that would give us additional confirmation of this wave count.
In the short term, price may continue rising for another 2 days.
H4 Timeframe:
The scenario of Wave (4) in purple within Wave (3) in yellow remains valid and has not been invalidated.
If price breaks above the 4379 high, it would confirm the formation of Wave (5) in purple, signaling the start of a strong bullish move.
At present, price movement remains choppy and overlapping, showing no clear trend direction — hence, we need to monitor price action closely.
With H4 momentum turning upward and resistance around 4028 forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, I expect a bullish move of 4–5 H4 candles today.
A decisive breakout above 4028 would further reinforce this bullish scenario.
H1 Timeframe:
The current H1 structure may be forming either:
• Wave X within the larger D1 structure, or
• Wave (5) in purple within the H4 structure.
In either case, we can expect a short-term upward move in line with H4 momentum.
Currently, price is hovering around the 4017 resistance zone, while H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward — therefore, a short-term correction toward the 3953 liquidity zone is expected.
This area will serve as a potential buy zone.
________________________________________
🎯 Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3954 – 3952
• Stop Loss: 3944
• Take Profit 1: 4050
Core Data and Event Analysis for the Super WeekCore Data and Event Analysis for the Super Week
The upcoming week will see a dense window of key data releases and events, featuring "PMI + ADP Employment + Central Bank Rate Decision" — each with the potential to break the current range-bound market pattern for gold:
Nov 3: Global Manufacturing PMIs
Market expectations point to a reading of 49.2 for the U.S. October ISM Manufacturing PMI, while China’s SPGI Manufacturing PMI is projected to remain below the 50.0 expansion-contraction threshold at around 49.0%.
- A U.S. PMI print below 48.5 would reinforce expectations of economic slowdown, fueling bets on monetary easing and lifting gold sentiment.
- A reading above 49.5, however, could further weigh on gold prices by signaling relative economic resilience.
Nov 5: U.S. ADP Employment Report
As a leading indicator for nonfarm payrolls, the ADP report is expected to show 170,000 new jobs added in October.
- If the actual figure falls below 150,000, the probability of a Fed rate cut in December may rise above 70%, directly driving gold to test the 4,040 USD resistance level.
- A print above 200,000 could trigger a pullback in gold to the 3,970 USD support zone.
Nov 6: Bank of England (BoE) Rate Decision
Market sentiment is divided ahead of the BoE meeting: most institutions anticipate rates to stay unchanged at 4.0%, but Goldman Sachs forecasts a 25-basis-point cut.
- Should the BoE initiate an interest rate cut cycle, it would boost global expectations for monetary easing, providing indirect support to gold prices.
Nov 7: Collective Remarks by FOMC Members
Five core members of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will deliver speeches. Key focus will be on their comments regarding a potential December rate cut and inflation trends.
- Hawkish signals (e.g., emphasizing persistent inflationary pressures) may trigger a short-term correction in gold.
- Dovish comments (e.g., noting signs of softening in the labor market) are likely to act as a catalyst for gold to break above key resistance levels.
Next week's trading strategy and analysis
buy:4000-4010
tp:4025-4035-4100
sl:3995
technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDEUREX:FDAX1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:NCF1! ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:RC1! EUREX:FGBX1! EUREX:FXXP1! ICEEUR:R1! ICEEUR:SOA1! Current Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term.
GOLD UNDER PRESSURE — WATCH 4130 FOR BEARISH REJECTION!🧭 WEEKLY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Nov 1–8, 2025
Main timeframe: H4
Strategy: SMC + Structure Shift + Supply/Demand Reactions
⚡ HOOK
GOLD FACES STRUCTURAL PRESSURE — RETEST BEFORE CONTINUATION?
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold has formed a clear lower-high structure after the recent CHoCH around 4367–4369.
The market currently trades around 4000, consolidating between two major demand zones (3930–3928 and 3895–3893).
Price shows signs of bearish order flow but lacks a confirmed BOS on the H4 structure.
This week, we expect a potential retracement to the mid supply zone (4132–4134) before continuing downside — unless the demand at 3930 holds strong for a bullish reaction.
🧩 STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
EQH: 4367–4369 → liquidity taken
CHoCH: Confirmed at 4320 → shift to bearish structure
BOS: 4200 → confirms lower low
Current price: 4002 → in a corrective phase
Demand zones: 3930–3928 (short-term) / 3895–3893 (deeper mitigation zone)
Supply zones: 4132–4134 / 4367–4369
💰 TRADE PLAN
1️⃣ Sell Setup (retracement play)
Entry: 4132 – 4134
SL: 4140
TP: 3930 (first target)
R:R ≈ 1:3
→ Confluence: bearish BOS + supply zone + weak high liquidity.
2️⃣ Buy Setup (reaction zone)
Entry: 3930 – 3928
SL: 3922
TP: 4130
R:R ≈ 1:3.5
→ Confluence: demand mitigation + liquidity sweep under equal lows.
3️⃣ Deep Buy Setup (liquidity sweep zone)
Entry: 3895 – 3893
SL: 3888
TP: 4005 / 4130
R:R ≈ 1:4
→ Confluence: unmitigated demand zone + FVG fill potential.
🎯 WEEKLY OUTLOOK
Bias remains bearish to neutral — expecting short-term pullback before further downside.
If price breaks and holds above 4140, it could invalidate the bearish bias and target 4360+ again.
Otherwise, rejections from the 4130 zone may push price back toward 3930 or even 3890 for reaccumulation.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceXAU/USD) is currently trading around the $4,009 level after rebounding from a recent intraday low. The price action shows a clear rising channel structure, with the upper boundary acting as a significant resistance zone near $4,040 – $4,050.
The chart highlights a resistance level where price has repeatedly failed to sustain upward momentum, indicating a potential double-top or distribution pattern forming in this area.
If price fails to break and hold above the $4,020 – $4,040 resistance zone, bearish momentum may resume, potentially pushing gold toward the $3,950 area initially, followed by a deeper correction to the target level near $3,913.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and close above $4,050 could invalidate the bearish outlook, opening the way for further bullish continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,050
Immediate Support: $3,990
Target Level: $3,913
Trend Bias: Short-term bearish under resistance
Conclusion:
Gold is approaching a critical resistance area, and a rejection could confirm a short-term bearish reversal pattern. Traders should watch for confirmation near $4,020–$4,040 for potential short entries targeting $3,913. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1!
Gold ( XAUUSD) UpdateGOLD (XAUUSD) Update 🟡
Price stayed bearish for most of the week as sellers kept control. I let the market play out after Tuesday’s drop since there was no clear daily signal from buyers.
On Thursday, we finally got a bullish engulfing daily close, showing early signs of momentum shift. The 4H structure is starting to turn bullish, and the 1H gave a clean entry during London after price failed to make new lower lows and began forming higher highs.
As long as price holds above the 4000 zone, I’ll stay patient and look for continuation towards 4100 and possibly the previous daily higher high.
Gold Under Pressure as USD Recovers📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4006/oz, extending its pullback as the U.S. dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rebound.
Traders are cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PMI and PCE data, which could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $4030 – $4050
• Nearest support: $3990 – $3975
• EMA09 (H1): Price remains below EMA09, confirming short-term bearish bias
• Candle/volume/momentum: Consecutive bearish candles with long upper wicks indicate strong selling pressure; RSI near 40 shows more downside potential.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may extend its short-term decline if USD strength persists and yields stay elevated.
However, $3990 – $3975 remains a potential rebound zone if a bullish rejection candle appears.
💡 Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $4047 – $4050
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $4053
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3977
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3972
GOLD LONDON/NEWYORK SET UPGOLD MARKET IN LONDON OPEN SESSION ,ONE SMALL OVERSIGHT AGAIN ON 1HR CAUSED US TO miss a sniper entries.we posted buy from pull back in the zone of 4000-4006 but the sniper buy was 3995 ,that was not bad but, its not where we want to be,the aim is to get into trade on sniper entry only.
if isn't sniper entry ,then is bad entry .
4000-4006 to the moon and should take us to 4040 and watch correction .or bullish continuation.
layer by layer
trading is probability
risk management is key.
any key layer can fail.
#gold #xauusd
XAU/USD - Potential Pullback to Trendline Support (1H Chart)Gold has been showing a strong bullish momentum recently, but the current structure suggests a possible short-term correction before the next leg up.
📊 Idea Overview: Price is testing a local resistance area around $4,015 – $4,020, where we could see a temporary rejection. A short-term pullback towards the ascending trendline (around $3,950) may offer a great buying opportunity if bullish confirmation appears.
🧭 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $4,010 (possible short-term rejection area)
Target Zone: Around $3,950 (trendline retest)
Stop Loss: Above $4,030 (previous swing high)
Bias: Bullish on the higher timeframe — this move could be a retracement within the uptrend.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Rising trendline acting as dynamic support
RSI near overbought territory (possible pullback signal)
Previous resistance turned potential support zone
⚠️ Note: Watch for price action signals near the trendline (bullish engulfing / double bottom) to confirm continuation of the uptrend.
XAU/USD Technical AnalysisXAU/USD Technical Analysis – Gold Awaits Reaction Near 4,000 Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a corrective structure after a sharp sell-off from the 4,180 area. On the H1 timeframe, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological level of 4,000 USD/oz, showing a battle between short-term buyers and dominant sellers.
The market is now testing a key decision point:
A bullish breakout above 4,020 – 4,040 could trigger a short-term rally toward 4,100 – 4,130, and potentially the major resistance near 4,180.
Conversely, failure to sustain above the 4,000 zone would likely invite renewed selling pressure, driving price back toward 3,950 and possibly 3,880.
This makes the current area a crucial inflection point where price action confirmation will determine the next directional move.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zones: 4,040 / 4,130 / 4,180
Support Levels: 3,950 / 3,880
Psychological Level: 4,000
Trading Plan
Scenario 1 (Bullish Breakout):
Entry: Above 4,040 (confirmed breakout)
Targets: 4,100 – 4,130
Stop-Loss: Below 3,990
Scenario 2 (Bearish Rejection):
Entry: Near 4,020 – 4,040 (sell rejection signals)
Targets: 3,950 – 3,880
Stop-Loss: Above 4,060
Technical Outlook
Momentum remains fragile after the recent correction, with traders waiting for confirmation before committing to a directional bias. A clean break above 4,040 would shift short-term sentiment bullish, while a strong rejection from this zone would reaffirm the prevailing downtrend.
Keep an eye on upcoming U.S. economic data and Fed commentary, as volatility around the 4,000 level could set the tone for November’s trading range.
Follow for more daily gold market updates, trade ideas, and macro-driven setups designed for professional traders.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Technical Analysis:Current Structure: Price is trading within a blue descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe
Current price: $3,956.765 near the lower boundary of the blue channel
Projected Movement:
If price holds the blue channel:
Expected oscillation between $3,793 - $3,896 range Potential bounce toward $4,130 - $4,210 zone
Critical Breakout Scenario:
A break above the pink channel resistance would signal bullish momentum This could trigger an upward move toward the $4,130 - $4,210 target area
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: $3,793 - $3,896
Channel Resistance: Pink trendline (breakout level)
Upper Targets: $4,130 - $4,210
Trading Bias:
Range-bound within blue channel until pink channel breakout Bullish confirmation requires sustained break above pink resistance The price needs to maintain the current channel structure for the $3,793-$3,896 oscillation, with the pink channel breakout being the key signal for upward movement toward $4,130-$4,210.
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill.
Outlook:
📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term)
🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880
🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
Gold Faces Wave 5 Danger: Prepare for a Sharp Drop AheadAt yesterday’s opening, gold dropped sharply, breaking the bullish structure. Today, the decline continued, and the gap near 3887 was successfully filled before the price rebounded toward the 3975 resistance area. The strong resistance remains around 4000–4018.
On the daily chart, the trend remains downward, with support at 3963 already broken. Although the price is now recovering, upside resistance remains dense. From a structural perspective, the movement now aligns with a five-wave decline pattern, and the market appears to be in wave 4’s rebound phase. Therefore, it’s crucial to monitor the resistance area closely — if the price fails to break and hold above it, be prepared for the onset of wave 5, which could drive prices down to around 3800.
On the weekly chart, there is potential support near 3834, but keep in mind that wave 5 declines are often stronger and faster than wave 3, meaning this support could be broken.
In summary, trade cautiously and make account safety your top priority.
Gold finds support in the short term, target is 3950Gold has found support at 3886. A short-term rebound is expected around 3950-55. At this level, you can switch to short positions, with a focus on 3965. If it breaks through 3973 and breaks above the support level in the Asian session, abandon your short position and switch to a full long position. In the short term, we're looking for a rebound around 3950-55. Here, you can short, but be mindful of the risk.
October 28th Gold US Trading Strategy:
1. Buy around 3900-3910, stop loss at 3886, take profit at 3940-50.
2. Short around 3950, stop loss at 3965, take profit at 3910.
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,926.35 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session around 3,982 after extending its sell-off from 4,048, confirming strong bearish continuation from the 4,38x top. The current structure remains heavy, with the H1 100/200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance and repeated rejections near 3,997–4,002.
Momentum indicators across intraday timeframes still favor sellers, but Asia may open with a brief corrective retracement before the next bearish leg toward 3,958–3,945 liquidity zones.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Third consecutive bearish daily candle confirming continuation of the mid-term correction.
• Price now trades around 3,982, testing the mid-range zone between 3,880–4,020.
• RSI slipping near 50, signaling room for more downside before oversold conditions.
• MACD histogram remains negative but moderating — corrective phase within broader uptrend.
🧭 Bias: Bearish continuation inside medium-term correction; key support 3,880.
⸻
🔸 1H Chart (H1)
• Structure: Clear lower highs from 4,12x → 4,072 → 4,048 → 3,997.
• Strong break of structure below 3,985 → 3,971 confirms downtrend intact.
• Price remains below all EMAs and the descending trendline.
• RSI ~37 (slightly oversold); MACD momentum still negative.
📉 Intraday Bias: Bearish below 4,021; corrective only if price reclaims that level.
⸻
🔹 15M Chart (M15)
• Descending channel clearly defined; price rejected twice near 3,997–4,002.
• Pullbacks shallow, suggesting weak buyer interest.
• MACD histogram fading after short correction — selling pressure resuming.
⚠️ Short-term Bias: Sell rallies until clean BOS above 4,021.
⸻
🔹 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro downtrend confirmed with CHoCH back to the downside at 3,996.
• Price consolidating near 3,982, forming minor liquidity base pre-Asia open.
• RSI ~36; momentum weak but potential short-term rebound toward 4,000 before next drop.
🔎 Micro Bias: Intraday pullback expected; structure favors new lower high formation near 4,009–4,021.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis – Golden Zone
Last H1 swing: High 4,048 → Low 3,971
• 38.2% → 3,998
• 50% → 4,009
• 61.8% → 4,021 ✅
✨ Golden Zone = 4,009 – 4,021
This zone aligns with the descending trendline, the H1 EMA cluster, and prior supply rejection — making it the highest-probability short area for continuation.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred Scenario)
✅ Sell Zone: 4,009 – 4,021 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945
🛑 Stop-Loss: Above 4,028–4,032
📈 Reasoning: Structural alignment with EMAs, Fib confluence, and trendline resistance.
⸻
⚡ Momentum Breakdown Setup (Continuation Trade)
✅ Sell Trigger: Break & retest below 3,971
🎯 Targets: 3,958 → 3,945 → 3,930 → 3,920
🛑 Stop-Loss: Back above 3,985
📈 Reasoning: Structural breakdown confirmation and liquidity grab continuation.
⸻
⚪ Countertrend Buy Setup (Low Probability)
✅ Buy Trigger: Clean 15M BOS + retest above 4,021
🎯 Targets: 4,034 → 4,048 → 4,072
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 4,009
📈 Reasoning: Short-term recovery if DXY weakens or liquidity imbalance above 4,02x forms.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session quiet: no tier-1 data expected.
• Focus remains on USD index drift and post-US yield sentiment.
• If DXY holds firm above 106, gold downside pressure persists.
• Watch early Shanghai open flows — potential liquidity sweep near 3,971 before NY continuation.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,997 / 4,009 / 4,021 / 4,034 / 4,048
Support 3,985 / 3,971 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,930
Golden Zone 4,009 – 4,021
Break Sell Trigger < 3,971
Break Buy Trigger > 4,021
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The market remains structurally bearish across all intraday frames, with strong EMA alignment and trendline rejection confirming continuation bias. Asia session likely sees a corrective bounce into the 4,009–4,021 Golden Zone, where the best-quality short setups align.
Only if buyers reclaim and hold above 4,021 will momentum shift for a potential relief rally toward 4,048/4,072. Otherwise, expect renewed pressure targeting 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → Sell rallies into 4,009–4,021
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 4,021 (retested hold)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958
✨ Golden Zone: 4,009 – 4,021
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,032
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/10/2025 🥇
📅 Smart setups. Steady profits.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔻 SELL +220 PIPS
🟢 BUY +145 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +515 PIPS
📊 4 Trades → 3 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Solid and precise session — trend moves respected technical zones perfectly.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
SELL XAUUSD (GOLD) - the bearish trend begins!GOLD (XAUUSD) has been struggling to stay bullish in the last recent weeks and has completely reversed. GOLD was in a clear uptrend but eventually broke a powerful trendline which acted as support for several weeks. Gold also tried to test resistance to the upside but struggled to break through it. Time to sell and take profit at the next major support zone!






















