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XAU/USD (GOLD) Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern Bullish Analysis📈 #XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Update 💰✨ Bullish momentum building on the 1H timeframe with an Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout above the 4115 neckline! 🚀 🎯Breakout Level: 4115 💪Pattern: Inverse H&S — bullish continuation Technical Targets: TP1, 4156 TP2, 4202 TP3, 4375 As long as price holds above 4115, bias remains bullish 🟢 Keep an eye on volume confirmation and potential retest zones before the next leg up! 🔍 #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ExpertTraderASK
6
GOLD recovers ahead of US CPI data, key data dayArticle summary: “Gold rebounded in the Asian session on October 24, trading around $4,139/ounce, as safe-haven flows surged amid renewed geopolitical tensions and investors awaited September US CPI data, which could determine the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy moves in the short term. The recovery momentum was reinforced by expectations of an early Fed rate cut, along with the impact of Washington’s new oil sanctions on Russia and escalating US-China trade tensions. Meanwhile, technically, gold held support around $4,100, suggesting the medium-term uptrend remains intact.” OANDA:XAUUSD maintained its recovery momentum in the Asian session on October 24, trading around $4,139/ounce, after rising sharply in the Thursday session thanks to the return of safe-haven flows amid fresh geopolitical developments. The move came as global markets await key US inflation data (September CPI), which is seen as key to shaping the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in the short term. Economic data The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release its September Consumer Price Index (CPI) tonight. Forecasts show the US core CPI rising 0.3% month-on-month and remaining at 3.1% year-on-year, suggesting persistent inflationary pressures despite signs of cooling energy prices. The market has all but priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed at its policy meeting next week. In a low-interest-rate environment, gold, a non-yielding asset, tends to benefit from lower opportunity costs. “Gold’s goal is to continue its rally ahead of the CPI data,” says Valeria Bednarik of FXStreet. Political and Geopolitical Events Gold prices rebounded after the US imposed new sanctions on two major Russian energy companies, Lukoil and Rosneft. This is the first sanctions of President Donald Trump's second term and is seen as a significant escalation in the pressure campaign against Moscow. According to Jorge Leon, Director of Geopolitical Analysis at Rystad Energy, "This move marks a major and unprecedented escalation in Washington's campaign against Russia." The sanctions could impact global oil supplies, indirectly increasing the appeal of gold as a hedge against risks in an uncertain environment. In addition, US-China tensions have also resurfaced as the White House considers restricting China’s use of US software, retaliating against Beijing’s rare earth export controls and raising port fees for US-flagged ships. These signals reinforce the “selective risk-off” sentiment in global markets. In short, the current developments suggest that gold is repositioning itself in a medium-term bull cycle, as the market simultaneously assesses geopolitical risks and the prospect of Fed easing. If CPI data reinforces the case for a Fed rate cut at the upcoming meeting, gold could retain its appeal as a key safe-haven asset in the fourth quarter. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Technical analysis: Gold prices are maintaining a technical recovery after a strong correction from the peak of 4,379 USD/ounce. Currently, the price is trading around 4,118 USD, approaching the Fibonacci support zone of 0.618 (4,110 USD), an important milestone to determine the short-term supply-demand balance. On the daily chart, gold is still in the medium-term uptrend channel formed since mid-August, with the MA21 average line (4,000 USD area) continuing to act as a dynamic support base. RSI has reached the 50 area and is showing signs of forming a slight bottom, reflecting the weakening selling momentum. In terms of patterns, the candlestick cluster of the last 2 days shows a "hammer - recovery confirmation" pattern, suggesting that demand is reappearing at the technical bottom. Trend Assessment: If the $4,100 zone holds, there is a high probability that gold will enter a bullish consolidation phase towards the $4,200 mark. However, a break of the $4,000 zone would open up a deeper correction towards the $3,950 area. In the context of lower interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions that have not yet subsided, the medium-term trend of gold remains bullish, although the current recovery is more technical than a fundamental breakout. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4221 - 4219⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4225 →Take Profit 1 4213 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4207 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4057 - 4059⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4053 →Take Profit 1 4065 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4071
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD RETRACE + CONTINUATIONAfter 60D 32% run for all time highs, price changed character on D/4H strucutre, but Weekly has still valid Bullish Strucutre. After strong push to 32%, I assume, that price will pullback to PDA or consolidate towards PDA. Confluences: Gold is safe heaven and Ukraine war and another fundamental factors are with us... US lockdown fears people and disbelieve for currency rises. Latest COT data are bullish. There are Daily and Weekly demands where price can retrace to. If you want, let's talk about it
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by martosfx
1
Gold Compresses Before the Fed Storm– Sideways or a Sudden Drop?Good day, fellow traders, Looking at the current XAUUSD chart, this is truly a highly sensitive phase. After last week’s sharp decline, gold has been narrowing its range within a contracting triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, with lower highs and higher lows — a clear sign that the market is “building pressure” before a potential breakout. At the moment, price is hovering around 4,070 USD/oz, just below the EMA34 and EMA89 lines — indicating that sellers still hold a slight upper hand. The key support zone lies around 4,040, while the strong resistance level sits near 4,220, where a bearish reaction could occur if price retests that zone. Combining this with the latest news — the USD continues to strengthen while the market awaits the upcoming FOMC meeting — I lean toward a sideways-to-slightly-bearish scenario over the next 24 hours. Price could fluctuate between 4,060–4,100, then drift lower to retest 4,040 or even 3,950, unless the Fed delivers an unexpectedly dovish tone. In summary, XAUUSD is in a compression phase , awaiting a major catalyst. Without fresh bullish factors, the short-term trend remains sideways-bearish, with mild downside risk before any potential technical rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kairo_Vexen
5
XAUUSD – CPI Cools, USD Weakens, and Gold Regains MomentumMarket Overview: Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals. CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November. As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart. Technical Outlook (H2): The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg. Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. Key Technical Levels: Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002 Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940 Resistance / Neckline: 4,211 Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342 Trading Plan – MMFLOW View 🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play) Entry: 4,058 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,035 Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260 🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,002 – 3,930 Stop Loss: 3,915 Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211 Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues. 🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade) Entry: 4,260 – 4,342 Stop Loss: 4,355 Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 Weekly Bias & Summary: With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle. However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week. 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD Buy Setup – Reversal Building Above 4100 to 4274..Gold (XAUUSD) showed a sharp decline yesterday, falling from 4381 to 4005, marking a strong correction phase after making new highs. However, today’s price action indicates that buyers are stepping back in around the 4000 psychological Pivot Zone, suggesting potential reversal momentum. Currently, gold is trading near 4140, and now there are high possibilities that gold will go for long till the Target level 4205 and Target level 4274.. KEY POINTS Current price 4140 Target level 4205 Target level 4274 Pivot Level 4100/4080
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by IGT_Traders
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Forecast: Deep Dive AnalysisTraders, gear up for a pivotal week in Gold! As of the close at 4,112.84 on Oct 25th , XAUUSD is at a critical juncture. This analysis blends classic theory with modern indicators for intraday swings and positional trades. Bulls and bears are in a fierce battle ⚔️. The stage is set for a significant volatility expansion. The key is to identify the dominant auction. 🎯 1D & 4H: The Swing Trade Panorama (Swing Bias) The higher frames dictate the primary trend. The 1D chart shows a potential completion of an Elliott Wave corrective pattern (ABC) , suggesting a new impulsive wave up may be imminent. Dow Theory : Higher highs & higher lows remain intact on the 1D, confirming the primary uptrend. ✅ Wyckoff Theory : We appear to be in a 'Spring' or 'Sign of Strength' phase after a re-accumulation period around the 4,080-4,100 zone. Ichimoku Cloud : Price is trading above the Kumo (cloud) on 1D, a bullish bias. The Tenkan-sen (blue line) is a key dynamic support. Key S&R : Major support rests at 4,080 (previous resistance, 50 EMA). Resistance is at the recent high of 4,140 . A decisive 4H close above 4,130 could trigger a Bullish Breakout 🚀 targeting 4,180-4,200. Conversely, a break below 4,080 on high volume could see a drop to 4,040. ⏰ Intraday Focus: 1H, 30M, 15M, 5M (Intraday Bias) For intraday action, lower timeframes offer precision entries. Harmonic & Gann Theory : A clear Bullish Bat Pattern has potentially completed on the 1H chart. The PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) aligns perfectly with the 4,100-4,105 support. Gann's 50% retracement level from the last swing up also converges here. Bollinger Bands (20,2) : On the 1H/4H, price is hugging the upper band, indicating strong momentum. A squeeze on the 30M chart suggests a volatility expansion is due. RSI (14) : On the 1H, RSI is in the 55-60 range, showing healthy momentum without being overbought. Watch for bearish divergence on a new high as a reversal signal. VWAP & EMA Confluence : The 20 and 50 EMAs are providing dynamic support on pullbacks. For day trades, the VWAP on the 15M/5M charts will be your best friend for trend alignment. Long above, short below. 🚦Trade Plan: Entries, Exits & Risk Management Identifying reversals is key. Use Japanese Candlesticks at key S&R levels. A bullish engulfing or morning star pattern at the 4,100 support, confirmed by a rising volume spike, is a high-probability long signal. Swing Long Entry : On a 4H close > 4,130, or a pullback to 4,100-4,105 with bullish confirmation. Swing Short Entry : On a 1D close < 4,080, targeting 4,040. Intraday Long : Buy on a bounce from VWAP/20 EMA on the 15M chart with RSI > 50. Intraday Short : Sell on a rejection from the 4,125-4,130 resistance with a bearish RSI divergence. Stop-Loss : Always 15-20 pips below/above your entry trigger candle. 💡The Bottom Line: The bullish structure is favored as long as 4,080 holds. The confluence of Harmonic patterns, Wyckoff accumulation, and bullish Ichimoku alignment points to a potential leg higher. However, respect the levels. A break below support will invalidate the bullish thesis. Track these charts live: 1D: 4H: 1H: 30M: 15M: 5M: ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
GOLD | Awaits CPI Data for Next Direction GOLD | Awaits CPI Data for Next Direction Gold prices are set for a strong move ahead of the U.S. CPI release. Key Levels Pivot: 4,053 Resistance: 4,101 · 4,124 · 4,163 Support: 4,011 · 3,985 · 3,945 Trading Plan 🔼 Buy Setup: Longs valid above 4,053, targeting 4,101 / 4,124 / 4,163 — supported if CPI prints below 3.1%. 🔽 Sell Setup: Shorts valid below 4,053, targeting 4,011 / 3,985 / 3,945 — favored if CPI comes above expectations. 📌 Premium Takeaway Gold is poised for a strong reaction to inflation data. A softer CPI favors bullish continuation toward 4,124–4,163, while a hotter CPI could trigger a bearish correction toward 4,011–3,945.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
XAU/USD – 4H Bearish Pennant Formation Gold is currently consolidating within a bearish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting potential continuation to the downside. While a Fair Value Gap (FVG) above may invite a short-term liquidity grab toward 4225, the presence of a Gravestone Doji strengthens the bearish bias. If price breaks below the pennant support, it could trigger a move toward the demand zone highlighted below. ⚠️ Be cautious of false breakouts and liquidity traps. 📍 Don’t forget to place your Stop-Loss.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by FiKCeNt
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 10/25/2025Yesterday, gold did move down but quickly recovered from 2D EMA support. The fact that gold didn't close the week under 4000 suggests that it is facing a strong support right now. Looking at the weekly candle, although it's printed as red, it is not strong enough to turn the trend to medium term bearish momentum. From 2D TF, it is still held strong above EMA support line. Therefore, I am expecting gold to rise next week again. Current drop is still a retracement under the current bullish run. Next week I am looking to buy from 4020 and targeting previous high at 4380.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund
Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions . Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) . From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top. From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside . I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) . Second Target: $4,057 Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst) Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
18
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️2weeks/candle price chart ▪️Gold Bull market in progress ▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1 ▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2 ▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3 ▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD ▪️650% gains off the lows ▪️will hit in 2026/2027 ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips ▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold ▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
48
Today's gold trading strategyTwo types of short-term signals, focusing on immediate verification Fed's short-term "dovish signals" catalyze: In the latest remarks by Fed officials, three voting members explicitly stated that "no interest rate hike is needed in November, and we need to observe the cooling trend of employment data", and the CME Fed observation tool shows that the probability of an interest rate hike in November has dropped from 25% to 12%. Historical data shows that in the 3-5 trading days after the cooling of the interest rate expectation, gold typically rises by 1.2%-1.8%, and the US dollar index is under short-term pressure (currently the US dollar index is 94.2, and if it falls below 94, it will further open up the upward space for gold); Geopolitical conflict "immediate safe-haven impulse": The situation in the Middle East suddenly escalated, Israel launched a ground attack on the Gaza Strip, and the Houthi forces announced "expanding the attack range on Red Sea shipping", the spot price of London gold jumped by 12 US dollars on the same day, and safe-haven funds flowed into gold ETFs (such as SPDR) for 280 million US dollars in a single day. Although the demand for safe-haven protection from such sudden geopolitical events is not long-lasting, it will form a short-term upward momentum of 3-5 trading days; Today's gold trading strategy xauusd @ buy4050-4060 TP:4080-4100-4150 SL:4030
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
GOLD (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook - 15 Min Chart Gold is currently showing sideways to bearish momentum after facing strong resistance near the R1–R2 zone (≈ 4095–4110). The price is consolidating just above S1 support (≈ 4070) after testing the PDL (Previous Day Low) multiple times. 📊 Key Observations: EMA ribbons indicate bearish pressure, with candles trading below short-term EMAs. Price failed to hold above the previous day’s high (PDH), suggesting sellers are active near 4090–4100. Strong support lies around 4060–4050 (S1–S2 zone) — a breakdown below this level could open the door toward 4030. RSI likely hovering near the neutral zone, showing indecision before the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by carlos_fx2
1
Gold Stuck Near $4,100 Ahead of CPI Market Pulse: Gold is holding steady around $4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks. The yellow metal has paused its recovery from $4,050 → $4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices. This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave. If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above 4,155–4,160 and opening the path toward 4,215 → 4,261. But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the 4,056 and 4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30) Price continues to coil within a tight structure between 4,100 – 4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance. Market flow suggests accumulation beneath 4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion. Key Structure Zones: Resistance Pivot: 4,154 – 4,155 → Key breakout level Breakout Support (CP Zone): 4,056 – 4,060 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,018 – 4,020 Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): 4,215 – 4,261 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style 🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base Entry: 4,056 – 4,060 Stop Loss: 4,045 Targets: 4,100 → 4,140 → 4,155 Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation. 🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup Entry: 4,018 – 4,020 Stop Loss: 4,005 Targets: 4,056 → 4,100 → 4,150 If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow. 🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend. The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above 4,056. A confirmed breakout above 4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward 4,215–4,260, while a break below 4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush. ⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: “No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.” 📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily flow-based setups, structure breakdowns, and institutional insights.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Today's gold trading strategyExpectation of policy easing "stable with growth": Despite the presence of hawkish voices within the Federal Reserve, core officials have expressed clear signals of easing measures - the President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, Musalem, explicitly stated that if there are further risks in the labor market, he might support another rate cut. More importantly, the probability of a rate cut at the October 28-29 interest rate meeting remains above 90% in the market. This policy expectation provides a solid support for gold. As an interest rate-sensitive asset, gold's attractiveness will continue to rise in an environment where the easing expectation is clear. Today's gold trading strategy xauusd @buy4060-4080 TP:4110-4130-4200 SL:4040
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Bearish Pennant Chart Pattern Breakout TargetsDear traders, The long awaited pullback has finally arrived. But it is to be traded with caution. As the market leaves traders with questions if the trend has changed short term or it's just another pullback to gather liquidity. The bullish price action we saw on Gold gives a clear answer to this question. Carefully looking at the charts we can observe that gold maintained a faithful and upright uptrend: As it never broke a higher low. And now it has and it is not pushing back up, which is usually, hereby a declaration of the arrivals of the merciless bears. My prediction of the price movement is simply a result of my experience of the market movement. Also, an advise for all. if you want to short in the triangle, ensure to use the Supply zones or Bearish Order Blocks as other PD arrays are being ignored, this is visible in the current price action. Have a fruitful week and don't forget to protect your capital guys!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by oyemyk
Gold Key Levels (4000-4400$)These are the Gold key levels which I’ll be using for trading. Here’s how I trade these levels: - Close above a level → Buy setup When a candle closes clearly above a level, it confirms bullish momentum and I look to enter long immediately after the close. - Close below a level → Sell setup A confirmed candle close below support signals bearish strength, and I enter short right after the close. - Rejection from a level → Opposite trade If price shows a strong rejection from a level, I trade in the opposite direction - rejection from resistance = sell setup, rejection from support = buy setup. These levels works well for both day trading (using 1H candles) and scalping (using 15M or lower timeframes). It keeps trading simple, just reactions to market behaviour.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Ats9
13