Gold Tests Key Support of Double Top FormationGold is testing the neckline of the double-top pattern. The selloff has been sharp, so a clean break below support is unlikely today, even if it retreats below 4200. The base case is a short-term rebound toward the 4250–4270 zone before a potential break lower.
Trade ideas
XAU/USD (Gold 4H timeframe)... XAU/USD (Gold 4H timeframe) — here’s what’s visible and how it breaks down technically:
Price: Around 4065 USD currently.
Trendline: A major uptrend line has been broken clearly.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price has fallen below the Kumo, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Zone: Between 4120–4160 USD, already broken and retested.
Measured Move (Target Projection): my chart’s extension line points toward a target around 3840–3860 USD.
📉 Target Breakdown:
Immediate support: 4000 USD (psychological round number).
Main target: 3840 USD (as marked on My chart — aligns with previous structure support).
Extended bearish target: If momentum continues, 3740–3760 USD zone may come next.
⚠ Notes:
If gold reclaims above 4160–4180, bearish bias weakens.
Below 4060 = bears in full control.
Below 4000 = confirmation toward your target zone (≈3840 USD).
✅ Final Target: $3,840 – $3,860 USD
Would you like me to give you stop-loss and re-entry zones too (for sell setup)?
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Preparing for an Upward Wave?🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has shown clear signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal upward trendline, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term recovery wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
Buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying previously appeared.
Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → short-term trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking area or reversal consideration point.
Current structure:
→ Short-term: bullish corrective move.
→ Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if holding above 4,040 USD.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price hits the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing trendline structure + liquidity zone support, often where large buyers re-enter the market.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the 4,149 resistance zone with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.
3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️ Short-term technical sell – leveraging the supply zone reaction, not holding the position long.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalidated, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the mid-range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when price surpasses 4,149.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a gradually ascending accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, gold is likely to rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market could trigger a stronger rally towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD
Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”
⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold (XAUUSD): The Mother of All Traps is Set!🥇 Gold (XAUUSD): The Mother of All Traps is Set! 🤯
Don't let the drop fool you! Gold is meticulously setting up a high-probability reversal. This isn't just a market correction; it's a calculated liquidity grab before the real explosion happens. Smart Money is loading up! 🧠💰
The Current Play: The Turtle Soup Hunt 🐢🥣
Price is dropping towards a critical reversal zone. This drop is designed to liquidate early buyers and trap breakout sellers. Our focus is the precise area where all confluences align:
Liquidity Magnet: The price needs to sweep the BSL (Buy Side Liquidity) around 4,011 and 3,998.
The Entry POI: The ultimate reversal point is the Potential Turtle Soup zone around 4,040.35 to 4,030.51. This is where sellers get trapped! 🪤
The Foundation: This zone is further validated by the CRTL (Candle Rotation Theory Low) and the prior SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergence. This is a fortress! 🏰
🚀 The Massive Rally Target
Once the low is swept and the trap is sprung, we expect an aggressive expansion:
First Target: Reclaim the recent high around 4,122.38 (CRTH + TS high).
Ultimate Target: Price will be magnetized towards the Bearish FVG 4H overhead (starting at 4,161.43). Filling that gap is the ultimate objective.
🔑 Key Trading Rules:
Patience is Profit: WAIT for the wick to pierce the 4,030 area.
Confirmation: Look for a low-timeframe (1m/5m) Market Structure Shift (MSS) after the sweep. That's your entry signal!
Risk Management: Stop-loss safely below the liquidity sweep.
Who's catching this massive XAUUSD reversal? Hit the like button if you're waiting for the sweep! 👇
Greetings,
MrYounity
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Forecast: Deep Dive AnalysisTraders, gear up for a pivotal week in Gold! As of the close at 4,112.84 on Oct 25th , XAUUSD is at a critical juncture. This analysis blends classic theory with modern indicators for intraday swings and positional trades. Bulls and bears are in a fierce battle ⚔️.
The stage is set for a significant volatility expansion. The key is to identify the dominant auction.
🎯 1D & 4H: The Swing Trade Panorama (Swing Bias)
The higher frames dictate the primary trend. The 1D chart shows a potential completion of an Elliott Wave corrective pattern (ABC) , suggesting a new impulsive wave up may be imminent.
Dow Theory : Higher highs & higher lows remain intact on the 1D, confirming the primary uptrend. ✅
Wyckoff Theory : We appear to be in a 'Spring' or 'Sign of Strength' phase after a re-accumulation period around the 4,080-4,100 zone.
Ichimoku Cloud : Price is trading above the Kumo (cloud) on 1D, a bullish bias. The Tenkan-sen (blue line) is a key dynamic support.
Key S&R : Major support rests at 4,080 (previous resistance, 50 EMA). Resistance is at the recent high of 4,140 .
A decisive 4H close above 4,130 could trigger a Bullish Breakout 🚀 targeting 4,180-4,200. Conversely, a break below 4,080 on high volume could see a drop to 4,040.
⏰ Intraday Focus: 1H, 30M, 15M, 5M (Intraday Bias)
For intraday action, lower timeframes offer precision entries.
Harmonic & Gann Theory : A clear Bullish Bat Pattern has potentially completed on the 1H chart. The PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) aligns perfectly with the 4,100-4,105 support. Gann's 50% retracement level from the last swing up also converges here.
Bollinger Bands (20,2) : On the 1H/4H, price is hugging the upper band, indicating strong momentum. A squeeze on the 30M chart suggests a volatility expansion is due.
RSI (14) : On the 1H, RSI is in the 55-60 range, showing healthy momentum without being overbought. Watch for bearish divergence on a new high as a reversal signal.
VWAP & EMA Confluence : The 20 and 50 EMAs are providing dynamic support on pullbacks. For day trades, the VWAP on the 15M/5M charts will be your best friend for trend alignment. Long above, short below.
🚦Trade Plan: Entries, Exits & Risk Management
Identifying reversals is key. Use Japanese Candlesticks at key S&R levels. A bullish engulfing or morning star pattern at the 4,100 support, confirmed by a rising volume spike, is a high-probability long signal.
Swing Long Entry : On a 4H close > 4,130, or a pullback to 4,100-4,105 with bullish confirmation.
Swing Short Entry : On a 1D close < 4,080, targeting 4,040.
Intraday Long : Buy on a bounce from VWAP/20 EMA on the 15M chart with RSI > 50.
Intraday Short : Sell on a rejection from the 4,125-4,130 resistance with a bearish RSI divergence.
Stop-Loss : Always 15-20 pips below/above your entry trigger candle.
💡The Bottom Line:
The bullish structure is favored as long as 4,080 holds. The confluence of Harmonic patterns, Wyckoff accumulation, and bullish Ichimoku alignment points to a potential leg higher. However, respect the levels. A break below support will invalidate the bullish thesis.
Track these charts live:
1D:
4H:
1H:
30M:
15M:
5M:
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
XAU/USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD – Bullish Continuation Setup (1H Chart)
Technical Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Current Price: $4,114
Next Target: $4,220
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Chart Breakdown:
1. Demand Zone (Blue Box):
The price has respected a key bullish order block / demand zone between $4,040 – $4,080, showing strong buyer reaction (green arrows).
2. Ascending Trendline Support:
Multiple rejections from the ascending trendline confirm higher lows, signaling ongoing accumulation from buyers.
3. Fibonacci Retracement:
The market retraced around the 0.618 – 0.786 Fibonacci levels — a strong buy zone for continuation setups.
4. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200):
EMA 50 (Blue) is trying to cross above the EMA 200 (Black), hinting at a possible bullish crossover.
A successful break above both EMAs would confirm bullish momentum.
5. Bullish Flag / Wedge Pattern:
The structure shows a bullish flag/wedge forming after an impulsive upward move — indicating potential for another breakout rally.
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Trade Idea:
Buy Zone: $4,070 – $4,100
Target 1: $4,160
Target 2: $4,220 (main target on chart)
Invalidation (Stop Loss): Below $4,030
Mr SMC Trading point
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Market Bias:
Bullish Bias – As long as the price holds above the highlighted demand zone and the ascending trendline, buyers remain in control. A breakout above recent highs will confirm momentum toward the next target.
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Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gold price analysis October 27GOLD ANALYSIS – Bullish wave structure remains intact
From the current wave outlook, gold has started to form a sequence of bullish impulses following a period of corrective movement. The key point of focus right now is the resistance zone at 4146 — this area represents a crucial threshold for the next bullish leg.
If buyers manage to push through this zone with strong momentum, the price could quickly retest or even break the all-time high (ATH) levels in the coming sessions.
For the upcoming week, the BUY setup continues to be the primary strategy as long as the structure remains valid. The 4056 support zone serves as the main base of this bullish setup — a break below it could temporarily weaken the path toward ATH recovery.
📈 Trading Plan:
BUY now: 4114
BUY trigger: Price rejection around 4056
Target: 4375
Latest Gold Price Analysis and Trading Strategy:
I. Fundamental Overview
Price Fluctuations
Gold experienced a significant correction, with spot gold falling 6.3% in a single day, marking its largest single-day drop since April 2013.
having rebounded after touching a low of $4005/oz during the Asian trading session.
Main Bearish Factors
Easing Geopolitical Tensions: European efforts to promote a ceasefire and peace talks, along with a thaw in China-US trade frictions, have reduced safe-haven demand.
Stronger US Dollar: The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to near 98.97, putting pressure on dollar-denominated gold.
Technical Selling Pressure: Profit-taking intensified after the significant year-to-date gains, triggering a correction from technically overbought conditions.
Adjusted Institutional Views: Citibank turned bearish in the short term, setting a 1-3 month target price of $4000/oz.
Long-Term Supporting Factors
The core bullish drivers remain intact: expectations of Fed rate cuts, continued gold purchases by global central banks (e.g., China increased holdings for the 11th consecutive month), de-dollarization trends, and global debt concerns. The medium to long-term fundamental backdrop remains solid.
II. Today's Trading Strategy
Core Approach
Market volatility is high, and a top pattern is emerging. Adopt a cautious stance, favoring or range-trading strategies. Avoid chasing rallies or selling into sharp declines.
Key Levels
Resistance: $4150-$4160/oz (Conservative Range), $4192/oz (Strong Resistance).
Support: $4080/oz (Initial Support), $4000-$4010/oz (Key Psychological & Technical Support, coinciding with the 100-day Moving Average).
Specific Trading Recommendations
Short Opportunities:
If the price rallies to the $4150-$4160 range, consider initiating light short positions.
Set stop-loss above $4170/oz.
Take profit targets: $4080/oz initially, with a further extension towards $4000/oz if broken.
Long Opportunities:
If the price pulls back and stabilizes in the $4000-$4010 area, consider light long positions.
Set stop-loss below $3980/oz.
Take profit targets: $4080/oz initially, with a further extension towards $4150/oz if broken.
Breakout Scenarios:
If the price breaks decisively above $4190/oz, pause short strategies and monitor for directional confirmation.
Risk Warnings
Key Focus Events: Speeches from Fed officials, US economic data, and the ECB President's speech could trigger significant volatility.
Position Management: Allocate no more than 20% of total capital to a single trade. Implement stop-loss orders strictly to manage risks associated with high volatility.
Summary: Short-term technicals lean bearish, but potential for rebounds exists near key support levels. Adopt flexible range-trading tactics, enforce strict risk control, and await new fundamental catalysts.
Gold CompressionGold has made a strong move in 2025, with a high recently of 4381.44.
We can see a consolidation of price following the Tariff Tantrum from April to August 2025, into an ascending triangle. This is reflected in the ATR contracting , momentum moving to its base and RSI hovering around the midlevel.
Following this base, a strong impulse propels price over 1000 USD in a matter of weeks. The RSI sits perpetually in the Oversold region and the ATR more than doubles.
The parabolic move ended with a 5 sigma day on Tuesday as the Bears stepped in. The remainder of the week sees Gold staying above the 4000 level.
Where from here ?
The market can breath out by either expending price or time. Given the fundamental background of Dollar Debasement, Dedollarization, Gold Consumption by Central Banks and Brics initiatives, it is likely Gold moves into consolidation from here into early 2026.
Support - offered by the 50 MAV and Fib 50-61.8 levels.
Target - 5000 beyond Q1 2026.
XAUUSD remains stable at high levels, focus on what comes nextHey everyone, Erik here.
XAUUSD has been showing strong momentum lately. After a sharp decline, the market quickly recovered, rebounding powerfully from the lower boundary of the newly projected channel. What initially appeared as weakness was actually a calculated shakeout, trapping sellers before reversing upward with confidence.
This behavior is typical of strong bullish trends. It clears out weak positions, triggers stop losses, and restores balance before the next upward movement. At this stage, the market appears to be entering the early phase of a new bullish impulse.
There might be a short consolidation or a slight correction, but the momentum is clearly pointing toward the upper boundary of the channel. For XAUUSD, the bullish continuation scenario seems far more convincing.
My target is around 4,585, near the upper resistance zone of the projected channel. The overall market structure remains decisively bullish, and the emotional surge during the last drop may become the fuel that powers the next strong rally.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe ...Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud setup with Fibonacci or horizontal resistance levels marked.
Here’s the analysis breakdown:
Current price: around $4,261
Ichimoku cloud: price is retesting the cloud top, showing potential for bullish continuation if it holds above the cloud.
My drawn levels and arrows indicate a pullback to around $4,250–$4,260, followed by a bounce toward the upside.
🎯 Target Point (based on my chart and Fibonacci zones)
The blue arrow and upper red arrow point toward:
Target zone: around $4,360 – $4,380 USD
🔍 Summary
Element Level (Approx.)
Current Price $4,261
Support / Cloud Base $4,240 – $4,250
Resistance / Target $4,360 – $4,380
Stop-loss (suggested) Below $4,230 (below the cloud and recent low)
This suggests a potential bullish move of about $100–$120 from current levels if the price confirms above the cloud and breaks $4,300 resistance.
Gold: Double Bottom or Five-Wave Decline?After rising to the MA60 area on the 4-hour chart, gold faced significant selling pressure, and the price has now pulled back to around 4050, which lies near the short-term support zone. Over time, the MA20 support on the daily chart has moved up to around 4055, while the MA30 currently sits near 3942.
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend appears not yet complete, so pay attention to the next two closing candles. For now, key support levels to watch are 4014–4000, followed by 3978–3937.
If the price stabilizes around 4000, a double-bottom pattern could potentially form. However, if it falls further toward the MA30, a head-and-shoulders pattern may come into play. In case the rebound fails to break above resistance, be cautious of a five-wave decline, as that could trigger another sharp correction, with a high likelihood of filling the gap near 3887.
In terms of trading strategy, the focus should still be on finding buying opportunities.
For medium-term setups, you can hold positions patiently; for short-term intraday trades, pay close attention to the key supports mentioned above, and use the MA20/60 on the 30-minute chart as reference points for resistance.
Gold is showing a clear Head & Shoulders structure forming on th
🔹 Price is currently testing the neckline zone around 4110 – 4120
🔹 A potential retest of this area could trigger the next big move
🔹 If rejection happens, we could see a drop toward the Weekly Support (4013)
🔹 A deeper bearish continuation may extend toward the Monthly Support (3877)
However — if bulls manage to break above the neckline, expect a sharp move back toward 4320–4350 resistance zone 🔥
🎯 Key Levels:
Neckline: 4110 – 4120
Weekly Support: 4013
Monthly Support: 3877
Resistance: 4320 – 4350
💬 Comment your bias below – Bullish or Bearish? 👇
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StressFreeTrading
Beyond the Chart - GOLD Market Technicals & Fundamentals CAPITALCOM:GOLD Short Bias 🔻
Market structure shows a confirmed BOS and CHoCH signaling a short-term shift in order flow.
Multiple FVGs stacked above highlight trapped liquidity zones with price reacting cleanly from those imbalances.
Current bias remains short-term bearish expecting a corrective leg toward 4,270 region to fill lower FVGs and potentially test the channel base before any new expansion.
A short retracement to mitigate upper FVGs remains possible but structure favors downside continuation for now.
🧠 Fundamentals:
CPI data and the Fed’s tone continue to drive sentiment. Stronger USD keeps pressure on gold while dovish signals could slow the drop. Geopolitical headlines may still trigger safe-haven demand swings.
No luck, just structure & precision. ⚡️
Lingrid | GOLD Consolidation Period Following Retracement ?OANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back after a failed retest of the 4,380 resistance zone, showing weakness at the upper boundary of the market structure. The market forms a descending correction within a potential consolidation phase following pullback, staying below the downward trendline. Price may attempt a rebound toward upper zone of consolidation at 4,135 before another wave up if momentum remains neutral. Overall, gold reflects a temporary correction inside a broader upward trend.
⚠️ Risks:
A sustained break below 4,000 would shift short-term sentiment back to bearish.
Unexpected shifts in US inflation or bond yields could spark sell off gold.
Thin liquidity may trigger false breakouts within the consolidation range.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Buy at 4080 and sell at 4240Now gold in consolidation mode and trying to book profits and make the retail traders into the trap so for now we need to be patience and buy at 4080 and close at 4240, after the fed interest cut gold will come down so sell at 4240 and wait for long selling till 3966. This method is Wd Gann inspiration i made and am still learning, this one sharing for study purpose so trade with your own analysis.
GOLD DOUBLE TOPS BEARISH DIVERGENCEAs depicted on the chart, Gold has confirmed a double tops bearish divergence on 4H time frame. This suggests that Big players will be off loading their profits to dip buyers before next rally. What to watch for is a close below yesterday's Opening candle $4,263 for the ultimate target of $3,982. If you take this trade stop loss or invalidation level is at $4,381. Have a great trading week fellow traders. cheers!!






















