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Upcoming Gold Correction WaveLong XAUUSD Trading Position on 4H timeframe Take Profit: 2300.00 SL: 3,886.5 Opportunity of +3,700 Point 🔎 Chart Breakdown Elliott Wave Context: After the 5-wave impulse, the structure suggests a potential A–B–C correction forming. Trendlines: Price is currently respecting the long-term ascending support (yellow lines), just newly above the trending channel (red). Entry Zone: A possible entry has been identified near the lower boundary of the channel, where risk-to-reward is more favourable. Risk Management: The red zone highlights the invalidation level — if price breaks and closed below, the setup is no longer valid. Target Projection: A breakout from the channel could trigger a move toward the green zone, aligning with the Take Profit (TP) level, which is inside the last 4H FVG 📊 Trading Plan Bias: Short-term correction before resumption of trend. Entry: Near support / channel bottom. Stop-Loss: Below the invalidation zone. Take Profit: Toward the upper resistance / green target zone. ⚠️ Note This is a technical outlook based on my POV to the chart, Elliott Wave structure and support/resistance confluence. Always manage risk carefully and adapt if market conditions change I would be grateful to get your feedback on this idea if you have any opinions to share. ✽ Improve your awareness to seek a great analysis ⌁↝✔ @AbdullahTech ♾
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by AbdullahTech
6
Exclusive! Analysis and Interpretation of Powell's Remarks!Powell's Intention Was to "Break the Expectation of an Inevitable Rate Cut," and Data Supports Further Rate Cuts! Fundamentally, the market's hawkish interpretation of Powell's remarks is a misjudgment. Powell's true intention was to correct the market's excessive expectation that "rate cuts are a foregone conclusion," not to shift to a hawkish stance. The latest economic data shows a continued slowdown in labor demand, and the potential inflation level is not far from the 2% target, all of which support the Fed continuing to cut rates! Technically, the long-term bullish structure for gold remains intact, with the market currently consolidating. The daily candlestick closed with a large bullish candle, restoring bullish confidence. A double bottom pattern below provides solid support for the bulls, suggesting continued upward movement within the day. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the price is in an upward channel, moving in a stepped fashion. The key support level to watch is 3980; if this level is breached, the market will likely continue to consolidate. Key support is at the double bottom around 3910, where buying opportunities can be considered. Resistance is seen at the previous high of 4047-4050. If the bulls hold above 4050, the next target is 4100! Overall, the strategy is primarily to buy on dips, with selling on rallies as a secondary approach. Trading suggestion: Buy around 3980-3985, with a stop-loss below 3970. Target 4047-4050! If it breaks below 3980, observe the market and wait for key support levels to buy gold again. If the bulls don't provide a good opportunity to buy on a pullback during the trading day, then wait for confirmation of a breakout at 4047-4050 before buying on a pullback, with a target of at least $20! I've explained this in detail. If you have any questions, please leave a message!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by vuvu10041
1
XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours! After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051. Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 . The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
100
Gold Elliott Wave– Potential Wave (4) Completion ZoneGold (XAU/USD) on the daily chart appears to be completing a classic Elliott Wave 5-wave impulse structure. After a strong rally into the wave (3) high, price is currently retracing toward the projected wave (4) correction zone. The highlighted support area aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.5 retracement: around $3,845 0.618 retracement: around $3,718 This region also coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, adding confluence for potential bullish reversal. If wave (4) finds support within this zone and maintains structure, a new impulsive rally toward wave (5) could begin — targeting the upper trendline resistance near $4,500–$4,600.
FX:XAUUSD
by samubunda2
1
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed. Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins. ✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders: They accept losses without revenge trading. They follow rules, not impulses. They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight. 💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea. 📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control: Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade. Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one. Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better). Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners. Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time. 🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily: Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session. Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results. Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment. Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit. 💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve. ⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital. Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally. 🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.” 📊 Conclusion To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market. Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success. Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘‍♂️
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
Gold Rebounds After Fed’s Second Rate Cut of the YearHello everyone, the gold market ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is showing a notable technical rebound, trading around $4,005/oz after a sharp correction earlier. The return of dip-buying emerged right after the Federal Reserve officially cut interest rates by another 0.25% — the second time this year. Although the move had been widely anticipated, Chair Jerome Powell’s neutral remarks eased concerns, shifting market sentiment into a cautious yet hopeful tone. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thus encouraging renewed demand, especially as prices recently tested a strong support area near $3,900. On the geopolitical front, the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea has added short-term ripples to risk assets. However, most analysts view this as a temporary easing, given that deep divisions over trade and technology remain unresolved. This backdrop keeps safe-haven flows partially anchored in gold rather than rotating fully into riskier assets. Technically, the 4-hour chart shows gold approaching the FVG resistance zone at $4,020–4,060, aligning with the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud — often seen as a key battleground for buyers. The broader structure still reflects a downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, yet the close above $4,000 signals emerging buying pressure. If gold can sustain above this level and break decisively through $4,060, a recovery toward $4,120–4,150 may unfold — an area of confluence between the FVG and the thicker cloud zone. Overall, gold leans toward a technical rebound, but sustained upside momentum will only be confirmed if the price breaks $4,060 with sufficient strength. And you — do you think gold will keep climbing, or is this just a brief “breather” before another turn lower?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EmmaChartist
4
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Ahead!As I expected , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to drop thanks to the Double Top Pattern and reached its target at the Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) . Now, do you think Gold will start dropping again, or will it resume its recent weeks’ uptrend? Today, I’m going to do a short-term 15-minute analysis of Gold , so stay tuned. At the moment, Gold is approaching a Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) —also a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) —and moving within an ascending channel . Overall, the recent moves in Gold over the past couple of days look like a pullback to the previous Support zone($4,192 – $4,137) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Gold , given the momentum of its recent drop, is completing corrective waves, and we should expect another decline . I expect Gold to start dropping again from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and PRZ , and AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , it could fall at least down to around $4,039(First Target) . Second Target: Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) Stop Loss(SL): $4,222 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
23
The Monty Hall Paradox in TradingMost traders think the Monty Hall paradox has nothing to do with markets. But every time you refuse to change your bias — it plays out right in your chart. At the beginning of October, I started looking for signs of a drop in gold. They came very late. Instead, from October 1st, gold rallied more than 5000 pips before dropping. I was aware of the Monty Hall paradox — and yet, I didn’t switch. And this post is not about why I didn’t switch. It’s about understanding the paradox itself, and how it quietly plays out in trading every single day. Because yes — gold eventually dropped, and it dropped hard. But before falling 5,000 pips, it first rose 5,000 pips — and before that rise even began, the market clearly opened a door just before breaking above 4,000 pips — a door I chose to ignore. That’s exactly what this article is about: recognizing when the market opens new doors, and understanding why switching — just like in the Monty Hall paradox — often gives you the better odds. 🎭 The Original Paradox The Monty Hall problem comes from an old game show called "Let’s Make a Deal ". There are three doors: behind one is a car, and behind the others are goats. You pick one door. The host, who knows what’s behind them, opens another door — always showing a goat. Then he asks: “Do you want to stay with your first choice or switch?” Most people stay But mathematically, you should switch — because the probability of winning jumps from 1/3 to 2/3 after that reveal. The host didn’t change the car’s position — he changed the information you have. And that’s what makes all the difference. If you’ve never heard of the original paradox, you might remember it from the film "21" with Kevin Spacey — the scene where he teaches probability through deception, using the Monty Hall setup to show how humans instinctively trust their first choice. That’s exactly what markets do: they give you partial information, make you feel confident, and then quietly shift the odds while you’re still defending your initial pick. 📊 The Trading Version In trading, there are no doors — only biases. But the logic is identical. When you open a trade, you’re making a probabilistic choice based on incomplete data. You think it’s 50–50 — up or down — but it’s not. You’re guessing direction, but also timing. In reality, your initial bias might have a 1/3 chance of being fully correct. Then the market — our version of Monty Hall — reveals new information: a failed breakout, a strong reversal candle, a macro shift, a sudden volume surge. That’s the door opening. And now you face the same question: “Do you stay with your first choice or switch?” 🧠 Why Most Traders Don’t Switch Because switching feels like admitting you were wrong. Ego and attachment to our analysis make us defend our initial position, even as evidence piles up against it. But the market doesn’t reward stubbornness — it rewards adaptation. Refusing to switch isn’t strength; it’s emotional inertia. 🔁 What “Switching” Really Means It doesn’t always mean reversing your trade. It can mean: - Cutting your loss early instead of waiting for stop loss - Closing a position that started “right” but begins behaving wrong. - Flipping your bias when the structure proves you wrong. - Or simply, pausing — accepting that the setup no longer fits the data. In each case, you’re doing what the smart contestant in Monty Hall does: You’re updating your probabilities as new information arrives. 💬 The Lesson The paradox isn’t about doors — it’s about humility. About understanding that the first choice you make in trading could end up not being the best one. The best traders don’t need to be right. They need to be flexible enough to become right later. So the next time the market “opens a door” — don’t get defensive. Recalculate. Reassess. Sometimes, switching is the only way to stay in the game. 🚀 Closing Thought The Monty Hall paradox isn’t about luck; it’s about using information wisely. The same rule applies to trading: If the market gives you new data, use it — even if it means admitting your first bias was wrong. Because the moment you stop defending your first choice, you finally start trading with probability — not pride. P.S. Although I did manage to make some profit on short trades, that’s beside the point. What truly matters is that the market clearly opened a door at the beginning of October — and even though I saw it, I ignored it. Yes, the market eventually dropped as initially expected, but that too is beside the point. This isn’t about being right in the end; it’s about recognizing when the market opens new doors and having the courage to walk through them.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Gold prices surged and then retreated, continuing to fluctuate. Safe-haven funds flowed back into the market on Monday and early this week, as investors worried about the economic impact of the prolonged US government shutdown, which is expected to be the longest in history. With the influx of safe-haven funds, gold prices tested the $4,000 mark again. Gold buyers awaited upcoming US economic data. The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) will be released later on Monday. The US October ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released, expected to be 49.1. Analysts pointed out that if the US PMI data is stronger than expected, the dollar is likely to strengthen, thus impacting gold; on the other hand, weaker-than-expected data will put downward pressure on the dollar and drive gold prices to rebound further. Later on Monday, as official data has not yet been released, gold traders will closely watch the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data for new clues about the health of the US economy, especially after the Federal Reserve's cautious rate cut last week. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that the market currently expects a 69% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, compared to 91.7% a week ago. The fundamentals are no longer uniformly bullish as they were from late August to mid-October; currently, bullish and bearish factors are intertwined, which is why we have repeatedly emphasized the impending massive sell-off in gold. The US government shutdown of one month is about to surpass the historical record of 35 days. Due to the inability of many government departments to function normally, the September non-farm payroll data was not released as scheduled. The October non-farm payroll data, which may be released this week, is intriguing. Also of attention should be paid to initial jobless claims and manufacturing data. Gold Technical Analysis: Gold opened lower on Monday at around 3985, hitting a low of 3962 before rebounding. As analyzed over the weekend, today's opening price action was definitely bearish. We continue to focus on the short-term resistance level of 4030-35, with particular attention to the 4047-55 level. Gold prices below these levels are considered weak. Looking at the weekly chart, last week's candlestick formed a long lower shadow, indicating a high probability of further decline this week. Therefore, the overall strategy for this week remains to look for opportunities to short. Short Trading Strategy: Sell gold in batches around 4025-4028 with 20% of your capital, with a stop-loss of 8 points. Target 3990-3960, with a further target of 3915 if the price breaks through. Short Trading Strategy: Long position strategy: Buy gold in batches around 3910-3915 with 20% of your position, stop loss at 8 points, target 3940-3960, and if it breaks through, look for 3980.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by vuvu10041
1
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon: 🔎Analysis summary: After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top. 📝Levels to watch: $4,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
31
Gold prices still face the risk of falling further News： Gold prices weakened again in U.S. trading on Monday (October 27), extending last week's decline. With the thaw in U.S.-China trade relations, investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has declined. Market focus has now shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to be a rate cut later this week. Spot gold prices fell below $4,000 an ounce on Monday, hitting a three-week low of $3,885 an ounce at one point, as improved market sentiment weakened demand for the safe-haven metal. Specifically: Gold daily level: Yesterday closed with a big negative, losing the middle track support. Originally expected to close with a cross or a small positive or negative today, to rebound and confirm the middle track resistance and then rise and fall, to prepare for a wave of pull-ups after tomorrow's interest rate cut, it is also easy to cause a false fall after the middle track breaks, tempting investors to follow the trend and continue to bearish at low levels; but in fact, today continued to fall. At present, the price of gold has fallen below the previous terraced support band in the 4-hour trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure and the short-term moving average maintains a good volatile downward trend. In the short term, we will pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after the rebound and repair. Today's focus is on the 4000-20 area to suppress the decline, and breaking through 3970-75 to look below 3900. The target has been achieved. After the short-term plunge in gold, and with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaching, the bulls and bears will play a tug-of-war. Trading strategy: Buy: 3990-3985, SL: 4050, TP: 3930-3910
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
3
GOLD XAUUSD NEWYORK BACKUP CHART 2HR+EMA LONDON /NEWYORK GOLD MARKET SESSION SHOWING ME SOME STRONG BULLISH DISPOSITION but the bullish confirmation hinges on break and close 4030 line chart close of my 4hr candle chart my preferred intraday time frame for deep analysis and trade directional bias in real time if they break 4030, i will watch 15 min chart of the 4070-4055 zone for possible sell reaction price action, like I did in the yesterday sniper buy at 3885-3890 for reference which was posted for free. the 4HR structure is my litmus test and guide in bullish continuation or bearish take profit. if 4030 on timing 12;00 drops then i will hope that 4003-4006 demand keeps the bullish impetus so we can ride into 4150 wave .. the FOMC RATE AND MEETING WILL BE VOLATILE . GOLD IS 100% BULLISH AND IN THE HANDS OF CENTRAL BANKS. GOODLUCK
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
3
XAU/ USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update - Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Timeframe: 1H (OANDA) Technical Basis: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + EMA Confluence --- Market Structure Current trend: Bearish, price respecting a descending wedge/channel. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish momentum continuation. Price is retracing after forming a new low and may move back to mitigate imbalance (FVG). --- Key Technical Areas Retracement Levels: 0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci zone marks the premium shorting area. Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between 0.62–0.79 levels is the ideal entry region. EMA Resistance: EMA-50 ≈ 4,067 EMA-200 ≈ 4,120 Both EMAs align with the supply zone, strengthening sell bias. --- Projected Move 1. Expected retracement toward the 4,067–4,100 zone (supply/FVG region). 2. Potential short entry within that area. 3. Bearish continuation targeting the next structural low at 3,960 (as marked). --- Targets Next Target (retracement zone): 4,089 Final Bearish Target: 3,960 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold remains under bearish pressure within a contracting structure. A retracement to the premium zone (4,067–4,100) offers potential short opportunities aligned with structure and EMA resistance. A break below 3,995 would further confirm bearish continuation toward 3,960. --- Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
XAU/USD: Sharp Pullback Tests $4,000 as Rally Takes a BreatherXAU/USD faced heavy turbulence this week, rallying initially before hitting strong resistance and reversing sharply toward the $4,000 psychological support. The selloff, accompanied by rising volume, signals potential exhaustion following the recent parabolic move. A dip toward $3,900 would not indicate a breakdown, but rather a healthy correction, offering the market a chance to reset momentum and prepare for a more sustainable bullish leg ahead.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
1
XAUUSD Double Top Breakdown and Bearish Flag in PlayGold has completed a double top reversal, hitting its measured target before forming a bearish flag under the key supply zone. As price remains capped below $4,050–$4,200, bearish momentum could continue toward the $3,700 region, aligning with the flag target. We should watch the $4,020 POI zone closely any retest and rejection from that area could confirm continuation to the downside. 💬 Share your thoughts below and don’t forget to like & share if this analysis adds value!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by weslad
1
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. PivotL 4,016.90 1st Support: 3,791.73 1st Resistance: 4,131.50 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by IC Markets
1
XAU/USD 1H – Bearish Liquidity Sweep Toward BPR Zonepotential shift from a bullish (upward) to a bearish (downward) trend, outlining a clear trade entry area and target: Prior Trend: The price action leading up to the structural change shows an upward move, indicative of a bullish phase. Bearish CHOCH (Change of Character): This is the critical signal of a potential trend reversal. The price has broken below a previous significant Higher Low (HL), which signifies that the bulls are losing control and the market's 'character' is changing to bearish. BOS (Break of Structure): In this bearish context, a Break of Structure would confirm the continuation of the new bearish trend by breaking a new Lower Low (not explicitly marked after the CHOCH but implied as the next step in a downtrend). BPR (Balanced Price Range): This shaded zone marks a specific area where the price is expected to retrace to before falling further. A BPR is an area of overlapping Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and acts as a high-probability supply/resistance zone where institutional sell orders are likely to be activated. EQH (Equal Highs) / BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): The line marked "EQH" (Equal Highs) is a liquidity target that was swept, suggesting the market cleared out buy stop-loss orders before initiating the main move down (liquidity hunt). Target - SSS (Sell-Side Stop-loss Sweep / Sell-Side Liquidity): The final horizontal line marked "SSS" is the ultimate profit target. This area represents a pool of liquidity (stop-loss orders placed by traders who were short or who bought at that level) that the market is expected to hunt or "sweep" to fill large institutional sell orders. In summary, the trade plan suggests: Entry: A short (sell) trade within the BPR zone after the bearish CHOCH is confirmed. Target: The lower SSS level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
3
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit. Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
1