XAUMO GOLDEN REPORT – The Golden Analysis for XAUUSD (Footprint)XAUMO GOLDEN REPORT – The Golden Analysis for XAUUSD (Footprint 15m/60m/240m/1D)
🗓️ Date/Time: 3 October 2025 — 08:15 UTC+3
📊 Prices now: Ask 3851.77 / Bid 3851.47
Today’s levels from the footprint: 3863/3859 = intraday resistance — 3855 = Pivot — 3848/3840 = trading support — 3819 = deeper support.
15 Minutes (Scalping)
Price action: A quick buying thrust to 3851.7 then a sharp pullback; positive-delta candles at the top followed by negative-delta blocks = failed buying and quick distribution.
Volume: A volume explosion on the brief breakout, then calm with a negative tilt — the seller is holding the reins for the moment.
Range: 3859 ↔ 3848; every rise to 3855–3859 is met with offers (absorption).
60 Minutes
Internal trend: Down/sideways below 3860; a sequence of negative blocks on the minor highs.
VWAP/Fibo: Price is below the 3855 pivot and near the 50–61.8% retracement of yesterday’s wave, which favors an extension lower toward 3840 if the bounce fails.
4 Hours (240m)
Structure: After a weekly high, an orderly correction from the 3890s; the nearest important low is 3819.3, and a mid-balance zone is 3840–3828.
Momentum: Tilted to the downside with short-term lower highs.
Daily (General Trend)
Larger trend: Up, but with two clear days of profit-taking.
Candles/Volume: Longer upper wicks + elevated volume at the highs = distribution. Holding below 3860 keeps the corrective scenario open toward 3828–3819.
XAUMO’s Plan (Educational only, not advice)
The preferred scenario today: sell the pullback to the pivot.
Order Type Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Confidence
Main Trade Sell Limit 3855.20 3863.60 3838.00 🔥 81%
Reason (focused and straight):
3855–3859 is a repeatedly offered area (absorption + negative delta after a failed 15m thrust).
Staying below VWAP/Pivot 3855 = bearish bias toward 3840/3838.
60m structure is short-term down; any rise toward 3859 is likely just a pullback.
Alternative plan (if it rips upward):
Buy Stop 3864.20 → TP 3878.50 → SL 3856.80 only if a 15m candle closes above 3864 (price acceptance above resistance).
Invalidating the bearish scenario:
A steady close above 3864 cancels the short and shifts thinking to buying the breakout as above.
Risk management:
Risk ≤ 0.6% of capital; no chasing — keep your entry pending at the specified zone.
Conclusion: Today the market tends toward a corrective decline below 3860. Sell the pullback from 3855–3859 and target 3838; give new highs their due only if there is acceptance above 3864 — otherwise, the plan is bearish.
