The Golden Descent Has Just BegunGold may be entering a deeper correction phase. Historical patterns and higher-time-frame structures, especially on the monthly chart, suggest that the current decline could extend much further — possibly around 25% from current levels. Despite short-term volatility, the broader trend still points downward, and any temporary bounce might only serve as a pause before the next major leg lower.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Bullish momentum is sustainedOANDA:XAUUSD continues to push to new highs with no signs of weakening momentum . I do not expect a sharp decline in the near term, and at this time we should stand aside and continue to observe price action before making any trading decisions.
Price is approaching a large liquidity area (Margin Zone) , where CME participants accept trading at high value . Therefore, this is the objective price may reach in today’s session.
Contingency at this level hosts a sizable cluster of CME long calls , so price may overshoot the Margin Zone and tag 3976 before a minor pullback.
Margin Zone:
Strong resistance:
Key support:
The levels above are areas where price may react and potentially reverse. However, at present, trading in a high value area without structure confirmation is extremely risky.
⇒ We should stand outside in today’s session and wait for the next price action.
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Gold’s Golden Retest?Gold continues to trade within a rising blue channel, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Currently, price is retesting the intersection between the lower blue trendline and the red structure zone, which has acted as strong support multiple times.
As long as this confluence area holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting the upper boundary of the channel.
A break and close below this zone would temporarily pause the bullish momentum and open room for a deeper correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold Nears $4,000 – Breakout or Brief Pause?Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the symbolic $4,000 level — a psychological barrier closely watched by global investors. This rally isn’t just technical; it’s fueled by a shifting macro picture across major economies.
The U.S. faces a possible government shutdown, undermining confidence in the dollar. Europe continues to battle inflation and political unrest, while Japan and Argentina show deeper signs of recession. On the other side, China’s central bank (PBOC) has bought gold for 11 consecutive months, lifting reserves to record highs and reinforcing gold’s position as the world’s top safe-haven asset.
Technically, XAU/USD remains in a strong uptrend: prices are climbing steadily through Fair Value Gaps, staying above the Ichimoku cloud with increasing volume — a sign that accumulation, not speculation, is driving this move.
Spot gold trades around $3,991, while December futures already touched $4,014. Market expectations are leaning toward a clean breakout above $4,000 toward $4,015–$4,040. Given persistent macro risks, a false breakout seems unlikely unless bond yields spike or the U.S. releases unexpectedly positive data.
What do you think — is this the real breakout that leads to new highs, or will gold need one more pullback before soaring higher?
Gold ATH continues to set, looking to 4050⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally in the Asian session on Wednesday, breaking above the $4,000 mark for the first time ever. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts, persistent geopolitical tensions, and mounting economic uncertainty from the ongoing US government shutdown continue to fuel demand for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The current gold buying power in the market is very large, the weakening of DXY this year is the main reason for the very strong growth in gold prices.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4048 - 4050 SL 4055
TP1: $4040
TP2: $4030
TP3: $4020
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3960-$3962 SL $3955
TP1: $3975
TP2: $3990
TP3: $4000
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price conquers 4000, strong price increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
France’s new Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and his cabinet resigned just hours after taking office on Monday, deepening the nation’s political turmoil. At the same time, the US government shutdown entered its sixth day, with the Trump administration signaling plans to cut federal jobs. “A wave of global political and economic concerns — from France’s crisis to rising Japanese yields and the prolonged US shutdown — continues to fuel gold’s rally,” noted Edward Meir, analyst at Marex.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Big fomo market, buyers are in complete control. Continue to conquer the 4000 price zone today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4000 - 4002 SL 4007
TP1: $3990
TP2: $3980
TP3: $3970
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3910-$3908 SL $3903
TP1: $3920
TP2: $3930
TP3: $3940
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DeGRAM | GOLD refreshed ATH📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, approaching resistance near 3,950. The upper trendline shows multiple prior rejections, signaling potential exhaustion and a short-term correction setup.
● A pullback toward 3,922 or 3,903 aligns with the midline support and prior breakout zone, suggesting a likely retracement before any new upside attempt.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold faces selling pressure as U.S. Treasury yields rise and the dollar strengthens ahead of key inflation data, dampening safe-haven demand.
✨ Summary
● Overbought momentum near 3,950 hints at a short-term downside toward 3,922–3,903, with recovery potential after correction.
-------------------
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XAUUSD Gold to 4KTimeline is 6 months - 2 years
The crash has already started. At some point everyone will start to sell thier treasury bonds, yields will go up proportionally to inflation until the dollar loses it's status as the global currency and dramatic measures are used to stop inflation resulting in stagflation and yield recovery. Else hyper inflation and the dollar is replaced entirely.
I see the momentum indicators shifting in various markets. Below is a brief summary of each, relevant indicators/markets. see charts.
US1YRBILLS
WTI CRUDE
SILVERUSD
BONKCOIN
TSLA
Gold Trade Plan 07/10/2025Dear traders,
The target of wave 3 of the weekly bullish super cycle was hit around the 3975 zone. With the first major drop, the price is expected to enter wave 4. Confirmation of wave 4 will be the break of 3890, and I expect a decline toward the 3600 area.
Regards,
Alireza!
Decline then #4,100.80 - #4,200.80 zoneTechnical analysis: Gold reversed on Intra-day basis (even though DX is Trading near multi-session High’s, from now on / main correlation for the fractal) as Price-action was isolated within Neutral Rectangle which has Lower High's / High's - Low's. As I've mentioned before, current slide was nothing more but sweep to cool down Overbought levels however not discontinuation of Ascending Channel on bigger charts.. Hourly 4 chart's timeframe should turn green any minute now and as long as Price-action meets strong Support near #4,000.80 psychological benchmark which is showcasing strong rejection point, I expect test-and-break of the #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 zone which can extend Buying sequence widely above #4,100.80 psychological benchmark, preserving trendline on Hourly 4 chart which is Supporting the uptrend and rejecting every downside attempt since late September / early October fractal. It is worth noting that if #4,052.80 - #4,057.80 Short-term Resistance zone rejects current recovery attempt, #3rd Top on mentioned belt which is guarding the upside will be formed as Gold will be isolated within #2 strong trendlines until one of the levels break and delivers major move on the aftermath (I lean to the Bullish side as well).
Bullish re-Buy orders delivering excellent resultsAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'I have engaged multiple orders on #3,852.80 benchmark and closed all of my orders on #3,878.80 with excellent Profit throughout Friday's session and had pending Buy orders on #3,892.80 break-out which were closed today on #3,927.80 extension. I am expecting my #4,000.80 benchmark Target to be realized soon as I await #3,937.80 Support test to Buy Gold more towards #3,952.80 benchmark, then #4,000.80 benchmark extension. This is wonderful Bullish Price-action to Trade by and my #4,000.80 benchmark test / Medium-term Target I announced from #3,700's is coming earlier than I expected. Congratulations for Traders who had been following my Bullish calls, well done while Sellers are constantly trapped and liquidated on current multi-Month Bullish Price-action.
My position: Needless to mention, everything remains the same as I am Buying every dip. Current Price-action is trapping Sellers on Intra-day basis, hitting their Stop-losses which are fuel to current Bullish run. I Bought #3,943.80 throughout yesterday's session, added Buying orders on #3,952.80 benchmark break-out to the upside many times and #3,962.80 was my closing point for all orders (cca. #14 re-Buys throughout yesterday's session). I will continue Buying every dip Targeting #4,000.80 benchmark on Medium-term.
XAUUSD: Correction underway as selling pressure intensifiesOANDA:XAUUSD pushed through the Margin Zone toward 3976, a strong level with CME Longcall positioning—where selling pressure has begun to appear. I believe the upside objective for this leg has been met and the market is likely to enter a corrective phase in the near term. You can read my previous analysis here:
Momentum has clearly weakened, and selling pressure around has appeared.
CME traders have begun unwinding Longcall exposure , reinforcing the view that the advance may be nearing completion. However, Longput positioning has not increased materially yet, so the pullback may not accelerate immediately.
Key resistance:
Key support: ,
Contingency support:
Today’s plan:
Look for sell entries into and target the support zones below.
Confirmation: Wait for Quantum Vol-Delta at 5m timeframe to flag strong selling pressure before entering.
Stops: Place the stop above the resistance or above the most recent 5m timeframe swing high from the entry.
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Gold monthly RSI >90 (first time since 1980) - rising FOMO risk💡 Idea / Thesis
Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has gone almost vertical — up ~150% since late-2022 and +54% YTD.
The monthly RSI(14) just hit 91.36, a level we haven’t seen since the 1980 peak.
That doesn’t mean “sell now,” but it’s a clear sign of euphoria and extreme momentum — the type of move that usually ends with a pause or correction.
⚠️ Why I’m cautious
RSI >90 = extremely rare, often followed by several months of consolidation.
Parabolic breakout: The rally above 3400-3500 left little support underneath.
Sentiment: Everyone’s talking about gold again → signs of FOMO and crowded trades.
🎯 How I’d approach it
If you’re long:
Lock in some profits or hedge part of the position. Continue DCA strategy
Watch for a pullback to increase exposure like for example the area 3,300–3,500.
🚧 Risks
Strong uptrends can stay overbought for months — RSI ≠ sell trigger.
Central banks & geopolitics can keep gold strong.
Manage position size and respect stops.
📊 Bias: Long-term bullish, short-term cautious
Not financial advice. DYOR.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Correction is Over?!
Looks like Gold has completed a correctional movement
that it initiated yesterday.
A confirmed bullish Change of Character on a 4h time frame
that happened after a test of a strong intraday support suggests
a strong bullish pressure.
I expect a rise to 4039
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU hotHot water for the current shorts…
However, still layered here.
2 solid hours to bring it back.
As long there’s no close above 75.6 in that time given, I still remain for a dip out into 918, even as far as 910…
944 needs the work, can’t stress that enough. To settle there will bring along full tp.
Breathe 🧘
XAUUSD (Gold) 15M Analysis🟡 XAUUSD (Gold) 15M Analysis
Price is currently reacting from a demand zone after a CHoCH and BOS confirmation.
Expecting a possible bullish move towards 4000+ zone after liquidity grab below the EQH area.
📊Key Points:
CHoCH + BOS confirm structure shift
Demand zone holding strong support (violet box)
Liquidity above “Weak High” likely to be targeted
Potential upside target: 4000.500 - 4005.000
💡 Wait for a clear confirmation candle or retest before entering long
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️2weeks/candle price chart
▪️Gold Bull market in progress
▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1
▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2
▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3
▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD
▪️650% gains off the lows
▪️will hit in 2026/2027
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold
▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
Pullback Imminent—Bulls Beware, $80 Risk LoomsGold continues to maintain its strong position and has reached the level around 4000 as expected during the upward process. According to the current structure, the level around 4000 may not be the market top, and there is still room for further growth. However, the market's expected targets have been achieved in the short term, and gold may experience a phased pullback after making a series of false breakthroughs.
Looking back at history, every time gold faces an area near an integer mark, it will usher in a good wave of pullback. Gold has experienced a $70-80 pullback around the 3700, 3800, and 3900 levels. Based on this, even if gold starts to pull back $70-80 from 4020, it could potentially retreat to the 3950-3940 range in the short term.
Based on its trend, gold began its upward trend around 3820 and has currently reached a high of around 4014, with a fluctuation of $194. Based on previous trend-based gains and fluctuations, gold could experience a pullback at any time.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we do not advocate aggressive chasing of high levels for the time being. We can consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3970-3950 area depending on the market performance; of course, we can consider starting to short gold in the current area of 4015-4025. Short positions are only for short-term trading and are not suitable for long-term trading at the moment!