SMART MONEYN CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After reaching the High (HL) near 4,060, price broke down with a Break of Structure (BOS), creating a clear institutional reset.
• Price tapped into the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG-1H) and the 15M Order Block (OB-15M) inside the support zone.
• A Change of Character (ChoCH) plus a fake out formed before rejecting strongly back into bullish territory.
• Current projection: institutions may drive price into a new distribution phase, first targeting 4,021, with a second target at 4,060.
• Setup remains valid while price holds above the support zone and the FVG imbalance is respected.
🚀 Takeaway for traders: Institutional resets aren’t the end of the trend — they’re liquidity grabs to fuel the next leg. Stay patient and follow the footprints.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Gold short positions above 4050 have achieved another success!Today we have been emphasizing that gold may usher in a major adjustment. In the end, gold fell below the 4,000 mark. This position is exactly the important medium-term bullish and bearish turning point that we have been adhering to for a long time. Gold broke through and fell directly during the U.S. trading session. We participated in short orders throughout the process. Gold fell sharply as expected. At present, gold has fallen below the key mark. It is likely to be mainly adjusted in the short term. There is a lack of new positive news stimulation in the near future. The market may enter the bearish home court next. The gold 1-hour moving average has turned, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened significantly and the rebound strength is limited. The trading ideas in the future are still clear. The rebound is under pressure in the 3985-4000 area, which are opportunities to short at highs. We never do stubborn longs or shorts. Once the long and short key positions are broken, the trend has turned. Only by following the trend can we be invincible.
GOLD FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅XAUUSD forms a clean double top at overbought levels, confirming rejection from premium price levels. The neckline breakout signals Smart Money distribution, with downside targets near 3,920$ as liquidity gets drawn lower.
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Entry: 3,988$
Stop Loss: 4,055$
Take Profit: 3,920$
Time Frame: 3H
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SHORT🔥
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XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..!
Key Reason:
1. Market structure remain bullish with BOS confirmation.
2. Fresh demand zone still pending.
3. Price expected to retrace towards strong demand zone for liquidity grab.
4. If bullish momentum remain strong then we'll see further upside move.
This is not a financial advice. Confirmation very important. Let's see how it will work.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD 15M
• After the breakout of the resistance zone, price retested the support area and showed a clean rejection.
• No Change of Character (ChoCH) has been confirmed, which keeps the bullish structure intact.
• Institutions are still showing accumulation and interest in higher prices.
• Projection: Possible fake out before distribution, with continuation toward the new target at 4,080.
• Setup remains valid as long as price respects the support zone and OB-15M.
💡 Motivational Message for New SMC Traders
“Trading with Smart Money Concepts is about patience and structure. Don’t chase the market—read its story. Every ChoCH, BOS, and fake out is not just a candle, but a footprint left by institutions. Stay disciplined, trust the process, and let the market come to you. 🚀📈”
GOOD LUCK TRADERS 🌞😁
Gold will face heavy rejection from 3,970 zone OANDA:XAUUSD
Short-term correction possible before bulls regain control!
Expecting a drop toward 3,900–3,890 zone before next leg up 📉➡️📈
📍 Entry (Sell Zone) → 3,950–3,960
🎯 Targets → 3,910 / 3,895
⛔ SL → 3,975
Stay patient — retracement could offer the next big long setup!
Can gold smash through $4,000 this month?Gold is edging closer to the psychological $4,000 mark after reaching as high as $3,890 per ounce.
The rally has been fuelled by two main drivers: an unexpected drop in US private employment and the start of the federal government shutdown. With the shutdown delaying key releases such as this week’s nonfarm payrolls and this month’s CPI, the Federal Reserve may be forced to decide policy at its October 29 meeting without critical data, increasing the chances they leave rates unchanged.
Technically, gold’s trend remains constructive. Strong demand zones potentially sit near $3,760 and $3,720, while the next key resistance is the $4,000 psychological level. A sustained daily close above $4,000 would open the way toward Fibonacci extension targets at $4,025 and $4,101. On the downside, a break below $3,760 could trigger a deeper pullback toward $3,680.
10.9 Gold US Market Operation Guide!!!Looking at the 4-hour market trend, watch for the important support level of 3990-4000 below, and the bull-bear watershed of 3980-85. The bull market is rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious about following orders.
Gold Trading Strategies:
1. Buy gold at 4000-4010, and add to long positions if it retraces to 3985-3993. Set a stop loss at 3977 and target 4045-4050.
Gold turns downward?The key to gold trading right now is identifying key daily levels and following the trend. Even with a bullish outlook, predicting a specific peak is difficult. After Wednesday's rally, gold prices reached a high near 4059, reaching a high after consecutive gains in the Asian and European sessions. While there is still room for upside in the US market, the main force retreated to around 4000 at midnight, perfectly demonstrating the strategy of "don't chase the gains when bullish, and go long on key pullbacks." As mentioned yesterday, this rally calls for long positions at support levels around 4010-4005. An early pullback in the US market would provide an opportunity to enter long positions at 4000. Today's market outlook is relatively clear, maintaining a bullish outlook. Continue long positions with 4000 as a defensive support level. The primary upside target is the previous high of 4060. If it holds, short-term profit-taking is appropriate. A successful breakout could open up potential to 4100 or even higher. What needs to be particularly vigilant is that a wave of decline has occurred on Wednesday, and Thursday is the traditional time node for market changes. Tonight, the US market has seen a sweeping decline, but we must always pay attention to the 4000-line support and continue to go long if it is not broken.
Bearish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the 30-minute timeframeA sell position is highlighted just below the resistance area, marked by the red zone. The stop-loss is placed above the recent highs, protecting against a possible breakout continuation. The target is positioned near the next support level around 4020, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The downward arrow indicates the expected movement — a pullback from the resistance zone toward the lower support area. This setup suggests a short-term bearish correction within the broader bullish structure.
GOLDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3952.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3966.9
Safe Stop Loss - 3945.0
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#4,000.80 benchmark deliveredAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'My position: Needless to mention, everything remains the same as I am Buying every dip. Current Price-action is trapping Sellers on Intra-day basis, hitting their Stop-losses which are fuel to current Bullish run. I Bought #3,943.80 throughout yesterday's session, added Buying orders on #3,952.80 benchmark break-out to the upside many times and #3,962.80 was my closing point for all orders (cca. #14 re-Buys throughout yesterday's session). I will continue Buying every dip Targeting #4,000.80 benchmark on Medium-term.'
My position: I have closed all of my re-Buy orders throughout yesterday's session with #3,992.80 Target (cca. #17 re-Buys in and out, Scalps with High Volume) however kept two #10.00 Volume orders from #3,962.80 reversal with #4,027.80 Target which was hit over-night. I am using this chance to congratulate Traders who followed my calls and had patience to hold the orders and Trade this Bull run with me, well done! I am off for the session with spectacular Profits booked for now.
XAU/USD: Bullish Continuation Builds Within Upward ChannelXAU/USD continues to hold its structure inside the upward channel, recently rebounding from trendline support near 3,845. Price action is forming a series of higher lows, with bullish momentum strengthening after a breakout above equal highs, pointing toward the 3,923 resistance level.
As long as the price remains above 3,844, the bullish bias stays intact, supporting continuation toward the 3,940–3,960 target zone within the channel. Momentum favors buyers, with the broader trend still aligned to the upside.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Weekly Plan [10.6 - 10.10.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo is here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
Gold’s bullish trend remains extremely clear, reflecting the market’s strong confidence in this safe-haven asset amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. The continuous series of new ATHs highlights that buyers are firmly in control of the market.
However, from a technical perspective, the $4,000/oz level stands out as a significant psychological round-number resistance. This zone also coincides with the Monthly Fibonacci extension target, making it highly likely that profit-taking will emerge once price approaches this level. Any reaction here will largely depend on external factors and key news events, which must be closely monitored.
Technical Outlook:
Primary Trend: Strong bullish momentum on both Daily and Monthly timeframes.
Momentum: Still positive, though $4,000 may trigger short-term corrections.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3800- 3787 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3835 - 3865 - 3880
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 3969 - 3973
SL: 3976
TP: 3900 - 3890
(2) ENTRY: 3995 - 4005
SL: 4010
TP: 3900 - 3800 - ...
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3885 - 3900
SL: 3880
TP: 3940 - 3970 - 3995 - ...
Risk Management:
- Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
- Manage position sizing carefully; avoid overtrading at psychological highs.
- Monitor U.S. economic data and geopolitical news closely, as these could act as catalysts for corrective moves.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a powerful bullish cycle with no signs of cooling down yet. However, the $4,000/oz mark is a critical psychological and technical barrier where corrective pullbacks are likely to occur. Traders should continue to favor long setups but remain vigilant around this zone, closely observing price reactions to refine their strategies.
WISH EVERYONE A PROFITABLE NEW WEEK!
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our 4H chart also playing out as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we complete our 4H chart idea. After completing 3778 target, we had ema5 cross and lock gaps open above at 3811 and 3845 - Both of these gaps are now hit complecting this chart idea.
BULLISH TARGET
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3738 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3811 - - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3845 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU.usd eyes on $3950: Gold should DIP from a Genesis fibGold got a surge after some bear traps.
Now tresting a Genesis fib ta $3950.71
Looking for a Dip-to-Fib from here to buy.
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Last Plot that caught the EXACT BOTTOM of dip:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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DeGRAM | GOLD formed bearish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading inside a rising channel, where price recently formed a bearish takeover near the upper boundary at 3,975, suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum.
● The rejection aligns with resistance, hinting at a short-term retracement toward 3,927, with possible extension to 3,884 if selling pressure accelerates along the lower channel line.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields ahead of Fed minutes are weighing on gold, as investors shift toward safer dollar assets.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 3,975; targets at 3,927 and 3,884. Bearish reversal confirmed within the rising channel.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold’s Pullbacks Reveal Bearish Strength — 3960 in Sight!After gold retreated from around 4060, it encountered resistance and fell back frequently during the rebound. Although gold still maintained an overall bullish trend, the bullish momentum has obviously weakened, and the short-term gold market has entered a high-level fluctuation stage. Currently, the highest level of gold has reached around 4060. According to the current structure and rebound momentum, if gold cannot effectively break through the recent high of 4060, then gold is likely to form a secondary high point during the oscillation process and form an M-shaped double top structure with the recent high point.
Therefore, although gold is in an overall bullish trend, we still cannot ignore the considerable risk of a pullback in the short term before it effectively breaks through the high of 4060. At present, gold is testing the 4000 mark under the pressure of technical patterns. If the 4000 mark cannot withstand the test, gold may continue to retreat to the area around 3960.
Therefore, in short-term trading, we can still consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 4030-4040 area and try to short gold, first aiming at the retracement target area: 3990-3980; followed by 3960-3950!
XAUUSD: The 4000 Retracement - Path to 4100 or Deeper?
XAUAUD: The 4000 Retracement - Path to 4100 or Deeper?
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe is experiencing a a breakout above "Ascending Channel," currently trading above 4000 Crucial level
Bullish Scenario: A successful defense of this level and the ascending channel would likely signal a continuation of the strong upward momentum, with the immediate target being the "4100 Target" and further highs.
Bearish Scenario (Immediate): Conversely, a confirmed breach and sustained trading below the "4000 Crucial" zone and the ascending trendline would indicate a weakening of the current bullish structure, leading to a retest of supports at 3950 & 3900.
Fundamental Reasons for Gold's Ascent:
🔑 1. Central Bank Demand (Strongest Long-Term Driver)
Central banks are buying record amounts of gold — particularly China, India, Russia, and other emerging economies — as they diversify away from the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasuries. This demand is price-insensitive (they buy regardless of price), creating a consistent bid under gold.
Since 2022, official sector purchases have been the largest in decades, signaling strong institutional confidence in gold as a reserve asset.
💵 2. Global De-Dollarization & Geopolitical Tensions
With rising geopolitical fragmentation (U.S.–China tensions, BRICS expansion, Middle East instability), countries are reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar for trade and reserves. Gold becomes the neutral settlement asset — not tied to any single government’s credit risk. This strategic shift creates structural upward demand for physical bullion and long-term holdings.
📉 3. Real Yields Turning Negative Again
Even if nominal interest rates remain high, real (inflation-adjusted) yields have been falling due to persistent inflation and slowing growth. Gold has a strong inverse correlation with real yields — when they decline, gold prices rise. Investors prefer gold as a store of value when real returns on bonds are low or negative.
🏦 4. Anticipation of Monetary Easing / Rate Cuts
Markets are pricing in rate cuts by the Fed and other central banks as growth slows and debt costs rise. Lower rates weaken the dollar and reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, both of which are bullish for XAU/USD. Historically, gold rallies ahead of and during easing cycles.
🌍 5. Global Debt and Fiscal Imbalance
Government debt levels (especially U.S. and G7) are at record highs, and servicing that debt is becoming unsustainable at current rates. This fuels expectations of monetization (money printing) and long-term inflation, making gold attractive as a hedge. Investors see gold as a “default hedge” — protection against fiscal instability and currency debasement.
💹 6. Investment Flows and ETF Demand
Institutional investors, pension funds, and retail traders are increasing allocations to gold ETFs and physical holdings. In times of uncertainty (equity overvaluation, geopolitical shocks), gold acts as a safe-haven rebalancing tool. A breakout above psychological resistance (like $2,500 and now $4,000) triggers technical momentum and algorithmic buying.
🔐 7. Supply Constraints
Gold mine supply growth is stagnant or declining — few new major discoveries, higher production costs, and geopolitical risks in mining regions. Meanwhile, recycling supply can’t meet the surge in demand. Tight supply fundamentals amplify price responses when demand surges.
⚙️ 8. Technological and Financialization Factors
Expansion of gold-backed digital products and tokenized gold has made exposure easier for both retail and institutional investors. Physical settlement demand from such platforms adds to actual bullion demand — reinforcing price strength.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Gold Near Records on Shutdown JittersFundamental approach:
- Gold climbed this week on safe-haven bids as the US government shutdown froze key data releases, amplifying uncertainty and driving a bid for defensives.
- Softer ADP private payrolls and an ISM manufacturing print that remains in contraction supported bullion near record highs, with a softer dollar and easing Treasury yields boosting the appeal of non‑yielding assets.
- Multiple independent outlets pointed to shutdown‑driven risk aversion, higher odds of Fed easing after weak ADP, and lingering geopolitical and policy risks as catalysts for stronger bullion demand.
Technical approach:
- Technically, XAUUSD is hovering near all‑time highs with no clear reversal signal; price holds well above key EMAs, underscoring strong upside momentum.
- A clean breakout to new highs could open the door toward the confluence area of 4015-4045, where substantial profit-taking may emerge.
- Failure to clear the peak increases the risk of a pullback toward support around 3770, where buyers may reassess the trend's strength.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold could continue higher!Price had been consolidating, where sellers tried to cap momentum but could only slow buyers down, not reverse them. Buyers steadily building pressure. Eventually, price broke through the flag’s resistance line with conviction, signaling a strong continuation move.
If price retests the broken flag boundary and holds above, that’s your long entry signal, confirming buyers are in full control and preparing for the next impulsive leg higher.
My target would be around 3 800.