Gold approaching #4,000.80 benchmark / my TargetAs discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: 'My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,860's towards #3,878.80 Resistance, and since we are in Bullish non-stop trend, I have Bought Gold on #3,878.80 break-out to the upside and closed my order near #3,890.80 local High's, expecting some Sellers to arise at that point. I as I am not Selling Gold at all lately, I have waited for Gold to establish local Low's (#3,827.80 was my fair estimate), I started Buying Gold aggressively on #3,827.80 and #3,830.80 towards #3,845.80 which was Resistance at that point, closing my Buys there. After #3,852.80 benchmark got invalidated, I have engaged Buying orders there and am still keeping them expecting #3,878.80 Resistance to be met once again. This is yet another wonderful week. Resistances to monitor ahead: #3,862.80 (now Support), #3,868.80, #3,872.80 and #3,878.80.'
I have engaged multiple orders on #3,852.80 benchmark and closed all of my orders on #3,878.80 with excellent Profit throughout Friday's session and had pending Buy orders on #3,892.80 break-out which were closed today on #3,927.80 extension. I am expecting my #4,000.80 benchmark Target to be realized soon as I await #3,937.80 Support test to Buy Gold more towards #3,952.80 benchmark, then #4,000.80 benchmark extension. This is wonderful Bullish Price-action to Trade by and my #4,000.80 benchmark test / Medium-term Target I announced from #3,700's is coming earlier than I expected. Congratulations for Traders who had been following my Bullish calls, well done while Sellers are constantly trapped and liquidated on current multi-Month Bullish Price-action.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Will price reach $4000 level this week? TVC:GOLD For this new month looks like price is still holding steady on Bulls this is confirmed after price has formed an Ascending Triangle. This gives us a confirmation that we're bullish for this week. Either way feel free to let me know on the comment session what are you thoughts on Gold.
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,973.70.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 4,051.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD – Accumulation before the next moveXAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & AWAITING NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956
Hello trader 👋
Gold is oscillating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong surge last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction.
In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking out to the 4000 area or correcting to lower support.
🔎 Technical Perspective
Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates a key resistance level at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone.
The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of potential correction.
Key price levels to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios
🔴 Main SELL Scenario:
Entry: 3997 – 4000
Stop Loss: 4005
Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone).
🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956:
Entry: 3959 – 3961
SL: 3965
TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming the intraday downtrend.
🟢 BUY when price retraces to support:
Entry: 3942 – 3944
SL: 3938
TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990
👉 Suitable for Buy strategy along the short-term rising channel, prioritized when there is a strong candle reaction.
🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline):
Entry: 3900 – 3898
SL: 3892
TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970
💡 Macro Perspective
Many major financial institutions have raised their gold price forecast for December 2026 from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign reserves into gold.
This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust.
📌 Summary:
Gold is in an accumulation phase awaiting a new direction around the 3956 area.
Tight capital management – the market may experience strong volatility with the return of political news and US data.
share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me to receive the earliest scenarios
GOLD → Liquidation, but there is still a chance for growth...FX:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high of 3871.6, marking its best month in 14 years (+12% in September). However, against the backdrop of high risks, the market is experiencing profit-taking and a deep correction. What next?
The high probability of a shutdown from October 1 is weighing on the dollar. The probability of a Fed rate cut in October is 90%, despite cautious comments from the Fed.
New tariffs on timber and furniture (from October 14).
Data from China: PMI growth (Manufacturing to 51.2). All this supports the bullish trend in gold. However, the end of the quarter, anticipation of NFP (but in the event of a shutdown, the publication of employment data will be suspended).
Technically, as part of the correction, the price is testing the upward support line, and the price reaction to the 3790-3780 zone will give hints about further movement...
Support levels: 3791, 3783
Resistance levels: 3831, 3847
A false breakdown and the formation of a reversal pattern relative to the specified support zone could trigger a recovery phase within the bullish trend. However, a quick return to support could trigger an attempt to break through and correct to 3759-3738.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold strategy! Buy long in the 3925-3935 area!The market is always full of possibilities. There is no so-called "highest point", only higher possibilities. When the trend is clearly upward, going with the flow is the core strategy to achieve stable profits. Avoid trading against the trend or based on emotions, especially in the current volatile market environment. Trading without clear thinking and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses. This is something I've been emphasizing. For those who are still on the sidelines and haven't yet developed an effective trading strategy, please follow my channel. We will continue to provide professional market analysis, comprehensive trading plans, and precise buy and sell instructions to help you better grasp the market's rhythm.
I am not surprised by the sharp rise in gold prices at the opening. Those who have read my views know that the current trend is basically consistent with my prediction, and reaching 3900 is within expectations. Since last week, we have been emphasizing that the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. On Thursday and Friday, we established long positions in gold at 3840-3855-3874, including buying at 3893 at the beginning of the opening. This is based on the technical analysis and news analysis, which makes us dare to be so firmly bullish.
Last Friday, despite a surge and then a decline, gold prices remained volatile at high levels. Market expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, coupled with high uncertainty regarding global geopolitical risks and the economic outlook, continued to provide stable support for gold prices, maintaining their upward trend. In particular, the recent US government shutdown crisis has stimulated rising risk aversion sentiment, helping gold prices to rise further, and the market's concerns about a long-term US government shutdown have intensified.
Judging from the gold daily chart, gold prices rebounded sharply last Friday and recorded a large real body positive candlestick pattern. Although the sharp rebound in prices last Friday failed to break through the previous high, gold prices continued to rise after opening high this week. In addition, the moving average cluster maintained a bullish arrangement, and the MACD indicator double lines maintained a golden cross operation process, indicating that the current trend is under the control of bulls.
The short-term trading strategy continues with last week's buy-on-low strategy!
There are many areas in 393-3925, the target is 3945, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3950, if it breaks through, look higher!
Gold/USD: Bullish Climb to $4100?OANDA:XAUUSD is showing a bullish setup on the 1-hour chart , with an entry zone between $3,963-$3,985 near a key support level.
First target at $4,075 marks initial resistance, while the second at $4,100 offers a deeper upside potential. Set a stop loss on a close below $3,940 to manage risk effectively. 🌟
A break above $3,985 with strong volume could confirm this move, driven by safe-haven demand and USD dynamics. Watch economic data trends! 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: $3,963 – $3,985 (support area)
❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below $3,940
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,075 (initial resistance)
TP2: $4,100 (extended target)
Ready for this rally? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Tuesday. I have marked the area that I am watching, if we come down some more, to see if we will push back up, or continue down a bit to take out existing longs still in profit. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see what the Pre NY volume does today, which starts coming in about 7:20am est. I am in no hurry to rush or force a trade, many factors and critieria must be met before I take any trade. Even if I take a micro lot trade, I treat it as the same a trading a full lot or several lot sizes. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how things play out.
Spectacular Buying opportunities on Gold well utilizedTechnical analysis: 'The inability to break below #3,827.80 Support mark on Hourly 4 chart caused another pullback which pushed the Price-action towards the Upper band of Donchian channel bands (the range was well defined on Spot prices). It is important to note that Gold was Trading on obvious Dead Cat bounce which showcased Bearish presence, also Fundamental Intra-day Selling pressure from both DX Intra-day spike to the upside and Bond Yields Bullish Gap fill didn’t prevailed. As market approaches important macro-economic releases next week, this range will most likely break, and depending on the DX numbers, Gold will Trade with a diagonal correlation. Hourly 4 chart turned Bullish again session ago (and when that happens since mid December’s fractal, market always delivers Medium-term Buying opportunity). As mentioned before, as long as #3,827.80 Support zone holds, expect Buyers to arise and push the Price-action towards Higher levels / local High's.
My position: I have been Buying Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,860's towards #3,878.80 Resistance, and since we are in Bullish non-stop trend, I have Bought Gold on #3,878.80 break-out to the upside and closed my order near #3,890.80 local High's, expecting some Sellers to arise at that point. I as I am not Selling Gold at all lately, I have waited for Gold to establish local Low's (#3,827.80 was my fair estimate), I started Buying Gold aggressively on #3,827.80 and #3,830.80 towards #3,845.80 which was Resistance at that point, closing my Buys there. After #3,852.80 benchmark got invalidated, I have engaged Buying orders there and am still keeping them expecting #3,878.80 Resistance to be met once again. This is yet another wonderful week. Resistances to monitor ahead: #3,862.80 (now Support), #3,868.80, #3,872.80 and #3,878.80.
XAU/USD: Holding Above 4,000 with Bullish Momentum IntactXAU/USD continues to climb within the upward channel, holding firmly above the key 4,000 support after a clean rebound. The structure remains bullish, with higher lows supported by the upward trendline, reflecting strong buyer interest.
As long as 4,000 holds, a push toward 4,100 and potentially higher levels remains likely. Price action suggests buyers are consolidating before the next trend extension.
GOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish LegGOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish Leg
Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, showing consistent higher highs and steady momentum after each correction. The market has been consolidating above the $3,800 zone, where buyers continue to absorb liquidity and prevent deeper declines. This zone acts as a solid base for potential upward expansion. Current market behavior indicates controlled accumulation, suggesting that institutional buyers are maintaining dominance. If gold holds above $3,840–$3,820, the next bullish leg may target the $3,960–$4,000 region. A short-term retracement could occur, but overall momentum favors continuation. The price structure and volume behavior both support further upside, reflecting strong buyer control and stable sentiment in the market.
The idea of shorting in the 4040-5050 area is correct!This time the decline is not an ordinary market fluctuation, but a wash-out correction with obvious rhythm and purpose. From the perspective of technical structure and market sentiment, this deep and rapid decline is often accompanied by the main funds cleaning out the retail investors' positions. I previously pointed out in my analysis that after a period of strong gains, gold faces significant short-term correction pressure, especially as prices approach key resistance levels. Bullish momentum is beginning to weaken, and trading volume has failed to expand consistently, indicating a weakening appetite for higher prices.
I especially remind investors to be wary of the risk of a sharp correction in gold in the short term, and clearly suggest that a short-selling strategy can be considered in the range of 4040 to 4050. This assessment was based on multiple factors: overly optimistic market sentiment, resulting in concentrated positions and the need for a correction; and marginal changes in some macroeconomic data, adding uncertainty to the precious metal's trajectory. Subsequent market developments fully verified this prediction - gold prices quickly fell after coming under pressure in this area, dropping by more than a hundred US dollars in just one trading day, showing strong downward momentum.
For investors who agree with and implement this strategy, they are undoubtedly seizing a high-probability, high-return trading opportunity. By rationally building positions within the suggested range and employing effective risk management, doubling returns is easily possible. For those investors who chose to go against the trend and buy the bottom and blindly increase their positions during this decline, they may have already been under considerable financial pressure. At this time, it is crucial to calmly review the market trends and re-evaluate their trading logic, avoiding emotional trading.
I suggest that such investors carefully review my analysis ideas. Every sharp fluctuation in the market is an opportunity to learn and grow. Only by constantly summing up experience and following trends can we improve the winning rate and stability in future transactions.
For the current trading strategy, I suggest waiting and seeing first! Wait for the market to stabilize. If there is a suitable opportunity, I will notify you in time. You just need to stay tuned!
Xau/Usd - Double Bottom Breakout & Bullish Reversal Support Zone: Price tested a key support level (gray area) twice, forming a classic Double Bottom pattern.
CHoCH (Change of Character): After the second bottom, price broke above the previous minor high, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Volume Confirmation: Increased buying volume at the second bottom supports bullish momentum.
Trade Plan:
Entry Point: Marked at 4,037.260 after confirmation of CHoCH and bullish candle close above neckline.
Target: Aiming for the Weak High area (prior resistance level).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below the second bottom and support zone (approx. < 4,000 level).
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 to weak high.
Bullish Bias Justification:
Double Bottom pattern indicates accumulation.
CHoCH confirms early trend reversal.
Break of Structure (BOS) aligns with bullish continuation.
Clear breakout from bearish trendline adds confluence.
XAUUSD – Distribution Near 3975 | Hybrid Logic Analysissis
Market Overview :
Gold remains in a bullish H1 structure but shows signs of distribution near 3975. Liquidity sweeps are forming at highs, while EQ around 3950 acts as a magnet zone.
Key Levels :
Resistance: 3975–3980
EQ: 3950
Support: 3935–3920
Scenarios :
A: If price sweeps 3975 and rejects → potential return toward EQ.
B: If price sweeps below 3935 then reclaims → bullish continuation toward 3985–4000.
Tags:
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #HybridTrading #Sweep #Reclaim #Liquidity #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
@MashinChiFx
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – ASIA FORECAST (07/10/2025)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,961, consolidating after reaching the weekly high at 3,970. The market remains firmly bullish, but momentum has started to slow near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
The Asian session opens with mixed sentiment — traders are monitoring whether gold will break above 3,970 for continuation or correct toward 3,950–3,940 to gather liquidity.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1):
• The uptrend remains dominant, supported by the 20 EMA and 50 EMA — both widely separated, indicating sustained bullish strength.
• RSI is hovering near 80, confirming overbought conditions but not yet reversing.
• Parabolic SAR remains below price, showing the trend is still intact.
• A close below 3,938 would be the first early sign of cooling momentum; above 3,970, bulls remain in full control.
1H Chart (H1):
• The structure shows consistent higher highs and higher lows since 3,820.
• Price is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel (3,968–3,972).
• MACD remains positive, but histogram bars are flattening — signaling potential consolidation.
• RSI at 70–72 confirms mild exhaustion, suggesting limited upside before a pullback.
• The 20 EMA (3,951) and 50 EMA (3,938) are the nearest dynamic supports.
15M Chart (M15):
• Price action shows tightening range structure with a sequence of short-term BOS (breaks of structure) between 3,956–3,962.
• MACD histogram decreasing, indicating reduced bullish pressure.
• RSI around 65–68 supports potential short-term retracement.
• Immediate support seen at 3,954, with deeper liquidity sitting at 3,944–3,940, which aligns with the Fibonacci zone.
5M Chart (M5):
• The short-term intraday momentum is slowing after repeated rejections around 3,962–3,964.
• Minor bearish divergence spotted between price and RSI, hinting at a temporary pullback.
• The nearest micro-support zones are 3,956, 3,952, and 3,944.
• Short-term structure remains bullish unless 3,940 breaks decisively.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Intraday Focus)
From 3,922 swing low → 3,970 swing high
• 38.2% Fib: 3,952
• 50% Fib: 3,946
• 61.8% Fib: 3,940
➡ This defines the Golden Zone between 3,952 – 3,940, ideal for bullish re-entries if price retraces during Asia.
If price bounces from this zone with confirmation, we could see renewed upside toward 3,968 → 3,975 → 3,985.
If the zone fails and 3,940 breaks, deeper correction may follow into 3,925–3,918.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Entries
Buy Setup: Wait for rejection or bullish confirmation in 3,952–3,940 (Golden Zone).
🎯 Targets: 3,962 → 3,970 → 3,975
🛑 SL: Below 3,935 (≈60 pips)
Sell Setup: Short only on clear rejection from 3,968–3,972 resistance zone (double-top / bearish engulfing confirmation).
🎯 Targets: 3,954 → 3,946 → 3,940
🛑 SL: Above 3,975 (≈55 pips)
Intraday / Swing Plays (H1–H4):
• Buy: If 3,940–3,946 holds on retest, looking for continuation toward 3,985–4,000.
• Sell: Break and close below 3,938 opens downside toward 3,918–3,902.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session
No major Asian macroeconomic events expected early in the session.
However, traders should monitor:
• China’s market sentiment (risk appetite or yuan strength often influences gold demand).
• Upcoming US data later in the day: Federal Reserve members speaking and trade balance data could affect USD volatility.
• US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady around 105.10, showing no major pressure, giving gold space to range or slightly extend gains.
Overall tone remains risk-neutral for the session.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,962 – 3,970 / 3,975 / 3,985
Support: 3,952 / 3,946 – 3,940 / 3,925 – 3,918
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a bullish structure but is losing short-term momentum near the top of the channel.
A retracement into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,952–3,940) may offer the best high-probability buy setup for continuation toward 3,970–3,985.
If sellers push below 3,940, expect an intraday correction into 3,925–3,918, where fresh liquidity could form for the next bullish leg.
The bias for the Asia session remains bullish but cautious, awaiting reaction near 3,952–3,940 for confirmation.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 06/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADES RECAP
✅ BUY +110 pips
✅ SELL +110 pips
✅ BUY +110 pips
✅ SELL +60 pips
✅ BUY LIMIT +150 pips
💰 TOTAL PIPS WON: +540 pips
🎯 RESULT: 5 Wins | 0 SL
📈 ACCURACY: 100 %
🔥 Flawless start to the week!
Strong setups, perfect execution, and consistent profits.
👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
FOLLOW US IN YOUTUBE FOR FREE DAILY FORECAST.
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context
Gold has smashed through the psychological $3,900 barrier, reaffirming its dominance as the ultimate safe-haven asset.
US government shutdown → drives defensive capital flow into gold.
Fed expected to cut rates by 0.25bps → further strengthens gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Data gap due to the shutdown → traders now rely on private reports, adding uncertainty and keeping gold in the spotlight.
👉 With the USD under pressure, capital fleeing risky assets, and FOMO from buyers intensifying, gold is well-positioned to target the 3950–3990 zone in the short term.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Primary trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the ascending channel.
BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → CP Volume Zone, strong support for continuation.
BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest of old ATH breakout zone.
SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, possible false breakout/trap.
Extended Target: 3994 (Fib 3.618).
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883
SELL Zone: 3949–3950
Resistance: 3950, 3994
Support: 3900, 3880
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902
SL: 3898
TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883
SL: 3878
TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950
SL: 3955
TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Price may sweep liquidity above 3950 before pulling back → wait for confirmation price action.
Avoid chasing highs – priority remains buying dips into key support zones.
Keep position sizing moderate ahead of unexpected Fed comments or policy shocks.
✅ Summary
Gold is in its “golden phase” of bullish momentum: political uncertainty + dovish Fed + safe-haven demand = BUY remains the core strategy. Preferred entries sit at 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with upside potential stretching toward 3950–3990. Short-term SELL setups only valid as liquidity traps near resistance.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups every session!