XAU/USD – Uptrend Persists After a Brief CorrectionHello everyone,
Gold is currently taking a natural pause after an impressive October rally. After reaching a peak near $4,036, prices pulled back slightly to around $4,021, yet the overall structure remains firmly bullish. The stepwise Fair Value Gaps (FVG) continue to form and fill shallowly — a healthy sign that the market is simply “breathing” before making its next move.
On the 4H chart, the Ichimoku cloud remains beneath price and is sloping upward, serving as a strong dynamic support zone. The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is intact, confirming that buying momentum continues to dominate. The $4,021 area aligns with a freshly formed FVG, while $4,000 acts as both a psychological and structural support level — both zones that buyers may use to reload positions.
Conversely, resistance lies near $4,036, and if broken decisively, gold could extend toward $4,050–$4,100 in the short term. The base case remains a shallow pullback to $4,021 or $4,000 before a continuation higher, possibly breaking prior highs.
What do you think — will gold soon break above $4,050, or does it need one more test before heading higher?
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support lower and then attempt the move higher monitoring the red box above which was active. It’s at that box we wanted to see a reaction, either a break or a RIP and as you can see, price did break upside hitting our daily and weekly targets as well as the red box targets.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For the early part of the week we have the immediate support level at the 3870-65 region which lines up with the red box and is the level that needs to be broken to go lower. If we target this level in the early session and support, price may want to attempt a new all time high again, this time into the 3901 level and above that 3910-12. It’s that level of 3910-12 that needs to be monitored as a possibility of a RIP there can cause us to get a minor correction but as above, we need to break below 3865-70 to see a change in dynamic.
If we do break below that 3970 level and get a decent close, with a clear reversal, we can then look to target the lower levels 3855 and below that 3838 initially. I would like to see lower, but due to NFP this week instead of last week, we may continue to stretch upside or range up here before then getting a retracement into mean.
We’re going to leave it there and as usual we will update traders best we can during the week with the box targets and the analysis.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3840
Bearish on break of 3830
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3890 for 3902, 3904, 3910, 3917, 3930 and 3933 in extension of the move
Break below 3868 for 3865, 3855, 3850, 3843, 3837 and 3830 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Lingrid | GOLD Persistent Bullish Trajectory ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is holding firm above 3900 after setting a new ATH near 3980 within the upward channel. Price action confirms bullish structure, with higher lows and trend continuation signals. A rejection support zone near 3920 could open the path for a retest of the 4000 psychological resistance. Momentum structure suggests bulls remain in control while targeting the upper boundary of the channel near 4000.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakdown below 3920 could trigger correction toward 3819.
Stronger USD remarks may limit upside potential.
Weakening global demand data could dampen gold’s bullish momentum.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Bullish Setup Targeting New ATHThis XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows gold trading around 4039 with a bullish setup. Price is respecting the support trend line, confirming upward momentum. Key support is marked near 4001, providing a strong base for buyers.
The chart highlights the previous ATH at 4060 and projects a potential breakout towards a new all-time high at 4115. The structure suggests a possible short-term pullback to retest support before continuing higher. As long as the trend line holds, the bias remains bullish with upside targets at 4058, 4087, and finally 4115.
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🏆 Friday’s Close & Recent ATH:
Gold (XAUUSD) closed Friday at $3,886.8, after printing a session high near $3,891.9. The latest all-time high is ~$3,896.5 (Thu), putting $3,900 squarely in play as the next psychological milestone. YTD performance remains extraordinary (≈+47% in 2025).
📈 Trend Structure:
Price continues to track a well-defined ascending channel on 1H/4H with a clean impulsive leg out of the last consolidation. Market character = higher highs / higher lows, persistent dip-buying, and strong trend adherence into quarter-turn levels (25/50 handles).
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
The most critical resistance now sits at $3,900 (psychological + round-number supply). Beyond that, watch the ATH band $3,896–$3,898 and Friday’s spike high $3,892. Break/acceptance above opens $3,925–$3,950 as measured-move extensions, with $4,000 as a probable magnet on momentum follow-through.
🛡️ Support Zones:
Immediate supports step down as follows: $3,872–$3,860 (intraday pivot), $3,858–$3,853 (multi-day base), $3,840–$3,838 (Fri low). Deeper structural shelves: $3,825–$3,820, $3,804, $3,791, $3,777. A sustained break below $3,838–$3,825 would signal a more meaningful corrective phase.
⚖️ Likely Scenarios:
• Scenario 1 (Base Case) – Pullback then push: Controlled dip into $3,858–$3,838 to reload bids, then rotation higher toward $3,900+.
• Scenario 2 – Straight break: Quick clearance of $3,892/ATH $3,896–$3,898 → $3,900, unleashing a momentum run into $3,925–$3,950.
(Overbought signals persist, but structural demand keeps dips shallow.)
📊 Short-Term Targets:
On continuation: $3,892 → $3,900 → $3,925 → $3,950, with $4,000 as stretch if acceptance holds above $3,900. On retrace: $3,858 → $3,840 → $3,825.
💡 Market Sentiment Drivers:
• Shutdown-driven data delays & uncertainty are boosting safe-haven bids; Friday’s NFP was delayed, reinforcing cut expectations.
• Rate-cut odds remain elevated into October, keeping the opportunity cost of holding gold low (FedWatch/BofA commentary).
• Official-sector demand stays constructive (central banks resumed net +15t buying in August per WGC), underpinning dips.
• Macro/geopolitical risk + tariff chatter continue to provide a tailwind; 2025’s ~47% surge underscores the regime shift.
🔄 Retracement Outlook:
A tag of $3,858–$3,853 (multi-day pivot) or a stop-run to $3,840–$3,838 is a typical “healthy” pullback zone inside trend. Swift reclaim of $3,858/53 after a liquidity flush often precedes fresh ATHs.
🧭 Risk Levels to Watch:
Holding above $3,858–$3,838 keeps the bullish structure intact. Failure/acceptance below $3,825 shifts risk toward $3,804 → $3,791 → $3,777 and opens the door to $3,759–$3,738.
🚀 Overall Weekly Outlook:
Gold remains in a power-trend with $3,892/ATH $3,896–$3,898 → $3,900 as the immediate battleground. Expect orderly, buyable dips while those supports hold; topside roadmap favors $3,925–$3,950 with $4,000 viable on a decisive breakout/acceptance.
________________________________________
🗺️ Key Gold Levels Map — Primary Supports & Resistances (Updated to Fri Close $3,886.8):
Primary Resistances: 3892 (Fri high) → 3896–3898 (ATH band) → 3900 → 3925 → 3950 → 4000.
Primary Supports: 3872–3860 (intraday) → 3858–3853 (multi-day base) → 3840–3838 (Fri low) → 3825 / 3819 → 3804 / 3791 / 3777 → 3759–3738 (deeper control).
Bullish flip/validation: Sustained acceptance ≥3900 turns dips into buys toward 3925–3950.
Bearish line-in-sand: Daily close <3825 weakens the trend; <3791 confirms a broader corrective swing.
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, let's take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD !
Gold has just experienced an incredible surge, briefly reaching 4059 USD, setting a new historic high. This recent upward movement continues to be supported by the ongoing US government shutdown and various geopolitical uncertainties, which have pushed the price of this precious metal to new heights.
From a technical perspective, at the time of writing, XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback. However, the most favorable path remains upward, and there are no signs yet of a deep correction threatening the precious metal. Any short-term correction is seen as a buying opportunity, especially as gold remains a safe haven. The next target is 4100 USD. 💬Do you think this will happen?
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3886
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold Holds 3,900 Support Amid Dollar Slowdown and Global TensionHey Traders, in today’s session we’re closely monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,900 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and the current pullback appears to be a healthy correction approaching key trend support.
Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with price consolidating after its recent highs. The 3,900 level stands out as a technical pivot where buyers could regain control.
Macro context: The US Dollar Index is approaching major daily resistance around 98.300, suggesting potential exhaustion in the current USD rebound. Meanwhile, political and fiscal developments in Japan where a notably dovish administration has just taken power could further support demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
Market sentiment: A combination of fiscal expansion abroad and rising uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown is fueling risk aversion. If these pressures persist, Gold could retest the 4,000 zone sooner than expected.
Key focus: Watching how price reacts around 3,900 for potential bullish continuation in line with the broader trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks into $4K Zone – Eyes on $4084 Next!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price finally entered the historic $4000 channel today and even surged up to $4050!
It’s now trading around $4042, and if gold manages to stay above $4028, we can expect further bullish movement.
The next upside targets are $4060, $4070, and $4084 — keep a close eye on the price reaction, especially around $4084!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3967
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows.
However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960)
• SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool)
• Psychological Resistance: 4070
• Intraday Pivot: 4035
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971
SL: 3960
TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066
SL: 4075
TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry.
Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation.
Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
GOLD → Retest 4000. Pullback before a breakout and rise to 4100?FX:XAUUSD , after a sharp sell-off and testing of the 3950 support zone, is aiming to return to the $4000 level on Friday, preparing for its eighth consecutive week in positive territory.
The Senate adjourned for the weekend until Tuesday, postponing a decision on the shutdown. John Williams supported further rate cuts, Mary Daly confirmed her readiness for cuts, despite the fact that Powell did not say anything particularly interesting about policy on Thursday.
The upward trend in gold remains unchanged. The potential for growth to new highs remains, provided the shutdown continues and the Fed maintains its soft policy. The $4000 level remains a key psychological support.
Resistance levels: 4000, 4059, 4075
Support levels: 3986, 3980, 3968
The 4000 zone may prove to be strong resistance, so expect a battle (consolidation or trading range in this zone), during which the price may form a pullback to 3980-3970 before returning to 4K for a breakout attempt.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD | Gold Volatility High – Correction or New Rally? (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after climbing to $3,897 yesterday, the price sharply corrected down to $3,819. From this demand level, gold rebounded and filled the liquidity gap, rallying up to $3,890.5.
Right after touching this key supply zone, heavy selling pressure pushed the price down to $3,866. Currently, gold is trading around $3,878, and we need to see if it can hold below $3,883. If it stabilizes under this level, we can expect a deeper correction. This analysis will be updated soon — don’t forget your support, friends!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 41 2025Every week I release a Wall Street Weekly Outlook that highlights the key themes, market drivers, and risks that professional traders are watching.
This week promises to be particularly important, with important fundamental developments... 📊 Stay ahead of the curve—watch the video now and get prepared like a Wall Street insider.
Any questions? Drop a comment or reach out directly.
-Meikel
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update – Follow Up
3732 & 3806 Objectives Achieved, 3910 Gap Opens
Hey Everyone,
Last week’s structure played out precisely as projected, we achieved our 3806 target following a confirmed body close above 3732, validating the continuation leg within our Goldturn structures.
This week, we’ve seen a weekly candle body close above 3806, officially opening the 3910 gap zone. The bullish structure remains well defined, supported by four consecutive weeks of EMA5 detachment, which confirms sustained upside momentum. However, this extended separation also signals potential for sharp corrective phases, requiring careful risk management and dynamic positioning.
Current Outlook
🔹 3732 Breakout & 3806 Objective Completed
Last week’s projected upside target was met precisely following a strong candle close confirmation.
🔹 3910 Gap Now Active
With the weekly close above 3806, the next structural resistance opens toward the 3910 zone.
🔹 EMA5 Detachment (4 Weeks Running)
Persistent detachment supports ongoing bullish momentum, but traders should remain alert for any mean reversion pullbacks or exhaustion on lower timeframes.
🔹 Support Structure
Immediate support now rests at 3806, followed by 3732 as a pivotal retest zone. Deeper support sits at 3659, which aligns with the ascending channel top confluence a critical structural level if broader correction unfolds.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Supports: 3806 (immediate), 3732 (secondary), 3659 (pivotal channel confluence)
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective: 3910–4015 zone
Plan & Risk Outlook
The bullish framework remains intact, but with EMA5 detachment now stretched, traders should anticipate volatility spikes or short term corrective dips. A controlled pullback into the lower Goldturns would be considered technically healthy and may offer fresh accumulation opportunities in line with the broader structure.
We’ll continue to monitor for confirmation closes and EMA5 realignments during the week to gauge whether momentum extends or correction begins.
Trade safe, stay disciplined, and manage exposure around volatility.
Mr. Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad open to the week with the support level not even needing to be visited and the red box breaking early session. We managed to complete all the red box targets again, in one swoop and now we're way stretched on price!
For that reason we would say resistance above 3880-5 needs to hold us down if visited first, and if we can get a RIP, potential to re-visit the order region 3850-55. We have to break above for higher at the moment, so please play caution. Sentiment is tipping not in the favour of bears, so pull backs may still remain limited.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3840
Bearish on break of 3830
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3890 for 3902✅, 3904✅, 3910✅, 3917✅, 3930✅ and 3933✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: Uptrend Momentum Remains StrongHello everyone, gold continues to show impressive strength as prices hold around 3,958 USD/oz after decisively breaking above the 3,940 mark. This confirms that the uptrend remains in control, even if short-term pullbacks may occur to rebalance the market before further advances.
From a macro perspective, traders are now eyeing several key developments.
The highlight will be remarks from ECB President Christine Lagarde, which could spark volatility in the euro. Should she signal caution on inflation or hint at maintaining a hawkish stance, the euro might weaken — indirectly boosting the USD and exerting short-term pressure on gold.
Additionally, France’s and Canada’s trade balance data will also draw attention. Weak figures from France may weigh on the euro, while a larger trade deficit in Canada could pressure the CAD. Both scenarios would likely enhance gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset amid currency instability.
Given this setup, I expect gold may dip slightly toward 3,900 USD before resuming its rise toward 3,950–3,960 USD. If buying momentum holds firm, testing the 4,000 USD level looks entirely possible in the coming sessions.
So, what do you think — will gold break through 4,000 USD this week?
Gold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for NowGold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for Now
You already know my opinion — under normal conditions, gold shouldn’t be trading in this zone.
Even though Israel approved the first phase of the Gaza deal, gold only made a small correction, not a strong bearish move.
The drop from 4058 to 3945 was likely driven by retail traders, not the big players.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Gold is now sitting at a critical zone.
If the price holds above 3945, the chances for an upward move are higher.
Potential targets are 4000, 4050, 4075, and 4100.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If gold breaks below 3945, it could open the way for a decline toward 3895 and 3825.
However, this seems unlikely for now since the price didn’t fall further yesterday, even when most traders expected it to.
⚠️The big buyers who created the bullish move haven’t started selling yet.
If a bearish wave does begin, it will likely happen when no one expects it — just like every previous bullish rally that started without news or clear reasons.
⚠️Be careful during the opening of the U.S trading session. It was at that time that Gold declined yesterday.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe (FOREX.com).
From my setup:
Current price: $3,960
Price recently made an all-time high test near $3,970.
My drawn a trendline and marked a bearish move projection.
The Ichimoku cloud is acting as near-term support.
📉 Target Analysis (based on my chart):
If price rejects from the top and breaks below the trendline + cloud, my marked Target Point is around $3,920 – $3,925.
This zone aligns with previous support consolidation.
Immediate support before that: $3,945 – $3,946 (cloud base).
If price holds above $3,945, bounce continuation toward $3,970 – $3,980 is possible.
👉 So my downside target = $3,920 area, unless buyers defend the $3,945 support.
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3894 and a gap below at 3839. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3894
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3939
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3939 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3979
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3979 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4025
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4025 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4066
BEARISH TARGETS
3839
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3793 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3741
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3741 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3688
3648
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected Before Key CPI Data💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is stabilizing below the $4,000 mark as traders await this week’s U.S. CPI data and fresh remarks from the Federal Reserve. After a strong multi-week rally, the metal is showing early exhaustion near premium liquidity zones, where engineered pullbacks often occur before continuation.
While the mid-term bias remains bullish, several analysts — including those from Citi and UBS — caution that gold could face short-term corrections if the dollar regains strength. The market continues to price in around a 65% probability of a December rate cut, keeping volatility elevated and sentiment uncertain.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has slipped slightly below the ascending channel after consecutive BOS signals, indicating a potential short-term retracement before resuming the uptrend.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3932–3930 (Breakout & FVG zone) – an ideal discount area where buyers may re-enter the market.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4009–4007 (Premium liquidity) – a key region for short setups if price rejects strongly.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3932–3930 (main support 3923)
• SELL Zone: 4009–4007 (liquidity reaction area)
• Psychological Resistance: 4000
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3932–3930
SL: 3923
TP: 3945 – 3955 – 3965 – 3975 – 3980+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4009–4007
SL: 4016
TP: 3995 – 3980 – 3975 – 3965 – 3955
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000–4010 region acts as a high-liquidity magnet, where false breakouts and engineered sweeps may occur before reversals.
Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS or rejection candle) before entry.
Avoid overleveraging ahead of CPI — expect volatility spikes and rapid shifts in sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish but vulnerable to intraday retracements near 4009–4007. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates potential buy reactions from 3932–3930 and short-term rejections near 4009–4007. Holding above 3923 keeps the bullish outlook intact with upside targets toward 3970–3980.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time updates, live setups, and advanced SMC insights as gold reacts to CPI data this week!