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XAUUSD | Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout. On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure. On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection. Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction. Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area. 💎 Key Technical Zones • ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up • 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction • 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure • 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario) If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle: • Entry: 4,112 – 4,115 • SL: 4,095 • TP1: 4,128 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG) → This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break. 2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone: • Entry: 4,010 – 4,017 • SL: 3,990 • TP1: 4,103 • TP2: 4,128 • TP3: 4,150 → This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base. ❌ SELL? When is it valid? Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend. Selling is only valid if the price: • Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD → At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive. The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD. Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market. ⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Nov 24, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis: The market is currently in a range-bound structure. The key level to monitor is 4055, which acts as an important support: If price breaks below 4055, I may look for short opportunities, with the plan to sell rallies into resistance. A break below 4022 would further strengthen bearish momentum. On the upside, if price breaks above 4077, bullish strength begins to show, and the plan shifts to buying pullbacks into support. Above 4100, bullish momentum is likely to accelerate significantly. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4110 – Resistance • 4100 – Resistance • 4083 – Resistance • 4077 – Key resistance • 4055 – Major support • 4039 – Support • 4022–4030 – Support zone • 4007 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4055 → target 4048, with further downside toward 4039, 4030, 4022 BUY: If price holds above 4077 → target 4083, with further upside toward 4092, 4100, 4110
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Bond Yield Movements (US 10-Year, German Bunds)1. What Bond Yields Represent A bond’s yield is essentially the return an investor earns for holding that bond. Yields move inversely to prices: Bond prices rise → yields fall Bond prices fall → yields rise This inverse relationship reflects investor demand. When investors seek safety, they buy more bonds, pushing prices up and yields down. When they expect strong growth or higher interest rates, they sell bonds, pushing yields up. Why the US 10-Year and German Bunds matter The US 10-year Treasury yield is the world’s primary risk-free benchmark. It influences global bond markets, the US mortgage market, corporate borrowing costs, and equity valuations. The German 10-year Bund yield is the benchmark for the Eurozone, influencing borrowing costs across Europe, including in countries like France, Italy, and Spain. These yields act as barometers of economic health and market expectations. 2. Key Drivers of Yield Movements a. Inflation Expectations Inflation erodes the real return on bonds. Thus: Higher expected inflation → higher yields, due to anticipated central bank tightening. Lower expected inflation → lower yields, reflecting stable prices and easier policy. Recent years have seen yields swing significantly due to rapid changes in inflation, especially after global supply-chain disruptions and energy shocks. b. Central Bank Policies The US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) play a central role. When central banks raise interest rates, bond yields tend to rise as investors demand higher returns. When they cut rates or conduct quantitative easing (QE)—buying bonds to inject liquidity—yields decline. Forward guidance is equally important; even statements about future policy can move yields dramatically. c. Economic Growth Indicators Stronger economic data—GDP growth, employment figures, retail sales—pushes yields higher because markets expect tighter monetary policy ahead. Weak data tends to pull yields down due to expectations of lower growth and potential rate cuts. d. Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows During geopolitical tensions, financial instability, or market panics, investors flee to safe assets: US Treasuries and German Bunds are premium safe-haven assets. In risk-off environments, demand for these bonds rises → yields fall. In risk-on environments, capital shifts to equities and risk assets → yields rise. e. Fiscal Policy and Supply of Bonds Large government deficits require increased bond issuance, sometimes pushing yields higher if supply outpaces demand. Conversely, fiscal consolidation reduces supply pressure. 3. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Global Leader The US 10-year yield is the world’s most influential interest rate. Its movements ripple across global markets. a. Impact on Global Finance Dollar strength: Higher yields attract capital into USD assets. Emerging markets: Rising US yields often pressure EM currencies and stocks. Equity valuations: Growth stocks, especially tech, are sensitive to yield changes as long-term cash flows are discounted at higher rates. b. What Drives the US 10-Year Most Federal Reserve policy Rate hikes push yields up; dovish policies pull yields down. Inflation trends CPI, PCE inflation data strongly influence expectations. Labor market strength Strong job numbers raise expectations of Fed tightening. Fiscal deficits and debt issuance US Treasury supply can push yields higher if demand weakens. Global demand Foreign investors—Japan, China, and global funds—play a huge role in buying Treasuries. c. Role in US Economy Mortgage rates closely follow the 10-year. Rising yields → higher borrowing costs → slowdown in housing. Corporate debt becomes costlier as yields rise. Treasury yields serve as a baseline for risk premiums across asset classes. Thus, the US 10-year yield shapes both domestic and global liquidity conditions. 4. German 10-Year Bund: Europe’s Anchor The German Bund serves a similar role for the Eurozone. a. Why Bunds Matter Globally Seen as the ultimate safe-haven within Europe. Forms the basis for pricing all European government bonds. ECB policy heavily influences Bund yields, often more directly than Fed policies affect Treasuries. b. Drivers of Bund Yields ECB policy stance Tightening pushes yields higher; easing pushes them lower. Eurozone inflation dynamics Energy prices have historically been key drivers. Growth divergence within Europe Bund yields often fall when southern European debt markets show stress. Global risk sentiment Bunds act as safe assets during global or European crises. c. Spread Analysis: The Bund vs. Other European Bonds A critical aspect of European markets is the spread between the German Bund and other sovereign bonds, such as: Italian BTPs Spanish Bonos French OATs Wider spreads indicate market stress; narrower spreads imply confidence in the Eurozone’s stability. 5. Correlation Between US and German Yields While each region has unique fundamentals, the two yields exhibit strong co-movement due to global capital mobility. a. When US Yields Drive Bund Yields Often seen when: US inflation surprises the market. The Fed adopts an aggressively hawkish stance. Global investors move capital into or out of bonds collectively. Because of arbitrage opportunities, global bond yields cannot diverge too much for too long. b. When Bunds Diverge from Treasuries This happens when: European economic weakness contrasts with strong US growth. ECB policy lags behind the Fed. Eurozone debt concerns create local safe-haven demand. Thus, co-movement is strong but not absolute. 6. Macro Implications of Yield Movements a. For Currency Markets Rising US yields → stronger USD. Rising Bund yields → stronger EUR, if driven by growth rather than crisis. b. For Equities Higher yields pressure high-valuation sectors. Lower yields support risk assets, especially tech and growth stocks. c. For Commodities Higher yields often coincide with weaker commodity demand, unless inflation is the driver. Gold tends to fall when yields rise, as bonds offer higher real returns. d. For Corporate and Government Borrowing All debt becomes more expensive as benchmark yields rise. Governments with higher debt burdens face fiscal pressure. 7. Conclusion Movements in the US 10-year Treasury and German 10-year Bund yields hold immense significance for global markets. They encapsulate expectations about inflation, growth, central bank policy, and risk appetite. As benchmarks for global financing conditions, shifts in these yields determine everything from currency valuations and equity performance to housing markets and government budgets. Understanding their dynamics allows investors, policymakers, and traders to interpret the broader economic landscape and anticipate market trends.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 4,010.78 - Strong pullback support - 78.6% Fib retracement - 161.8% Fib extension Stop Loss: 3,928.49 - Multi-swing low support Take Profit: 4,109.35 - Overlap resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages. Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side. Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone • FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately • OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone • OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone • Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority) 1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090 • Entry: 4,085 – 4,095 • SL: below 4,060 • TP1: 4,169 • TP2: 4,186 • TP3: 4,206 / 4,237 → This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline. 2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle: • BUY immediately when there is a signal • Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237 3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044 • Entry: 4,044 – 4,047 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,095 • TP2: 4,169 • TP3: 4,206 → This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened. 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend) Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears: • 4,169 USD • 4,186 USD • 4,206 USD (OB Bearish) • 4,237 USD (Supply) Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing) SL: above the zone 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128 → These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities. The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play. “Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Could we see a reversal from here?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4,156.76 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss:4,195.51 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 4,099.93 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by Vantage
GOLD RE-UPDATEDPrevious idea base, still waiting for price to clear the first leg of this drop. we might see this zone 3800$ test! This is only my view, cancel the idea once price break 4200$ again. wait for 3820-3860 zone for entries. if that zone break closed the trade. This is only my view until the month of december, for now the price are ranging. I cannot see a clear sign to rise at this level. follow for more. Longterm trades base on your own accounts. I personally take trades on my investors with sharing the ideas personally. comment '"personal" for daily updates. sometimes I don't post ideas because of my trades are longterm. Goodluck. keep trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by D1GITALTRADES
XAUUSD: Bearish CRT Setup (Turtle Soup + FVG Entry)The Narrative: Gold has successfully completed the "Manipulation" phase of the CRT cycle. We have a confirmed CRTH + TS (Turtle Soup) at the highs, where price swept liquidity and rejected. This signals that the high is likely in and smart money is positioning for a reversal "Turtle soup = explosive moves!". The Technical Setup: 1. The Trap (Turtle Soup): The move above the previous high (CRTH) was a classic Turtle Soup designed to trap breakout buyers and stop out early sellers. This manipulation creates the fuel needed for the move down. 2. The Inducement ($$$): We have left clean sell-side liquidity ($$$) below the recent consolidation. This internal liquidity acts as a magnet for price to "gather" orders. 3. The Entry Zone (FVG): I am waiting for a retracement into the Bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap). This aligns with the CRT concept of selling at "Premium" pricing inside the imbalance. When a setup appears with an FVG, it becomes even more powerful. Execution Plan: WAIT: For price to trade back up into the dark grey FVG box. TRIGGER: Watch for a Bearish Model #1 or rejection candle inside the FVG (a strong bearish close confirming the reversal). TARGET: The CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 4,022.53. "Before you trade a pattern, learn the candle.". Wait for the close to confirm the entry. 📉 Trade safe!
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by MrYounity
Gold key support at 4009The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4009 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4009 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 4110 – initial resistance 4150 – psychological and structural level 4220 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4009 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3975 – minor support 3933 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4009. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Trade Nation