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Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: SBR and Order Block RetestPrevious Uptrend: Price made a substantial move up, peaking around 4,225 USD. Impulsive Down Move (X): A strong bearish move occurred from the high, indicating a potential change of character (CHoCH) or market reversal. This rapid decline is labeled with X. Support/Resistance Flip (SBR): The price initially broke below a previous Support level (SBR), which now seems to be acting as Resistance in the current consolidation phase. This is a classic Support Broken, now Resistance flip. Swing Low (S): The most recent Swing Low is marked with S, establishing a new range low after the reversal. Consolidation/Correction (CRT-L, CRT-H): The price is now trading within a range defined by CRT-L (Current Range Top/Low) and CRT-H (Current Range High/Low), which is the current low of the corrective structure. Order Block (OB): A crucial area is the Order Block (OB), which typically represents an area where significant institutional selling pressure entered the market, causing the impulsive drop. This area often acts as a key supply zone. Anticipated Move: The curved arrow suggests a likely scenario where the price reaches up to test the Order Block (OB) and the SBR area before potentially continuing the move down towards the range low (CRT-H) or even lower, consistent with the recent shift to a bearish bias. This is an expectation of a correction/pullback into supply followed by a continuation of the trend.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1
Gold market remains Afloat Amid Deeper CorrectionThe gold market fulfilled its expected corrective phase, pulling back to mitigate the 4100 zone (4132) while maintaining its broader bullish structure. Current price action suggests a deeper retracement is underway, targeting 4008 to clear remaining imbalance zones. This move aligns with market anticipation ahead of the upcoming Unemployment Claims release, which may serve as the catalyst for renewed momentum. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ak_capitalist
Gold Surges as Investors Rotate Back to Safe HavensHello everyone, observing XAU/USD on the 1H chart today is genuinely impressive: from the 4,000 USD/oz low last night, gold has shot straight up to 4,074 USD/oz, gaining 74 USD within just a few hours. This is the kind of recovery that signals buyers never disappeared — they were simply waiting for the right moment to strike. On the chart, the 4,000 USD/oz zone once again proved its role as a “steel defensive line,” where demand stepped in decisively, perfectly aligning with the green FVG that previously triggered a strong bullish leg. From that area, price climbed back into the Ichimoku cloud and is now approaching the 4,075–4,085 USD/oz resistance band. This will be the gateway for the next move: if gold breaks through, the market may push directly toward 4,100–4,120 USD/oz, and even as high as 4,150 USD/oz if momentum expands. Otherwise, rejection here could send price back to 4,040–4,030 USD/oz for a breather before continuing higher. The market tone right now is classic: accumulate – break – retest, with both sides fighting over narrow zones. Importantly, today’s strong rebound isn’t purely technical. Safe-haven flows are returning as global equities drop sharply and US macro data — particularly labour indicators — show emerging weakness. Investors are pulling away from risk assets, especially overheated tech stocks inflated by the AI wave, and rotating back into gold — the traditional shelter whenever uncertainty grows. At the same time, expectations for a possible December rate cut remain alive, causing USD strength to stall and giving additional room for gold to recover. On top of that, Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs confirmed China bought another 15 tonnes of gold in September, reinforcing the idea that major players are still accumulating — and they usually move earlier than the crowd. Based on the current signals, I believe this rebound still has room to extend. Gold may continue toward 4,075–4,085 USD/oz to fill the remaining FVG, and if that zone breaks with firm buying interest, the 4,100–4,120 USD/oz target is completely achievable today. A mild correction may still occur if profit-taking kicks in, pulling price back toward 4,040–4,030 USD/oz to build fresh equilibrium before resuming upward. Overall, gold feels like a drawn bow at the moment — ready for a further thrust if risk-off momentum persists. This is a phase where gold truly returns to its core identity: a refuge when confidence fades. With capital rotating back into safe assets, a dovish signal from the Fed next month could turn this rebound into something much bigger heading into December. What about you — which scenario do you lean toward for gold today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Momonoo
1
BULLISH ANALYSIS GOLD (SMC)🇺🇸 PROFESSIONAL BREAKDOWN (XAU/USD – 15M: Accumulation → Manipulation → Rejection → Expansion into 1H FVG) 🔸 1. Accumulation Phase Price developed a clean range where liquidity was built on both sides. This is the foundation of the eventual institutional move. 🔸 2. Institutional Manipulation (Fake Out) A sweep above the consolidation highs confirms the classic liquidity grab. This fake breakout is a signature SMC behavior before a directional move. 🔸 3. ChoCH + BOS After the sweep, price prints: • a Break of Structure, and • a Change of Character Clear confirmation of bullish intent. 🔸 4. Rejection Zone The current pullback shows early signs of a bullish rejection pattern, pointing toward a potential retest of the buy zone. 🔸 5. Buy Setup at 4,068 Your BUY level is placed precisely where support, demand and previous imbalance converge — a high-probability entry zone. 🔸 6. Stop-Loss Updated: 4,036 The 8-pip buffer gives protection from typical gold volatility. 🔸 7. R/R 1:2.8 The new setup maintains a realistic and well-structured risk-to-reward: • TP1: 4,111 • TP2: 4,150 Both levels align with liquidity pools and the unmitigated 1-hour FVG above. 🔸 8. 1H FVG Mitigation Expected The unfilled imbalance above is a strong magnet, reinforcing the bullish projection. 🌟 Motivational Message “Mastery comes from repetition and refinement. Every chart tells a story — and you’re learning to read it with institutional precision. Keep going.” GOOD LUCK TRADERS
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
OUTLOOK XAUUSD 15m Analysis (19th November 2025)Hey Guys, this is just a trade idea and not a financial advise. BUY/SELL SCENARIOS: BUYS: 1) Body Candle Close above the 4078.34 level. 2) Retest the 15m Bullish CHOCH at the 4078.34 level. 3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on BUYS towards the 4145.00 level. SELLS: 1) Body candle close below the 4059.57 level. 2) Retest the 15m Bearish CHOCH at the 4059.57 level. 3) Create a 3/5m Bearish Engulfing Candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3998.00 level. Always trade with a trading and trust the process. Cheers
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by paulsmith007
Below 4,025 USD = continuation lower; above 4,060 USD = rebound.Gold is sitting on a knife’s edge. Bulls are trying to defend 4,030 USD, but momentum still favors the sellers after the breakdown below 4,100 USD. If 4,030 USD breaks, expect a slide toward 3,950–3,880 USD. If buyers reclaim 4,060 USD, we could see a technical rebound toward 4,160 USD. For now, the professional move is patience — wait for confirmation either way. Below 4,025 → sell the continuation. Above 4,060 → buy the reclaim. Between those levels → stay out and protect capital.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodicaR
2
XAUUSD Analysis – Major Buy Zone Reached!Gold (XAUUSD) has finally tapped into the key demand zone between $4,000 – $4,020, a level that previously acted as a strong reaction point. This zone has now been respected again with a clean liquidity grab below recent lows. 🔍 Market Breakdown Price has been in a steady decline after rejecting the supply zone around $4,130 – $4,150 (highlighted red). Today, we saw a sharp wick down into the green demand zone, showing buyer presence and absorption of sell-side liquidity. FOMC and USD news lined up ahead increases volatility, but also increases the probability of a strong reversal from this zone. 📌 My Bias I’m expecting: 1️⃣ A small corrective dip or retest back into the green zone 2️⃣ A strong bullish rally targeting the supply zone above 3️⃣ Final target around $4,130 – $4,150 if momentum holds 🎯 Buy Targets Entry Zone: 4000 – 4020 TP1: 4075 TP2: 4130 (Main Target) TP3: 4150 (Extended) SL: Below 3985 ⚠️ Why This Setup Makes Sense Price swept liquidity beneath the previous lows Buyers responded strongly from the demand zone USD weakness expected around major news events Clean imbalance above waiting to be filled Strong bullish structure still intact on higher timeframes 💬 Engagement Question Do you think Gold will respect this demand zone and push upward, or will news drag it lower? Drop your opinion in the comments!👇🔥 If you want me to break down the next move after the news release, just comment “Update” and I’ll post a follow-up. 📈💬
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by FrankAgbo
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion 🔍 Market Context Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep. This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move. Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1. 📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart) Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces. Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure. Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep. Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool. Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG Entry: 4090–4095 Stop Loss: 4100 Take Profit 1: 4055 Take Profit 2: 4040 Take Profit 3: 4025 ➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test Entry: 4024–4025 Stop Loss: 4022 Take Profit 1: 4065 Take Profit 2: 4080 ➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone Entry: 4003–4001 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit 1: 4045 Take Profit 2: 4075 Take Profit 3: 4090 ➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+. 🧭 Overall Bias → Ranging bias before Core PCE → Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data. → Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAU/USD 24 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD – Gold Under Heavy Pressure, 4,000$ Break Looks ImminentGold continues to slide as the US Dollar strengthens, fueled by resilient US data. With markets waiting for the final week of November and the upcoming FOMC decision, safe-haven flows remain weak—making XAU/USD extremely vulnerable to further downside. 📊 Technical Outlook – H1/H30 The short-term structure remains clearly bearish: 1️⃣ Trend Bias: Bearish Price keeps rejecting the descending trendline. Every pullback is shallow and absorbed quickly by intraday supply zones. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance / Supply Zones: 4,078 – 4,089 4,104 (major confluence: Fibo + H1 supply) Support / Liquidity Targets: 4,023 – 4,013 3,989 – 3,975 → major liquidity zone (high reaction probability) 3️⃣ Scenarios to Watch 🔻 Scenario 1 — Continuation Drop (Primary Bias) Break below 4,044 → targets 4,023, then the liquidity sweep at 3,99x – 3,97x. 🔄 Scenario 2 — Pullback Before Drop Retracement to 4,054 – 4,078 → rejection → continuation lower. 🔺 Scenario 3 — Deeper Recovery (Low Probability) Only valid if price closes above 4,104, unlocking a move toward 4,13x – 4,15x. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan SELL – Trend-Following (Primary) Sell Zone 1: 4,054 – 4,078 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,023 → 4,013 → 3,99x Sell Zone 2: 4,089 – 4,104 SL: 4,112 TP: 4,054 → 4,023 BUY – Only as a Reaction Trade (Liquidity Sweep) Buy Zone: 3,99x – 3,97x SL: 3,955 TP: 4,023 → 4,054 ⚠️ Buy setups are counter-trend and require strong confirmation. Primary bias remains SELL as long as price stays below 4,104. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View Gold is being pushed toward the psychological 4,000$ support. A clean break could trigger a broader bearish expansion into 3,98x – 3,95x. With month-end positioning, FOMC expectations, and shifting Fed sentiment, volatility is likely to increase sharply. Stay with the trend—SELL the rallies. BUY only at deep liquidity zones with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; TechniGold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; Technicals Slightly Bearish, But Blindly Chasing the Market is Discretionary The gold market is trading in a narrow range amid a tense atmosphere ahead of the data release, with both bulls and bears awaiting tonight's non-farm payrolls report to break the deadlock. The gold market is at a crucial crossroads. After months of consolidation, tonight's September non-farm payrolls report is seen as a key catalyst that could break this deadlock. As the last official employment data before the Fed's December meeting, this report should have significant market influence; however, Wall Street is cautious about its reference value. The Non-Farm Payrolls Suspense This non-farm payrolls report comes against a very special backdrop—it is not only the first release of September data but also the last official comprehensive employment data before the Fed's December interest rate meeting. Market analysts point out that the delayed release of the November non-farm payrolls data may further weaken the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, making tonight's data even more noteworthy. Before the data release, market sentiment generally leans towards a technically bearish outlook for gold, but traders are also wary of potential unexpected volatility from the data. Gold continued its consolidation within a range ahead of the non-farm payrolls data release. A bearish bias within this range remains the mainstream strategy, with very low participation from bulls throughout the day. Technical Analysis: From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour chart for gold shows that the price failed to stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band during the daytime pullback, exhibiting a weak and gradual downward trend. Key Resistance Levels: 4082, 4110 Core Support Levels: 4040, 4000 The market cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the 4000 level, but blindly chasing the market in this range-bound pattern carries significant risk. A strategy of buying low and selling high is more prudent. Short entry points are suggested in the 4110-20-30 area, with a secondary short entry point at 4147-50, targeting 4000 and holding if it breaks through. For short-term traders, repeated shorting opportunities can be initiated at the given resistance levels. Trading Recommendations For tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a more cautious approach is advised: Long Strategy: Buy gold around 4040-42, stop loss at 4032, target 4080, 4100! Short Strategy: Consider shorting if the resistance level of 4110 (the high of the previous day) holds. It is worth noting that tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data is the first publicly released employment data in nearly two months, and it is expected to cause significant market volatility. Investors must manage risk carefully. With the release of tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data, the gold market may end its months-long consolidation and begin a new one-sided trend. For cautious investors, waiting for the data release before following the trend may be a wiser choice; for short-term traders, a strategy of buying low and selling high before the data release can still be cautiously implemented under strict risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis (November 21st)With the release of the hawkish minutes from the Federal Reserve, the US dollar index climbed back above 100, suppressing gold prices. Yesterday, gold rebounded after testing a low near 4055 in the US session, then rallied slightly to around 4110 in the early morning before weakening again. In the Asian session, it broke lower, briefly touching around 4040. During the European session, it fell again, touching 4038 before stabilizing and rebounding. It has repeatedly tested the support around 4040 without breaking it, and is currently fluctuating. 11/22 Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy Sell gold near 4085, with a stop-loss at 4095, targeting below 4070/60. Buy gold near 4044/5f, with a stop-loss at 4034, targeting 4070/80.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
Gold Short-Term Trading Guide (November 18th)!!!The US released some unemployment claims data, and gold briefly broke through 4000 before experiencing a strong rebound. Is this rebound merely a flash in the pan due to the data, or will it help reverse the gold bullish trend? First, we should note that gold is still generally weak. The 1-hour moving averages are still in a bearish crossover, indicating continued downward momentum. Gold is also still trading within a 1-hour downtrend channel. If gold continues to trade within this channel, the overall trend will likely remain one of oscillating decline. The upper resistance level of the 1-hour downtrend channel has now moved down to around 4068. If gold rallies below 4068, the strategy remains to sell on rallies. Gold prices naturally fluctuate, just like the tides. Volatility creates opportunities. If gold cannot break through the 4068 level, the rebound may be short-lived. Until a break above 4068 is achieved, continue to sell on rallies. US Session Trading Strategy: Sell gold at 4060, stop loss at 4070, target 4000-3980;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_