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Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 10✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Gold is currently hovering around the MA5 and MA10 (near 3990), with short-term direction still undecided. The MA20 (around 4004) has shifted from support to resistance, indicating that short-term bullish strength is limited. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, showing reduced volatility and suggesting the market has entered a consolidation phase. The middle band (4004) is acting as a key upper resistance. After the recent decline, gold is showing a weak rebound but remains within a corrective structure. If it fails to break above 4000–4005, the rebound is likely to be limited, with the risk of another pullback. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis Short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are turning upward, and the price is consolidating around 3995–4000, showing some rebound momentum. However, the MA20 and MA60 above are acting as resistance, limiting further upside potential. The Bollinger mid-band (around 3978) has been reclaimed, and the price is now near the upper band, but without a clear breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The 1-hour chart shows a short-term rebound, but with heavy resistance above, if gold cannot hold above 4000–4005, it may quickly retreat again. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3995–4005 🟢 Support Levels: 3945–3925 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Watch the 3995–4005 zone; if the price is rejected, consider short positions targeting 3970–3950. 🔺 If the price pulls back to 3945–3925 and stabilizes, consider light long positions targeting 3980–4000. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
2 Possible Scenarios for Next WeekWe have a great chance of reaching a new price range next week, hitting the desired 4000 Everything will depend on the breaking of the conflict zone marked at this 3900 barrier, with the possibility of some pullback to boost the price. If it fails to break through this region, we could see the price falling to around 3800 to a more abrupt drop to 3700 as the second strongest liquidity. We have 2 scenarios that next week should look for, stay tuned for these movements
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ForexDreamVantage
Gold Holds Near Records as Fed Cut Bets Offset Shutdown RisksGOLD – Bullish Above 3,893, Shutdown Keeps Safe-Haven Demand Strong – Near Record Highs on Fed Cut Bets & Shutdown Gold prices remain close to record highs, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts this year and ongoing uncertainty following the U.S. government shutdown. While long-term momentum is bullish, short-term corrections remain possible. Technical Outlook Gold holds a bullish bias overall, but while below 3,886, it may correct lower to test 3,869 before resuming higher. A confirmed 15M close above 3,893 would confirm renewed upside momentum, targeting 3,914 → 3,927. Failure to hold above 3,869 could expose deeper supports at 3,859 → 3,844. Pivot: 3,886 Support: 3,870 – 3,859 – 3,844 Resistance: 3,893 – 3,914 – 3,927
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Trend and Impact of the US Political Situation on Gold PricesHello everyone, Gold prices have seen significant volatility recently. The price dropped sharply by $70/ounce, falling to $3,800/ounce. However, gold has made an impressive recovery, regaining $60 to reach $3,860/ounce. This reflects a major correction after gold reached a record high on 30th September. However, the decline in gold prices has been limited by concerns over the potential US government shutdown, as the Democratic and Republican parties have failed to reach an agreement on the spending plan for federal activities. If an agreement is not reached, this situation could cause major disruptions, including halting public services and cutting wages for federal employees. This has created uncertainty in the financial markets, with many investors increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. As a result, after dropping to $3,800/ounce, gold quickly rebounded. Analysts believe that the uncertainty from the risk of a US government shutdown will continue to support gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. However, profit-taking activities and fluctuations in the USD could cause short-term volatility. Investors are particularly waiting for additional economic data and political developments to guide their next trading strategy. With these factors influencing the market, gold is likely to trade within a wide range in the near term. Key support levels are currently around $3,800–$3,850/ounce, with the next resistance levels at $3,900 and $4,000. What are your thoughts on this scenario? Will gold continue to rise, or will it face a correction? Please share your views below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
22
XAU/USD | Gold Rally Continues – Can It Push Toward $4K?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,784 supply zone, the price faced selling pressure and corrected down to $3,754. But with the start of the new week, gold continued its rally, hitting a new high at $3,831. As I mentioned in previous analyses, gold isn’t far from the $4,000 mark . With the current momentum and no structural change in the market, we should assume the bullish trend will continue. The next upside targets are $3,840, $3,860, and $3,880 . Key demand zones are $3,804–$3,806, $3,799–$3,801, and $3,784–$3,791. Related analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
29
slight decrease, long term uptrend 3910⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) recovered from a brief dip to the $3,853 zone on Thursday, holding close to its record high from the prior session. A positive equity tone and overbought conditions cap upside momentum, yet expectations of Fed easing and lingering geopolitical risks keep the metal supported, making a decisive top uncertain. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices continuously set new peaks, short-term adjustments and continued the upward trend. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3908- 3910 SL 3915 TP1: $3900 TP2: $3890 TP3: $3880 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3833-$3831 SL $3826 TP1: $3845 TP2: $3860 TP3: $3870 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
You can short gold in the 4040-4050 area, please refer to it!This week, the price of gold successfully broke through the $3,900 to $4,000 mark and set a new all-time high. The rise was mainly driven by multiple factors: on the one hand, investors sought safe-haven assets amid growing economic and geopolitical uncertainties; on the other hand, market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve continued to heat up. Gold's strong performance is the result of the combined effect of safe-haven demand, monetary policy expectations and macroeconomic risks. The prospect of a Fed rate cut and the potential for a US government shutdown have significantly boosted gold's upward momentum. Looking ahead, it is recommended to pay close attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes and the progress of the US government budget negotiations. These factors still have great uncertainty and may trigger market fluctuations. We need to be vigilant about the risk of a short-term gold price correction. In addition, the easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has been a significant factor in the recent gold price correction, temporarily curbing further upward momentum. The current gold price has entered a range-bound fluctuation pattern. At this stage, traders still have considerable room for operation. Regardless of whether they adopt a long or short strategy, as long as they accurately grasp the entry and exit timing, they have the opportunity to make a profit. From the analysis of technical trends, the short-term gold price shows a clear range-running feature: on the upside, we need to focus on the resistance area of 4040-4050 US dollars and the pressure of the new high point; on the downside, we should pay close attention to the support level of 4030 US dollars and the most critical psychological level of 4000 US dollars. Short-term trading strategy recommendation: You can choose to arrange short orders in the 4040-4050 US dollar area, and the first target is the 4030-4020 US dollar range. The above views are personal analysis and judgment and are for reference only. If this strategy is helpful to your trading decisions, please pay attention to the updates. I will continue to track market trends and provide timely professional analysis and operational recommendations on the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Trading_Guide
Gold’s Bull Run Continues – Target $4,080+Gold is clearly maintaining strong bullish momentum above $4,000. The market has maintained its upward trajectory since rebounding from the $3,900–$3,920 support zone. This zone acted as a solid demand area, leading to consistent higher highs and higher lows — a clear indication that buyers are dominating. The recent price action shows a clean breakout above the $3,980–$4,000 resistance area, which has now turned into a new short-term support. The chart also marks a “Weak High” near the current level, suggesting that a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before another bullish push resumes. This retracement could test around $4,010–$4,020 before aiming higher. The next major resistance levels are visible at $4,060, $4,075, and potentially $4,080–$4,100, which could be the next targets if bullish momentum continues. As long as gold stays above $4,000, the overall market bias remains positive. A sustained break below this zone might trigger a deeper correction toward $3,960 or even $3,940, but that currently looks less likely given the strong bullish structure. In summary, the short-term outlook remains bullish with expectations of a possible brief dip before continuation toward $4,080+. The trendline support and consistent break of minor resistances confirm strong buyer confidence in the market. Strong bullish trend continues Key resistance: $4,072 → $4,132 → $4,150 Support to watch: $3,976 → $3,925 🔹 Buy Zone: A potential buy zone lies between $4,010 – $4,025, where a short retracement is expected before the next upward move. This area aligns with minor structure support and trendline confluence, making it ideal for re-entry or fresh long positions. 🔹 Buy Trigger: A strong buy trigger would be a bullish 1-hour candle closing above $4,045, confirming momentum continuation toward the next resistance targets at $4,065, $4,075, and $4,080+. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
3830: The Line Between Bullish Control and a Waterfall Drop1. Recap of Yesterday’s Key Move Yesterday was a decisive day for Gold traders, and it perfectly confirmed what I have been pointing out since Monday: at these elevated levels, Gold is extremely vulnerable. After printing yet another All-Time High overnight, the yellow metal sold off aggressively for nearly 5 hours straight, with losses amounting to almost 800 pips. Importantly, the bounce came exactly from the 23 September ATH level and by the end of the session, bulls managed to step in and regain control. ________________________________________ 2. Overnight Price Action Overnight, the asian session was once again bullish – Gold reached a fresh ATH at 3875, only to retreat slightly, which for now can be classified as nothing more than a shallow correction. Despite the recovery, what matters is not the new high, but the fragility revealed during yesterday’s sell-off. Momentum looks stretched, and price action confirms the market’s increasing instability. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Outlook From a structural point of view: • Price is still contained within the upper bullish channel. • Bulls have also managed to reclaim the median line, suggesting they are still in control. • However, the 800-pip collapse proved that even in such a strong uptrend, cracks are starting to show. Key levels to watch: • 3830 → if this level breaks, the market could trigger a waterfall of selling. • 3785-3790 → support that held before, but I believe this time it won’t survive. • 3700 → the logical corrective target if 3780 is breached. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Mindset & Strategy Yesterday, I couldn’t sell into the initial drop — and that’s fine. Such a move was more about timing luck than pure skill. No frustration, because the analysis was right: fragility is here. From now on, my plan is clear: • I’ll be looking for structured patterns with larger targets. • Minimum: +1000 pips setups. • Stretch target: +1500 pips. ________________________________________ 5. Conclusion Gold remains in bullish mode on the surface, but yesterday’s sell-off clearly revealed how fragile and overstretched the trend has become. If 3830 fails, that could be the decisive moment when bulls finally lose control and the long-awaited correction accelerates. Until then, I will stay patient and disciplined, waiting for the market to provide a clean pattern with a strong risk/reward setup. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Gold Price Analysis – Gold Retracement Setup $3,955 TargetGold remains in a bullish structure, holding above the ascending trendline. Price has recently faced rejection near $3,956, which marks the weekly high, and a short pullback is expected before the next leg up. The ideal buy zone lies between $3,905–$3,890, aligning with previous structure support and the trendline base. A bullish reaction from this zone could push price toward $3,956, and if momentum continues, an extended move toward $3,990 is possible. The stop-loss should be placed below $3,885 to protect against false breaks, keeping the bias bullish as long as price stays above $3,890. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold Trading Opportunity - Look in the Chart" 📢 In 4 Hours, Chart- If market Breaks candle above 3994 -then buy entry target - 4040 - will form Double Bottom Pattern  📢 Sideway Rage - 3995 to 39430 never Trade" Avoid Trade 📢 On 4 Hours Chart If market Break Below 3945 we can expect - down Trend- target level of - 3825 will form- Head and Shoulder Pattern" ......................................................... HI Retail Trader. This subject to Educational Purpose" Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management And Trade" Smart Money Concept Please Follow me" Subscribe My Channel 🔥🔥🔥
FX:XAUUSD
by MastermindIntelligent
Gold: The King of 2025, but for How Long? Gold has taken the crown as the undisputed king of 2025. But the question remains: how long can it hold that crown? Since the start of the year, gold prices have surged more than 46 percent, breaking through the 3,850 dollars per ounce barrier. While some traders are waiting for a pullback to take advantage of short-selling opportunities, many others including retail investors, institutions, and central banks continue to increase their holdings. Their expectation is that gold could reach the symbolic 4,000 dollars per ounce level before the end of the year. Still, gold’s rise or fall depends on multiple factors. What pushes prices higher today could easily reverse tomorrow. Why Gold Wears the Crown in 2025 1. Trump’s second term and renewed trade war fears Donald Trump’s return to the White House for a non-consecutive second term has been a turning point. In line with his campaign promises, he imposed new tariffs in April, sparking fears of another trade war. Investors of all types, from individuals to central banks turned to gold as a hedge, aiming to protect their wealth from risks such as the return of high inflation, similar to mid-2022. 2. The Fed’s rate cuts Markets had anticipated rate cuts, and they happened. The Fed lowered rates by 25 basis points at its last meeting. Two more cuts of the same size are expected in the upcoming meetings before the end of 2025. Lower rates tend to support gold prices. 3. A weaker dollar The combination of tariffs and lower interest rates has pushed the US dollar sharply lower. As a result, investors have been buying more gold, which has reasserted its position as the leading safe-haven asset. 4. Ongoing geopolitical tensions Conflicts in the Middle East and Europe remain unresolved. Markets are no longer moved by statements alone and are waiting for serious, concrete steps. Until then, uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold. 5. US government shutdown The possibility of a government shutdown has added yet another reason for gold’s rise. With no agreement on spending plans, the US government could shut down in early October. The last shutdown happened at the end of 2018 during Trump’s first term and lasted 35 days, the longest in American history. If another shutdown occurs, the release of important economic reports could be delayed, including: • Nonfarm payrolls (October 3) • Unemployment claims (October 2, 9, 16) • Trade balance (October 7) • Consumer Price Index (CPI) (October 15) • Retail sales (October 16) • Producer Price Index (PPI) (October 16) If these reports are delayed, uncertainty in the markets will only grow, which would again support gold prices. What Could Weigh Against Gold • If gold hits 4,000 dollars, profit-taking may trigger. This level is a psychological barrier and a target for large banks. Selling at that point could spark fear of bigger corrections and lead to more closures and selling waves. • A trade deal between the United States and major partners such as India or China. • A resolution of conflicts in the Middle East and Europe. • A rebound in the US dollar if the Fed changes course. Some members, such as the Cleveland Fed president, have already voiced concerns about inflationary pressures. If the Fed holds rates steady at its next meeting on October 28–29 instead of cutting, that would go against market expectations, strengthen the dollar, and weigh on gold. At the moment, none of these negative factors are materializing. Geopolitical and economic disruptions are still present, keeping the case for gold intact. Technical Outlook: Gold vs USD (XAUUSD) • Support: A decline to 3,751.27 would be seen as a corrective move, paving the way for the continuation of the upward trend. • Targets: 3,838 in the medium term, and 4,000 over the longer horizon. • Invalidation: A daily close below 3,717.47 would cancel the bullish outlook. Gold remains the king of 2025. The real test is whether it can defend that crown as Washington, central banks, and geopolitics continue to write the next chapter.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
GOLD. HAS THE ALL TIME HIGH STALLING OUT. SELL IDEAGold 5M Analysis: Price hitting all-time highs and showing early signs that the bullish run might be topping out. Back into key sell zones, structure showing rejection and consolidation—perfect short opportunity if momentum flips. Watch for confirmation with a clean break of support and bearish candles forming. Summary: • Timeframe: 5M • Zone: Key sell zones / supply area • Bias: SELL • Setup: Possible top formation + rejection at highs
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TaiPipSNIPRESS
XAU/USD: Bullish Trend Strengthens with Breakout and RetestXAU/USD maintains a strong bullish structure after breaking out of the consolidation zone and successfully retesting support. The price is moving steadily within an upward channel, forming higher highs alongside a clear A-B-C corrective structure, confirming trend continuation. As long as buyers hold above the 3,850 support zone, the next target is the 3,950 resistance area. With momentum firmly favoring the bulls, a sustained breakout could pave the way for new all-time highs in the sessions ahead.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing