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10.3 Gold US Market Technical Analysis!!!Our overall judgment on gold in October is "bumpy", that is, the market has turned from the steady slow bull market in September to a fluctuating rise. There will be a tug-of-war between long and short positions, and there will be a tug-of-war between highs and lows and a rapid rebound. However, this does not mean the end of the bull market, but only a change in the rising rhythm. We should pay attention to this pattern change in the short term. We will still view it as a strong rhythm during the day. After the volatile upward trend in the Asian and European sessions, we will choose to follow up with a bullish trend after a pullback. Pay attention to the suppression around 3874 and 3895 on the upside. At the same time, due to the uncertainty of the non-farm payroll results, whether it is announced or not will have a greater impact on today's operations.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted the need for a confirmed break above 4046 to sustain bullish momentum. However, gold failed to hold above the level, leading to a sharp pullback into lower support zones. Price is now trading below 4000 and under the 50MA, showing short-term bearish pressure. A clean break above 4000/MA50 could reignite bullish momentum toward 4020 → 4046 → 4,064. Failure to reclaim 4000 risks a deeper retracement toward 3937 (Secondary Support Zone) and 3909–3881 (Deeper Support Zone) where the MA200 may provide dynamic support. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4000 4020 4046 4064 Support: 3970 3,937 3,909 3,881 🔎 Fundamental Focus | Fri, Oct 10 Today’s key data includes Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, alongside multiple FOMC speeches (Daly, Goolsbee, and Musalem) — all of which could provide fresh policy clues and volatility for gold. ⚠️ Note: The US government shutdown continues to impact economic data releases, causing uncertainty around timing, revisions, and overall market reliability.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
XAUUSD (Gold) Full Market Analysis❇️ XAUUSD (Gold) Full Market Analysis 📅 Date: October 10, 2025 🕒 Time: 2:22 PM ⏱ Timeframes: 15M + 1H + 4H + 1D ⭐ 1️⃣ Trend Direction (Market Structure Overview) Currently, XAUUSD (Gold) is maintaining a bearish market structure. On the 1D timeframe, price clearly rejected the 4050 level, which was a strong institutional supply zone. This area attracted heavy selling pressure, and a bearish engulfing candle formed, confirming a structure shift from bullish to bearish. The market is now forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming an established downtrend. On the 4H timeframe, multiple Break of Structure (BOS) events have occurred toward the downside, aligning the institutional order flow with bearish sentiment. Price is currently retracing between 3950–3980, forming a temporary pullback aimed at liquidity collection before another bearish move. 📌 Summary: Gold is in a short-term retracement phase, but the long-term trend remains bearish. ⭐ 2️⃣ Technical Analysis (Price Structure & Key Levels) Main Resistance Zone (Premium Zone): 4000–4035 This is a strong institutional premium zone, combining 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a previous Equal High (EQH) zone. Institutional sell orders are expected to react strongly from this region. Main Support Zone (Discount Zone): 3940–3920 This is the previous day’s low (PDL) and liquidity pool area. If price breaks below it, the next target lies between 3880–3860, which aligns with an imbalance fill zone. Price is now around equilibrium (3985–3990). It may continue to collect liquidity toward 4000–4035, where a strong bearish rejection is highly probable. ⭐ 3️⃣ Smart Money Concept (SMC Analysis) The overall structure aligns with bearish order flow. Premium Zone: 4000–4035 Discount Zone: 3920–3880 Buy-side Liquidity: Above 4030–4050 Sell-side Liquidity: Below 3940–3920 Smart Money is expected to first sweep liquidity above 4030–4050, then form a Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) to continue the bearish trend. This move will represent a perfect “Liquidity Grab → CHoCH → BOS Down” setup. ⭐ 4️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Swing: 4050 → 3935) 0.5 Retracement: 3992 0.618 Retracement: 4005 0.786 Retracement: 4035 These retracement levels confirm that the 4000–4035 region is an institutional premium reaction zone — the area where rejection is most likely to occur. ⭐ 5️⃣ RSI Analysis (Momentum Study) On the 1H timeframe, RSI is at 64–66, which is near the neutral to overbought range. On the 15M timeframe, a bearish divergence is visible — price is making higher highs while RSI is forming lower highs. This indicates momentum weakness and is an early signal for a potential bearish reversal. ⭐ 6️⃣ Volume Analysis Recent bullish candles show decreasing volume, meaning the buying pressure is weak. This pullback is likely just a liquidity collection phase rather than genuine buying strength. A sudden volume spike during a bearish rejection candle in the 4000–4030 zone will confirm institutional entry. ⭐ 7️⃣ Fundamental Analysis US Dollar Index (DXY): Currently strong at 106.25, putting pressure on Gold. US Bond Yields: Elevated, signaling investor caution and reducing Gold demand. Market Sentiment: With CPI data scheduled next week, Smart Money is collecting liquidity before major volatility. Conclusion: Fundamentals also favor a bearish bias on Gold. ⭐ 8️⃣ Trading Plan (90% Accuracy Institutional Setup) Main Trading Direction: Bearish continuation. Once price reaches the 4000–4035 zone, watch for bearish confirmation on the 15M or 1H timeframe — such as a strong bearish engulfing or CHoCH candle. If RSI divergence, MACD bearish crossover, and volume spike occur together, that’s a 90% accuracy entry setup. Stop Loss: Above 4040 (liquidity sweep zone) Take Profit 1: 3950 Take Profit 2: 3920 Extended Target: 3880 Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:5 Alternative Short-term Scalping Buy: If price dips to 3940–3920 and forms a bullish engulfing candle, a counter-trend scalp buy may be considered. Stop Loss: 3905 Target: 3980–4000 This is not a long position, only a short retracement trade. ⭐ 9️⃣ Confluences & Entry Confirmation A high-probability (≈90%) entry setup will occur only if all the following align: 4H & 1D structure remains bearish Price reaches 4000–4035 and forms a rejection candle RSI divergence confirmed Volume drops during bullish move, spikes during rejection DXY remains strong 15M CHoCH or BOS confirmed downward ⭐ 🔟 Final Summary Gold is in a short-term retracement, but the overall trend remains bearish. The 4000–4035 zone is the final liquidity grab area, where Smart Money is expected to initiate major sell positions. After confirmation, a downside continuation toward 3920–3880 is highly probable. Invalidation occurs if the 1H candle closes above 4040. Psychologically key round numbers — 4000, 3950, and 3900 — will likely act as reaction levels. ⭐ Final Words (Pro Trading Tip): When price enters the 4000–4035 zone, stay patient and wait for a clear 15M bearish rejection candle or CHoCH confirmation. Once confirmed, execute a sell entry with a stop loss above 4040. Take partial profits at 3950, and aim for 3920–3880 for the full move. This setup follows the pure Smart Money Principle — “Sell from Premium, Exit in Discount.” ✅ Main Bias: Bearish ✅ High-probability Zone: 4000–4035 ✅ Target Zone: 3920–3880 ✅ Accuracy: 90%+
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by FSFinancialAdvisorBD
GOLD CONSOLIDATION AFTER SELLOFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PlanXAUUSD: CONSOLIDATION AFTER SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan Hello traders 👋 The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – the area confirming a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend. Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to investor caution and the typical low liquidity of Friday. This lack of momentum suggests Gold is likely to continue sideways until the New York Session opens. 🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD) Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. The ideal area for Sellers to re-enter. Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance. Key Support/Consolidation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support 1.618). Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading) The strategy for the day is Short-term Trading (Scalping) when prices hit minor resistance zones and seeking larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority on downtrend structure) 1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000 Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004 SL: 🛑 4010 TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the order if the reaction is good) 2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest) Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032 SL: 🛑 4037 TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom fishing/Support) 1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940 Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942 SL: 🛑 3935 TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035 💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risks News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for Fed rate cuts might be overly optimistic due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level. Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts. ⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend. Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritize Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders. 👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold fell sharply. Will there be a strong rebound?Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the market has experienced a deep price correction. This correction is primarily due to news headlines; coupled with gold's recent upward trajectory, reaching new highs, most traders are taking profits. After hitting a low near 3945, the price has experienced a slight rebound. The 1-hour chart shows that the MA5 and 10 moving averages show signs of crossing upward, while the MA20 and 30 moving averages turn downward, but the trend is relatively smooth; after the price pulls back and touches the lower track of the Bollinger band, although it rebounds slightly, it is still trading in the middle and lower tracks. In the short term, pay attention to the 3990 resistance level. After breaking through, the price may rebound sharply and reach above the 4000 mark. Quaid recommends a light long position between 3940 and 3950, with a profit range of 3980 to 4000. If the upward resistance level cannot be broken for a long time, the price will likely correct again, accumulating momentum and waiting for new catalysts to guide the market's new trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold is experiencing a pullback. Trend Analysis.Spot gold fluctuated and weakened in early Asian trading on Thursday, falling nearly 1% to near the $4,000 mark, hitting a low of $4,001.33. However, it quickly rebounded above $4,020, buoyed by buying. On Wednesday, gold prices not only broke through $4,000 for the first time, but also hit a new all-time high of $4,059.07, driving silver prices to a record closing high. However, just as the rally was in full swing, a sudden turn in the Middle East geopolitical situation—a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion, leading to a pullback in gold prices on Thursday. This warrants investor caution. Investors should monitor further news on the Middle East situation and shifts in risk aversion, wary of the possibility that this factor could prompt more long-term profit-taking, triggering a deeper correction in gold prices. They should also be mindful of any dip-buying support. After Wednesday's rally, gold reached a high near 4059. It reached a high during the consecutive Asian and European sessions, then retreated slightly in the US session, reaching a low near 4000, consistent with the previously analyzed strategy of buying on dips to key levels. In the short term, maintain a bullish long position, with 4000 as a defensive level. Focus on the previous high of 4060. If it doesn't break, take short-term profits. If it does, the market could potentially head towards 4100 or even higher. In addition, keep an eye on Thursday, which could be a turning point this week, potentially leading to a sweeping decline. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on the 4050-4060 resistance, and the short-term support below is 4000-3990. Strategy: Go long near 4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profit range: 4650-4060.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold Awaits Powell's Speech: Sell $4052 or Buy $3977?Hello TradingView community! The Gold market is entering a pivotal phase. After an impressive rally, prices are pausing at a critical resistance zone, and the market sentiment is holding its breath for tonight's main event: the speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. This is a moment where a few words can determine the direction of an entire trend. Let's outline a detailed action plan. 1. Macro Context: Jerome Powell in Focus "Aftershocks" from the FOMC Minutes: The market is still "digesting" the FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday. The minutes revealed a somewhat more "hawkish" tone than expected, as many members remain concerned about inflation. This is putting slight pressure on Gold prices. Main Event: Fed Chair Powell Speaks. This is when all eyes are on him. Traders will scrutinize every word of Powell's for clues about the future interest rate path. If Powell maintains a hawkish tone, emphasizing that the fight against inflation is not over, the USD will strengthen, and Gold may undergo a deep correction. Conversely, if he makes "dovish" remarks, expressing concerns about economic growth, it will be a "green light" for Gold to break out. 2. Technical Analysis: Action Plan Our chart clearly outlines the key "battle lines": Main Resistance Zone (Bearish OB - Zone): This is the "stronghold" of the Bears, where profit-taking and short-selling pressures are concentrated. With a somewhat hawkish macro backdrop, this is a very strong resistance zone. The scenario forecasted on the chart shows prices may rebound to this area and be rejected. This is a critical area to watch for sell signals. Primary Buy Zone (Bullish OB - Buy Zone): This is the safest and most ideal "stronghold" for the Bulls. It is the order block that created the previous strong upward wave. A perfect scenario is Powell's speech driving prices to adjust to this zone, creating a good buying opportunity to follow the main trend. Breakout Target (Liquidity): If Powell unexpectedly turns "dovish," Gold could break through the $4,052 resistance zone and head straight for the liquidity target at the previous peak. Trading Strategy Before the speech (19:30): The market may be unpredictable. It's best to stay on the sidelines to avoid price "sweeps." Preferred strategy: Based on the adjustment scenario drawn on the chart, patiently waiting for a buying opportunity at a strong support zone will be safer. Specific plan: Sellers (Risky): Look for clear reversal signals at the $4,052 zone during or after the speech. Buyers (Safe): Wait for a price push down to the $3,977 zone and look for confirmation signals to buy. WHAT'S YOUR PLAN? Do you predict Chairman Powell will be "hawkish" or "dovish" tonight? And is your plan to Sell $4,052 or wait to Buy $3,977? 👇 Share your thoughts in the comments and don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow the channel!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD|Surge: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Ahead of FOMC MinutesHello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust rally is not only technically reinforced but is also awaiting a potential catalyst from today's crucial fundamental news. In this analysis, we will combine two key perspectives: a deep dive into the technical chart to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the main fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session. 1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on FOMC Minutes Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET. Why does this matter? The minutes provide a detailed record of the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting in September. Traders will scrutinize the text for any hints about the future interest rate path. Potential scenarios: "Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal that FED officials are concerned about economic growth and open to further rate cuts, the US Dollar may weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially fueling the next price surge. "Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasize that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD may see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip. This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalize on the market's reaction. 2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signaling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch: Potential Buying Zones (Key Points): FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release. "Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the most recent swing high that has been broken. It has now turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone provides a solid entry point if prices correct a bit deeper. "Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a strong buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market makes a strong liquidity sweep downward. Upside Targets: Short-term target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Main target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sell side's stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices towards such areas. Strategy Summary Main trend: Bullish. Core strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned. Critical timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main direction. Pro tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the highs. WHAT'S YOUR TAKE? How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analyses!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
10/8: Watch Resistance at 4050, Short First Then Go LongGood afternoon, everyone! Driven by global economic and geopolitical uncertainties, as well as strong market expectations for further Fed rate cuts, gold has surged past the 4000 mark today, setting a new all-time high. From a weekly perspective, the bullish momentum remains intact, and the uptrend still has room to extend. In the short term, some profit-taking and selling pressure after reaching new highs are normal technical corrections. If the price climbs to the 4040–4050 range, pay close attention to the 4010 level as potential support during any pullback. If gold trades below 4030, the main support area can be referenced around 4000–3986. Overall, the medium-term outlook remains bullish. For intraday trading, consider a buy-low, sell-high approach within the 4050–4011 or 4030–3992 range. However, if the price breaks above 4050 decisively, avoid chasing longs and instead look for potential short opportunities.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang