Volume Profile Signals Potential ReversaFenzoFx—Gold rose from $3,729.50 today, testing the resistance at $3,751.30. Interestingly, the cumulative volume profile did not form a new higher high, indicating bearish divergence.
The immediate support is at $3,747.00. From a technical perspective, XAU/USD could dip if the price crosses and stabilizes below the support. Traders should monitor the short-term resistance and the cumulative volume delta closely for bearish setups.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD: Bullish Structure Holds as Price Eyes 4000 ResistanceXAU/USD is holding steady above 3900 after setting a new all-time high near 3980 within its upward channel. Price action confirms a bullish structure with higher lows and clear trend continuation signals.
A rejection near the 3920 support zone could trigger a move back toward the 4000 psychological resistance. Momentum remains strong, with bulls in control as price targets the upper boundary of the channel near 4000.
XAU/USD 07 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price had printed a bearish CHoCH. Where we were trading within an established internal range, however, bearish pullback was insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will not classify the bullish, I have however marked this in red again.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has since printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to dept of pullback.
Price is currently trading within and established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,977.400.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. We are now confined with an establish internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting internal high priced at 3,977.400
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Trade Plan 01/10/2025Dear Traders,
With the heavy drop that gold had yesterday, followed by a quick rebound and the formation of a new higher high, we are now approaching the end of wave 3 of the strong bullish move, and currently wave 5 of 3 is being completed.
Very soon, we are likely to see a major decline in gold toward the 3600–3700 zones.
⚠️ Buyers should be extremely cautious, as the market could reverse at any moment.
Regards,
Alireza!
CancelSo my last analysis is proving wrong. Sorry. I'm just figuring out you could do this with the Fibonacci so, it's a work in progress. However, This definitely looks like "a top" of the sorts. The fib on the left is from the very bottom of the cup formation. A lot of the levels are similar and the action to the levels align with how price action usually happens to them and is VERY similar to how the "run up" to the cup played out! So it's definitely following it in a sense. However, it has a "top" of about 3900 and we closed the week and month right underneath that and are currently above that! The fib on the right is mapped from the bottom of the handle and I now have it at 4000 and it get's almost perfect reaction! 4000 is gonna be some kinda top! Obviously psychological, the fib's line up there, and there's a very long term trendline right at it as well ! We also "mooned" through the red section in the previous run up to the cup formation like we are now so, looking like "euphoria"! My guess is this week is a wick! I will be maintaining my short but it doesn't look like it will play out exactly as planned.
XAUUSD Strategy (PRE NY)
Trend Continuation Strategy (TRC)
Lower timeframe Structures are bullish along with a 1HR body candle close above the Asian High. Ultimately want to see price cover the massive bearish move from last NY Session!
For SELLS:
1) Body candle close below the 3857.07 level.
2) Retest the bearish CHOCH at the 3857.07 level.
3) Create a 1/5M bearish engulfing candle to capitalize on SELLS towards the 3838 level.
For BUYS:
1) Retest the 15M bullish OB at the 3861.12 level.
2) Create a 1/5M bullish CHOCH with a body candle close.
3) Retest the bullish CHOCH level to capitalize on BUYS towards the 3900 level
It's Friday guys, Take it easy! Cheers
Gold H1📊 Gold H1 Analysis
On the H1 timeframe we have:
• A clear FVG (Fair Value Gap)
• A strong Order Block
Plan:
As soon as price retests either the H1 FVG or the Order Block, we will look for buy entries targeting upside liquidity.
This setup aligns perfectly with market structure and gives us a high-probability trade idea.
My B.B.C.This Big Beautiful Chart or B.B.C.™ shows possible extensions for this wave, when extending into all time highs there's not a lot to go on, but the 1.618 fib extension is my go-to. Paired with RSI and trend channels you can start to get an idea of where resistance and pullbacks may be.
RSI has bearish divergence so it appears we are losing investor confidence at this price level, upper movement to the next level will require some powerful news like rate cuts or more tariffs. Canada and Mexico produce 330 tonnes of gold annually while the USA produces 160 so these tariffs could very well lift the price even higher like they did with copper
Gold Price Outlook – Key Levels to Watch This FridayGold is currently trading near a strong resistance zone at 3860–3864. A clear break above this level may allow for limited upside momentum, though it does not yet indicate a trend reversal. However, a decisive break above 3880 could open the door for further bullish continuation and potentially a new all-time high above 3897.
On the downside, initial support lies at 3841–3838. A break below this area may trigger gradual downside pressure, with momentum accelerating if gold falls under 3828–3818.
Historically, Fridays tend to be highly unpredictable as market makers often create traps for traders. Extra caution is advised.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy)
Entry: Above 3863
Targets: 3867 – 3873 – 3880 – 3887 – 3893 – 3901 – (3913–3917) – (3938–3944)
📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell)
Entry: Below 3838
Targets: 3832 – (3824–3820) – 3814 – 3803 – 3795 – (3786–3780) – 3764 – 3758 – 3740
If you find this analysis useful, I sincerely appreciate your support by sharing it.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal view and market observation. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading in financial markets carries significant risk, and all decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader.
October 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Analysis:
After testing a high at 3897, price quickly retreated toward 3820 before stabilizing back above 3850. This suggests bulls were taking profits at higher levels.
Watch the 3860 breakout — holding above it would confirm that bullish momentum remains strong.
The core plan remains:
Above 3850 → buy pullbacks into support.
Below 3850 → sell rallies into resistance.
Avoid trading in the 3850–3855 zone, as price action there is likely to stay messy and unclear.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3900 – Projected bullish target
• 3897 – Yesterday’s high
• 3885 – Resistance
• 3879 – Resistance
• 3872 – Resistance zone
• 3862 – Resistance
• 3855 – Support
• 3850–3855 – Support zone (choppy area)
• 3840 – Support
• 3828 – Support
• 3820 – Last defense for bulls
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 3848 → target 3845, with further downside toward 3840, 3835, 3828
BUY: If price holds above 3860 → target 3862, with further upside toward 3867, 3872, 3875
Can gold smash through $4,000 this month?Gold is edging closer to the psychological $4,000 mark after reaching as high as $3,890 per ounce.
The rally has been fuelled by two main drivers: an unexpected drop in US private employment and the start of the federal government shutdown. With the shutdown delaying key releases such as this week’s nonfarm payrolls and this month’s CPI, the Federal Reserve may be forced to decide policy at its October 29 meeting without critical data, increasing the chances they leave rates unchanged.
Technically, gold’s trend remains constructive. Strong demand zones potentially sit near $3,760 and $3,720, while the next key resistance is the $4,000 psychological level. A sustained daily close above $4,000 would open the way toward Fibonacci extension targets at $4,025 and $4,101. On the downside, a break below $3,760 could trigger a deeper pullback toward $3,680.
XAUUSD targeting 3860 with the 1H MA50 supporting.Gold (XAUUSD) has entered a new Channel Up pattern by turning its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support.
The last time it formed such a pattern after a -2.00% decline was during September 19 - 23. Both fractals are identical in structure both in 1H MA50 and Channel terms.
The previous Channel Up eventually peaked a little above the 2.0 Fibonacci, which more than covers our 3860 Target. The pattern gets technically invalidated if the 1H MA50 breaks.
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XAUUSD: Caution advised ahead of NFP releaseOANDA:XAUUSD current bullish momentum is weakening, and traders are extremely cautious ahead of the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change, which is expected to be USD-positive , accompanied by gradually emerging profit-taking pressure from investors. Therefore, I expect gold to have a significant correction soon after completing the upward move above the area.
You can read my previous analysis here:
There has been the appearance of long put contracts from CME traders being deployed into the market , which is a move to guard against a potential decline in gold in the future.
However, this is only the market’s preparation, and at present there is no sign of a reversal .
Continue to look for buy setups toward Targets 1 and 2. Pay attention to the Margin zone, where CME traders are concentrating a large number of contracts, which may cause price to reverse.
Key resistance:
Key strong support: ,
Margin zone:
Wait for confirmation of a Buy (Pull) signal from MagnetOsc Turbo on the lower timeframes after price breaks above the resistance zone and pullback. Place the stop below the most recent M5 swing low when the entry signal appears.
Continue to look for buy setups toward Target 1 & Target 2, while closely watching for reversal signal.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
GOLD The London gold market respected the 3854 30min demand floor and our new sell litmus test if broken on 30 min we will sell and target 300pips minimum.
the supply roof at 3872-3871 was broken and it became our demand floor for intraday gain into a higher supply structure from our current all time high at 3893-3895 zone and on technical 30min resistance 3883-3881 was contested and broken which took price action into retest of the current all time high 3892-3895 ,break out will be a new all time high 3919-3927-3935 sell zone .
layer by layer, the market is over bought.
#gold #xauusd #dollar #us10y
XAUUSD: A Golden Opportunity to Buy TodayHello everyone, Kilian here!
Gold is looking very attractive. After a strong surge, the price has come back to test and confirm the strong buying pressure, and this has been confirmed beautifully.
The price is currently at an important level where the sellers pushed the price down. If the buyers manage to break through this level and repeat the same pattern (coming back to test and confirm), this indicates strong buying pressure, meaning the price is likely to continue rising.
Wish you happy trading and profitable results!
XAUUSD (Gold) 4H chart Pattern..XAUUSD (Gold) 4H chart.
From the chart setup my marked:
Price is currently around 3819.
A breakout from the consolidation zone (highlighted box) has occurred.
Trendline support is intact and Ichimoku cloud is bullish.
My chart shows a projected move towards the next resistance zone.
📌 Target Zone:
Near-term target: 3865 – 3880
Extended target: 3900 – 3920 if momentum continues and price holds above 3800.
🔑 Support levels to watch:
3773 (trendline + Ichimoku support)
3733 (major support if trendline breaks)
⚠ If price drops below 3770, bullish momentum weakens.
Gold longLooking for the continuation of the bullishness on gold.
Yesterday it came down to a strong demand, the demand was respected and we are seeing a shift in bias again. The liquidity is grabbed from the weak high now, after the mitigation down to the newly created demand I will be looking to buy and target the daily highs.
GOLD at immediate Support ? whats next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our couple of ideas regarding gold and now again market make a immediate supporting area that is around 3876 to 3880
keep close that region and if market staying above that means there is further roam to upside,.
good luck
trade wisely