XAUUSD– Market at 3800 Following the Bias of previous AnalysisIn Case Study #9 (26th Sept), we highlighted a standby entry. But market has given Buying signals in range 3730-3745.So we entered
So market have not followed same path, but reacted in our bias direction.
This shows how market sometimes continues without retracements. Market has given already 700 pips plus in our direction bias. Market has sustained above 3752 & 3762.
In our last analysis, we discussed how Gold (XAUUSD) was in a strong bullish wave, with key support zones holding and momentum indicating further upside. We also highlighted that patience and discipline were essential as the market was preparing for a breakout.
🔎 Today’s Scenario (29th Sept Update)
Price continues to respect our mapped zones but lacks strength above confirmation levels.
Upside: Only if 3790 / 3800 sustains, momentum can build toward 3812 → 3833 → 3872+.
Downside: Failure at these levels 3765-3750 opens path toward 3737 → 3710 → 3699 → 3680 zones.
Standby entry: Entered in the zone 3730-3745.
✅ What Happened Since Then:
Our earlier mapped levels and ranges played out accurately – the market has steadily moved upward.
The price has now touched 3800, perfectly aligning with our anticipated trajectory.
Traders who followed with patience could capture a swing rally of more than 350+ points since our last update.
🧠 Expert Guidance / Precautions
Lessons from This Rally:
Discipline > Prediction – Levels were already known; what mattered was the patience to hold.
Emotions vs. Strategy – Many exit early due to fear/greed, but structured planning wins.
Compounding Vision – Even a small lot size can grow significantly if trades are executed with consistency.
SL hit = protection, not failure. Risk control keeps us in the game while traps unfold.
Patterns alone are not enough. Morning Star & Engulfing both failed → context is key.
Flexibility wins. Don’t marry bias; adapt to new confirmations.
Wait for HTF closes. Lower timeframe noise misleads during traps.
Precaution: Avoid aggressive entries on first breakout attempts; let the market prove direction.
Current View & Precautions:
At 3808, the market is at an important psychological zone.
Partial profit booking is wise for short-term traders.
Long-term swing traders should trail stop-losses to lock in gains.
Watch carefully for reversal signals; rallies often invite retracements.
⚠️ This is an educational case study, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
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