Gold Holds Strong as USD Weakens Amid Economic Uncertainty👋Hello traders, what do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to hold above its high price levels, supported by a weaker USD and the demand for safe-haven assets amid the growing risk of a U.S. government shutdown. At the same time, the weak employment data further reinforces expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates this month.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has surged about 45%. Currently, this precious metal is just shy of the $4,000/ounce mark, reflecting strong investor confidence in gold during times of uncertainty.
On the other hand, with the U.S. government shutdown, sentiment towards the U.S. tends to turn negative, impacting both the USD and U.S. stocks. In fact, the latest ADP employment report shows that the U.S. private sector lost 32,000 jobs in September, far exceeding the forecast of only 3,000 job losses in August, heightening concerns about the U.S. economy.
Given the current political tensions and economic instability, with a 99% likelihood that the Fed will cut rates, according to CME FedWatch, gold could continue its strong upward momentum.
Investing in gold in this environment could continue to yield significant profits. Do you think the same? 💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
GOLD (XAU/USD): Waiting for BreakoutUpdate for ⚠️Gold:
It has been observed that the market is currently trading within a significant ascending parallel channel on a 4-hour chart.
Upon analyzing the hourly timeframe, a cup and handle formation has been identified, with a neckline situated between 3858 and 3864.
It is anticipated that a trend-following movement may commence shortly.
To validate this, it is advisable to await for a bullish breakout of the designated blue area.
Confirmation would require an hourly candle to close above that level.
Subsequently, the market is expected to rise to at least 3900.
For the time being, it is recommended to exercise patience and await the breakout before proceeding.
Gold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for NowGold Holds Key Support at 3945 – Bulls Still in Control for Now
You already know my opinion — under normal conditions, gold shouldn’t be trading in this zone.
Even though Israel approved the first phase of the Gaza deal, gold only made a small correction, not a strong bearish move.
The drop from 4058 to 3945 was likely driven by retail traders, not the big players.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
Gold is now sitting at a critical zone.
If the price holds above 3945, the chances for an upward move are higher.
Potential targets are 4000, 4050, 4075, and 4100.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If gold breaks below 3945, it could open the way for a decline toward 3895 and 3825.
However, this seems unlikely for now since the price didn’t fall further yesterday, even when most traders expected it to.
⚠️The big buyers who created the bullish move haven’t started selling yet.
If a bearish wave does begin, it will likely happen when no one expects it — just like every previous bullish rally that started without news or clear reasons.
⚠️Be careful during the opening of the U.S trading session. It was at that time that Gold declined yesterday.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad day although very quiet due to the ranging. We managed to hit the region we wanted over the Asia session and then ended up waiting all day for our EXC target to complete to end the day.
We can now see a little pressure downside but not enough to call it a reversal while we're also now between an order region 4058 resistance and 4033 support. For that reason, we'll plot the path we're looking for but any attempts will require tight stops, just in case we get a break of 4058 which will then void the move.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
The rise in gold is still continuing.Wave -(i) of (E) is forming, and the target of 3900-4050 remains valid, and it could even go higher than this price. After the completion of wave -(i) of (E), there is a possibility of a corrective period in both time and price. A time-based corrective period is more likely.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That didn't go to badly! We wanted price to attempt that low, give us the push up and although we had highlighted a little higher, the red box did not break and our hot spot gave a lovely RIP from the level. We then broke the 4030 level at the bias and completed all the bias level targets.
I would love to say we caught the top, but is this the top?
For now, we have support at the 3950 level and below that 3930. If we get a continuation downside, we will be looking below for a potential long, otherwise, upside into 3990 levels is important for the break. I would like to see more downside here at least to target the daily mean which is well overdue.
Price: 4039
RED BOXES:
Break above 4047 for 4050✅, 4055✅, 4061, 4075 and 4085 in extension of the move
Break below 4030 for 4020✅, 4010✅, 4006✅, 3997✅, 3980✅ and 3977✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4104.Colleagues, gold is going up steadily and right now it is hard to say where the correction will be. If we look at the wave structure, I expect the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the middle order wave ‘5’. because wave “5” completes the impulse - it complicates the concept of where exactly this wave will end. I think the psychological level of 4100-4105 is suitable for this target.
I expect the price to reach the 4104 resistance area.
Fundamental context
Gold recently broke above $4,000, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts.
Central banks continue to accumulate gold, supporting demand structurally.
Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 target to $4,000, citing a weak dollar and sustained global demand.
Given the strength and stretched momentum, a pullback is plausible — but the exact timing remains unclear.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FOMO - The Urge That Costs You TwiceNOTE: This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence.
So here we are, Gold kissing 4000.
It’s been on a tear and hasn’t looked back.
Relentless. Higher, higher, higher.
Now imagine being the trader who stalked this setup… but missed the entry.
The setup was clean. The context made sense.
But you hesitated. You wanted confirmation.
And now it’s gone.
At first, you tell yourself you’re fine.
You’ll wait for the pullback.
But the longer you watch, the more unsettled you become.
Your legs bounce.
Your breath shortens.
Price rips higher without you.
And the thought slips in…
“I can’t miss this.”
Before you know it, your hand hovers over the button
ready to break your own rules just to feel part of the move.
What’s really happening inside you:
Thoughts:
“Argghh… I knew it. Ok, it’s moving. Wait for the pullback.”
“Urgh… another headline, it keeps moving up… everyone else is in.”
“It’s not pulling back. This is the move I’ve been waiting for. Missing out is worse than losing.”
“I’ll never forgive myself if I just watch this go without me.”
Feelings: Restlessness. Envy. Urgency.
Behaviours: Dropping timeframes, chasing moves, flipping charts, forcing setups.
Body cues: Buzzing energy in chest or stomach, jittery hands, shallow breath, can’t sit still.
The Trigger:
Watching a move take off without you, especially after hesitation stopped you last time. Watching price rise without a look back. Everyone's talking about it. It’s on the newsfeed. ‘Record highs’. ‘Biggest day ever’.
Why it feels so powerful:
FOMO isn’t about the market. it’s about survival wiring.
Your brain equates “missing out” with exclusion, being left out.
So urgency feels safer than patience.
Acting now, even without an edge, feels like relief, because at least you’re doing something.
The real cost:
FOMO makes you chase highs and sell lows.
It costs you twice.
Once when you chase the move and lose.
And again when you lose faith in your own process.
Each time you act on urgency, you train your nervous system to link tension with execution.
That’s how confidence quietly drains away.
How to shift it:
Pause & name it: say out loud, “This is FOMO.” Awareness loosens its grip.
Breathe into it: slow your breath until your body settles. Teach your system that calm not chaos precedes execution.
Anchor: remind yourself the market is infinite. “It takes a second to wreck it… it takes time to build.” Beastie Boys
Reset: ask, “If I hadn’t seen that move, would I still take this setup?” If not, stand down.
Missing a move hurts but chasing it turns one mistake into two.
Discipline pays you back; impulse never does.
The market will always offer another opportunity.
Your edge is keeping your nerve, calm and self-control until it does.
By the way, for those that missed the Non Farm post last week. Turns out that Non Farm has been re-scheduled for this Friday... (but they can always reschedule again). Check this link out for anyone lining up for Non Farm this week.
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders,
Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management.
If you find our analysis valuable please engage with it. Follow us for further insights.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx
XAU/USD | Gold Update – Calm Before the $4,000 Breakout?I was about to drop a full gold analysis for you today, but honestly — the chart isn’t showing anything super clean or exciting right now.
So here’s a quick summary instead 👇
Price is still following its bullish momentum, and I’m expecting gold to reach $4,000 within the next day or two.
If we see a solid close and stability above $4,000, my next target will be around $4,084.
Key Demand Zones:
• $3927–$3934
• $3900–$3908
Keep an eye on how price reacts to these levels — any sharp rejection or bounce here could confirm the next wave up.
Also, note that gold has just made a new ATH at $3,970 — a good sign that momentum’s still alive.
Stay tuned — I’ll post the full technical analysis soon once the setup gets clearer.
XAU/USD (Gold) chart pattern..XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe with Ichimoku cloud and trendline support.
Based on the annotations drawn on my chart:
Price is currently around $3,882 – $3,883.
There’s a rising trendline support just under $3,870.
If that breaks, my chart shows two downside target levels:
First Target Zone: around $3,860 – $3,865.
Second Target Zone (deeper move): around $3,760 – $3,770.
So my key levels are:
Immediate support: $3,870 (trendline + Ichimoku).
First target: $3,860.
Second target: $3,760 (major drop if breakdown continues).
👉 This means as long as gold holds above $3,870, it may bounce. But if it breaks decisively below, then your marked downside targets are valid.
Gold Bulls Warming Up for the Next Rally After PullbackHi guys
Gold is still respecting the ascending channel structure, creating higher highs and higher lows. The price has already reacted strongly from the demand (S&D) zone around 3820–3840, pushing back toward the upper side of the channel.
🔎 At this stage, the key area to watch is the green supply zone near 3880–3900. I expect the price to test this zone, where a short-term correction is likely. After a possible pullback toward the mid/lower boundary of the channel, the bullish momentum should continue, with the next upside targets aligning with the 3920–3940 area.
Trend bias: Bullish
Key levels:
Resistance: 3880 – 3900 (supply zone)
Next target: 3920 – 3940
🚀 If the channel structure remains intact, dips should be seen as buying opportunities, with the overall trend pointing higher.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold: Stretched, Channel Broken, First Real Pullback Next?1️⃣ Overview
Yesterday, Gold reached a new all-time high at 4061, marking the 8th consecutive ATH in 8 days. If we also consider that the yellow metal has been rising for 8 consecutive weeks, the bullish momentum is undeniable.
However, no market can rise indefinitely without pauses. Regardless of how strong the uptrend is, corrections are necessary, and I believe we are very close to one — if not already in it.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Technical Context
After Friday’s low at 3820, Gold traded within an ascending channel, climbing around 2500 pips from bottom to top. This represents roughly a 6% increase, which is quite significant — especially coming after about a 15% rise in the previous 7 weeks.
Now, the channel has been broken, and Gold has entered a small correction toward the 4000 zone. At the time of writing, the market is rebounding, suggesting that bulls have not yet given up.
Still, this rebound looks more like the first sign of exhaustion than renewed strength. Even if bulls manage to push for another all-time high, the market structure is weakening.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Key Zones to Watch
The 4000 level is now the main psychological area and the line in the sand, followed by the 3990 zone, which acts as technical support.
A sustained break below these areas could open the way for a sharper correction toward the 3900 region, which would still only scratch the surface of the broader rally.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Market View
Of course, the bullish trend will remain intact on the medium term, but momentum is stretched, and a cooling phase looks increasingly likely.
I’m currently watching for potential selling points around yesterday’s highs, as the market starts to show its first signs of fatigue after an exceptional run.
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3870 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, reflecting a persistent and well-structured bullish trend. This pattern has effectively guided the market upward, with buyers maintaining firm control and driving the price through several significant resistance levels, including 3375 and 3610. Such momentum highlights the continued dominance of bullish sentiment in recent sessions.
At the moment, the price is approaching a critical inflection point near the upper boundary of this channel. Following an aggressive rally, XAUUSD is now testing the channel’s ascending supply line, an area that often acts as a strong resistance zone. This is typically where selling pressure begins to surface, as traders look to capitalize on overextended bullish moves.
My short-term expectation is a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may attempt a brief breakout above the channel’s resistance, forming a potential “fake breakout” trap for late buyers, before reversing lower. A confirmed rejection from this region would likely trigger a pullback toward the 3870 area, which aligns with prior structural support. Accordingly, I have placed my take-profit target at 3870. Manage your risk!
Gold Bears Loading...XAUUSD | 1H Chart 📉
Price has been moving inside an ascending channel since mid-September...
Around 3887–3895 Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break...
Expected rejection from resistance → pullback towards channel support...
If channel support breaks, next leg down could accelerate toward $3760-3730...
Gold Price has Scenario setup what should Next ?Gold continues to record new highs each day, trading firmly above the historic 4,000 mark, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid rising economic and political uncertainties. Once the price crosses the 4,045 level, we could see an early move toward 4,065.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the price structure suggests that if gold closes above 4,045, it would confirm the completion of a triangle pattern, potentially supporting a continuation of the uptrend. However, traders should remain cautious, as buying at these elevated levels carries higher risk.
If the breakout holds, the short-term support level is seen around 4,020, while the long-term support remains near 4,000. A failure to hold above 4,045 could trigger a short-term pullback toward these support zones.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 4 weeks , started between 3870.00 to 3895.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3870.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3895.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3895.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3870.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
DeGRAM | GOLD held the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, with repeated rebounds from the lower trendline confirming bullish momentum.
● Price is approaching resistance near 3,894, and a breakout above 3,871 would strengthen the case for an extension toward 3,900 and higher.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold demand is supported by market caution over U.S. economic outlook and expectations of potential rate cuts in 2025, enhancing its safe-haven appeal.
✨ Summary
● XAU/USD remains bullish above 3,852 support, targeting 3,871–3,894, with rising channel momentum and supportive fundamentals favoring further upside.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD at Cut n Reverse Area, Holds or Not??#GOLD... Perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding gold.
Now market just made his current resistance area and that is 3987-88
That will be our key level now n if market holds in that case we can expect a drop foen here otherwise not at all.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse again above that on confirmation..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Short order block setupPlease see my short order block strategy with only 2 trades on it, entry at 3941 for a long and then 4048 for a short, careful of news as this may rupture the strategy into a continuation up or down out of the block setup
Stay out until it hits the bottom, consider taking partials before news comes on to reduce potential losses or fully TP
XAU/USD - High Volume ControlOn a personal note:
✅I have shared all my instruments - 4H with my personal blueprint approach to market as is.
✅I will be focusing on my personal performance in the markets in Q4.
✅I will be posting my 4H updates every 2nd-weekend in Q4 on all my instruments.
✅I will appreciate likes and comments very much and questions are welcome always.
🙏 I hope my input adds value to this awesome community. 😁🎯
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🎯 KEY LEVELS
Primary Zone: 3,860-3,890 | Active Pivot
Secondary Zone: 3,640-3,655 | Major Demand (if <3,700 breaks)
📊 BIAS: BULLISH🟢
Context: Price consolidating at highest institutional volume zone near all-time highs. Structure remains intact above 3,700.
💎 PRIMARY SETUP🟢
Direction: Long from 3,860-3,890
Entry Trigger:
Break and close above 3,890
Confirmations:
✅4H candle close above 3,890 with momentum
✅Volume surge on breakout
✅Active pivot area confirms new demand upon re-test
🎯Targets:
T1: 3,950 (projected extension)
T2: 4,000 (psychological discovery level)
🚨Note:
Price in discovery zone above 3,890 - targets are extensions, not volume-based levels
🔄 ALTERNATE SCENARIO🔴
Trigger: Break below 3,860
Direction: Short from 3,860-3,890
Targets:
T1: 3,780-3,800 (next volume cluster)
T2: 3,720-3,740 (secondary volume node)
Major Demand/Support:
T3: 3,640-3,655 (on structural break <3,700)
⚠️ RISK FACTORS
🚨Discovery trading above 3,890 - no historical resistance reference
🚨Monitor USD/Fed events for volatility
🚨3,640-3,655 becomes primary magnet if 3,700 structure fails
📰 Check economic calendar daily - high impact news creates volatility spikes
XAU/USD UPDATE - High Volume Control📅 Current: 4,055 | Oct 2025 | 4H
🎯 KEY ZONES
🔵 Primary Demand: 3,650-3,670 | Institutional
🔵 Secondary Demand: 3,860-3,885
🟢 Support: 4,000-4,025 | Reclaimed
🔴 Active Resistance: 4,040-4,055 | Current rejection zone
📊 BIAS: NEUTRAL - BEARISH BEHAVIOR 🔴
➡️Multiple rejections at ATH.
➡️Discovery zone above 4,055.
➡️Institutional magnet 370 pips below.
💎 PRIMARY SETUP - SHORT
⚡ Trigger: Break below 4,035
🔍Confirmations:
✅Bearish engulfing at 4,045-4,055
✅4H close below 4,030
🎯 Targets:
T1: 4,000
T2: 3,860
T3: 3,650
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🔄 BIAS FLIP - LONG🟢
⚡ Trigger: 4H close above 4,055
🔍 Confirmations:
✅Strong bullish momentum through resistance
✅4,055 holds as support on retest
🎯 Projected Targets:
T1: 4,112
T2: 4,170
⚠️ RULES & RISK:
🎯GOLD REMAINS SEVERLY BULLISH OVERALL
🎯I give a volume-based analysis at live position areas
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🕐 Only Trade high-volume sessions (London/NY overlap)
📰 Check economic calendar for ECB/Fed announcements
📰 Check economic calendar daily - high impact news creates volatility spikes
🚨Discovery zone - no volume data above
🚨370-pip downside pull to institutional demand
🚨Exhaustion signs at current highs