ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold opens the Asia session around $4,105, attempting a recovery after last week’s heavy selloff that drove price into the $4,032–$4,070 macro support zone.
The bounce has pushed price back into a dense resistance cluster—including the descending trendline, 50 EMA, 200 EMA, and supply zone at $4,104–$4,116.
Despite the short-term recovery, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market trading under multiple key swing highs and still respecting all descending structure lines. Asia session is expected to deliver a corrective leg unless buyers break through the first resistance block.
Price is currently coiling before a potential breakout into London.
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2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Gold holds above the 100 EMA, but remains below broken bullish channel support.
• RSI ~55, reflecting a neutral-to-recovering state.
• The daily BOS remains bearish until price reclaims $4,146–$4,173.
• Daily buyers protecting the $3,930–$3,990 zone, but momentum is still corrective.
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🔹 H1 Chart
• Clear bearish BOS from the $4,245 swing high.
• Price bounced sharply from $4,032 and now retests a very strong resistance cluster:
• Descending trendline
• 50 EMA
• 200 EMA
• Micro supply zone
• RSI ~41 showing weak bullish strength.
• H1 remains bearish unless $4,130–$4,146 breaks.
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🔹 15M–5M Structure
• Multiple CHoCHs after rejecting the $4,070–$4,080 demand zone.
• Momentum indicators turning green, but trendline + MA structure overhead is intact.
• Heavy sell pressure expected around $4,104–$4,116.
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3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Last swing: 4,245 → 4,032
• 38.2% = 4,114
• 50.0% = 4,138
• 61.8% = 4,162
🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,114 – 4,162
This zone aligns with supply, trendline resistance, and H1 EMA cluster → high-probability sell area.
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4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only)
• Entry Zone: 4,080 – 4,070 (Fresh demand + sweep zone)
• Targets: 4,104 → 4,116 → 4,130
• Stop Loss: Below 4,060
• Confirmation:
✔ Bullish CHoCH on 5M–15M
✔ Engulfing or FVG fill reaction
Only valid if the pullback holds above 4,070.
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📉 SELL SCENARIO (Primary Bias)
• Entry Zone: 4,114 – 4,162 (Golden Zone + Trendline + Supply)
• Targets: 4,090 → 4,070 → 4,050 → 4,032
• Stop Loss: Above 4,172
• Confirmation:
✔ Rejection wicks
✔ RSI divergence
✔ MAs curling downward
This is the highest probability setup for the Asia → London transition.
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💥 Breakout SELL Setup
• Trigger: Break & close below 4,070
• Retest: 4,074 – 4,078
• Targets: 4,050 → 4,032 → 4,010
• Stop Loss: Above 4,090
Continuation of the macro bearish move.
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💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: Break & close above 4,130
• Retest: 4,116 – 4,120
• Targets: 4,146 → 4,173 → 4,200
• Stop Loss: Below 4,104
Only valid if strong volume enters the market.
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5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session expected quiet until Tokyo liquidity.
• Market positioning ahead of:
• US FOMC speakers
• US Housing Data
• DXY stability near 106 still suppressing strong upside.
• No major Asia-session news, but volatility may rise into London.
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6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
4,104
4,116
4,130
4,146
4,173
Support:
4,090
4,080
4,070
4,050
4,032
Golden Zone: 4,114 – 4,162
Breakout Levels:
• Buy Trigger: > 4,130
• Sell Trigger: < 4,070
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7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold is attempting a recovery from the 4,032 low, but the broader structure remains bearish.
Asia session likely pushes into 4,104–4,116, where the strongest sellers are positioned.
Only a clean break above 4,130 changes the short-term tone to bullish.
Until then, the market remains in retracement mode, preparing for another leg lower.
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8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,130, targeting 4,090 → 4,070 → 4,050
📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,130, targeting 4,146 → 4,173 → 4,200
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📊 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE RECAP 📊
📅 10 – 16 NOV 2025
💰 Precision. Consistency. Profit.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 MONDAY 10/11
✅ BUY (SWING) +2,850 PIPS
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ SELL +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
📊 Huge start — swing and intraday aligned perfectly.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔵 TUESDAY 11/11
GOLD
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY +90 PIPS
✅ BUY LIMIT +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +40 PIPS
✅ BUY +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +280 PIPS
✅ BUY +240 PIPS
LIVE SESSION
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +120 PIPS
✅ BUY +60 PIPS
✅ BUY +30 PIPS
📈 Strong directional day with clean scalping in session.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟣 WEDNESDAY 12/11
✅ BUY +20 PIPS
✅ BUY +30 PIPS
✅ BUY +40 PIPS
❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
✅ SELL +15 PIPS
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
📊 Trend continuation — minimal drawdown.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 THURSDAY 13/11
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY +60 PIPS
✅ BUY +210 PIPS
✅ BUY +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -80 PIPS (SL)
✅ SELL +210 PIPS
⚖️ BUY – BE
✅ BUY +240 PIPS
🔥 Huge bullish momentum — big intraday winners.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟡 FRIDAY 14/11
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
✅ BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS
✅ SELL +110 PIPS
❌ BUY -70 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +110 PIPS
LIVE SESSION
⚖️ BUY – BE
✅ SELL +250 PIPS
❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL)
✅ BUY +60 PIPS
⚖️ SELL – BE
✅ SELL +180 PIPS
📊 High volatility day — precision paid off.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🪙 BTC/USD WEEKEND BONUS
✅ SELL +600 PIPS
✅ BUY +500 PIPS
✅ SELL +400 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 WEEKLY RECAP
🥇 GOLD NET PIPS: +6,575 PIPS
📱 BTC/USD BONUS: +1,500 PIPS
🚀 TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +8,075 PIPS
📌 Signals Counted: 39 Wins | 8 SL
🎯 Win Rate: 83%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Another powerful trading week — GOLD swings and intraday setups delivered exceptional precision, and BTC weekend signals added strong bonus gains.
👏 Congrats if you profited! Let’s continue the momentum.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 💼📈
