XAUUSD – Key Demand Test Ahead? (Next Week Outlook)Timeframe: 4H
Structure: Retracement into major demand
Bias: Watching for bullish reaction inside the 4025 zone
🔍 Market Context
Gold has just completed a sharp selloff after failing to sustain the highs above 4180–4200. The move down came with strong momentum, breaking through minor intraday supports and now heading into a major multi-touch structure zone.
This area has repeatedly acted as:
Previous support
Rejection zone (liquidity pool)
Base of the last impulsive rally
Your chart marks it perfectly: 4025–4040 is the key to next week.
🧲 Why This Zone Matters
Looking left, you can see:
Multiple rejections
Long wicks showing absorption
Consolidation before a bullish breakout
This tells us there’s resting demand, and it’s the type of area large players often defend — at least on first touch.
Price is now pulling back into this area with clean momentum, making this a classic “reaction zone” setup heading into next week.
🕊 Bullish Scenario
A bullish reaction becomes likely if:
Price taps deeper into 4025 AREA
We see a wick rejection or slowdown in bearish momentum
A higher-low forms on the lower timeframe (5m–15m)
Structure breaks back above 4055–4060
If this happens, we could see:
➡️ First target: 4075–4100 (intraday liquidity)
➡️ Next target: 4125–4150 AREA (imbalance fill / previous breakdown point)
This is the cleaner technical path, and it aligns with typical Gold behavior after sharp selloffs.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
If the 4025 zone fails to hold, this becomes a continuation move.
Things to watch:
A clean 4H close below 4025
Retest rejection from underneath
Increasing bearish volume
If we break and hold below the zone, next targets open up:
➡️ 4000 (psychological + whole level)
➡️ 3980–3970 (deeper liquidity sweep area)
This only triggers if the demand zone breaks convincingly.
🎯 Key Levels for Next Week
Major Support Zone:
🟡 405O
🟡 4025
Upside Liquidity:
🎯 4075
🎯 4100
🎯 4125–4150
Downside Liquidity:
⚪ 4000
⚪ 3975
