Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/3/2025Yesterday I provided three scenarios for gold to drop and it dropped from the top resistance of 3897. It bounced from 3820 and closed the day around 3855. in 4H TF, it is now at 3855 resistance (turned from previous support). If this resistance holds, I am expecting it to continue drop to at least 3800, or even 3770. However, if 3855 resistance is broken, the setup is invalidated.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Gold may reach a new high, are you ready to go long?Before updating my views, I would like to remind all my friends again: the market is always full of possibilities. There is no so-called "highest point", only higher possibilities. When the trend is clearly upward, going with the flow is the core strategy to achieve stable profits. Avoid trading against the trend or on an emotional basis, especially in the current volatile market environment. Trading without clear thinking and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses. For those who are still on the sidelines and haven't yet developed an effective trading strategy, please follow my channel. We will continue to provide professional market analysis, comprehensive trading plans, and precise buy and sell instructions to help you better grasp the market's rhythm.
Looking back at the performance of the gold market on Monday, gold prices once again saw a strong rise, successfully breaking through multiple key integer levels and continuously setting new highs during the session. The overall trend almost perfectly replicated the strong pattern of last Monday. As I have emphasized many times during the trading session, the current market operating rhythm is highly referenceable, especially the continuity of technical forms and capital momentum is very obvious. Therefore, I recommend investors focus on historical trend similarities and use this as a key indicator for judging the current direction. In fact, last Monday's strategy of mainly buying on pullbacks has been fully verified by the market, and investors holding long positions at low levels have already reaped considerable profits. Looking ahead to today's market, I believe we can still refer to last Tuesday's trend path for positioning. From the current technical perspective, gold remains in a typical upward trend, with moving averages showing a bullish alignment, strong trading volume, and strong buying sentiment. Considering the macroeconomic environment, continued global demand for safe-haven assets, coupled with expectations of looser monetary policies in some economies, further supports the upward trend of precious metals. Therefore, I continue to hold a bullish view on today's gold price. I expect the price to hit a new high and the increase may further expand.
In terms of specific operating strategies, it is recommended that investors establish long positions in batches around 3820, control the position ratio, and avoid entering the market with heavy positions at one time. If there is a brief intraday pullback and the price falls back to the 3810 to 3805 range, it can be seen as an ideal opportunity to increase positions. This area is not only the support level of the previous intensive trading area, but also the golden section position of short-term technical pullback, with strong dual psychological and technical support. Once the price stabilizes and rebounds, the probability of an upward breakout will significantly increase.
It is important to note that although the current trend is strong, no market can rise unilaterally and indefinitely, and more attention should be paid to risk management when volatility intensifies. Be sure to set reasonable stop-loss protection to avoid losses caused by sudden news or drastic fluctuations in liquidity. At the same time, it's important to closely monitor potential influencing factors and adjust your position structure promptly.
In short, in a market with clear trends, maintaining patience and steadfastly executing your established strategy are the keys to success. Let's seize the opportunities presented by this gold rally, trade rationally, and move forward steadily.
GOLD OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE XAUUSD SHORT ON 15MIN TF BUYERS ARE OVERALL STILL IN CONTROL FROM 4HR/1HR TF.
Looking forward to short as soon as buyers spike up once again creating an illusion for buying....Keep watch on the S & R that should resist buyers to continue long. Same area where we would like to see SELLERS stepping in.
Stay tuned for more update
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3767 - 3793 area
Support 2: 3690 - 3736 area
Support 3: 3613 - 3644 area
Support 4: 3560 - 3580 area
Resistance 1: 3898 - 3902 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Support 1 and Vertical Support 1 will compose an important contracting demand zone.
There will be a high chance to see a bullish movement from that.
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US budget deadlock causes GOLD to break peak, USD to plummetOn September 30, spot OANDA:XAUUSD prices jumped $24.7 to close at $3,858.23 an ounce, after hitting a new record high of $3,871.73 an ounce.
The main reasons came from two factors: concerns about a possible US government shutdown and weak employment data, which raised expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would continue to cut interest rates. This put pressure on the US dollar and boosted demand for safe-haven gold.
According to the US Department of Labor, the number of jobs increased only slightly in August, while the demand for recruitment decreased sharply. Consumer confidence also fell to a five-month low. The US dollar index (DXY) therefore fell 0.17% to 97.78 - the lowest level in a week.
Experts say gold benefits from the weaker dollar and the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates in October, with the probability of up to 97% according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Meanwhile, the stalemate between the two parties in Congress has put the US government at risk of running out of budget by midnight on September 30. If no agreement is reached, the shutdown will disrupt the release of many important economic data, including the non-farm payroll report.
If the US government shutdown lasts longer, the negative impact on the economy could force the Fed to loosen policy more strongly, thereby further boosting the gold price rally.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Main trend:
• Gold is still in a narrow uptrend channel (parallel uptrend channel).
• Candlesticks are sticking close to the upper edge of the uptrend channel ⇒ buying power is quite strong but also showing signs of “overextending”.
• RSI above 70 ⇒ Gold is in the overbought zone, risk of short-term correction.
Important levels (Fib + Resistance/Support):
• Strong resistance: 3,872 – 3,875 USD/oz (Fib 0.618 + psychological block).
• If broken, the next target is 3,938 – 4,022 USD/oz.
• Nearby support: 3,825 USD (Fib 0.5) and 3,778 – 3,791 USD (confluence of Fib 0.382 + horizontal support).
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3901 - 3899⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3905
→Take Profit 1 3893
↨
→Take Profit 2 3887
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3810 - 3812⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3806
→Take Profit 1 3818
↨
→Take Profit 2 3824
Gold Elliott Wave Roadmap: Correction Before $5,000+ Rally📌 Introduction
Gold (XAUUSD) has been one of the strongest assets in recent years, supported by inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and central bank demand.
But even in strong bull markets, corrections are part of the natural cycle.
The current Elliott Wave count suggests Gold is nearing a short-term top, followed by a corrective decline, before resuming its long-term bullish trend that could push prices above $5,000 in the coming years.
🔎 Current Position – Minor Degree Wave 3 Topping
Gold recently touched $3,790.
It still has the potential to move toward $3,820–$3,850 after a brief pullback to $3,700.
This area matches the termination zone of Minor Degree Wave 3 , signaling a possible top.
Momentum indicators are also showing exhaustion, strengthening the case for a near-term reversal.
📉 Wave 4 Correction Outlook
Target Zone: $3,300–$3,000 (38.2%–50% retracement).
Deeper Risk: Possible decline toward $2,700 , a strong prior consolidation zone.
Timing: Wave 4 could extend into mid-2026 , as these corrections are often lengthy and complex.
This is not a bearish reversal, but a healthy reset before the next leg higher.
🚀 Upside Potential – Wave 5 Toward $5,200
After Wave 4 completes, Gold should resume its uptrend in Minor Degree Wave 5 , completing Intermediate Degree Wave (3) .
Conservative Target: $4,200 (0.618 extension of Wave 1).
Ideal Target: $5,200 (Wave 1 = Wave 5 projection).
Timeline: Mid-2026 → Mid-2027, marking the next cycle peak.
📊 K ey Fibonacci Levels to Watch
$3,300–$3,000 → Wave 4 retracement support.
$4,194 → Resistance (0.618 extension).
$5,235 → Major target (1.000 extension).
⚖️ Risks to the Outlook
A correction below $2,700 would challenge the bullish Elliott Wave count.
Macro shifts (Fed policy, deflationary shocks, liquidity events) could alter wave development.
Stay flexible and adjust strategies as price action unfolds.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is nearing a short-term cyclical top around $3,820–$3,850 (Wave 3).
A correction toward $3,300–$3,000 (and possibly $2,700 ) may unfold into mid-2026 .
From there, expect a powerful Wave 5 rally toward $4,200–$5,200 , completing Intermediate Degree Wave (3) by 2027.
👉 Traders: Be cautious near the top.
👉 Investors: Use Wave 4 weakness as a chance to accumulate before the next big rally.
Gold Price Eyes Upside Targets After ConsolidationKey Observations:
Current Price: Around $3,867.92
Support Zone: Near $3,865.00 (indicated as the entry region for a potential long position)
Stop Loss: Placed below recent low at $3,855.018
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: $3,875.109
TP2: $3,880.404
TP3: $3,884.974
Price Action:
Market is recovering after a strong downward move.
Recent candles suggest consolidation or base-building near support.
A projected zigzag arrow indicates a bullish breakout expectation.
Risk-Reward: Favorable with a small stop and multiple profit targets.
📈 Trade Idea:
Strategy: Long/Bullish Reversal
Entry: Around $3,865.00
SL: $3,855.018
TP Levels: $3,875.109, $3,880.404, $3,884.974
Bias: Bullish, based on support holding and upside targets being defined.
Lingrid | GOLD Price Surge Cooling Short-Term PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD has printed a new ATH near 3,870 after completing two strong impulse legs within the upward channel. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion at the resistance zone, suggesting a short-term retracement phase is underway. A pullback toward 3,800 support is possible before any fresh attempt higher. The broader structure still favors bullish continuation as long as the channel trendline holds.
⚠️ Risks:
A sustained breakout above 3,870 could invalidate the retracement outlook.
U.S. economic data could shift sentiment abruptly.
Rising Treasury yields may cap gold’s upside momentum in the near term.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAU/USD Metals Outlook: Bullish Path with Layered Buy Entry Plan🔥 XAU/USD: Thief’s Gold Heist Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💰
🎯 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — The Shiny Metal’s Wealth Hunt!📈
Market: Metals Market
🏆 Strategy Vibe: Bullish Bandit Plan with a Thief-Style Layering Twist! 😎
🕵️♂️ The Thief’s Bullish Plan: Steal the Gold!
We’re diving into the XAU/USD market with a bullish swing/day trade setup using a slick Thief Layering Strategy. This involves stacking multiple buy limit orders to catch the price at key levels. No boring single entries here — we’re building a multi-layered trap to snag those pips! 🪤
📊 Key Setup Details
🎯 Entry Levels:
Deploy the Thief Layering Strategy with multiple buy limit orders at:
💰 3760
💰 3780
💰 3800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those limits like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL set at 3720.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is my take — you’re the boss of your trades! Set your stop loss based on your risk tolerance. Trade smart, steal smarter! 💡
🎉 Take Profit Target:
Aim for the Electric Shop High Voltage Trap at 3920. This zone screams strong resistance, overbought signals, and a potential trap for the unprepared. Escape with your profits before the market zaps you! ⚡️
Note: Thief OG’s, this TP is my suggestion. Grab your profits at your own pace and risk level — make it rain when you’re ready! 💸
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Dollar-Based Correlations)
Keep an eye on these USD-based pairs for market synergy and correlation:
FX:USDJPY : A stronger USD could pressure gold prices, so watch for inverse moves. If USD/JPY spikes, XAU/USD might dip. 📉
OANDA:USDCHF : Another safe-haven pair. If CHF strengthens, it could signal risk-off vibes impacting gold. 👀
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Gold often moves inversely to the dollar. A rising DXY could cap XAU/USD’s upside — stay sharp! 🧠
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Gold’s shiny cousin often follows XAU/USD’s lead. Check for confirmation in silver’s price action. ✨
Why Watch These? Correlations help you spot market sentiment. If USD strengthens across pairs, gold’s bullish run might face resistance. Use these as your Thief’s Radar to time your entries! 🕵️♀️
🔑 Key Points of the Thief Strategy
Layering Entries: Multiple buy limits spread risk and increase chances of catching a favorable entry. Think of it as setting multiple traps for the price! 🪤
Risk Management: The suggested SL at 3720 keeps losses tight, but adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance.
Resistance Watch: The 3920 zone is a high-voltage trap with overbought signals. Secure profits early to avoid getting caught in a reversal. ⚡️
Market Context: Gold thrives in uncertainty, so keep an eye on global events, Fed news, or inflation data that could spark volatility. 📡
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief-Style Trading Strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and trade at your own risk. Stay sneaky, stay safe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#️⃣ #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TradingView
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 10/2/2025Yesterday gold reached another ATH at 3895 and turned quickly to as low as 3856. Gold is now in my selling zone. Therefore, I expect it to have some serious corrections. However, there is no red candle in daily or 2D TF yet. Therefore, upside moves are possible for today. I have three senarios for selling orders:
1. If 3856 is broken, sell on retest
2. Sell from 3875
3. sell from 3895
My target for today is 3800.
Gold continues to rise on October 3!Judging from the ADP data outlook, the non-farm payrolls report may yet another surprise. First, let's discuss last night's situation. After hitting 3896, the price dipped briefly. This sharp drop wasn't a genuine sell-off by institutions, but rather a bid to clear out floating shares and completely crush bullish sentiment. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price is still fluctuating widely around the highs. If the lower band is broken, the short-term direction will definitely change. With a rebound, we can continue to see a move southward, at least to the 3790-95 area. Clearly, the price is once again in a range of fluctuations, but this weakness isn't a major weakness in the broader market.
Overall, the 4-hour chart shows only fluctuations, which haven't significantly altered the bullish outlook. Bulls have repeatedly reclaimed the 3840-50 range and tested the validity of the 50 level. Many may be hesitant to jump in or are waiting for the 40-30 level. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 60-50 level, once again deciding its direction. I'm definitely on the bull side!
Even if the European session falls, continue to buy at 3830-20. If 20 breaks down, you can still follow the trend and look for the 3800-3790-95 area in the short term!
In short, continue buying at 3860-55 as your first order today, with a stop-loss below 48. The goal is to reduce positions at 70, then continue to buy back after the price drops. Be sure to keep some remaining positions to bet on the non-farm payrolls breaking through 3900.
Non-farm payrolls delayed? Here's the analysis.Due to the government shutdown, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is not expected to release the non-farm payrolls report on Friday. However, several recent private sector indicators suggest weak hiring, limited layoffs, modest wage growth, and easing labor demand in September. This data generally aligns with the low hiring and low layoff trends observed before the government data release was suspended.
Even without the non-farm payrolls report, the market can still get a general sense of the labor market situation, allowing the Fed to confidently proceed with a rate cut later this month.
At the same time, combined with the MACD indicator, the downward cross formed far above the zero axis indicates that the upward momentum has weakened and the price is in a correction phase. In the short term, watch for signs of slowing in the decline; if the correction breaks below 3793, the trend could quickly shift to a downtrend.
Looking at the 1-hour level, with the sharp drop on Thursday, the overall trend is moving down from high to low and creating a new low, indicating that the 1-hour level trend has begun to fall. Short-term support is at the 3860-3865 area, which has been a significant resistance level for gold.
If the price cannot break through 3865 strongly, it will still usher in a trend of correction. At the same time, we should pay close attention to whether the non-farm data can be released as scheduled.
Before the non-farm payroll data release, if the price corrects to around 3830, consider a small long position, waiting for the data release.
Target 4000 GoldImportant week for Gold, we will have Payroll on Friday and we can look for new highs
We have a Bullrun up channel that has been holding for a long time, and it may be reaching Pullback levels.
We have an important reversal point if a price meltdown occurs, be alert in this region marked on the chart, a possible break in structure and retest could confirm this movement.
Possible pullback movement with target at 4000, it may be that this week there is no strength to seek but it is a target to be beaten if this bull run continues
Breaking this region marked as resistance, seeking liquidity above, giving strength to the possible 4000, this week can tell us where we will go this month of October.
1 October 2025 Trading Game of the Day Trading Plan :-
1-reversal pattern with a bearish market structure
2-Main BIAS as Bullish
3-market structure in reversal pattern is complex and difficult to trade due to simple cause which is against the trend.
LOOk for MS and trend the pullback of the trend in reversal pattern
Thank you
GOLD H1 | Potential Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 3,870.59, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,896.35, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,827.54, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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XAU/USD 1H Trade Plan | 1OCT
Market Structure: BOS confirmed after breaking previous high. ✅
Bias: Bullish continuation 📈
POI: Price tapped into demand zone and is showing accumulation signs.
LQC Context: Liquidity grabbed below intraday lows before reacting upwards.
🔹 Expecting price to consolidate in the demand, then push higher toward 3,900+.
🔹 Entry: From demand zone retest (mitigation).
🔹 TP: 3,901 (supply imbalance fill).
🔹 SL: Below demand base (3,853).
Gold (XAUUSD) – 3 October | Bearish Shift After Sharp Drop🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 3 October
Hello Disciplined Traders,
Welcome to the Chart Is Mirror Community 👋
Market Context
• Yesterday our M15 HL zone 3858.5–3853.5 played out perfectly, and the long setup hit TP ✅.
• Later in the session, Gold retested the all-time high 3895.5 before dropping sharply by nearly 770 pips .
• This move shifted the M15 internal structure bearish , confirming short-term downside momentum.
Key Observations
• My marked M15 POI 3863.5–3873.5 for shorts was tested in the early session.
• With LTF confirmation, a sell setup was executed and hit 120 pips TP cleanly.
• Current structure favors further short opportunities if supply zones hold.
Execution Plan
• Next POI to watch for shorts: 3859.8–3851.7 zone .
• If price retests and respects with LTF confirmation, another sell setup can be planned.
• If invalidated, reassess the price action for new structure shifts.
Discipline is patience — let the market confirm your plan before execution.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
XAUUSD Short: Targeting 3800 on a Corrective MoveHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish trend. This structure has guided the price higher through a series of impulsive moves and pullbacks, with buyers maintaining the initiative throughout this phase.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this channel. The price has rallied to directly test the channel's ascending supply line after a strong run-up. This is a key area where sellers are expected to emerge and challenge the prevailing bullish momentum.
My scenario for the development of events is a short-term corrective move from these highs. I expect that sellers will defend the supply line and reject the price, initiating a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break out higher would confirm a temporary correction is underway. The take-profit is therefore set at 3800, targeting the major demand zone. Manage your risk.
Gold minor pullback? MOST DEFINITELY!!For the past weeks gold has been on steroids but imaginary resistance 4000 is like not yet however theres not alot to say price will just keep making minor retracememts to prepare for buys right now we target our closest support level 3762 before we tap 4000 🪼✔️🪜
Trade with caution apply appropriate risk🙏🏾