Signal Type: Short-Term Buy Asset: Gold (XAUUSD)Signal Type: Short-Term Buy
Asset: Gold (XAUUSD)
Overview:
This buy signal is generated when price action meets key market conditions, providing a high-probability short-term opportunity. It is intended for traders looking to capture quick upside moves while managing risk carefully.
Why This Signal Occurs:
Market Structure Shift – The price shows early signs of strength after holding a higher low.
Indicator Confirmation – Our proprietary indicator confirms a bullish bias at the current level.
Entry Level – The signal identifies an optimal zone where buyers are likely to dominate.
Risk Management – Stop-loss levels are set tightly (max 50 pips) to protect capital.
Suggested Action:
Traders may consider entering long positions near the marked zone.
Take-profit targets are based on recent resistance levels or indicator guidance.
Position size should reflect individual risk tolerance.
Note:
This signal is designed for short-term trading only. Always follow your personal risk management rules and use this as a trade idea rather than a guaranteed outcome.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨
🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook
The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer.
🔑 Entry (Layered Style):
Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan).
The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle.
🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital):
3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨).
⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly.
🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone).
Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼.
💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way.
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies.
TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold.
BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven.
SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold.
📌 Key Takeaways:
Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling).
🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine.
⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860.
📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView
SMART MONEY CONCEPT (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – GOLD
The market just showed clear manipulation. After the CHOCH at the resistance zone, we had a sharp bearish move acting as a fake out, sweeping retail stop losses near the support area.
This liquidity grab aligned with the 1H FVG, confirming institutional interest and showing that the drop was only a setup to accumulate buy positions at lower prices.
Now, after the reaction at the support, price is setting up for a distribution phase. The first target is projected at 3,881, and if bullish momentum continues, we could see an extension to 3,910, where the market may create new Higher Highs (HH).
✅ Setup Highlights
• Liquidity sweep (retail stop hunt)
• Reaction at support + 1H FVG confirmation
• Possible retest near 3,855–3,860 (SMA)
• Target 1: 3,881
• Extension: 3,910
🚀 Let’s monitor price action carefully — institutions may be preparing for new highs.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS… ;)
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levelsH4 structure and levels
Bias: Still bullish (higher highs/lows), price above EMAs.
Supply/resistance: 3774, 3781–3806 (primary supply), 3830, 3874.
Demand/support: 3750–3745 (pivot/EMA confluence), 3738–3735, 3730–3720, 3707, 3685.
Volatility context: Typical H4 range about $12–$20; your $5 stop is ~25–40% of that—usable, but it demands precise triggers.
Setup 1: Buy 3766
Context: Long below major supply (3781–3806); limited clearance overhead.
Probability:
Taken as marked (3766 with 50‑pip/$5 stop): 40–45% due to frequent pullbacks before any breakout.
Improves to ~58–65% if you only take it after H4 acceptance above 3781 (close above, then a held retest of 3778–3781).
Alternative long with same stop: buy a pullback at 3750 ±0.5 with SL 3745; ~55–60% since you’re buying demand, not into supply.
Targets and R:R (risk = 50 pips = $500/lot):
T1 3774: +80 pips ≈ 1.6R
T2 3791: +250 pips ≈ 5.0R
T3 3806–3830: +400–640 pips ≈ 8–12.8R
Setup 2: Sell 3752
Context: Counter‑trend into layered demand (3738 → 3720) with EMAs below.
Probability:
As marked (3752 with a 50‑pip stop): 35–40% while H4 holds above 3745.
Improves to ~55–60% only after a clean H4 breakdown/close below 3738–3735 and a failed retest (sell 3738–3742, SL 3743–3745).
Higher‑quality short that fits the stop: fade 3781–3806 on H4 rejection (enter 3800–3805, SL 3805–3810); ~56–62%.
Targets and R:R (risk = 50 pips):
T1 3738: +140 pips ≈ 2.8R
T2 3730: +220 pips ≈ 4.4R
T3 3707: +450 pips ≈ 9.0R
Which ideas best match a 50‑pip/$500 max stop
Longs: Prefer 3750–3745 pullbacks or post‑acceptance above 3781. Avoid chasing 3766 into supply without confirmation.
Shorts: Prefer H4 rejection inside 3781–3806, or breakdown/retest short after an H4 close below 3738.
Entry filters and management
Long filter: Either H4 close >3781 and hold retest, or wick‑down into 3750–3745 that quickly reclaims 3755+.
Short filter: H4 long‑wick rejection in 3781–3806 with lower close, or H4 close <3738 and failed retest into 3738–3742.
Move to breakeven after +80–120 pips or once the nearest opposing level is cleared (e.g., long above 3774; short below 3738).
Scale partials at first objective (3774 for longs, 3738 for shorts); let runners aim for 3791/3806 or 3730/3707.
Week‑ahead catalysts (verify exact dates on your calendar)
Likely in the coming week: ISM Manufacturing (early week), JOLTS (early week), ADP (mid‑week), ISM Services (later), and NFP/Unemployment/Average Hourly Earnings (Fri, Oct 3).
Implications:
Strong labor/earnings or firm ISM Prices Paid → higher yields/stronger USD → bearish gold. Favors shorts from 3781–3806 or breakdowns below 3738.
Softer data → weaker USD/real yields → bullish gold. Favors buy‑the‑dip at 3750 or break‑and‑hold above 3781.
Tactics: Avoid initiating fresh breakouts within 12–24h of NFP; if in profit pre‑data, consider partials and protective stops at BE or just beyond structure.
Position sizing
Lot size = Account risk $ / (50 pips × $10). Example: risking $500 → 1.00 lot; risking $250 → 0.50 lot.
Bottom line
Buy 3766: 40–45% as marked; 58–65% after acceptance above 3781 or from a 3750 pullback.
Sell 3752: 35–40% into demand; 55–60% after a 3738 breakdown/retest or on a rejection from 3781–3806.
With a strict 50‑pip/$500 stop, the cleanest plays are: buy 3750–3745 or post‑acceptance above 3781; sell rejections in 3781–3806 or breakdowns below 3738.
Gold Weakens - Bearish Eyes on 3770Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is respecting the parallel channel really very well and now it has break the middle line of parallel channel and now it is possible that gold can move further low till the lower line of parallel channel. Gold is forming a higher lows . Currently it is now at 3820 and according to me gold will further fall and now gold is at a resistance area and it is respecting it superbly.. So now next move is possible around 3770.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 3820
Target 3770
Stoploss 3840
Resistance 3822/3831
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3882.5
Stop - 3888.0
Take - 3873.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Gold has been just ripping up for the last 7 week straight. I have marked on the chart where I would look to entertain a scalp trade, with my mindset looking for a potential Sell. We have no news until tomorrow here in the US, and this idea is based on speculation, and from my several years now at trading spot gold. I always use the same formula ( R.Banks / Uncle Ted) for securing profit. This is how I do it. As soon as I am 30 pips or so in profit, as I am using a high leveraged broker / platform) I close out and secure 75% of the trade. i move my Stop Loss to my entry point ( Break even) and I leave the runner ( the remaining 25% of the trade) running. Let's see how things heat up or cool down with the NY open, which is in an hour and 20 minues away from this post. Shout out to Big G. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Thursday
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3749 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
XAUUSD Forecast: Expecting Further Price SurgeHey everyone, Kilian here!
Gold is showing solid bullish momentum right now, with relentless buying pressure pushing prices higher. Recently, the metal broke through its final resistance level, then pulled back to retest it, a textbook example of a breakout followed by a classic retracement.
This retest was crucial, as the price was rejected at that level, turning it into a new support zone. This shift is a strong long-term buy signal, confirming that the bulls are firmly in control and positioning for further gains, with the next major target around 3,922.
On the fundamental side, XAUUSD's outlook remains positive. The U.S. government shutdown is fueling economic uncertainty, which is driving increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, strategic acquisitions are adding further strength to gold's upward momentum. That said, it’s important to remain cautious, as sudden shifts in market sentiment could quickly change the direction.
Stay tuned and watch how gold plays out in the coming days. The trend is looking strong, but always be prepared for potential changes!
BUY GOLD UNTIL WAVE 5 END - BIG SHORT IN NEXT 2 DAYS📊 Trading Plan based on SMC + Elliott Wave
1. Market Context
SMC (Smart Money Concept):
Price is consolidating around a strong liquidity zone.
Evidence of a stop hunt / long squeeze before a potential reversal.
The 3820 – 3822 area acts as a Demand Zone, where Smart Money is likely accumulating buy orders.
Elliott Wave:
Current structure suggests we are in Wave IV (corrective phase).
A confirmed breakout above 3895 (previous ATH) would validate the start of Wave V, with Fibonacci targets around 3915 – 3920 (1.272 – 1.618 FE).
2. Trading Logic
🔺 Buy Setup (SMC-based)
Entry Zone: 3820 – 3822 (Demand Zone).
This zone is expected to hold as institutional liquidity support.
Ideal area to position for the anticipated Wave V rally.
🔺 Breakout Buy (Elliott confirmation)
Trigger: Clean breakout above 3895 (ATH) with confirmation.
Target: Expansion towards 3915 – 3920 (Fibo extensions).
This confirms Wave V continuation.
🔹 Short-term Sell (Scalping idea)
Entry Zone: 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone + liquidity cluster).
Short-term reaction expected → possible retracement towards 3885 – 3870.
Note: This is counter-trend, only for scalping opportunities.
3. Trade Scenarios (SMC + Elliott Wave combined)
Price taps Demand Zone (3820 – 3822) → Long position targeting Wave V.
Breakout above ATH 3895 → Confirmation of Wave V → Continue long towards 3915+.
At 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone) → Expect short-term reaction → Intraday short setup.
4. Risk Management
Stop Loss for Buys: below 3816 (Demand invalidation).
Stop Loss for Shorts: above 3920 (Supply invalidation).
Main bias = long (Wave V continuation).
Short trades = counter-trend only (scalping pullbacks).
👉 In summary:
SMC view: Trade around liquidity pools (Demand/Supply Zones).
Elliott view: Structure suggests Wave IV is ending, Wave V expansion is next → bias remains bullish.