Bulls are strong, gold hits 4,000 this week!
Gold continues its strong bullish trend this week, and the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Trading strategies should adhere to the principle of buying on dips and avoid guessing the top. Gold has now broken through the 3,900 mark, with the 4,000 mark as a potential upside target. From a cyclical perspective, we expect continued unilateral gains in the early part of this week (Monday and Tuesday). Be wary of a shift to a volatile upward trend or a reversal in the midweek (Wednesday and Thursday). Friday is likely to see a corrective rally, but if a midweek reversal occurs, there could be a risk of a sharp correction on Friday. Maintain a trend-following trading strategy.
Technically, gold maintains a healthy upward trend along its short-term moving average on the 4-hour chart. The bottoming out during the US trading session has completed the technical pattern, building momentum for further gains. Although prices are currently fluctuating at high levels, a new high is almost certain to occur, as similar patterns have repeatedly broken through recently. Even if prices remain in a narrow range at high levels, there is a high probability of a direct upward move at the Asian open tomorrow. Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold prices are temporarily consolidating at high levels, but smaller technical indicators are showing signs of a certain degree of divergence. This suggests a continued period of high-level volatility and strength in the short term, and we should watch for opportunities for bullish entry after pullbacks. The overall technical structure remains solid and supports a bullish outlook.
Gold Recommendation: Continue buying on dips back to 3945-3940, with a target of 3970. As long as it doesn't fall below 3900, you can continue buying! Gold will reach 4000!
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Zone 4: Where Gold’s Next Move Will Be DecidedTVC:GOLD continues its impressive bullish structure, climbing cleanly through all prior resistance zones. Each expansion phase has been measured and consistent - alternating between ~1.7% impulsive legs and ~4.4% corrective expansions, forming a rhythmic price behavior that reflects controlled institutional flow rather than retail volatility.
Price is now operating within Zone 4, approaching the $3,987–$3,990 resistance target. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the current expansion range, making it a critical decision point.
If price follows the same historical rhythm observed in September, there’s a high probability we’ll see a tap of $3,987, followed by a retracement toward $3,914 (zone support) before any continuation attempt.
However, it's important to note that we’re currently in a blackout phase, with no tangible U.S. economic data releases to fuel directional conviction. This means momentum here is largely technically driven, and could mark the final phase for gold before a broader trend shift.
Key Note:
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation remains valid while above $3,900 support. I expect price to hit 3987 and then pullback to 3914 where possible re-accumulation repeats.
Volume remains steady but not euphoric - signaling disciplined accumulation rather than late FOMO.
Conclusion:
TVC:GOLD structure remains intact, but the market is entering a decision zone. The next move from here within 24-48 hours window, will likely determine whether we witness a final extension or the start of a deeper correction.
💭 Share your thoughts below if following this trade.
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Outlook (October 9, 2025)Market Structure Overview
Gold continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, showing consistent bullish momentum since late September. The price is respecting the channel’s midline and remains supported by a strong EMA cluster alignment — EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA100 > EMA200 — confirming the dominant uptrend.
Technical Highlights
Price recently bounced from the dynamic EMA50 and resumed its upward leg.
The consolidation zones from earlier in the trend (highlighted rectangles) served as accumulation phases before each breakout.
The current candle structure indicates mild exhaustion, but momentum remains intact as long as the 4,030 zone holds.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 4,004 – 4,030 (EMA confluence and previous breakout base)
Resistance Zone: 4,090 – 4,120 (upper channel boundary)
Trendline Support: Rising from 3,970, aligning with the lower edge of the channel
Trading Strategy
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation within channel
Buy Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 (look for bullish confirmation candle)
Stop-Loss: Below 4,000 (beneath EMA100)
Take-Profit Targets: 4,090 – 4,120 – open extension toward 4,150
If price closes below 4,000, expect a corrective pullback toward 3,970 before any rebound attempt.
Technical Indicators
EMA Structure: Perfect bullish alignment
RSI (H1): Hovering around 62 – slight overbought but still healthy for a trending market
Fibonacci Extension: 161.8% projection aligns near 4,120, adding confluence to the resistance target
Conclusion
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with the current consolidation likely serving as a bullish continuation flag. As long as price holds above 4,030, the path of least resistance remains upward toward 4,100+.
- Follow to stay updated with high-precision gold trading insights and intraday setups every session.
There is no top for gold, so don’t trade against the trend!Against the backdrop of the continued US government shutdown and no solution in the short term, the international gold price broke through the two major integer thresholds of $3,900 and $4,000 this week. The shutdown has delayed the release of several key economic data points, increasing uncertainty in financial markets and disrupting the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. Despite this, the market generally expects the Fed to implement two interest rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, political turmoil in France and ongoing global geopolitical risks have further fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets.
There are currently no obvious negative factors in the market, and the overall trend of gold is strong. Next, we need to focus on the upcoming non-farm payroll data and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes. These two pieces of information may bring new volatility and uncertainty to the market.
Judging from this round of rising market, it once again confirms the point that has been repeatedly emphasized before: the market always contains multiple possibilities, there is no absolute "peak", but only a constantly evolving trend. In an environment with a clear upward trend, following market direction is the key strategy for achieving stable returns. Avoid contrarian or emotional trading, especially in the current complex and volatile external environment. Trading without clear judgment and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses.
Technical analysis shows bullish momentum in both the long and short term. While the $4,000 level was anticipated, its arrival was slightly faster than anticipated. The current trading strategy recommends maintaining a buy-on-dip strategy while maintaining a cautious approach and avoiding blindly chasing higher prices. As the market has not yet fully stabilized, it is recommended to wait and see and intervene only when clear opportunities arise.
The above analysis is personal and for reference only. Subsequent gold strategies will be updated continuously, so please stay tuned.
GOLD: Buyers In Control! Fundamentals Support Higher Prices!Pre-Market analysis for Tuesday Oct 7, 2025
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Gold - New Cycle Formation: $4000 Breakout Opens Path to $5000Gold has consistently respected a cyclical structure in $1000 increments:
- Cycle 1: $1000 → $2000
- Cycle 2: $2000 → $3000
- Cycle 3: $3000 → $4000
With the latest breakout of $4000 , the market is signaling the beginning of a new cycle, with upside potential toward the $5000 zone.
Key Technical Levels:
- Immediate Support: $4000, $3764, $3617
- Lower Supports: $3500, $3389, $3213, $3000
- Upside Resistances: $4213, $4381, $4500, $4617, $4763
As long as price sustains above $4000, the structure favors continuation to the upside with $5000 as the next major target. A failure to hold above $4000 could trigger a deeper correction into lower supports, but the broader cyclical structure remains bullish, supporting the start of Cycle 4 with potential for new highs.
XAUUSD - SET UP TRADE I Oct/08/2025SET UP
🕯 BUY GOLD: 4030 – 4032
⚠️ SL: 4027
✔️ TP: 4036 → 4040 → 4044
** Gold is currently pushing too high with strong momentum. Entering FOMO buys at these levels is extremely risky, as the market may correct on the H4 timeframe, leading to unnecessary stop-loss hits.
👉 Therefore:
Stay disciplined, avoid emotional entries.
Wait for price to retrace to value zones before taking new buy positions.
Remember: Capital protection is always more important than chasing one trade.
GOLD (XAU/USD) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — BUY SETUP FROM SUPPORT ZONEPair: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: 3985.23
Trend: Bullish channel (ascending)
📊 Chart Structure Analysis
Ascending Channel:
Gold has been moving in a well-defined upward channel (highlighted in pink).
The price recently touched the upper boundary, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
Support Zone (Blue Area):
Around 3870–3880, identified as the support level.
This area has confluence with the midline of the channel, making it a potential buy zone.
Entry Point:
Marked at 3871.28 — ideally at or slightly above the support region after a pullback.
Stop Loss:
3857.81, just below the support zone.
This protects against a channel breakdown.
Target Point:
4017–4018, which aligns with the upper resistance or projected extension of the bullish channel.
This gives a reward-to-risk ratio > 3:1, which is favorable.
🔍 Price Action Expectation
Price is expected to retest the blue support zone (possibly after a minor drop).
If it holds, a bounce upward toward 4017–4020 is anticipated.
A break below 3857 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the path to 3820 or lower.
✅ Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Notes
Entry 3,871 Near support
Stop Loss 3,857 Below structure
Target 4,018 Channel resistance
Bias Bullish Buy from dips
RR Ratio ~3.3:1 Good reward setup
Gold (XAU/USD) Resistance Rejection and Bearish Correction SetupChart Overview
Pair: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: ≈ $4,036.59
Trend: Uptrend channel, but approaching a key resistance zone
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,066 – $4,123
Price has entered this zone, indicating potential bull exhaustion.
Support / Target Level: $3,833
Marked as the target point, aligning with previous structure support and 5.48% correction potential.
📈 Technical Structure
The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, the price is testing the upper boundary of this channel and resistance zone simultaneously.
The chart indicates a potential reversal (shown by the gray arrow) — a bearish correction after testing resistance.
🧭 Projection
Scenario 1 (Bearish Rejection):
If the price fails to break above $4,123, expect a retracement toward $3,833.
This aligns with a 5.48% pullback from the resistance area.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price closes above $4,125 with strong momentum, next resistance could be near $4,200–$4,250.
⚙️ Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bearish correction from resistance
Short-term Strategy: Look for short setups near $4,070–$4,120 with targets around $3,830
Invalidation Level: Sustained close above $4,130 (channel breakout confirmation)
Gold: Buy around 4002, target 4030-4059Gold Market Analysis:
The current high on the daily chart has reached 4059, a level so strong it's causing some serious doubt. Don't question the buying trend or speculate on the top. Even the sharp pullback in the Asian session was just a normal technical retracement. Many people are starting to speculate, thinking it's reached the top. Yesterday, we placed a buy order at 4036, which also saw a significant surge. Today, we bought again at 4006 in the early Asian session, making another profit. Control the rhythm of gold and buy decisively at support levels. I predict a correction today, and any pullbacks during this correction are buying opportunities. Don't sell; the likelihood of selling gold directly is slim. Focus on the minor support level at 3980 on the daily chart. Unless this level is broken, there's little room for selling. Furthermore, 4059 isn't a major top, so there's still the possibility of a new high. The Asian session has been trading in a narrow range, 4000-4036. The hourly resistance level is also around 4039, and the overall data level is near 4000. Today's Asian session will initially target 4000 for buying. If it breaks through 4000 and reaches 3980, we can buy again. Selling around 4039 is a bit aggressive, as the current market is prone to rising but difficult to falling.
Support levels are 3980 and 4000, while resistance levels are 4039 and 4059. 3980 is the dividing line between strength and weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent fundamentals and data have been relatively benign, with no significant market stimulus. We need to monitor the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy in October.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold: Buy around 4002, target 4030-4059
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3985
🆚 Reasons To Enter The path
————
➕ Volume Engaged & Confirmed
➕ Time Zone Aligned (London / NY)
➕ Liquidity Cleared Below
➕ Cluster Shield Active
➕ Delta Shift Showing Buyer Control
➕ Reversal Formation Detected
➕ Price Below POC – Ready for Retrace
➕ Entry Prepared with Zero Emotion
Gold: Near Record Highs on Fed Rate Cut and U.S. Political RisksGold: Near Record Highs on Fed Rate Cut and U.S. Political Risks
On Thursday, gold prices inched higher, staying close to the all-time peak reached a day earlier.
The metal is being supported by renewed speculation of additional Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, alongside rising concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown.
Soft ADP employment numbers ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report have strengthened expectations for Fed rate cuts, putting pressure on the U.S. dollar.
At the same time, uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown is also lending support to gold.
As long as GOLD defends the 3870 area, it remains bullish with no signs of turning back. Potential upside remains on track with targets as shown in the chart.
Key targets:
3900; 3925; 3950 and 4000
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold: Technical Pause Before US Data StormHello everyone, gold has just marked a new peak at $3,890/oz before pulling back slightly, a common pause in an ongoing uptrend. But the story is not just about technicals – this week the spotlight is on a series of major news releases from the US. Is this merely a “technical landing” or a preparation for another bullish wave?
News Context:
US Shutdown: For the first time in nearly seven years, the US government faces a shutdown. This not only disrupts public services and risks delayed federal salaries, but it could also postpone key economic data such as the NFP if the closure drags on. With fewer data points, markets tend to price in more uncertainty, putting pressure on the USD and Treasury yields – factors that usually support gold.
Economic Data & the Fed: On the calendar, indicators like Unemployment Claims, JOLTS, and ISM will be critical in shaping policy expectations. If numbers weaken, the Fed has more reason to soften its stance, which supports gold. However, if the Fed reverts to a “hard anti-inflation” tone, gold could see sharper swings.
Flows & Sentiment: The profit-taking after gold touched $3,890 is perfectly normal within a bull trend. Importantly, there are no signs of large-scale distribution – suggesting that big money continues to hold long positions.
Technical Analysis:
The uptrend remains intact as gold keeps its Higher High – Higher Low structure. The fresh peak at $3,890 confirms the bullish pattern, while the current pullback is just a retracement.
Key Supports: The shallow FVG zone at $3,855–3,845 is the first line of defence, with deeper support at $3,821–3,819. In strong trends, gold often rebounds from the shallow zone.
Main Scenario: A test of $3,855–3,845 followed by a rebound toward $3,878–3,885, then $3,895–3,905, and possibly extending to $3,915–3,925.
Invalidation Point: A H1 close below $3,814 would call the bullish scenario into question.
So what do you think: will gold bounce right from the shallow support, or does it need a deeper test before breaking above $3,900?
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3907 and a gap below at 3880. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3907
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3937
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4019
BEARISH TARGETS
3880
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3848
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3819
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3683
3654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3654 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3781
3743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold in a Bullish Trend but at a Complex Stage – Both Scenarios Gold in a Bullish Trend but at a Complex Stage – Both Scenarios Explained
Gold has been extending its strong bullish trend for quite some time, largely ignoring fundamental factors. Overall, the current situation is not worse than what we experienced during the Covid-19 period.
In this analysis, I outline how gold could develop in the coming days, or even today. Stay cautious and position yourself according to the scenario that best fits your trading style and comfort level.
You May Watch The Analysis For Further Details!
Thank You!
Pullback Alert: Gold Feeling the Heat at 4000As expected, gold continued to rise to the 3985-3995 area, reaching a high of around 3991, just a hair away from 4000. According to my calculations, the current resistance area of gold is located in the 3985-3995 area (for the specific calculation process, please refer to the previous trading idea). Therefore, I believe that within this range, we can begin to test the top and short gold.
Moreover, from the short-term performance, although gold still maintains a bullish trend, the short-term rise has been suppressed and the recent rise has weakened. Moreover, after the continuous rise in gold prices, the risk of chasing the rise has increased significantly. We must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs. Moreover, gold has repeatedly reached highs in the 3980-3990 area. Repeatedly reaching highs in a limited area is likely to mean that gold will usher in a wave of irreversible pullbacks in the short term.
In addition, we need to focus on the area near 3960. If gold can still stay above 3960 during repeated pullbacks, then gold will still maintain its current strong position, or at least maintain high-level fluctuations; if gold falls below the area near 3960 during the pullback, then gold may continue the pullback trend and is expected to continue to 3930, or even around 3900.
So for the current short-term trading, I think the time is ripe to short gold, and I have already shorted gold according to the above trading plan. Now I just need to wait patiently for gold to pull back and make a substantial profit!
XAU/USD – Pause in the Rally as Profit-Taking Takes HoldHello everyone,
After days of unstoppable gains and repeated record highs, gold (XAU/USD) is witnessing a notable correction. In today’s session, the metal fell sharply from $4,060 to $3,980 — a drop of $82 in a short span, reflecting strong profit-taking pressure as investors lock in gains near all-time highs.
Three main factors have driven this pullback:
First, the wave of profit-taking is a natural reaction after such an extended rally, with funds and short-term traders seizing the opportunity to secure profits at the top.
Second, geopolitical tension in the Middle East has eased temporarily after Israel and Hamas reached a hostage exchange agreement, slightly reducing safe-haven demand.
Lastly, the rebound in the U.S. dollar during the New York session, coupled with rising Treasury yields, added downside pressure on gold as holding the metal becomes costlier.
On the 1H chart, the broader bullish structure remains intact, but the market is undergoing a technical cooldown after an overheated rally. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) formed during recent upswings are being gradually filled — suggesting that gold may retest key supports before recovering. The Ichimoku cloud still sits below price, confirming the medium-term uptrend even as short-term sentiment leans corrective.
The $3,980–$3,950 zone now serves as crucial support to watch. Holding above it may trigger a rebound toward resistance at $4,020–$4,050. Conversely, a close below $3,950 could extend the correction toward $3,900 or even $3,850.
Overall, this phase looks more like a tactical pause than a trend reversal. The long-term bullish outlook remains valid as long as gold stays above $3,950.
What do you think — is this just a temporary breather before gold pushes higher again, or the start of a deeper correction?
Gold Watching 3,850 Support as Dollar Weakens on UsGovt ShutdownHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,850 zone. Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently in a correction phase, with price approaching this important support/resistance level.
Structure: Gold remains within an overall bullish structure and is also trading inside an ascending channel.
Key level in focus: 3,850 — a key support zone where buyers may look to step in.
Upside target: 3,930 — aligning with the channel resistance and potential area for bullish continuation.
Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown is adding bearish pressure on the US Dollar. Given Gold’s negative correlation with DXY, this environment continues to support the bullish bias for Gold.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Next Goal - 3900
Gold looks bullish again today,
following a completion of a correctional movement after an update of the ATH yesterday.
The market was accumulating for some time within a horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH indicates its highly probable completion.
The price will most likely continue rising now.
Goal - 3900
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XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 2H timeframe):XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 2H timeframe):
Price is currently around 3,881.
The chart shows a rising channel with Ichimoku support below.
The blue arrow points towards the upper boundary of the channel.
My marked “Target Point” lies around 3,940 – 3,950.
👉 Based on this setup, the target zone is 3,940 – 3,950 as long as price respects the channel support.