Gold enters the adjustment phase, rebound and then shortGold has broken below its rising trend line, entering a correction phase. After breaking below 4000 points, it has experienced a waterfall-like decline, forming a double top.
Our short positions entered below 4050 have all yielded good returns, in line with our recent short-selling expectations. The main reason for tonight's sharp drop is profit-taking at high levels, coupled with the easing of Middle East relations. Since gold has fallen below 4000 points, a continued downward correction to test 3900 is highly likely in the short term.
Operation strategy: Continue to enter short positions at 3977 (the position of the previous rising top and bottom conversion), target 3944.
Resistance levels: 3977, 3986, 4000
Support levels: 3944, 3930, 3900
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
Gold hold strength to break 3900 Level next weekMy analysis suggests that gold (XAUUSD) currently holds strong bullish momentum. Although there have been some short-term bearish displacements, they are not sufficient to indicate a complete trend reversal. From a market structure perspective, the overall trend remains bullish. I expect the price to move toward the TP1 level on the Fibonacci retracement drawn on the chart. Additionally, increased volatility can be anticipated once XAUUSD breaks above the 3900 level.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradeVoyager
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3938.967
💰TP: 3866.522
⛔️SL: 4006.583
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: After rebounding from the all-time high near 4058, the price is likely forming an accumulation near the current level in the area of the previous accumulation. This situation will likely lead to further short-term decline towards 3868. Additional targets can be looked for near 3640.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Current XAUPrice reached an All-Time High (ATH) and then retraced down to the 38.2% Fibonacci level
→ This suggests a potential bullish reversal, indicating the price may push upward again.
First target zone for price testing is between 3444–3447
Suggested Stop Loss (SL) at 3450
Key resistance level to test for a potential Sell entry is at 3473
Suggested Stop Loss (SL) at 3480
GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout
Gold closed, approaching a strong horizontal resistance based on a current
All-Time High.
Following a bullish accumulation, there is a high chance that the underlined
structure will be broken, and the price will go higher.
Wait for a 4H candle close above 3897 as a confirmation,
expect a bullish continuation to 3920 then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – No FOMO, No ProblemSince the beginning of October, I’ve argued that a correction in Gold should be next.
However, the market had other plans — this view didn’t materialize, and my three short trades ended with one winner, one break-even, and one stop loss, a big 0 overall...
So, am I upset for missing a 2,000-pip rally? Not at all.
This was a test of acceptance and a reminder that trading correctly matters more than catching every move.
Gold will still be here tomorrow — and if I don’t truly believe in a setup, there’s no reason to enter.
Technically speaking, Gold remains extremely bullish, but every move, no matter how strong, has an end somewhere.
Whether that top comes at 4050, 4100, or even 5000, no one can say with certainty.
For me, it’s simple:
If I don’t have a trade aligned with my conviction, I don’t trade.
As long as the upward channel remains intact, the trend stays bullish.
The key support is now around $4,000, and it will be interesting to see whether this level holds or if Gold will finally enter the much-needed correction phase.
For now, I stay out.
I don’t chase moves I don’t understand, and I don’t FOMO.
Call it caution, or even stupidit y — but a rise without correction is something I simply don’t trust. 🟡
Lingrid | GOLD Channel Breakout: Bullish Rally ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD continues to show strong bullish structure after breaking out of the consolidation zone and retesting support. Price action is riding the upward channel with higher highs and a clean A-B-C movement confirming the trend continuation. As long as buyers defend the 3,850 zone, the next objective lies toward 3,950 inside the resistance zone. The overall momentum favors trend extension with potential new highs if the breakout sustains.
⚠️ Risks:
Failure to hold above 3,850 could trigger a pullback toward 3,800.
Unexpected USD strength from macro data may cap gold’s upside.
A reversal signal within the resistance zone could limit the bullish breakout.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Continue to create new ATH, gold will increase next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 10/06/2025 - 10/10/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs 0.7% during Friday’s North American session to around $3,882, extending its winning streak to a seventh consecutive week as the US government shutdown enters its third day. A light US data calendar and muted Fed commentary keep traders leaning toward dovish expectations, while mixed PMI readings highlight steady but uneven economic activity.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Continue to maintain price increase next week. Gold price growth as the market continues to expect interest rate cut in October.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3897, $3925, $3945
Support: $3837, $3792
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Rebound or Breakdown? Gold Faces the 4K DilemmaYesterday:
After a new test of the 4060 ATH zone, Gold dropped exactly as expected — and as I warned in my recent posts, the move was sharp and decisive, leaving no second chance for traders to reassess.
This leg down measured roughly 1200 pips, finding support around the 3940 zone.
The Key Question: Was That It?
In my opinion — no.
I believe we’re likely to see a second wave of selling soon.
What We See Now
Currently, Gold has formed a double bottom around the 3940 support
Given the still-present bullish sentiment, a short-term rebound toward the 4,000+ area is possible.
Trading Plan
If such a rebound occurs, I see it as an opportunity to sell at better prices, targeting the 3900 zone.
However, I’ll be closely watching the 3940 support, which has held twice already. This could also provide a soft 500+ pips target if I manage to sell above 4k.
P.S.:
There’s also the possibility that Gold fails to rise above 4,000.
In that case, I’ll simply sell from lower levels, following price action confirmation.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Accurate Buy & Sell Reversal Entry DetectedTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
Bullish Reversal SCENARIO: 3889
➕ Volume engagement detected below POC
➕ Cluster Shield holding with clean rejection
➕ Delta shift showing early buyer interest
➕ Liquidity swept beneath intraday lows
➕ Session bias aligning with reversal logic
📍 Buy limit placed near lower edge of cluster – expecting retest & volume response.
🔴 Bearish Reversal - 3972 SCENARIO:
➕ Price rejected upper cluster zone sharply
➕ POC flipped into resistance with heavy delta pressure
➕ Liquidity taken above prior highs
➕ Volume decreasing on push-up (distribution signs)
➕ Session structure favoring downside continuation
📍 Sell limit positioned near upper cluster edge – waiting for confirmation wick or retest.
Both sides armed — cluster structure formed a dual zone of opportunity.
We let price decide which side triggers first.
The logic remains the same: Volume + POC + Delta Control = Precision Entry.
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with all our chart ideas now complete. Please see update on our Daily chart idea, which is now respecting the final target.
✅ 3776 & 3866 Targets Achieved!
Our chart ideas played out perfectly — 3683 → 3776 → 3866 final daily target completed.
Now the focus is on what’s next:
Breakout Scenario: A clear close above 3866 = continuation higher.
Rejection Scenario: Failure to close above = rejection, which we’re already starting to see now. Resistance is holding, and we may get the first leg of a correction.
Let’s see if momentum picks up enough to test the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
Key Levels
📉 Support: 3776 / 3683
📈 Resistance: Above 3866 (on confirmed breakout)
Stay tuned for the next update as this plays out.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold weekly chart with both Buy and Sell levelsCheck out last weeks chart , I closed with 600 pips but the buy ran for over 1300 pips
## XAUUSD 1-Hour Chart Analysis (Context: Late September/Early October)
The chart displays a clear **uptrend** leading into the marked entries, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, and price generally holding above the moving averages (the white and green lines). The current price action (as of the last visible bar on October 3rd/4th) shows some consolidation after hitting near the `Daily High 3897.130`.
### Key Technical Observations
1. **Trend:** Strongly bullish preceding the current consolidation.
2. **Levels:**
* The price is currently hovering between the recent swing high/Daily High and the previous day's open/close levels.
* The Fibonacci retracement (drawn from a recent swing low to the subsequent high) is prominent. The 50% level (`3855.926`) and the $0.618$ level (`3847.491`) are key potential support areas.
3. **Volume/Delta:** The chart indicates a "Macro Delta Volume" of 6.66% and "Premium/Discount" zones, suggesting the use of Order Flow or Volume Profile analysis, which generally confirms the bullish pressure leading up to the high.
### Analysis of Marked Entries
I have marked two entries based on a potential range breakout strategy:
* **Buy Entry:** `Buy 3894`
* **Sell Entry:** `Sell 3878`
These entries appear to be attempting to trade a **range breakout** or **breakdown** from the current consolidation zone. The area between 3878 and 3894 is likely the immediate trading range you are observing.
#### 1. Buy Entry: `Buy 3894`
* **Context:** This is placed just below the recent high (`Daily High 3897.130`) and the premium zone, aiming for a continuation of the prior strong uptrend.
* **Success Conditions:** Requires buyers to overcome the resistance at the recent high and push into new territory (potentially targeting `3900`, `3904`, or higher resistance at `3916`).
* **Probability Assessment:**
* **Pro:** The overall trend is bullish. Breaking the recent high suggests strong demand continuation.
* **Con:** The price has just experienced a significant move up and might be due for a deeper retracement (a "pullback" to the Daily Open or 50% Fib level) before breaking out. A breakout immediately after a large run can sometimes be a false breakout (a "trap").
* **Probability:** **Medium (50-60%)**. The success relies heavily on sustained momentum and failing to print a deeper retracement first. Aggressive buying pressure would be required to trigger this.
#### 2. Sell Entry: `Sell 3878`
* **Context:** This entry targets a breakdown below the immediate support of the current consolidation range, indicating a potential reversal or a bearish move toward key support levels (like the Fib levels or the Daily Low).
* **Success Conditions:** Requires sellers to push price past 3878, confirming the consolidation is resolving downward, likely targeting the Daily Open (`3864`) or the 50% Fibonacci retracement (`3856`).
* **Probability Assessment:**
* **Pro:** The strong momentum upward has paused, suggesting selling pressure might be starting to emerge. A move below 3878 validates a short-term bearish reversal or a deeper pullback.
* **Con:** The long-term trend remains strongly bullish. Selling into a strong trend, even for a pullback, is inherently riskier. The lower support structure (Fib levels) is generally robust in a bullish market.
* **Probability:** **Medium-High (55-65%)**. A retracement to the 50-61.8% Fib levels is a highly common and statistically probable event after a significant impulse move. If 3878 breaks, the road to 3864/3856 is quite clear.
---
1. **The Sell setup at 3878 has a slightly higher immediate probability** because pullbacks/retracements are common and expected after a large move, and a break below 3878 would signify the start of such a move.
2. **The Buy setup at 3894 offers greater reward potential** if the major trend continuation occurs, but it faces the immediate hurdle of the recent high and potential exhaustion.
**Risk Management Note:** For either trade, a failure to follow through quickly (i.e., if the price lingers around the entry level) should be a sign of caution.
---
## Look Ahead: Economic News and Impact on Gold (XAUUSD)
Assuming the current chart data is from early October (based on the time stamps), the focus for the coming week will be on the US Dollar (USD) strength, which is inversely correlated with the price of Gold, and overall risk sentiment.
Gold is highly sensitive to:
1. **Interest Rate Expectations:** Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold.
2. **Inflation/Economic Data:** Poor data often boosts Gold as a safe-haven asset, while strong data often boosts the USD (hurting Gold).
### Key Economic Events and Potential Impact (Hypothetical Oct Week)
| Event Category | Potential News | Usual Impact on USD | Probable Impact on XAUUSD |
| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **Inflation/Rates** | FOMC Meeting Minutes / Speeches from Federal Reserve Members (Hawkish commentary) | Stronger USD | **Negative.** Confirms a "higher for longer" rate view, pressuring Gold. |
| **Employment** | US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) or Initial Jobless Claims (Strong report) | Stronger USD | **Negative.** Strong job market reduces recession fears and allows the Fed to remain tight. |
| **Manufacturing** | ISM PMI Data (Better than expected) | Stronger USD | **Negative.** Suggests economic resilience, supporting US assets over safe havens. |
| **Risk Sentiment** | Geopolitical Shocks or Banking Sector Instability | Weaker USD (as capital flows to safety) | **Positive.** Gold acts as the primary safe-haven asset during times of high uncertainty. |
**Overall Expected Bias:** Given the recent momentum in the chart, if the week's economic data (especially jobs/inflation) comes in *strong* or *as expected (hawkish)*, it will likely lead to **USD strength**, pushing Gold from its recent highs and favoring your **Sell 3878** scenario (at least as a deeper retracement).
If the data is **significantly poorer** than expected, or a major external risk event occurs, this would fuel USD weakness and boost Gold, favoring your **Buy 3894** scenario for a strong bullish continuation.
Massive correction on Gold (BTMM)Hey there traders,
According to BTMM by Steve Mauro, we’ve just completed an extended rise from 3663 to 3900, which signals the potential setup for a **massive sell position**.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
* First target: 3152
* Once that level is broken, next target: 2774
Remember - without market structure, the world of trading wouldn’t function.
For a deeper dive into this analysis and more real-time breakdowns, make sure to check out my YouTube channel.
Stay sharp and trade safe!
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, showing a strong recovery from 4,002 support toward 4,040 resistance. The pattern signals bullish continuation, with price breaking the short-term trendline and aiming for 4,058–4,060 highs.
● Consistent higher lows confirm renewed buying momentum, supported by tight consolidation before a potential breakout.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains from a softer dollar and steady U.S. yields as traders anticipate dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve ahead of inflation data.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 4,022; targets 4,058–4,060. Technical breakout aligns with fundamental tailwinds for short-term bullish extension.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Complete Deep Pull back and is likely to retest 4025Gold Complete Deep Pull back and is likely
to retest 4025
After a quick drop to the demand zone 3950
Gole formed a Pin bar and now is forming
an Inside bar
Trading Plan:
Long gold now, Sl below the Pin
Aim 4025
Apply 2% risk rule, and close half position
when Reward Risk Ratio hit 2:!
All the bset!
XAUUSD the dump for now is called The price need some rest and fall here like the red arrow on chart and we may have that soon also we should consider this that news can also maybe dump a price for a little bit but if the war news continue which we had them more and more these days then without this correction our target which is 4150$ will touch because long-term we are bullish.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Gold price dropped sharply, adjusted around 3900⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) holds below the key $4,000 mark during the Asian session on Friday. While the metal remains under pressure after Thursday’s pullback from record highs, softer US Dollar momentum, expectations of further Fed rate cuts, and lingering US government shutdown concerns continue to lend support.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price started to have a large-scale correction, below 3400. Selling pressure continued around 3900.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4018 - 4020 SL 4025
TP1: $4005
TP2: $3980
TP3: $3965
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3894-$3896 SL $3889
TP1: $3905
TP2: $3920
TP3: $3935
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the $4k level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD remains inside an ascending channel but is showing early signs of exhaustion near 4,037 resistance. A bearish rejection from the upper boundary signals a potential pullback toward 4,026 and 3,998 support levels.
● Price has formed multiple lower wicks at channel resistance, confirming seller activity and suggesting a short-term correction phase before any rebound.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold sentiment weakens as the U.S. dollar strengthens amid risk aversion and higher Treasury yields ahead of upcoming Fed speeches.
✨ Summary
● Short bias below 4,037; correction targets 4,026–3,998. Rising yields and technical rejection align for short-term downside.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD surpasses $4,000, political risks and Fed rate cutOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in Asian trading on Wednesday morning, hovering around $4,006/ounce, approaching a record high. The gains were fueled by the risk of a US government shutdown, global political uncertainty, and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease monetary policy soon.
The US government shutdown has entered its second week, delaying many key economic data, including the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. This lack of information increases the level of uncertainty about monetary policy and forces investors to predict the direction of the Fed based on market signals rather than data.
According to CME FedWatch, traders are now pricing in an 84% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at its October meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%. The market is also pricing in a high probability of another cut in December.
The turmoil in the US government coupled with weak economic signals is reinforcing gold’s safe-haven status, especially in the context of a weak US dollar and volatile stock markets.
Alongside monetary policy, geopolitical risks are also playing a key role in sustaining demand for the precious metal.
In France, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu unexpectedly resigned just hours after taking office, raising concerns about the budget crisis and financial stability in the eurozone.
Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi’s victory in the ruling party leadership election has raised expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will maintain its easing policy for longer, thereby supporting gold prices.
In the currency market, the US dollar index (DXY) recovered slightly to around 98.7 points, but the upward trend was limited by expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates. At the same time, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.12%, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset.
If the non-farm payroll data after the government reopening shows a slowdown in job growth, investors believe this will further strengthen expectations of a new easing cycle by the Fed, thereby creating more momentum for gold to move towards the $4,100/ounce mark in the short term.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend analysis:
• Gold prices have been in a strong uptrend since mid-August, with a series of dense green candles and stable buying pressure.
• Currently, the price has surpassed the psychological level of 4,000 USD/ounce, closing the day above this level, showing that buyers are still in control of the market.
• The EMA50 (blue) continues to slope up, reflecting that the medium-term trend is still very positive.
• RSI remains above 70, signaling a mild overbought condition, but there is no clear bearish divergence signal, meaning that the uptrend still has room to run.
Important technical zones:
• Nearest resistance: $4,044 (0.382 Fibonacci level).
• Extended resistance: $4,113 and $4,182 (0.5 and 0.618 Fib) – potential targets for the next bullish wave.
• Short-term support: $3,959 (0.236 Fib) – important support zone for intraday recovery.
• Stronger support: $3,896 – $3,871, which coincide with the previous top and the lower edge of the rising channel.
Note:
• RSI is approaching the overbought zone, so a short-term technical correction may occur before continuing to increase.
• If the price closes below $3,950, be cautious of the possibility of a short-term recovery wave.
The main trend of gold is still strong, reinforced by technical factors and the macro context. In the short term, the $3,960 area is a potential buying point, with targets towards $4,110 - $4,180.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4038 - 4036⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4042
→Take Profit 1 4030
↨
→Take Profit 2 4024
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3974 - 3976⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3970
→Take Profit 1 3982
↨
→Take Profit 2 3988
GOLD CORRECTION TIME IS CLOSE I GUESSPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
"Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Continuation Towards 3910+"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 1-hour analysis. Price is currently trading around $3,877, holding above two key support zones at $3,864 (Support 1) and $3,852 (Support 2). The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if price respects these levels.
The projection indicates a rise toward the 3910 level (new ATH target), followed by further upside toward resistance levels at $3,900, $3,916, and $3,942. The overall bias remains bullish as long as the price holds above the support zones, signaling opportunities for buyers to push the market higher.