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Gold: Reach a new highGold has successfully stood firm above the key psychological level of 4000, continuing its rally to reach an all-time high. From the perspective of capital flows, although specific position data is lacking, the price-volume surge following the breakthrough,evidenced by both New York Gold and London Gold recording "rising prices with increasing trading volume" that confirms the continuous inflow of safe-haven funds. Additionally, the seasonal upward momentum of gold in October has not yet faded, and the momentum-driven uptrend continues, further strengthening the confidence of bullish investors. The 4000-4050 range has been effectively broken through, and this former resistance level has now transformed into a short-term support level. If gold can maintain a stable position above 4050 in the subsequent sessions, the next target range can be set at 4100-4150. For short-term support, focus on the key psychological level of 4000; a breakdown below this level may trigger a pullback to the 3950-3980 range. Buy 4010 - 4020 TP 4030 - 4040 - 4050 SL 4000 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PhoebeMiddleton
2
XAUUSD - SET UP TRADE #1 I Oct/10/2025BUY GOLD: 3958 – 3960 SL: 3955 TP: 3964 → 3968 → 3972 Stay calm and watch closely — this is a support area on H1, where the market often sweeps stoplosses before pulling back up. 👉 Let’s observe carefully: • If price shows a reversal signal, we’ll BUY again from this zone. • If price breaks down clearly, we’ll switch to SELL accordingly. Remember, every setup I share is executed around key value zones, so zone breakouts are part of trading probability, not mistakes. Stay patient and disciplined — the market always rewards preparation. ✅
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX68
1
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis & Trading ForecastXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Analysis & Trading Forecast Current Price: $3,886.75 | Date: October 4, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 Executive Summary Gold is trading at historic levels above $3,880, reflecting strong safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential monetary policy shifts. The asset is currently testing critical resistance zones while maintaining bullish momentum across multiple timeframes. Both intraday and swing traders should monitor key technical levels for optimal entry and exit strategies. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Monthly & Weekly Perspective (Swing Trading) Gold has experienced significant appreciation in 2025, with the current price action suggesting a continuation of the long-term uptrend that began in late 2022. Monthly charts reveal: Elliott Wave Analysis: Gold appears to be in Wave 5 of a major impulse sequence, targeting the $4,000-$4,200 zone based on Fibonacci extensions from previous wave structures. Ichimoku Cloud (Monthly): Price is trading well above the cloud with bullish Tenkan/Kijun cross, confirming strong trend strength. The cloud ahead remains thin, suggesting limited resistance until $4,050. Gann Analysis: Using the Square of 9 methodology from the 2020 low ($1,450), the current price aligns with the 315-degree angle, projecting next major resistance at $4,015 (360-degree completion) and $4,180 (next 45-degree increment). Key Weekly Support/Resistance Levels: Major Resistance: $3,920, $4,015, $4,180 Primary Support: $3,850, $3,765, $3,680 Critical Support: $3,580 (weekly 50 EMA) Daily Chart Analysis Candlestick Patterns: The recent price action shows a series of bullish engulfing patterns following pullbacks, indicating strong buying pressure at lower levels. Wyckoff Analysis: The current phase suggests we are in a re-accumulation schematic, with recent consolidation between $3,850-$3,920 representing a potential spring or test before continuation to higher targets. Harmonic Patterns: A bullish Gartley pattern completed at $3,765, projecting targets at $3,950 (0.618 retracement) and $4,050 (1.272 extension). RSI (Daily): Currently at 68, approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme. Historical analysis shows gold can sustain RSI above 70 for extended periods during strong trends. Bollinger Bands: Price is riding the upper band, with bandwidth expansion indicating increasing volatility. The middle band at $3,820 serves as dynamic support. Moving Averages: 20 EMA: $3,842 (immediate support) 50 EMA: $3,765 (critical support) 200 EMA: $3,580 (long-term trend confirmation) Golden Cross remains intact with 50 EMA well above 200 EMA Intraday Trading Strategy (Next 5 Trading Days) 4-Hour Chart Setup Current Structure: Gold is forming an ascending triangle pattern with resistance at $3,920 and rising support trend line from $3,765. VWAP Analysis: Anchored VWAP from October 1st stands at $3,872. Price trading above indicates bullish control. Volume profile shows high volume node at $3,860-$3,870, serving as magnetic support zone. Scenario 1 - Bullish Breakout: Entry: Break and close above $3,920 on 4H chart with strong volume Target 1: $3,965 (measured move from triangle) Target 2: $4,015 (Gann resistance) Target 3: $4,050 (Harmonic target) Stop Loss: $3,875 (below VWAP and triangle support) Risk/Reward: 1:3 Scenario 2 - Retracement Play: Entry: Pullback to $3,850-$3,860 zone with bullish reversal candle Target 1: $3,900 Target 2: $3,920 (triangle resistance) Stop Loss: $3,830 (below 20 EMA on 4H) Risk/Reward: 1:2.5 1-Hour Chart Tactical Levels Immediate Resistance Zones: $3,900-$3,905 (prior consolidation area) $3,920-$3,925 (major resistance cluster) $3,950 (psychological level) Immediate Support Zones: $3,872-$3,875 (VWAP & prior resistance turned support) $3,860-$3,865 (high volume node) $3,850 (minor swing low) RSI (1H): Currently 58, neutral zone with room to move higher. Watch for bullish divergence on pullbacks. Bollinger Bands (1H): Price oscillating between middle and upper band. Squeeze conditions suggest potential breakout imminent. 15-Minute & 5-Minute Scalping Strategy Best Trading Sessions: London open (08:00-12:00 UTC+4) and US open (15:30-19:30 UTC+4) for highest volatility and volume. Entry Criteria: Price must be above 15-min 50 EMA for long entries RSI pullback to 40-50 zone followed by bullish momentum surge Volume confirmation (above 20-period VWMA) Scalping Levels (Valid for next 5 days): Buy Zone: $3,875-$3,885 (quick 10-15 point targets) Sell Zone: $3,915-$3,925 (if rejection occurs) Stop Loss: Maximum 20 points ($200/contract) Target: 15-25 points ($150-$250/contract) Pattern Recognition: Watch for bull flags on 15-minute chart during uptrends as continuation patterns, typically resolving within 3-6 candles. Swing Trading Strategy (1-4 Week Horizon) Primary Swing Setup - Long Position Entry Strategy: Preferred Entry: $3,850-$3,870 on any weekly pullback Aggressive Entry: Current levels with wider stop Conservative Entry: Wait for daily close above $3,920 Position Sizing: Allocate only 30-40% of capital initially, scaling in at lower levels if opportunity presents. Target Zones: Target 1: $4,015 (15% position exit) - Gann resistance Target 2: $4,180 (35% position exit) - Elliott Wave projection Target 3: $4,350 (30% position exit) - 1.618 Fibonacci extension Runner: Hold remaining position with trailing stop Stop Loss Management: Initial Stop: $3,765 (below daily 50 EMA) Move to breakeven once Target 1 is reached Trail stop at previous week's low as price advances Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:4 from current levels Alternative Swing Setup - Counter-Trend (Higher Risk) Entry Trigger: Daily close below $3,850 with increased volume Short Entry: $3,840-$3,850 Targets: $3,765 (T1), $3,680 (T2) Stop Loss: $3,920 Note: Only consider if clear reversal pattern forms (bearish engulfing, head and shoulders). Current trend remains bullish. Pattern & Theory Analysis Elliott Wave Count Primary Count: Wave 1: $1,810 to $2,150 (2023) Wave 2: $2,150 to $1,990 (correction) Wave 3: $1,990 to $3,200 (extended wave) Wave 4: $3,200 to $2,960 (complex correction) Wave 5: $2,960 to current (potentially targeting $4,200+) We appear to be in sub-wave 5 of larger Wave 5, suggesting final leg of impulse move approaching. Harmonic Patterns Completed Patterns: Bullish Gartley (completed at $3,765) Bullish Bat pattern (completed in September at $3,680) Potential Forming Patterns: Bullish Butterfly pattern developing with D point potential at $3,750 if retracement occurs Wyckoff Market Phases Current analysis suggests Phase D (markup) of re-accumulation schematic. Characteristics observed: Signs of Strength (SOS): Strong rallies from $3,765 to $3,920 Last Point of Support (LPS): Recent test at $3,850-$3,860 Backup to the edge of creek: Minor pullbacks quickly bought This suggests institutional accumulation continues with further upside likely. Gann Time & Price Projections Time Cycles: Significant Gann time windows approaching: October 7-9, 2025: 90-degree square from previous major low October 15-18, 2025: 180-degree opposition, potential reversal or acceleration point Price Squares: Square of current price ($3,886) suggests natural resistance at $3,969 (square root progression) Gann angles from September low project resistance at $3,985 Ichimoku Analysis Daily Ichimoku: Price above all cloud components (strongly bullish) Tenkan-sen (9): $3,868 Kijun-sen (26): $3,845 Senkou Span A: $3,810 Senkou Span B: $3,765 Cloud Interpretation: Thick bullish cloud below price provides strong support cushion. Future cloud remains green, suggesting trend continuation expected. Trap Scenarios Bull Trap Risk: If price breaks above $3,920 but fails to hold and reverses below $3,880 within 24 hours with high volume, this could signal a bull trap Probability: Low (15-20%) given current fundamental backdrop Bear Trap Watch: Any sharp drop below $3,850 that quickly reverses above $3,870 could trap bearish traders This would likely accelerate the next leg higher Probability: Moderate (35-40%) if pullback occurs Volume & Momentum Analysis Volume Profile: High volume acceptance between $3,800-$3,900 Point of Control (POC): $3,865 Low volume area above $3,950 suggests potential for rapid movement if breached VWAP Signals: Price consistently holding above daily VWAP indicates institutional buying Weekly VWAP at $3,820 serves as strong support for swing positions Volume volatility increasing suggests preparing for significant move RSI Across Timeframes: 5-min: 52 (neutral) 15-min: 58 (bullish lean) 1H: 58 (bullish lean) 4H: 64 (approaching overbought, still healthy) Daily: 68 (strong but not extreme) Weekly: 71 (overbought but sustainable in strong trends) Moving Average Analysis: All major EMAs in bullish alignment (20>50>200) No death cross signals on any timeframe Price trading above 20 EMA on all timeframes except 5-min (normal intraday oscillation) Market Context & External Factors Fundamental Backdrop While this is primarily a technical analysis, traders should be aware that gold's current strength reflects: Geopolitical tensions that may be supporting safe-haven demand Central bank policies and potential monetary easing cycles Currency fluctuations particularly USD weakness Inflation concerns that typically support precious metals Key Events to Monitor (Next Week) Federal Reserve speakers: Any dovish commentary could propel gold higher Geopolitical developments: Escalation or de-escalation affects safe-haven flows Economic data: Employment figures, inflation reports can trigger volatility Dollar Index movements: Inverse correlation with gold typically strong Recommended Approach: Maintain stop losses below technical support levels regardless of fundamental views. Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can remain solvent. Risk Management Guidelines Position Sizing Intraday Trades: Risk 0.5-1% of account per trade Maximum 2-3 concurrent positions Respect maximum daily loss limit of 2% account value Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of account per position Scale in across multiple entries if possible Limit total gold exposure to 10-15% of portfolio Stop Loss Discipline Non-Negotiable Rules: Always set stop loss before entering position Never move stop loss further from entry (only toward profit) Exit immediately if stop is touched - no exceptions If stopped out twice from same level, wait for new setup Profit Taking Strategy Systematic Approach: Take partial profits at first target (never wrong to take profit) Move stop to breakeven after Target 1 Trail stop using previous swing lows (intraday) or daily lows (swing) Never let winner turn into loser once breakeven is reached Trading Plan Summary For Intraday Traders (Next 5 Days) Primary Focus: Watch for breakout above $3,920 or pullback to $3,860 support zone Best Times to Trade: London and US session opens for maximum liquidity Key Levels: Resistance: $3,920, $3,950, $4,000 Support: $3,875, $3,860, $3,850 Recommended Strategy: Buy dips near support with tight stops, or breakout trades above resistance with momentum confirmation For Swing Traders (1-4 Weeks) Primary Outlook: Bullish continuation toward $4,000-$4,200 zone Optimal Entry: Any pullback to $3,850-$3,870 represents opportunity Position Management: Scale in across multiple entries, scale out across multiple targets Major Resistance: $4,015 (Gann), $4,180 (Elliott Wave) Critical Support: $3,765 (daily 50 EMA) - break here invalidates bullish setup Conclusion & Final Recommendations Gold remains in a strong uptrend across all major timeframes with technical indicators supporting further appreciation. The current consolidation near all-time highs is typical behavior before the next leg higher. Both intraday and swing traders have clearly defined opportunities with favorable risk/reward ratios. Confidence Level: 75% probability of testing $4,000+ within next 2-4 weeks based on technical confluence Preferred Strategy: Buy dips with defined risk, scale out into strength Critical Warning: Any daily close below $3,765 would damage the bullish structure and require reassessment Next Major Update: October 11, 2025, or immediately following any significant technical breakout/breakdown Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. The author is not responsible for any trading losses incurred based on this analysis. Next Update: October 11, 2025 Analysis Valid Through: October 18, 2025 Prepared using advanced technical analysis incorporating Wyckoff, Elliott Wave, Gann, Harmonic Patterns, Ichimoku, and modern momentum indicators.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
1
Gold will retest 3900 before smashing that 4k.Gold Price Forecast: Retest and Breakout Potential This chart presents a bullish forecast for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) based on its established uptrend channel. The Projected Move The price action suggests a high probability of a near-term correction followed by a strong breakout above the psychological \mathbf{\$4,000} level. The Retest (Correction): Gold is currently trading near the upper resistance boundary of its upward channel at $3,992.20. We anticipate a pullback to the critical $3,900 support level. This blue horizontal line acts as a confluence point, aligning precisely with the lower trendline of the bullish channel around October 13th. This level is expected to be a major buying zone. The Bounce and Breakout: Should the \mathbf{\$3,900} support hold, it would confirm the strength of the overall bullish channel. From this bounce, gold is forecasted to resume its aggressive climb. The target is a decisive move that will smash through the \mathbf{\$4,000} resistance, aiming for the upper boundary of the channel (likely well above the $4,100 mark) in the following week. Key Trading Takeaway The forecast hinges on the $3,900 level holding as support. A successful retest offers an ideal entry point for traders looking to capture the continuation of the strong bullish trend and the anticipated breakout above $4,000.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Eyman
1
NFP is about to be released, continue to rise!Gold market has recently shown a strong Bullish move, but multiple timeframes are now indicating that the market has entered overbought conditions. RSI is already at higher levels, price has faced rejection near the ATH resistance, and on the 4H structure a clear FVG zone has formed which confirms the possibility of buying pressure from this area. If this rejection sustains, gold could develop a strong upside move with a major target around 3875.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevin-analysis
1
GOLD READY TO MOVE – Trade Smart, Not Emotional$OANDA: XAUUSD Gold is setting up beautifully for the new week! ⚡ I’m watching two key buy zones based on the 88% Fibonacci retracement — one from the 4H, and a stronger one from the Daily timeframe. Here’s the plan 👇 Wait for price to drop into that daily demand zone — that’s where the smart money steps in. You can short the move down, then flip long when price reacts — double profit, one setup. 💰 Don’t chase, wait for your levels. Trade like a sniper — not a machine gun. 🎯 This week, patience = profit. 💪🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MohamadKMD
1
Gold can be considered to be bought at 3935-3945If you agree with this point of view, please follow and like it, the gold strategy will continue to be updated! The price of gold has successfully broken through the $3,900 mark and is gradually approaching $4,000. This upward trend is completely in line with my recent predictions. I am not surprised and I have always maintained a long position in trading. The main reasons for the surge in gold prices are still the same: global economic slowdown, geopolitical conflicts, rising market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and intensified concerns about a prolonged shutdown of the US government. These are the main factors driving gold prices higher. From a technical perspective, gold has continued to rise for 7 consecutive weeks on a weekly basis, and the price at the daily level has been stably running above the major moving averages. The medium- and long-term bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. This is the idea I have always adhered to. In the short term, gold is showing signs of fatigue after its recent surge. Historically, gold prices often retreat after rapid surges, entering a new range of fluctuations. This is the optimal time to trade. Once you've mastered the buying and selling points, both long and short trades can generate profit. Strategy: Buy gold in the 3935-3945 area, target 3960-3970, focus on the new high above, if it breaks through, look to 3990. The above ideas are personal opinions and are time-sensitive. The real-time strategy may change flexibly based on market trends.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
4
GOLD Long From The Trend-Line! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD is expected to retest the ascending trendline as Smart Money accumulates around dynamic support. Liquidity has been swept above prior highs, and a correction into discount pricing could spark a bullish continuation toward 4,000$. Time Frame 4H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
2
GOLD UpdateHello everyone, As you observed yesterday, gold's price action attempted to push toward the highs around 3895, squeezing out all the shorters in the process. It formed a corrective structure if you open the M15 and M30 charts, you'll get a clear idea and then swept the highs, leading to an almost 800-pip sharp sell-off, as indicated in the first circled area. However, today, gold reclaimed the 3852 level in an impulsive move and pushed to 3890, also in an impulsive manner. Currently, most people are anticipating a sell-off due to the sharp selling seen in gold this week, but I'm not seeing a sell at the moment. I'm bullish on gold for now. If you check the M15 and M30 charts, you'll see that gold has reclaimed the 3852 level with a strong impulsive move and hit 3890. The chances are high that gold will hit 3900 to 3910, after which we'll need to monitor the price action closely. As long as gold remains above 3852, I'll stay as a buyer and won't consider selling. That said, if gold hits 3900 or yesterday's highs, and then creates corrective price action with at least a structure shift on the M15 chart, only then would I consider selling gold. For now, I've been super bullish on gold since the Asia session, and I still am. If you compare yesterday's move with today's on the M15 and M30 charts, you'll understand yesterday's price action was messy, while today's has been excellent and continues to look strong. Therefore, I see gold pushing toward yesterday's highs today, potentially even reaching 3900.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartsReadingByFahad
2
Will gold break through the 4000 mark today? I. Core View The gold market currently maintains a strong bullish trend overall, with both fundamental and technical aspects favoring an upward bias. However, as prices are at historical highs and in overbought territory, high vigilance is needed against potential short-term technical corrections or pullbacks triggered by profit-taking. The primary trading approach should be buying on dips, but chasing the rally higher requires caution. II. Fundamental Analysis Supportive Factors: Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Market expectations for further Fed rate cuts this year are weighing on the US Dollar, providing key support for non-yielding gold. High Risk Aversion: Persistent US government shutdown risks, alongside escalating global trade and geopolitical tensions, enhance gold's safe-haven appeal and limit its downside. Potential Risks: Short-Term USD Strength: A continued rebound in the US Dollar could exert short-term pressure on gold, although its impact is expected to be limited due to a lack of firm bullish conviction. Fundamental Conclusion: The favorable fundamental backdrop makes any substantial decline in gold prices difficult to sustain. The path of least resistance remains to the upside. III. Technical Analysis Trend: The strong bullish structure remains intact, with prices continuously setting new all-time highs on the daily chart. Current Price: Slightly retreated after hitting a new all-time high of $3978/oz. Key Target Level: Upside Target: $4000/oz is a key psychological and technical barrier. Key Support Levels: First Support: $3940 - $3930/oz Second Support: $3900/oz Major Support: $3850/oz Risk Warning: Recalling last week's price action, a significant correction followed Monday's sharp rally. Be alert for a potential repeat of a similar "corrective sharp decline post-rally" today (Tuesday). If the price decisively breaks below the $3900/oz support, it could trigger a deeper correction towards the $3850/oz area. IV. Trading Strategy Suggestions Primary Strategy: Buy on Dips Look for potential long entry opportunities near the $3940-3930 support zone if price stabilizes there. Consider positioning for longs if the price retreats to near the $3900 level and finds support. Targets are towards $3980-3990 and ultimately the $4000 threshold. Secondary Strategy: Cautious Shorting on Resistance Aggressive traders might consider light short positions if price initially tests the $3980-3990 resistance area and shows clear rejection signs (e.g., a long upper wick), using a tight stop loss and targeting lower support levels. This strategy carries higher risk and is more suitable for short-term traders. Risk Control Essentials: Strict Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss orders for long positions below key support levels (e.g., below $3930 or $3900). Monitor Breakdowns: Closely watch the $3900 support. A decisive break below it warrants a strategy adjustment to avoid the risk of a deeper pullback.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Opportunities
1
Gold Analysis – Spot Market (XAU/USD) 07-10-2025Gold is currently trading at $3,983 per ounce, marking a decline of $29.8 from the December futures contract, which last closed around $4,012.8. This represents a decrease of approximately 0.74%, reflecting the widening gap between the spot market and futures prices as investors take short-term profits in spot positions while maintaining longer-term hedging demand. In the short term, gold faces immediate resistance between $3,990 and $3,995, where short-term sell orders have capped upward movement during the early European session. The nearest support lies at $3,975, followed by a more significant level at $3,960, marking the base of the recent consolidation zone observed on liquidity maps. Current data indicates that bullish momentum has started to ease, with trading volumes lower than those seen during the surge above $4,000. Price flow indicators suggest a temporary balance between buying and selling pressure after the recent rally. Maintaining price action above the 50-period moving average on short-term charts keeps the broader trend positive; however, sustained trading below $3,990 could trigger a limited correction toward $3,965–$3,960 before another attempt to retest the $4,000 threshold. Overall, the medium-term outlook remains bullish, yet the clear divergence between spot and futures prices reflects short-term caution versus longer-term optimism, suggesting that gold may trade in a more volatile and cautious manner around current levels in the coming hours.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AmirMIssa
2
XAUUSD (Gold) Market Analysis📊 XAUUSD (Gold) Market Analysis Date: 03 October 2025 Time: 9:30 PM ❇️ Trend Direction HTF (4H): Overall structure remains bullish. However, the 3890–3900 strong resistance (PDH + Premium Zone) has rejected price multiple times. If this rejection holds, a short-term bearish correction is likely. LTF (1H & 15M): A strong rejection candle formed at 3887. 3861 is acting as the intraday key support. A liquidity pool is present in the 3823 – 3800 zone. ❇️ Key Price Levels Resistance Zones: 3900 – 3890 → Strong High (Premium Zone + PDH) 3880 – 3887 → Immediate Supply Zone Support Zones: 3861 → Intraday Key Support 3823 → PDL (Liquidity Zone) 3800 – 3795 → Strong Fibo 61.8% + Order Block Demand ❇️ Smart Money Concept (SMC) Multiple CHoCH + BOS indicate buyers are still active. A liquidity sweep above 3890 could trigger a short trap, leading to a quick push down (targets: 3861 → 3823). If price drops into the 3820–3800 demand zone, institutional buying is expected. ❇️ Fibonacci Analysis Swing: 3745 Low → 3890 High 38.2% retracement = 3840 61.8% retracement = 3800 ➡️ 3840 = first buy zone, 3800 = ultimate buy zone. ❇️ RSI (1H) Current RSI = 72 (overbought) → confirms short-term correction. If RSI drops to 40–45 level, strong buy confirmation will align with the 3820–3800 demand zone. ❇️ Volume Heavy selling volume confirmed at 3890 rejection. Buyer absorption is visible around 3860–3850, showing an ongoing buyer vs seller battle. ❇️ Fundamental Analysis Due to today’s NFP report delay, market remains directionless. Once the report is released, high volatility is expected. Likely scenario: liquidity sweep above 3890 → bearish correction down → continuation of bullish trend. ⭐ Trading Plan (High Accuracy) 🔻 Sell Setup (Intraday) Entry: 3887 – 3890 rejection Target 1: 3861 Target 2: 3823 SL: 3895 🔺 Buy Setup (Scalp/Intraday) Entry: 3861 support hold Target 1: 3880 Target 2: 3890 SL: 3855 🔺 Swing Buy Setup (High Probability) Entry: 3820 – 3800 demand zone Target 1: 3880 Target 2: 3900 Extended Target: 3920 SL: 3790 ✅ Final Summary: Short-term traders: Prioritize sell setups from 3890 rejection. Strong supports: 3861 & 3820–3800 (swing buy zones). Intraday plan: Sell 3890 → Targets 3861 / 3823. Swing plan: Wait for buy entries in 3820–3800 demand zone for bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FSFinancialAdvisorBD
1
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STAY CLOSE TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, a critical boundary to assess whether the uptrend will continue or begin to adjust. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD rises slightly and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing strong investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices continue to move within a clear upward channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear in a tug-of-war. Important resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical adjustment. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 MAIN SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with the high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on confirmation of breaking 4005: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below 4005. 🟢 SHORT-TERM BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Wave surfing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental View Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains the focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, up 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, it is necessary to closely follow price action at the 4043 – 4005 boundary to determine the next direction. Prioritize selling at resistance – buying at support, taking advantage of fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (confirm new trend)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
2
Lingrid | GOLD Bullish Trend Extension OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD remains in a strong bullish structure, holding above the confluence zone near 3,940 and respecting the upward trendline. Price action forms higher highs inside the ascending channel, suggesting continuation toward the 4,055–4,100 resistance zone in the mid-term. As long as 3,940 holds as support, the next leg toward the 4055 target remains valid. Broader trend momentum confirms sustained buying pressure aligned with the overall bullish trajectory. ⚠️ Risks: A close below 3,940 could invalidate the bullish continuation setup. Sudden shifts in U.S. economic data or Treasury yields may strengthen the dollar. Market reaction to inflation-related announcements could trigger short-term volatility. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
5