The adjustment has begun, seize the opportunityGold has remained in overbought territory for the past month. After four consecutive days of strong gains, investors have taken profits, and gold's safe-haven appeal has waned. US President Trump stated that a resolution to the Middle East conflict is "very close." Previously, Israeli and Hamas officials expressed cautious optimism about ongoing negotiations in Egypt, believing that the two-year Gaza conflict could end.
From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator has been in the overbought range. As mentioned before, the recent rise in gold was driven by news. When geopolitical tensions ease, gold will definitely adjust. Today's trend is in line with our expectations. At this stage, we only need to focus on the 4000 point support. If it falls below this position, the next support will be at 3977-3980.
Those who followed me in entering short positions below 4050 today have already taken profits on some of their positions near 4020, and will gradually take profits on the remaining positions near 4000.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
SPOTGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops.
📉 Analysis
The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction.
The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions.
Key resistance:
Strong resistance:
Strong support:
📊 Trading Plan
Buy the dip:
Wait to buy at with confirmation.
Targets: first 3950, then .
Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R.
Sell at resistance:
Watch reactions at .
If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is .
Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly.
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Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Short term selling, target 3965The rise has been too rapid. Let's see if it can break through the resistance level of 3985.
Sell briefly now: TP 3865, SL 3885.
Be sure to set the SL correctly. If it breaks through 3885, it will rise straight to 4000, which will trigger another wave of panic selling.
XAU/USD(20251007) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
① The US September non-farm payroll report was not released as planned, the first time in 12 years.
② The US Secretary of Labor stated that the September employment data will be released immediately once the government reopens.
③ Fed Chair Goolsbee stated that the Chicago Fed estimated the September unemployment rate should have been 4.3%.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3938
Support and Resistance Levels:
4023
3991
3970
3905
3884
3853
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 3970, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 3991.
If the market breaks below 3938, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 3905.
BUY SIGNAL; ASSET GOLD /XAUUSDBullish momentum confirmed with strong structure break and rejection from key support zone.
Price showing continuation strength ahead of the London session.
Targeting higher liquidity levels with clear upside potential.
Entry: Active
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
Take Profit: 1st AT 100 PIPS DAILY SIGNALS
Momentum is building as bulls step back into control!
This setup highlights a high-probability short-term buying opportunity, ideal for traders who thrive on clean structure, momentum, and precision timing.
Market Snapshot
Structure Shift: Price holds a strong higher low — a classic sign of bullish intent.
Momentum Building: Buyers are defending key levels, showing early control.
Entry Zone: A focused area where upside acceleration is likely to begin.
Risk Control: Stop-loss levels kept tight (around 40–50 pips) for efficient capital protection.
Trading Outlook
Consider long entries near the highlighted zone as confirmation builds.
Targets: Short-term take-profits toward recent resistance or liquidity zones.
Tip: Adjust your lot size based on your personal risk plan — precision over size wins.
Trader’s Note
This signal focuses on short-term market momentum. Use it as part of a broader trading plan — not a guarantee. Stay disciplined, follow your risk rules, and let structure guide your trade.
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger.
Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being.
From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
Gold Eyes $3,890 Resistance After Strong ReboundGold erased Thursday’s drop and climbed back to the $3,890/oz region during Friday’s session.
Weaker USD after U.S. data,
Mixed U.S. bond yields,
And rising uncertainty over the potential U.S. government shutdown
→ All boosted safe-haven demand and pushed XAU/USD higher.
But the $3,890 – $3,895 resistance zone remains the key barrier in the short term.
📐 Technical Outlook (FiboMatrix Zones)
🔴 Resistance / Sell Zone
$3,890 – $3,895 → Strong rejection area.
🟢 Support / Buy Zones
$3,870 – $3,868 → Intraday support, trendline retest.
$3,852 – $3,850 → Strong demand zone, aligned with Fibo 0.618.
$3,835 – $3,830 → Deeper liquidity zone, long-term buy interest.
📊 Trade Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Short-Term Scalps
Entry: $3,890 – $3,895
Targets: $3,870 → $3,852
Stop Loss: Above $3,900
2️⃣ BUY on Pullback
Entry: $3,852 – $3,850
Targets: $3,880 → $3,890+
Stop Loss: Below $3,842
3️⃣ BUY Strategic Setup (Swing)
Entry: $3,835 – $3,830
Targets: $3,890 → $3,900
Stop Loss: Below $3,820
⚡ Key Notes
Watch USD moves & political headlines in the U.S. – they will drive volatility.
BUY setups at major support zones remain more favorable.
SELL only for scalpers with strict risk management.
💬 What do you think traders? Will Gold break through $3,890 to hit $3,900, or pull back deeper before the next rally?
👇 Share your setups below!
Gold rebound is still a good opportunity to short!Judging from the current trend, gold was affected by the easing of geopolitical situation, and the risk aversion sentiment temporarily receded. After falling below the 4000 mark, it quickly extended to around 3944. The daily line closed with a medium-sized negative line, almost completely engulfing the previous day's gains. The short-term indicators formed a death cross at a high level, and the momentum weakened significantly. The focus of the day is on the gains and losses of the 4000 mark, which is also the key position for the recent top and bottom conversion. In the 4-hour cycle, the price rose and fell again and closed lower. The big negative line broke through the middle track support. The previous strong unilateral bullish pattern was broken and the market entered a pullback correction stage. Therefore, it is expected that there will be room for repeated adjustments today. The upper pressure focuses on the 3980-3995 area, and the lower short-term support focuses on the 3945-3940 area. If it stabilizes and does not break, you can consider trying to go long on gold with a light position. If it breaks further, pay attention to the bullish defense zone in the 3930-3920 area, and then consider going long on gold. In terms of overall operations, maintain the idea of main short and auxiliary long, wait for the key point confirmation signal, enter the market steadily, strictly control the risk, and execution is still the key to profitability.
XAUUSD | Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: Where is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below.
1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂
Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" points (Break of Structure).
Every time Gold breaks a previous peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the uptrend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely dominant and shows no signs of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave."
2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐
To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is crucial. Based on the chart, we have 2 notable potential buying zones:
Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level where prices tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone.
Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave.
3. Conquest Target - What's Gold's Next Destination? 🎯
Once we have a buying position, where will our target be?
Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits.
Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is a critical "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders from the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves.
Summary & Advice
Main trend: UP.
Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to key support zones.
Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG).
Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target).
Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for every trade.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN?
Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your thoughts and perspectives in the comments below. Let's discuss together to find the best opportunities!
👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analysis!
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound from the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD rebounded sharply from the 3,950 demand zone, breaking through descending resistance and signaling the start of a recovery phase.
● Price now targets the 4,014 resistance, supported by higher lows and a potential bullish channel breakout confirmation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains support from weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and expectations that upcoming inflation data may reinforce dovish Fed positioning.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 3,950; targets 4,014. Technical reversal aligns with macro-driven dollar softness, favoring short-term bullish momentum.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long position: xau/usd 08.10.25 / 2.36pm
- This was a great position taken today from our community!! executed perfectly and all TP smashed!!
- We keep it simple using volume build up, order blocks and FVG. This trade was perfect in terms of a basic set up. But this is all we need DO NOT over complicate trading!! its doing the simple things consistently over and over again....
- Feel free to apply we are accepting applications to our company at the moment and I have seen quality trades on here. DO NOT hesitate!!! take this opportunity with both hands.
XAUUSD Current Price: 3941.95
Trade on Chart: A sell position is shown near 3927 with a TP (take profit) lower.
RSI (14): 72.49 → Overbought region
Trend: Strong recent bullish move (uptrend)
Moving Average (red line): Price is trading well above the moving average, confirming strong upward momentum.
---
🧭 Technical Insights
1. RSI > 70
Indicates overbought conditions — price may be due for a pullback or correction soon.
Look for bearish reversal candles or divergence on RSI to confirm weakness.
2. Support Levels:
Around 3920–3925 (previous resistance, now possible support)
Below that: 3890–3900
3. Resistance Levels:
Near 3950–3960 (current local high zone)
If broken and held, next resistance around 3980–4000
4. Short-term Bias:
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
________________________________________
📈 Market Context
Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD.
Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms.
________________________________________
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017.
• FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone.
• BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control.
• The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910.
________________________________________
🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017
SL: 4022
TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side.
• Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks.
• Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction.
________________________________________
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data.
Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910.
However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+.
🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
XAUUSD 1H Technical & Fundamental Update📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical & Fundamental Update
🟡 Fundamental Outlook:
Gold remains supported as investors seek safe-haven assets amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weaker USD outlook. Recent economic data also suggests potential monetary easing from major central banks, which could further strengthen demand for Gold.
📈 Technical Outlook:
On the 1-hour chart, Gold declined after forming a double top around the $4,000 area, with price retracing down to a major key support at $3,950.
After retesting this key support, price rebounded and reached a minor key resistance at $3,970, where accumulation began. A doji hammer formed at the top of this zone, followed by a bullish engulfing candle, signaling potential continuation to the upside.
After a liquidity grab within the current liquidity zone, our point of interest (POI) lies at $3,974.770.
📌 Trading Plan (DTF Bias – Bullish)
Entry: 3,974.770
Stop Loss: 3,960.000 (within liquidity zone)
Take Profit: 4,021.200 (next potential minor key resistance)
This setup aligns both fundamental strength and technical confirmation, favoring a bullish continuation on Gold.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
XAU/USD Intraday Analysis – October 8, 2025Gold is currently trading around 4,036 USD, maintaining a strong bullish trend after breaking out of the previous ascending channel. The H1 chart shows clear momentum with higher highs and higher lows, indicating buyer dominance. A minor pullback is expected before the continuation of the uptrend.
Technical Highlights:
Current Price: 4,036 USD
Recent High: 4,049 USD
Recent Low: 4,033 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 4,020 – 4,025 USD (short-term pullback zone)
S2: 3,980 – 3,990 USD (former channel resistance turned support)
S3: 3,940 – 3,950 USD (major intraday support)
Resistance Levels:
R1: 4,060 – 4,065 USD (next intraday target)
R2: 4,100 USD (psychological barrier)
R3: 4,120 USD (projection based on recent momentum)
Indicators & Patterns:
Price has broken above the previous ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum.
A minor retracement towards 4,020 – 4,025 could provide a high-probability buying opportunity.
EMA cluster below the current price supports the bullish trend.
RSI indicates slight overbought conditions, suggesting a temporary pullback is possible before continuation.
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Buy: On minor pullback to 4,020 – 4,025 USD
Stop Loss: 4,010 USD
Take Profit 1: 4,060 USD
Take Profit 2: 4,085 USD
Take Profit 3: 4,120 USD
Conservative Buy: Wait for confirmation of support hold at 4,025 USD
Stop Loss: 4,015 USD
Take Profit: 4,085 – 4,100 USD
Summary:
Gold remains in a bullish trend on H1, with a potential continuation towards 4,100 – 4,120 USD after a short-term retracement. Traders should monitor the 4,020 – 4,025 support zone for high-probability entries and use proper risk management.
Remember: Always confirm momentum with price action and key support before entering new trades. Save this analysis if you find it helpful and follow for further intraday strategies.
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis
Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact.
Analysis of Core Drivers
1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices.
2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market.
3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid.
Trading Strategy
Downward Support:
Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive.
Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged.
Upward Resistance:
Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum.
Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100.
Trading Recommendations:
We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area.
I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
Outlook 6 September2025 - ScalpersHere is the outlook for scalpers metodh. Now, market has been make a new resistence in m5. My target is simply, wait for the moment to sell after the market breakdown the rbs from m15.
No waste ur time, take a look or waste - it is your choice. Let we see how can market be.