Is This the Perfect Short Entry in Sugar RAW? Check the Plan!๐ดโโ ๏ธ Thief OGโs Sugar RAW CFD Money Making Plan ๐ฐ (Swing/Day Trade)
Asset: SUGAR RAW Commodities CFD
Plan: Bearish Plan confirmed with 200 SMA rejection of bulls + seller pressure on the downside
โก Trade Setup โ Thief Strategy Style
Entry: Use Thief layering strategy with multiple limit orders:
Example: 16.000 / 15.800 / 15.600 / 16.100
๐ก You can increase limit layers based on your own plan.
Stop Loss: Thief SL @16.400 โ
Adjust based on your strategy & risk appetite.
Target: Support + oversold + market reversal trap โ Target @15.000 ๐ฏ
Note: Take profits at your discretion โ โstolen moneyโ is yours to keep ๐ต
๐ Why This Plan? โ Thief Technical + Macro Analysis (SEPTEMBER 05)
Thief Technical Plan:
Bearish trend confirmed via 200 SMA rejection ๐
Multiple layer entries to optimize risk/reward โก
Market traps and reversal zones accounted for ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ
Fundamental & Macro Insights:
Fundamental Score: 6/10
โ
Record global production: 189.3M MT (Brazil & Thailand)
โ Surplus of 7.5M MT pressuring prices
โ ๏ธ Logistical bottlenecks & ethanol competition affecting supply
Macro Score: 5/10
๐ Weak global demand amid slowdown
๐ Geopolitical tensions affecting trade flows
๐ต Strong USD capping gains
Investor Sentiment:
Retail Traders: Bullish 45% ๐ / Bearish 55% ๐ป
Institutional Traders: Bullish 35% ๐ / Bearish 65% ๐ป
Fear & Greed Index:
Current Level: 40/100 ๐จ Neutral โ slight fear
Mood: Cautious due to oversupply
Overall Market Outlook: Bearish ๐
Oversupply + weak demand + macro headwinds outweigh emerging market demand potential
๐ Related Pairs to Watch:
$COFFEEUSD โ
$COTTONUSD ๐งต
OANDA:SUGARUSD ๐ฌ
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SUGARNO11 trade ideas
Sugar Is In A Higher Degree Correction; Elliott Wave AnalysisSugar has been trading lower since 2023 when we spotted final wave V of an impulse on the weekly chart. So from Elliott wave perspective, itโs trading in a multi-year higher degree ABC corrective decline, where wave C can drop the price even down to 78,6% Fibonnaci retracement and 14-12 support area before bulls show up again.
The reason why Sugar can go lower is a short-term daily Elliott wave structure, where we see a five-wave leading diagonal formation into wave A, followed by a bearish abcde triangle pattern in wave B. It can now extend the decline within wave C towards 14 -12 area which can be made by a lower-degree five-wave bearish cycle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
Sugar (CFD) โ Bullish Setup from a Key Demand Zone! ๐ฅ Sugar (CFD) โ Bullish Setup from a Key Demand Zone! ๐ฌ
Sugar is bouncing off a major demand zone, presenting a great risk/reward setup for a bullish move. With technical indicators signaling a reversal and fundamental tailwinds supporting higher prices, this could be a great swing trade opportunity. Letโs dive into the setup!
๐ผ Trade Setup (CFD Pricing):
๐น Entry Price: 1,770
๐ฏ Take Profit 1: 1,820
๐ฏ Take Profit 2: 1,930
๐ฏ Take Profit 3: 2,070
๐ฏ Take Profit 4: 2,350
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss: 1,650
๐ Why Am I Bullish on Sugar?
1๏ธโฃ Technical Reversal from a Strong Demand Zone
Sugar is bouncing off a key support level around 1,750-1,770, a demand zone that has held multiple times in the past. This level has consistently attracted buyers, and the current bounce suggests renewed interest from bulls.
Additionally, the RSI is climbing out of oversold territory, and Stochastic indicators are signaling a potential reversal, which supports a bullish outlook.
2๏ธโฃ Fundamental Tailwinds
The global sugar market remains tight, with ongoing supply concerns in major producing countries like Brazil and India. At the same time, demand from China continues to rise, adding upward pressure on prices.
With weather risks and logistical issues, the supply/demand imbalance favors higher prices in the medium term.
๐ก Final Thoughts:
Sugar is setting up for a strong bullish move, with both technical and fundamental factors aligning. If the price holds above the 1,750 demand zone, we could see a rally toward 2,000 and beyond.
Keep an eye on the 1,800 breakout level, which could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. Letโs see how it plays out! ๐
๐ฌ Whatโs your take on Sugar? Are you bullish too? Drop your thoughts below! ๐
Sugar Market: Higher U.S. Production and Global Trade ShiftsRising U.S. Sugar Production and Its Impact on Prices
In recent years, the United States has witnessed a notable increase in sugar production, driven by advancements in agricultural technology and favorable weather conditions. This growth has contributed to reduced reliance on imports, particularly from Mexico, which has traditionally been one of the largest suppliers of sugar to the U.S. market. While this development enhances domestic self-sufficiency, it also exerts downward pressure on both domestic and international sugar prices, reshaping global trade dynamics.
The shift in U.S. production patterns has significant implications for global markets. With increased domestic supply, the need for imports diminishes, impacting countries like Mexico that depend heavily on exports to the United States. This trend could lead to long-term adjustments in global trade flows, as other nations seek alternative buyers or adapt their own production strategies.
Challenges Facing Mexico's Sugar Industry
Mexico's sugar industry faces mounting challenges amid declining exports to the United States. In addition to competition from rising U.S. production, Mexican producers grapple with internal issues such as outdated infrastructure, water scarcity, and insufficient investment in modernization. These factors erode the competitiveness of Mexican sugar compared to its American counterpart, further complicating efforts to maintain market share.
Moreover, regulatory changes and evolving trade agreements add another layer of complexity. For instance, stricter quality standards and fluctuating quotas have created uncertainty for Mexican exporters, forcing them to explore new markets while addressing existing inefficiencies.
Changes in Import Patterns and Their Implications
Despite increased domestic production, the United States continues to import sugar to meet consumer demand. However, the composition of these imports is shifting. Data from USDA indicates that Mexico's share of U.S. sugar imports is decreasing, giving way to other major producers such as Brazil and Thailand, known for their cost advantages and flexible trading terms. This realignment reflects broader trends in global agriculture, where emerging economies leverage competitive pricing and scalable operations to capture larger portions of international markets.
For stakeholders in the U.S. sugar sector, understanding these shifts is critical. Companies must evaluate how changing import patterns affect supply chains, pricing strategies, and overall profitability. At the same time, policymakers face the challenge of balancing domestic interests with international obligations, ensuring fair competition without undermining local industries.
Looking Ahead
The evolving landscape of the global sugar market underscores the importance of adaptability and innovation. As the United States continues to boost its production capabilities, it sets a precedent for other countries to follow suit. Meanwhile, traditional exporters like Mexico must rethink their approaches to remain relevant in an increasingly dynamic environment. By embracing technological advancements, optimizing resource utilization, and exploring diversified markets, players across the sugar value chain can position themselves for sustained success in the years ahead.
ECONOMICS:WWSPI
OANDA:SUGARUSD
SET:KSL
Raw Sugar vs US Dollar Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
Raw Sugar vs US Dollar Quote
- Double Formation
* (Reversal Argument)) At 23.500 USD | Subdivision 1
* Trendline 1&2 | Descending Triangle Measurement
- Triple Formation
* Pattern Confirmation | Inverted Head & Shoulders | Subdivision 2
* Numbered Retracement | Uptrend Bias & Entry | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
SUGAR LONG A superb long opportunity has emerged with an outstanding risk-to-reward ratio. The price is forming a double bottom pattern, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
To account for market fluctuations, we recommend placing the stop loss slighly lower than usual for added safety.
Good luck to everyone!
Sugar Up for a Potential RallySugar prices have reached a strong demand zone around 1825โ1830, a major support level. The price action suggests potential accumulation, with buyers likely stepping in. A rebound could target the 1983 level as the next resistance.
A sustained breakout above 1983 could open the door for further upside momentum, while a failure to hold 1825 may signal increased bearish activity.
Follow up for results.
Sugar may target 22.7Daily chart, Sugar PEPPERSTONE:SUGAR can be seen as forming a diamond chart pattern.
Since there is a price gap, as shown in the circle, it may go to close this gap before a rebound to the resistance line R.
Above R, the target will be 22.7 passing through a resistance level at 20.9
Stop loss below 18.4 should be considered.
SUGAR - UniverseMetta - Signal#SUGAR - UniverseMetta - Signal
W1 - Potential start of the 5th wave in the continuation of the uptrend.
H4 - You can consider entering from these levels or wait for fixation beyond the trend line. A more confident entry point is formed at the formation of the 3rd wave. Stop behind the minimum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 2206.7 - *2246.5
TP: 2290.8 - 2378.3 - 2520.6 - 2609.5
Stop: 2143.4
Weekly CRT ON SUGAR - SELLIn this strategy I look at the last 3 W candles and the structure confirms my conditions for CRT (candle range theory) .
Conditions:
1. Candle 1 sweeps a high from the past.
2. Candle 2 sweeps liquidity from candle 1 and closes with body in first candle.
3. Key level - this happens in an bearish OB .
Enter at 22.720 (on candle 3 in W TF), when we sweep H4 liquidity, SL at candle 2 high, Tp1 in 50% of candle 1 range.
Will SUGAR Cup Reach Its Target?When the SUGAR 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue within the Cup formation formation. It is evaluated that the SUGAR price may retreat to the level of 2077 in price movements below the level of 2278, but it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 2278, it may exceed the level of 2412 and target the level of 2964.
Sugar Chart Review
When the daily chart of Sugar is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the downward sloping wedge. As long as the level of Sugar price 1.841 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.927, it can exceed the level of 2.024 and target the level of 2.287.
SUGAR NO11 Short-term analysis of Sugar no11. Including 2 statistical charts showing the % monthly price changes over the last 5 years and a chart detailing the occurrence of consecutive positive and negative days "candles" and their frequency over 12 months.
- I expect more selling in July and then a rebound in August.
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NY SugarWhen the price started to stand in the orange square I was thinking of going long...but there is an important weekly resistance area ahead...the price on the daily time frame was able to change the bearish trend to the bullish trend...now the weekly resistance is ahead The price has continued to grow...but the good news for the bulls is that the price has not been able to break the daily support...not even close to it...I think the strength of the daily upward trend is high and it will take the weekly trend with it. slow...this week the daily uptrend was fighting with the weekly downtrend....I place my long order above the red line and wait.