Reddit Pulls Back Following BreakoutReddit hit a new high earlier this month, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap on August 1 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. That may reflect positive fundamentals.
Second is the February 10 high of $230.41. The social-media stock tested and held that level last week. Has old resistance become new support?
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. That could reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in early August. That may reflect a bullish long-term trend.
Additionally, stochastics are turning up from an oversold condition.
Finally, RDDT is an active underlier in the options market. That could let some traders position for moves with calls and puts.
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6VO trade ideas
RDDT - Sliding off the top=======
Volume
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-Decreasing Volume
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Price Action
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- Latest uptrend broken with gap down
- Rounded top
- Change of trend observed
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Oscillators
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- Ichimoku, price inside cloud, green kumo thinning, base + conv + lagging shows sign of piercing clouds
- MACD bearish
- DMI bearish
- StochRSI, Bearish
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Conclusion
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- short to long term swing, price may reverse at current level, to enter spot or wait for pullback.
Reddit (RDDT) – Bullish Outlook Backed by Monetization StrengthReddit NYSE:RDDT stands out in the social media space with its community-first model and focus on authentic, user-driven engagement. As digital ad spend accelerates globally, Reddit is positioning itself at the intersection of social networking and data-driven monetization.
🔍 Key Drivers:
💡 AI-Powered Ads: Reddit’s ad platform uses AI to optimize placements, improving ROI for advertisers and strengthening pricing power.
💰 ARPU Beats Expectations: Global ARPU hit $4.53, highlighting strong monetization efficiency and reducing reliance on user growth.
📊 Scalability & Leverage: The AI engine supports operating leverage, setting the stage for robust earnings growth over time.
🚀 Price Momentum: Shares are up over 50% YTD, reflecting investor confidence and post-IPO execution strength.
📌 Technical Setup:
We remain bullish above the $205.00–$207.00 breakout zone. Sustained strength above this range could open the path toward a target zone of $380.00–$390.00.
#RDDT #Reddit #Stocks #StockMarket #TechStocks #AI #SocialMedia #DigitalAdvertising #GrowthStocks #Investing #Bullish #Breakout #EarningsGrowth #ARPU #IPO #AIstocks
$RDDT: betting for a pullback to $220 before Oct 17thbought 220p exp 10.17
Audience Size and Engagement
Reddit attracts around 2 billion monthly visitors and boasts a highly engaged user base concentrated in thousands of topic-specific communities known as subreddits. It achieved 47 percent year-over-year user growth in 2025, signaling its rising prominence among niche audiences.
Advertising Performance and Monetization
Advertising revenue on Reddit surged to $465 million in Q2 2025, an 84 percent increase year over year, driven by enhanced ad-tech targeting and search capabilities. Reddit delivered its first profitable year, and its ad offerings now feature on 18 top performance lists, demonstrating strong ROI for sectors like gaming and fintech.
Community-Driven Differentiators
Unlike algorithm-first platforms, Reddit centers on authentic, interest-based engagement. Users join subreddits aligned with their passions, contributing and upvoting valuable content that fuels organic reach. This model fosters deep discussions and positions Reddit as a cultural insights engine for marketers.
Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype?Reddit (RDDT): Undervalued AI Data Goldmine or Overheated Hype? $300 Fair Value in Play?
Reddit (RDDT) shares surged 4.44% to close at $240.20 yesterday, with pre-market trading pushing it to $243.70 today amid optimism over its AI data licensing deals and a 78% YoY revenue jump in recent earnings. Year-to-date, the stock is up 46.97%, but analysts are split—some see it undervalued by 26% with a fair value of $302 based on free cash flow projections, while others flag overvaluation at current levels. With a lawsuit over alleged privacy issues making headlines and Q3 earnings looming on October 28, is RDDT the undervalued growth play in social media's AI era, or just riding short-term momentum? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and scenarios for September 10, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Reddit's core strength lies in its massive user-generated content, positioning it as a key AI training data source with deals like OpenAI's integration boosting revenue. Recent Q2 results showed $499.6 million in sales, up 78% YoY, surpassing estimates, driven by ad growth and user expansion to over 100 million daily actives.
Analysts expect EPS of $2.23 TTM, with forward P/E at 84.03, reflecting high growth premiums. However, a high PE of 107.71 and enterprise value/EBITDA of 291.25 suggest stretched valuations, compounded by a lawsuit alleging privacy violations.
- **Positive:**
- Surging revenue and user growth underscore AI data monetization potential; profit margin at 12.97% with $2.06B cash on hand.
- Institutional interest rising, with market cap at $44.96B and levered free cash flow of $290.61M signaling operational strength.
- **Negative:**
- High debt/equity at 1.05% and ongoing lawsuit risks could erode investor confidence if macro slowdowns hit ad spending.
- Sticky inflation and Fed rate uncertainty may pressure growth stocks like RDDT if AI hype cools.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths: Dominant in user-generated content for AI datasets; strong revenue growth (78% YoY) and cash reserves ($2.06B); loyal community driving organic traffic.
Weaknesses: Elevated valuations (PE 107.71) amid profitability challenges; history of operational issues like site outages; dependency on ad revenue vulnerable to economic dips.
Opportunities: Expanding AI partnerships (e.g., data licensing deals); global user base growth in emerging markets; potential for new features like premium subscriptions amid digital ad boom.
Threats: Intensifying competition from TikTok and Meta; regulatory scrutiny on data privacy (e.g., ongoing lawsuit); market volatility if Fed delays rate cuts.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, RDDT is in a rising trend channel after breaking out from $223 support, with volume spiking on earnings momentum but now consolidating near all-time highs.
This follows a 52-week range from $55.84 to $253.14, with the stock up over 300% from April lows. Current price: ~$243 (pre-market), pivoting around $240.
Key indicators:
RSI: At 68.60, bullish but nearing overbought—watch for pullback if it hits 70.
MACD: At 12.35 with positive histogram, signaling sustained upside momentum.
Moving Averages: Price above 21-day EMA (~$230) and 50-day SMA (~$220)—golden cross intact for bull bias.
Support/Resistance: Support at $223 (recent low), resistance at $253 (all-time high).
Patterns/Momentum: Rising channel targets $260 on breakout; higher highs confirm trend. 🟢 Bullish signals: Strong buy per technical summaries. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could trigger correction.
Scenarios and Risk Management
Bullish Scenario: Break above $253 on positive lawsuit resolution or AI deal news targets $260–$302; buy on pullbacks to $230 support.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below $223 eyes $220 (50-day SMA); watch for death cross if macro data disappoints.
Neutral/Goldilocks: Range-bound $223–$253 if earnings guidance is mixed.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $220 (2% below support). Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid tech sector correlations—pair with stable assets like bonds.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, bullish bias if RDDT holds $240 and leverages AI tailwinds, affirming its undervalued potential with 25%+ upside to $302 fair value. But watch October earnings and privacy lawsuit for confirmation—this fits September's growth stock rotation amid Fed cut optimism.
What’s your take? Bullish on RDDT's AI edge or bearish on valuations? Share in the comments!
RDDT $250C --Smart Money Signals: RDDT LEAP Calls Looking Juicy
# 🚀 RDDT LEAP Trade Setup (Sept 5, 2025)
### 🔍 Market Summary
* **Momentum:** Strongly Bullish (Daily/Weekly/Monthly RSI > 67)
* **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap(er) LEAP premium
* **Options Flow:** Neutral OI, but no bearish divergence
* **Catalysts:** Ad monetization + AI/data licensing 📊
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea (LEAP Call Buy)
* **Ticker:** RDDT
* **Direction:** CALL (Bullish bias)
* **Strike:** \$250
* **Expiry:** Sept 18, 2026 (LEAP)
* **Entry:** \$64.60 (ask)
* **Stop:** \~30% (≈ \$45)
* **Profit Plan:**
• +100% → Take partial profit
• +200% → Let the rest run
* **Size:** 1 contract starter (≤2% account risk)
* **Confidence:** 75%
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Wide bid/ask spreads & low OI → slippage risk
* Premium is large (\$64+) → high dollar risk 💸
* Event risk (earnings, regulation, ad-tech news)
* Thesis failure = engagement/monetization disappoints
---
📊 **Verdict:**
All models (Gemini, Claude, Llama, Grok) = **BULLISH** ✅
Best fit = **Buy RDDT \$250C LEAP (Sept 2026)** at ask \$64.60.
👉 Small starter size. Take profits at +100%, scale runners to +200%.
---
🔥 What do you think? Is **RDDT the next multi-year breakout** or just expensive hype?
\#RDDT #OptionsTrading #LEAPS #TradingView
RDDT – Growth, Margins, Cash Flow, and Low Cost.Let’s look at the financial metrics sequentially:
- Revenue grew 73% YoY, reaching $427M last quarter.
- Next quarter, the company forecasts revenue of just $370M, but this is due to annual seasonality, which was particularly noticeable two years ago when revenue dropped from $200M to $163M.
- The Q4 2025 forecast projects revenue of $556M—a new company record. However, growth will be just 20% YoY, which looks modest compared to the current 73%, but remains double-digit and confirms a steady upward trend.
The company’s key advantage is its gross margin, which consistently exceeds 85% and reached 92.6% last quarter—an impressive result.
- Operating expenses were $200M a year ago but have since surged to $300–350M over the past year.
- The company should indeed control costs, but it appears to have already reached profitable operational growth.
- With Invested Capital at $411M, projected annual operating profit ($49M × 4) would be $196M. The company’s ROIC looks very compelling.
Liquidity:
- Cash & short-term investments: $1.8B
- Current liabilities $176M
- Market cap: FWB:20B
- Loss over the past 12 months: $484M
Conclusion:
We’re looking at a fast-growing, high-margin company with low debt, significant liquidity reserves, and room for further growth.
The main negative factor is the automatic blocking system for low-karma users on the site. The platform is indeed very strict in this regard, but it doesn’t seem to hinder its growth or profitability.
RDDT stock previously declined due to risks of reduced online ad spending amid weak economic indicators and changes in pricing policies. However, the market now realizes this was just a temporary Trump-era play that’s coming to an end—and we’re getting a great entry price.
RDDT More downside in social media?RDDT at $220.75 (+2.46%), soaring 56.38% in 1M on Q2 hype ($500M revenue +78% YoY), but overbought with Stochastic peaking >80 and price testing resistance near 221-224. ADX strong, but post-CPI jitters (core 3.0%) and November earnings volatility could accelerate the ongoing correction (down 50%+ from $230 peak). Cheat sheets highlight layered supports below 200.
Chart Analysis:
Bounce from $187 support, but RSI likely >70 with divergence. Upper BB pierced on volume.
Key levels: Resistance at $225 (near-term high), supports at $206 (2nd pivot), $200 (3rd pivot/50% Fib), deeper $187 (recent low/61.8% Fib).
Trade Idea: Short
Entry: Below $218 (break of today's low).
Target: $187 (deeper support for full correction wave).
Stop Loss: $223 (tighter above resistance for minimized risk).
Risk: ~$5 (218 to 223), Reward: ~$31 (218 to 187), R/R: 1:6.2. Partial exit at $200 if volume spikes.
More downside in social media? #RDDT #Overbought #TechPullback #CPI
Reddit - Impressive But I Stalk A ShortReddit is currently delivering excellent figures – revenue and user base are booming, profits have returned, and AI partnerships are creating strong conditions for growth. However, the current share price reflects this upward momentum with (over-)enthusiasm. Exciting for speculative investors, but those focused on value should wait for a pullback.
And that’s exactly the hook for why I’m lying in wait for a short trade.
Let’s take a look at the technical side – the chart analysis:
We can see that several CIB lines (Change in Behavior) have been broken.
And bam! – the market hits our 80%-probability profit target.
We know what that means: the market is in equilibrium.
And when the market acts like a couch potato, we also know it can’t stay that way for long.
So, what are the options?
Up or down.
Up?
Could happen – human greed is boundless and goes further than the moon, as we’re currently seeing.
Down?
If we take the fundamental analysis into account, and our common sense also tells us that Reddit is overheated, then this short idea is definitely worth investigating.
I see two possibilities:
1. Speculative short:
Here I would go with options, since shorts are always trickier than longs. You simply have more time to be right.
2. Wait for a trigger signal:
If we see the market leave the couch (the CL), we look at the bars and find a good entry with a sensible risk/reward, targeting:
a) the 1/4 line
b) the L-MLH
Happy hunting!
Smart Money Targets RDDT Calls – Are You In Before the Bang? ## 🚀 RDDT Options Signal: Bulls Loading Up Before Expiry!
**Only 2 DTE, But The Flow Is Screaming 📢**
📈 **\$225C @ \$0.86** — Risk Tight. Reward Clean.
🧠 Multiple AI Models Agree:
✅ Institutional Call Flow
✅ Bullish Weekly RSI
⚠️ Gamma & RSI Overheat = Manage Exit Timing Carefully!
---
### 🧩 Key Takeaways:
* Strong institutional flow backing the move 🔥
* Short-term risk? Absolutely.
* Reward? 50%+ if timed right ⏳
* Stop loss? Tight — don’t hesitate 🚨
---
### 💰 Trade Setup (Based on AI Consensus)
* **Strike**: \$225
* **Expiry**: 08/08
* **Premium**: \$0.86
* **Target**: \$1.29
* **Stop**: \$0.34
* **Confidence**: 70%
---
## ⚠️ 2 DTE — Trade Fast or Stand Aside
Not financial advice. This is flow-based probability.
Sometimes **opportunity hides behind time decay**. ⏳💥
---
### 🔖 Tags:
`#RDDT #RedditIPO #OptionsFlow #AITrading #TradingView #GammaRisk #BullishSetup #ShortTermPlay #WeeklyOptions #EarningsFlow`
Clear return of uptrend for Reddit Reddit NYSE:RDDT has seen a strong bullish trend resuming after completing the inverted head and shoulder formation. Previously, we had a note on RDDT reversal play and it has garnered 62% upside (
We believe that Reddit is likely to edge higher and reached beyond 260.00 as Ichimoku shows strong bullish signal. Long-term MACD is bullish after histogram remain positive. Stochastic oscillator's overbought signal has been invalidated after price chat shows weak correction in form of a falling wedge and %K and %D has crossed back.
Volume remain healthy.
Pricey but pulling back - long RDDT at 196.21 Reddit is a little bit dangerous here. It is a very expensive stock with a short trading record that has run up massively of late. But it has pulled back, and is still within the confines of its regression channel.
Ordinarily I don't trade stocks without large piles of trading data to fall back on. So why this time? First of all, the reason I don't is primarily that newer stocks have a much higher failure rate (going to zero) than battle tested ones do. Given that the strategy I use is first and foremost about safety, going to zero is a HUGE no no so I avoid them by and large.
I don't think that's an even remote risk in the case of RDDT, however.
Secondly, in its brief history with my system it has performed very well from a per day held return standpoint (around 1.5% per day held, or about 55x the long term daily average return of SPY). While that number will tend to decrease over time with more trades, even a return half that size is a sizable daily return.
Also, every trade signal has been profitable to this point, but again the small sample size renders that information basically irrelevant. In the end, I have to respect the trend here and trust that NYSE:RDDT will follow the same pattern that the other almost 2000 stocks I screen follow and that this trade will work out because it's what stocks do. We shall see, I guess.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Reddit breaks out for bullish run I have been watching Reddit for a couple of weeks and identified that we had put in the .786 low from the correction since February and then formed a range that was well respected for the past 4 months .
In this video I highlight zones where i expect price to gravitate too and where a nice entry will be if you are looking to long reddit.
Tools used Fib suite , trend based fib , tr pocket , 0.786 + 0.382 and fixed range .