GOOGL SHORT Alert | Katy AI Predicts -Ride the Bearish Momentum!GOOGL QuantSignals V3 | 1-Month Prediction
Current Price: $301.50
Predicted Price: $298.89 (-0.86%)
30-Min Target: $299.35 (-0.71%)
Trend: Bearish
Confidence: 65.8%
Volatility: 25.7%
Trade Signal:
Direction: SHORT / PUT
Entry Price: $301.50
Target: $299.42
Stop Loss: $306.02
Expected Move: -0.86%
Analysis Summary:
Katy AI shows a bearish trajectory with moderate confidence.
Technicals: Slight downward pressure; price nearing predicted short-term support.
News & Sentiment: No major catalysts detected; moderate volatility expected.
Options Flow: Limited data; bear positioning may dominate.
Risk Level: Moderate — use conservative position sizing due to less than 70% confidence.
Trade ideas
Google Wave Analysis – 19 November 2025
- Google broke resistance level 290.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 310.00
Google recently broke through the resistance zone between the resistance level 290.00 (which stopped the previous waves iii and b) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from June.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 5 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (1) from April.
Given the overriding daily uptrend, Google can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 310.00 – target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5.
GOOGL Bullish Breakout: Pennant SetupGOOGL’s daily chart remains firmly bullish, with price riding above the 20, 60, and 120-day moving averages and printing a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After a strong leg up into the $292.50 area, price has slipped into a tight bullish pennant, consolidating near the top of the range while the last candle shows renewed buying interest. The demand zone around $275.50, aligned with the 20-day MA, is the key short-term floor to watch.
The primary path favors continuation. A daily close above $295 would confirm a breakout from the pennant and the $292.50 resistance, opening the door toward $305 initially and potentially $315 as price enters fresh discovery territory. If instead GOOGL breaks below $284, that would signal short-term pattern failure and invite a deeper test of support near $275.50, with risk of extension into the 270s. For the bullish view, a decisive daily close below the $275.50–273 zone would be a clear invalidation and shift the narrative toward a broader correction rather than trend continuation.
Thought of the Day 💡: Strong trends reward patience, but clear levels help you tell the difference between “normal noise” and a real regime change.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
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Crypto Market Trends (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Stablecoins)1. Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, remains the benchmark for the entire digital asset market. Several recent trends shape its behavior:
A. Institutional Adoption Accelerates
Institutional involvement has grown consistently, driven by exchange-traded products, corporate investments, and hedge funds using Bitcoin as an alternative asset. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major economies (primarily the US and a growing list of other countries) has created new channels of capital inflow. These funds have attracted billions of dollars in assets under management, making Bitcoin more accessible to traditional investors.
B. Bitcoin as a Macro-Driven Asset
Bitcoin is increasingly treated like a risk-on macro asset influenced by:
Global interest rates
Inflation expectations
U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy
Liquidity cycles
During periods of rate cuts or economic uncertainty, Bitcoin often attracts attention as “digital gold” or a hedge against currency debasement. Conversely, when rates rise and liquidity tightens, BTC experiences downward pressure.
C. Halving Cycles and Supply Shock
Bitcoin operates on a fixed supply of 21 million coins, with block rewards halving every four years. Each halving reduces the rate of new BTC entering the market. Historically, these events lead to:
Reduced selling pressure from miners
Increased scarcity-driven demand
Potential long-term bullish cycles
Even after each halving, the narrative of Bitcoin as a scarce, deflationary asset strengthens.
D. Growing Role in Global Money Transfers
Bitcoin usage in cross-border payments has surged due to:
Lower transaction fees via the Lightning Network
Faster settlement times
Limited dependency on traditional banking systems
This trend is especially prominent in countries facing currency crisis, inflation, or capital controls.
E. Market Maturity and Reduced Volatility
Compared to earlier years, Bitcoin’s volatility has begun to moderate as liquidity increases and institutional participation grows. This does not eliminate major price swings, but BTC is gradually moving toward being a more established asset class.
2. Ethereum Trends
Ethereum (ETH) dominates the smart contract and decentralized application ecosystem. It serves as the backbone for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, tokenization, and much more. Ethereum trends include:
A. Transition to Proof of Stake (PoS)
The successful transition from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS)—known as the Merge—has permanently shifted Ethereum’s energy consumption and security model. The PoS upgrade has:
Reduced energy usage by ~99%
Made staking a core yield-generating activity
Enhanced network security through validator decentralization
ETH staking continues to grow, locking a significant portion of supply away from active circulation.
B. Surge in Ethereum Layer-2 Ecosystems
Ethereum’s scalability challenges led to the rise of Layer-2 chains like:
Arbitrum
Optimism
Base
zkSync
StarkNet
These chains:
Reduce transaction fees
Increase processing speed
Expand Ethereum’s usability for retail users
The long-term trend is toward Ethereum becoming the settlement layer while L2s handle high-volume activity.
C. Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA)
One of the fastest-growing sectors on Ethereum is asset tokenization. Institutions are issuing blockchain-based representations of:
Government bonds
Real estate
Corporate debt
Money-market funds
Tokenized U.S. Treasury products on Ethereum have grown rapidly, showing real institutional use beyond speculation.
D. Ethereum as the Base Layer for DeFi
Even after market cycles and volatility, Ethereum remains the dominant chain for:
Lending protocols (Aave, Compound)
Decentralized exchanges (Uniswap, Curve)
Price oracles (Chainlink)
Yield staking
Total Value Locked (TVL) tends to rise and fall with overall market sentiment, but Ethereum consistently holds the largest share.
E. Shift Toward Deflationary Supply
After EIP-1559 introduced base fee burning, Ethereum sometimes becomes deflationary, meaning more ETH is burned than issued—especially during periods of high network activity. This creates a long-term bullish supply dynamic similar to Bitcoin’s scarcity.
3. Stablecoin Trends
Stablecoins are the foundation of global crypto liquidity. They provide stability, enable global transactions, and serve as a bridge between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralised finance (DeFi).
A. Rapid Growth in Market Capitalization
Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and emerging decentralized alternatives have seen strong growth. They are increasingly used for:
Trading pairs on crypto exchanges
Remittances
Yield generation
On-chain settlement
DeFi collateral
USDT continues to dominate due to its wide availability and high adoption in cross-border markets.
B. Regulatory Tightening and Transparency
Governments worldwide are enforcing stricter oversight of stablecoins. The aim is to ensure:
1:1 reserve backing
Independent audits
Stronger disclosure requirements
These regulations help institutional adoption and reduce risks associated with opaque issuers.
C. Rise of On-chain Payments
Stablecoins are rapidly emerging as a global payments infrastructure. Businesses and fintech companies increasingly use stablecoins for:
Payroll
B2B transfers
E-commerce
Cross-border settlements
Their speed, low cost, and 24/7 availability make them an attractive alternative to SWIFT.
D. Competition from CBDCs
Central banks globally are experimenting with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Although CBDCs will coexist with stablecoins, they may compete in retail and wholesale payments. Stablecoins, however, retain the advantage of flexibility, programmability, and cross-chain mobility.
E. Decentralized Stablecoins Return
Decentralized options like DAI and FRAX are evolving to become more resilient. The trend is toward:
Overcollateralized models
Multi-asset backing
Algorithmic governance with strong safety features
This helps reduce dependence on centralized issuers.
4. Combined Crypto Market Themes
A. Institutionalization of Crypto
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins together form the backbone for large institutions entering the market. Their maturity and regulatory clarity provide confidence for long-term investment.
B. Integration with Traditional Finance
Crypto is increasingly merging with traditional financial rails:
Tokenized stocks
Tokenized treasury bonds
Crypto payment cards
Stablecoin-powered banking services
C. Market Cycles Driven by Liquidity
Crypto markets remain heavily influenced by global liquidity. When monetary conditions ease, capital flows into BTC and ETH first, then spreads to altcoins.
D. On-Chain User Growth
Wallet creation, transaction counts, staking participation, and L2 adoption are rising steadily. Crypto is shifting from speculation to real-world usage.
Conclusion
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins represent the three fundamental pillars of the modern cryptocurrency ecosystem. Bitcoin leads as a global digital store of value, Ethereum powers decentralized applications and financial innovation, while stablecoins act as the liquidity engine for global on-chain activity. Together, these sectors continue to grow due to institutional adoption, technological advancements, and increased global demand for decentralized alternatives to traditional financial systems. As regulatory clarity emerges and more real-world uses develop, these assets are positioned to drive the next phase of crypto market expansion.
$GOOG – Post-Earnings High Tight Flag SetupGoogle ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) is setting up a high tight flag after blowout earnings, and it’s easily one of the strongest charts in the entire Mag 7 lineup right now.
🔹 The Setup:
Earnings were outstanding — strong revenue growth and margin expansion.
Price has been tightening up perfectly post-earnings, riding above all major moving averages.
The pattern has that classic high tight flag look — clean, compact, and primed for continuation.
A breakout over $290 is the trigger that could send this higher.
🔹 Why It Stands Out:
Relative strength vs. the rest of the Mag 7 — while others are chopping, NASDAQ:GOOG is leading.
Tight range = low risk, high clarity.
Volume has contracted nicely post-earnings — ideal pre-breakout behavior.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Holding $290 calls for next week’s expiration.
2️⃣ Trigger: Watching for a breakout through $290 with volume confirmation.
3️⃣ Stop: Will cut the position if price breaks under the 9 EMA on the daily chart.
Why I Like It:
Best relative strength among large-cap tech.
Textbook high tight flag structure.
Earnings-driven setup with clear risk management — everything lines up clean.
Google still going up in wave but hit 1.618 extensionNASDAQ:GOOGL Wave III continues, price looks exhausted but just won’t stop rewarding investors. It may trap late trend-chasing investors, causing them to capitulate lower.
Wave (5) of III is likely to complete with a throw-over of the upper channel boundary. Wave IV now has an expected retracement target of the 0.236 and daily pivot, $269. The gap remains unfilled.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a bearish divergence from overbought for weeks.
👉 Continued upside has a target of the R3 pivot
Safe trading
GOOGL Stock Forming a BIG Pattern — Key Levels You MUST Watch!In this video, I break down a clear chart pattern forming on GOOGL (Alphabet) stock, using detailed technical analysis.
You’ll see exactly how the pattern developed, what levels matter right now, and where the stock could move next.
🔍 What’s Covered in This Analysis:
GOOGL’s current chart structure
Clear pattern formation (triangle / channel / flag / wedge — based on your chart)
Key support & resistance zones
Breakout / breakdown levels
Trend strength and momentum
Short-term price targets
Medium-term technical outlook
Risk levels & invalidation points
📈 Why This Matters
Alphabet (GOOGL) is showing a highly tradable technical setup, and understanding this chart pattern can help you spot the next big move before it happens.
Perfect for:
Day traders
Swing traders
Long-term technical investors
Anyone following large-cap tech stocks
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Completing a Major Elliott Wave Cycle at 2.61Alphabet has reached the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the entire macro impulsive structure, marking a potential completion of Wave (5) on the monthly timeframe. Price extended aggressively from the Wave (4) low and is now interacting with a historically significant Fibonacci exhaustion zone.
RSI also shows signs of potential macro divergence in daiy timeframe.
GOOG — Key Support 161; Bullish Extensions Toward 570.31Here’s a polished, TradingView-ready analysis in English — proofread and ready to publish — with key support set to 161 as you Alphabet (GOOG) is in a clear uptrend after a sustained bullish leg. Price is currently finding resistance near the short-term Fibonacci cluster, but the broader structure remains constructive while key support holds.
Key structural level: 161 — this is the primary long-term support / accumulation zone on the chart. As long as price stays well above 161, the bullish scenario stays valid.
Upside targets (Fibonacci extensions):
0.40 → 315.77 (near-term resistance)
0.50 → 358.19
0.618 → 408.20
0.75 → 464.25
0.90 → 527.89
Final target → 570.31
Price context: The market is showing momentum, but must break and hold above the immediate resistance cluster to accelerate the next extension. A series of higher highs and higher lows would confirm the continuation toward the targets above.
Alternative Scenario
If the current bullish reaction fails and selling pressure increases, expect a deeper retracement toward the structural support at 161. That zone represents the strongest demand area and liquidity base; a successful re-accumulation there would preserve the longer-term bullish thesis and improve reward-to-risk for buyers targeting the extension levels.
Alphabet Into $325 ResistanceGoogle/Alphabet has ripped through 217 and now at 325. The trouble with a fast move like this is there's heavy money looking for reversion to the mean. We are very far form any long term trend lines and up above the post-covid maximum trend line. Holding onto GOOG/GOOGL is highly risky here.
Major resistances like $217 almost always get checked back into so the risk of $217 is very high. I know google's revenue has been showing signs of accelerating, but not at fast enough rates that make me think it can fully avoid hitting 217.
So short resistance here 325 targeting 217.
Good luck!
GOOGL long-term TAGoogle is strictly bullish on long-term, is one of the best survivors in tech sector at the moment during this market correction. But be aware of the negative divergence on mid-term, the negative correlation between price and volumes accumulation has been building up recently, which means eventually the correction will occur and then it could be a wise stock to pick up.
Alphabet Inc. (Google) bullish momentum poised for another break
Current Price: $292.69
Direction: LONG
Confidence Level: 78%
Targets:
- T1 = $300.00
- T2 = $310.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $288.00
- S2 = $283.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
The collective voice of professional traders is leaning strongly bullish on Alphabet this week. Multiple traders highlighted that Google has been the standout among mega-cap tech stocks, often closing at or near all-time highs and holding above key moving averages while peers like Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla saw significant weakness. Across the trader community, there is recurring focus on upside potential driven by the successful Gemini 3 AI launch, dominance in advertising, and significant institutional buying interest, including Warren Buffett's investment. Several traders also pointed out bullish options flow targeting higher strikes into $310–$320.
**Key Insights:**
Here’s what stands out to me: Google isn’t just keeping pace in the AI race—traders see it as taking the lead. The Gemini 3 model’s performance against OpenAI’s ChatGPT has fueled enthusiasm, with the market viewing Alphabet as a “long-term AI winner” capable of both innovation and profitable deployment. Multiple traders mentioned that it remains one of the few big tech names above its 55-day moving average, reflecting technical strength. Heavy call buying, including multi-million-dollar long-term positions, signals strong conviction from big money players aiming well above the current price.
What’s interesting is how resilient Google’s price action has been. Even in weeks where the broader market dipped, it often bucked the trend. Some pros warned about valuation stretch, but they still favored upside in the near term given the momentum and relative strength. This week’s key battleground is the $300 level, cited repeatedly as a resistance-to-break point that could open a pathway toward $310.
**Recent Performance:**
Last week, Google surged more than 8% to notch fresh record highs, driven by AI-related headlines and outperformance in the Communication Services sector. It repeatedly tested the $298–$300 zone, with Friday's close firmly above $292 after a brief pullback. Price action has shown higher highs and higher lows, which traders are watching closely as a bullish structure. Dark pool and options activity has supported the move, with notable gamma exposure centered at the $300 strike.
**Expert Analysis:**
Several professional traders are reading the chart as a textbook bullish setup—breakout from consolidation, clean uptrend, and strong relative strength vs. the MAG7 cohort. Many are eyeing $300 as the near-term breakout trigger, with $310 next if momentum builds. The $288 zone is being watched as first key support, followed by the $283–$284 area, which aligns with short-term swing lows. Fundamental catalysts, like stronger AI monetization potential in advertising and cloud, are reinforcing the technical read.
**News Impact:**
Fresh headlines around Google’s integrated AI stack—Gemini 3, Nano Banana Pro, and in-house TPU acceleration—are creating a narrative of competitive advantage. The confirmed Berkshire Hathaway buy only strengthens market sentiment. With the Federal Reserve expected to hold or ease rates into year-end and AI-driven ad revenues projected to lift margins, sentiment gains further tailwind. This positive backdrop is amplifying trader conviction for a sustained push through resistance.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Here’s my take: I like the long side as long as price holds above $288 support this week. A break and hold over $300 could drive a quick run to $310 on momentum and follow-through buying. I’d size in moderately at current levels, add on a confirmed break above $300, and keep stops tight under $288 to limit downside risk. This setup offers a solid risk-reward, backed by both technical and fundamental strength.
Investors, Traders, and Policymakers in the Global Market1. Investors in the Global Market
Investors are individuals or institutions that allocate capital with the expectation of earning returns over time. They play a crucial role in providing long-term funds for companies, governments, and global economic growth.
Types of Investors
Retail Investors – Individuals investing in stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, or real estate. Their participation has increased globally due to online trading platforms and financial awareness.
Institutional Investors – Large entities such as:
Pension funds
Sovereign wealth funds
Insurance companies
Mutual funds
Hedge funds
Endowments
These investors manage trillions of dollars and have significant influence on asset prices.
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) – Non-local institutions investing in global markets. FIIs affect exchange rates, liquidity, and capital flows.
Angel Investors & Venture Capital Firms – Provide capital to startups, influencing innovation and technological development.
Role of Investors
Capital Formation: Investors provide long-term capital that fuels business expansions, infrastructure projects, and technological advancement.
Market Depth and Liquidity: Institutional investors add liquidity, allowing efficient price discovery.
Risk Distribution: Through diversified portfolios, investors help redistribute economic and financial risks across the market.
Corporate Governance: Large shareholders influence company management and strategic decisions.
Economic Growth: Investments create jobs, improve productivity, and stimulate economies.
Investor Behaviour
Investor decisions are influenced by:
Expected returns
Interest rates
Geopolitical conditions
Macroeconomic indicators (GDP, inflation, fiscal policies)
Corporate earnings
Risk appetite
Long-term investors focus on stability and compounding, while others maximize returns through active asset allocation.
2. Traders in the Global Market
Traders are market participants who seek short-term profits from price movements of financial assets. Unlike investors who focus on long-term value, traders capitalize on volatility and momentum.
Types of Traders
Day Traders – Open and close trades within the same day.
Swing Traders – Hold positions for days to weeks based on trend patterns.
Scalpers – Execute dozens or hundreds of trades daily for small price differences.
Algorithmic & High-Frequency Traders – Use automated systems to trade large volumes within milliseconds.
Prop Traders – Trade using a firm’s capital to generate profits.
Arbitrage Traders – Exploit price differences between markets or assets.
Role of Traders
Providing Liquidity: Traders keep markets fluid, enabling buyers and sellers to transact easily.
Efficient Pricing: They quickly incorporate new information into asset prices.
Market Discipline: Through speculation and short selling, traders expose weak companies and overpriced assets.
Market Support During Volatility: During high volatility, traders provide counter-orders that reduce extreme price swings.
Tools Traders Use
Technical analysis (charts, indicators, patterns)
Fundamental analysis (earnings, news, macro data)
Algo-trading systems
Options, futures, commodities, currencies, crypto
Global market correlations (oil, gold, dollar index, bond yields)
Behavioural Aspects of Traders
High risk tolerance
Dependence on market psychology
Quick decision-making
Emphasis on timing rather than long-term value
Traders thrive on volatility; hence global uncertainties often create profitable opportunities.
3. Policymakers in the Global Market
Policymakers include governments, central banks, regulatory bodies, and international economic institutions. Their decisions shape the macroeconomic environment and influence market behaviour worldwide.
Key Policymakers
Central Banks – Such as the Federal Reserve (US), ECB (Eurozone), RBI (India), Bank of Japan, etc.
Government Fiscal Authorities – Ministries of finance, treasury departments.
Market Regulators – SEBI (India), SEC (USA), FCA (UK).
International Institutions – IMF, World Bank, BIS, WTO, OECD.
Trade and Commerce Departments – Regulate tariffs, quotas, and trade agreements.
Major Roles of Policymakers
Monetary Policy: Managing interest rates, money supply, and inflation.
Fiscal Policy: Government spending, taxation, incentives, or austerity measures.
Financial Regulation: Ensuring market transparency, stability, and investor protection.
Currency Management: Adjusting exchange rate policies to support trade competitiveness.
Crisis Management: Responding to recessions, banking failures, or market crashes.
Trade Policies: Deciding tariffs, sanctions, treaties, and economic partnerships.
Impact of Policymakers on Global Markets
Interest Rate Decisions: Affect borrowing costs, investment activity, and global capital flows.
Inflation Control: Rising inflation leads to tight monetary policy and volatility.
Geopolitical Policies: Sanctions, wars, and trade agreements influence commodities, currencies, and stock markets.
Regulatory Changes: New rules can attract or restrict investment.
Stimulus Packages: Boost consumption and liquidity during downturns.
Policymakers set the environment within which investors and traders operate.
4. Interactions Between Investors, Traders, and Policymakers
The global market functions through dynamic interactions among these three groups.
How Policymakers Influence Investors
Lower interest rates make equities and riskier assets attractive.
Fiscal stimulus boosts corporate earnings prospects.
Regulatory stability attracts long-term capital.
How Policymakers Influence Traders
Economic data releases (CPI, GDP, employment numbers) trigger high volatility.
Monetary policy decisions create price movements that traders profit from.
Unexpected announcements (rate hikes, sanctions) cause sharp market reactions.
How Investors Influence Policymakers
Large institutional investors can lobby governments for favorable tax laws or policies.
How Traders Influence Markets
Heavy trading can increase liquidity and drive short-term price trends, which investors may consider in their decisions.
Conclusion
Investors, traders, and policymakers form the backbone of the global financial system. Investors provide essential long-term capital and stability, traders add liquidity and efficiency through rapid transactions, and policymakers create the economic framework and maintain stability. Their combined actions shape global economic growth, determine market cycles, and influence asset prices worldwide. Understanding their roles helps anyone—from beginners to professionals—grasp how the global market operates and how financial decisions ripple across countries and economies.
Blue Skies or Elevator Down?Currently trading inside a chop zone.
The repeated holds on the downtrend algo suggest this entire area has been accumulation around PWH/PMH. With the Berkshire stake and the negative sentiment floating around, it’s hard to know their exact cost basis — but the structure hints accumulation took place near the 50-day (around 285) and along the downtrend algo, with the upside trigger lining up at 302.65 and BPS levels at 306.89/312+.
Key levels I’m tracking:
• Low-Vol ST 1: 290.58
• Low-Vol ST 1b: 323.20
• Buy/Defense Zones: 285 • 290.58 • 295
I trade intraday — pure scalps. My entire approach is finding the pressure points where one side gets trapped and putting them against the wall.
I’m a trading assassin. I hunt bulls. I hunt bears. I survive the market.
I see the chart, and I act.
Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis)⚡ Overview
Recently, the charts of all major tech giants — Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft — have started to look almost identical.
Each of them seems to be either topping out or entering what looks like a distribution phase.
In this post, I’ll share my technical and fundamental outlook on Google (GOOG, GOOGL), along with the key risks and price zones I’m watching as a trader.
💡 Fundamental View
From a fundamental perspective, Google still looks strong:
The P/E ratio has been growing steadily.
Revenue continues to rise.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares for years.
So fundamentally, this is not a bubble.
By Peter Lynch’s fair value formula, Google remains fairly valued, maybe even with a modest upside left.
However, strong fundamentals don’t always mean big growth ahead — especially when the market has already priced in perfection.
And that’s typically when the distribution phase begins.
📈 Technical View
According to Elliott Wave Theory, Google seems to be completing the fifth sub-wave within a larger third wave —
a structure that often marks the final stage before a distribution or correction phase.
On the long-term chart, price is now approaching the upper boundary of the rising channel,
with limited upside potential — possibly up to $430–$450, which represents the top zone.
Beyond that, the probability of continued growth drops sharply, while correction risk increases significantly.
⚙️ Market Structure
When analyzing the volume profile, the largest accumulation zone sits around $15 – $16 —
that’s where long-term investors entered 15 years ago.
Those early buyers are now sitting on massive unrealized profits,
and many are gradually distributing (selling) positions into current strength.
Meanwhile, retail traders often see the ongoing move as “more upside ahead.”
But in reality, this could be the final buying climax before a deeper correction.
🧩 Cycle Context
Interestingly, the same pattern is visible across Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft.
It’s not just about one stock — the entire Big Tech segment appears to be entering a similar maturity stage of the cycle.
That’s why I believe Google could soon transition from markup to distribution,
followed by a potential multi-quarter sideways or corrective phase.
💬 What’s your take? Do you think Google will reach $400 before correcting — or has the top already formed?
👇 Share your view in the comments.
Alphabet’s AI AwakeningAlphabet (Google) has been underestimated in the AI race, that’s changing fast. The launch of Gemini 3 marks a turning point, not just for the company, but for the broader narrative around who really leads the next phase of AI innovation.
Gemini 3 isn’t hype, it’s a credible, state-of-the-art model with multi-modal capabilities that challenge the best in class. Early reactions point to a system that doesn’t just generate, it reasons. For a company often seen as lagging behind OpenAI or Meta, this is a breakout moment. The stock is reacting. Google just punched through US$300 for the first time ever, with momentum that suggests this isn’t a one-off event, but the start of a re-rating.
What makes Google different is distribution. Unlike startups, it doesn’t need to chase users. Google Search, YouTube, Android, these are pipes already connected to billions of people.
Gemini isn’t stuck in a lab, it’s being embedded into products that are already part of everyday life. That gives it an unmatched scaling advantage. The AI becomes useful immediately, commercially viable, monetisable.
The market is starting to price in more than ads. Gemini opens doors, from enterprise AI in the cloud, to paid features, to deeper integration across devices. The optionality is massive. And unlike other players, Alphabet can afford to play a long game. It's well capitalised, profitable, and now it has product leadership.
It also has access to public markets, if it needs to raise more capital.
This is what makes it the dark horse. Peter Thiel also calls it the last mover advantage. Quietly positioned, now breaking out. If the current trajectory holds, Alphabet isn’t just participating in the AI boom, it’s shaping it.
For investors and traders, this isn’t about catching a trend, it’s about backing a giant that just woke up.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
GOOGL Short-Term Bullish | Watch Key Entry LevelsTicker: GOOGL
Date: 2025-11-17
Trend: BULLISH
Confidence: 64.5% – 69.8%
Volatility: 14.4% – 38.3%
Trade Signal #1
Direction: LONG
Entry: $286.07
Target: $287.63
Stop Loss: $281.78
Expected Move: +0.68%
Trade Signal #2
Direction: LONG
Entry: $284.14
Target: $287.47
Stop Loss: $279.88
Expected Move: +1.47%
Analysis Summary:
Katy AI shows bullish trend on both signals with moderate confidence.
Short-term 30-min targets show minor intraday pullbacks ($285.71 / $286.90) before continuation.
Volatility ranges from 14.4% – 38.3%, indicating potential for intraday swings.
Suggested risk management: maintain small position size, monitor stop-loss closely.
Key Notes:
Both signals indicate gradual upward momentum with modest upside.
Optimal for traders looking for short-term long exposure in alignment with AI trend.
Watch for intraday reversals; stop-loss levels provide key exit points.
Short Alphabet (GOOGL) near 290Head and shoulders is visible on H4 and on the Daily. I will look for a firm break and retest of the neckline to confirm a momentum shift.
An ABCD harmonic completed around 288, which marks a potential reversal zone based on measured move symmetry.
RSI shows a 40-point divergence on H1 and H4, from 82 down to 42. This indicates buyers are losing pressure while sellers gain control.
RSI is stretched across multiple intraday timeframes, consistent with mean reversion risk.
The primary Daily trend remains up. The H4 trend has flattened and started to roll, which supports a countertrend short setup.
Given the longer-term uptrend and elevated speculative sentiment, I will size conservatively and require price action confirmation.
Entry zone: around 290 at the ABCD completion area.
Stop loss: 305 to allow room for volatility without crowding the structure.
First target: 259, which aligns with prior demand and conservative mean reversion.
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 1 to 1.7.
Google ( $GOOG) Faces €573M Fine but Trend Remains BullishGoogle (GOOG) has been hit with a major legal setback after a Berlin court ordered the company to pay €573 million ($666 million) in damages to two German price-comparison platforms. The case stems from long-running antitrust disputes tied to Google’s alleged practice of favoring its own shopping service over competitors—an issue the European Commission initially penalized in 2017 with a €2.4 billion fine.
The court awarded Idealo €374 million plus €91 million in interest, while Producto GmbH will receive €89.7 million plus €17.7 million in interest. Both companies argued that Google’s search dominance limited their visibility, costing them years of lost revenue. Although pleased that much of the €3.3 billion originally sought by Idealo was dismissed, Google maintains that it disagrees with the ruling and will appeal. The company insists the 2017 remedy addressed the concerns and that the EU’s monitoring supported that view.
However, the Berlin judges concluded that Google’s changes were not sufficient to eliminate the competitive harm—even after 2017. This marks the first time a national European court has explicitly stated that Google’s remedy failed to end the abuse, potentially opening the door for billions more in follow-on claims across Europe. Plaintiffs may push for larger settlements, making this an evolving legal headwind for Alphabet.
Technical Outlook
Despite the legal news, GOOG’s chart remains structurally bullish. The stock has been in a steady uptrend, supported by consistent higher lows and strong demand across tech. Recently, price broke above a key trendline, signaling renewed upside momentum.
GOOG did experience a pullback on Friday as headlines hit, but the broader direction remains intact. As long as the stock holds above its breakout zone and the trendline, bullish continuation remains the dominant bias with buyers stepping in on dips.
Google Stock Approaches the $300 MarkGoogle’s stock has managed to remain near its all-time highs, and since its last major correction, it has posted a gain of more than 5% over recent trading sessions. However, the company’s recent comments regarding an increase in capital expenditures, projected to reach approximately $91 billion, have started to slow the stock’s upward momentum in the short term. This expansion in investment implies a greater financial commitment and a risk that expected revenue growth may not materialize. For now, buying pressure has entered a consolidation phase, which could lead to indecisive price movements in the coming sessions. Nonetheless, if the overall market bias remains bullish, this could support a gradual move toward the 300-dollar per share level.
Uptrend
Since late June, Google’s stock has maintained consistent upward movements, forming a rising trendline that has guided the price toward the $300 area. Despite the recent neutral phase, there are no significant bearish corrections threatening this trend, which continues to serve as the dominant technical structure in the short term. If buying pressure holds, the trendline could gain strength in the coming sessions. However, the recent lack of directional momentum also leaves room for potential short-term pullbacks.
RSI
The RSI indicator line shows dominant buying momentum, though it remains close to the overbought zone (around 70). Additionally, while the stock’s price has made higher highs, the RSI has formed lower highs, signaling a potential bearish divergence that could indicate an imbalance in market strength. This setup could lead to a short-term correction period in the coming sessions.
TRIX
The TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level of 0, suggesting that the average of exponential moving averages continues to show consistent buying strength. As long as the TRIX keeps rising, it could signal dominant buying pressure in the medium- to long-term trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
290 USD – Major Resistance: This level corresponds to the stock’s all-time highs and represents the most important bullish barrier to monitor. A breakout above this area could trigger a more aggressive short-term uptrend, potentially pushing the stock toward the psychological 300-dollar level, provided buying pressure remains dominant.
276 USD – Immediate Support: This level corresponds to the recent pullback zone and may serve as temporary support against short-term corrections.
257 USD – Key Support: This level coincides with both the uptrend line and the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this zone could endanger the current uptrend structure and give way to a new bearish bias of technical relevance.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst






















